The cryptocurrency market will experience an important week from December 8 to 13, 2025. Six major events are coming together to influence prices and investor sentiment, creating a unique dynamic through the interaction of macroeconomic policies, technological milestones, legal processes, and regulatory measures.
These forces are likely to affect the value of altcoins, increasing the likelihood that investors will build confidence in the overall cryptocurrency sector.
FOMC interest rate decisionโฆ Bitcoin sentiment?
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is scheduled to announce its interest rate decision on Wednesday, December 10, 2025, at 2 PM (EST). According to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of a rate cut is 87.4%, no change is 12.6%, and there are no expectations for a rate hike.
The market may support risk assets like Bitcoin, expecting eased financial conditions. However, the biggest market movements are expected to come from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's press conference at 2:30 PM. This will provide key guidance on future monetary policy.
Solana Breakpoint Conference
The Solana Breakpoint conference will kick off on December 11 at the Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi. Organizers say this will be the largest Breakpoint yet, continuing until December 13.
This event coincides with Abu Dhabi Finance Week and the Formula 1 Grand Prix, placing Solana at the center of finance and technology.
The panel will focus on institutional adoption, including sessions on Solana ETF and staking infrastructure related to network security.
Breakout events like MEV Day, Block Zero, and Colosseum Breakpoint Arena will address blockchain scalability and decentralized applications. Registration prices range from $100 for students to $700 for late registration, allowing a broad audience to participate.
Industry leaders and institutional investors meet to discuss ways to generate revenue within the Solana ecosystem.
The strong infrastructure emphasis at the conference reflects Solana's increasing appeal to traditional financial participants seeking blockchain exposure.
The announcements made during the event could impact the current price of Solana, which is trading at $138.49.
Terraform Labs founder Kwon Do-hyung is scheduled to be sentenced before Judge Engelmayer in the Southern District of New York on December 11, 2025.
Kwon Do-hyung pleaded guilty to fraud conspiracy, securities fraud, and wire fraud in August 2025, following the collapse of the Terra blockchain, which included LUNA and UST stablecoins.
This collapse wiped out about $40 billion in market value and increased scrutiny on algorithmic stablecoins.
Kwon Do-hyung could face up to 25 years in prison, but the final ruling will depend on various factors, such as cooperation and victim impact statements.
This sentencing marks a responsible moment in the cryptocurrency industry and could shape the global regulatory stance on future stablecoin and algorithmic projects.
Many in the industry view this as a precedent for how authorities will track future cryptocurrency fraud, which could impact trust in emerging projects.
Nevertheless, developments in the trial could also impact sentiment regarding Luna's price. Currently, Luna's price has dropped nearly 20% over the past 24 hours.
Aster will launch an accelerated phase 4 share buyback program starting December 8, 2025. They plan to buy approximately $4 million worth of tokens daily for up to 10 days. This program aims to reduce volatility and support token holders through strategic liquidity management.
This approach shows a commitment to Aster's token economy by initially concentrating liquidity to address concerns. By focusing buybacks in a short period, they aim to create upward price pressure and absorb excessive selling.
This program will operate transparently with a set schedule and daily targets, contrasting with less structured approaches from other projects.
In the token market, share buybacks can reduce supply, indicate confidence, and align team incentives with holders. Aster's aggressive schedule suggests urgency regarding market conditions or upcoming announcements.
Bitensor TAO halving
The first TAO halving for Bitensor will occur between December 12 and 15, 2025. Depending on block timing, the daily token issuance will decrease from approximately 7,200 TAO to 3,600 TAO. This follows Bitcoin's fixed supply model.
With nearly half of the 21 million tokens already in circulation, this marks an important milestone for AI-focused blockchains.
According to Grayscale Research, halving increases scarcity and can promote price speculation while attracting developers building AI applications on the network. The halving mechanism ensures predictable supply and rewards long-term validators.
Avalanche ETF decision
Meanwhile, December 12 will be the next deadline for U.S. regulators to decide on the Avalanche ETF. The SEC has delayed decisions on applications from VanEck and Grayscale until mid-2025.
Approval could open institutional access to AVAX, and further delays may strengthen Bitcoin and Ethereum's dominance in regulated cryptocurrency products.
The SEC's response will clarify attitudes towards investment products beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum in the blockchain space. Approval could lead to more ETF applications, while further delays might strengthen the dominance of existing regulated assets.
