Brothers, I am the Gray Star.
ETH is currently stuck at $3135, like being nailed to a cross, both bulls and bears are holding back big moves.
In short: don't act rashly before the direction is clear, today only focus on two positions—3050 & 3239.
📍 Core market
Resistance: 3239
Support: 3050-3100
The moving average position tells us:
MA30 is firmly pressing down above 3239, medium-term trend is bearish.
Market data is more exciting:
3135.16-3135.19 piled up orders
Maximum sell order 67.6 ETH
Commission ratio -0.81%
👉 Bulls and bears are at a standstill at this point, and a breakout could happen at any time.
📈 Three possible approaches (my personal probability judgment)
Market probability target range oscillation 3050-3239, 60% back and forth cutting people; break 3239 with volume to pull up 25%, watch 3300-3350; break 3050 for a drop of 15%, watch 2980-3000.
🎯 My practical strategy.
For those with positions:
Low cost < 3100: continue holding, focus on 3239.
Heavy position: stop loss set at 3050
3200-3239 is the reduction area.
For those who want to get in:
Type suggestion aggressive 3130-3140 light position try long (≤10%), stop loss below 3100, steady breakthrough 3239 then chase / break 3050 rebound short.
🔍 Today focus on three things.
Can it stabilize at 3239?
Will BTC break 91,000?
15-minute golden cross + whether volume appears.
Directional signals will only appear once; understand it to profit, misunderstand and get harvested.
🔥 Gray Star Summary
3135 is the decisive point tonight.
Breaking above 3239 = start driving.
Losing 3050 = flash out.
Do not chase, do not kill, only act at critical points.
It's okay not to catch every wave, but don't lose at the wrong position.
Better to stay in cash and wait, rather than making blind moves.
