#原油 12.12 Morning Oil Strategy

The global crude oil supply and demand pattern is relatively loose, and the effectiveness of OPEC+ production cuts is in doubt, combined with a slowdown in global economic recovery suppressing crude oil demand expectations. The overall fundamentals lean towards bearish, but the 56 line acts as a strong mid-term support. There is a contest regarding the support strength at this position, and short-term capital sentiment is turning cautious;

The daily level shows minor fluctuations and tests the low of 56. The 1-hour chart still trends bearish, with prices dropping from a high of 58.859 to a low of 56.846. The current price of 57.855 is in the rebound correction stage, but the moving average system remains in a bearish arrangement, and the downtrend has not fundamentally reversed;

The MACD on the 1-hour chart is below the zero axis, with a golden cross opening upwards, indicating a weakening of bearish momentum, suggesting a short-term rebound demand. However, the moving average system still exerts pressure on prices, and there are no large-scale bullish entry signals from the indicators; the rebound may be a phase correction rather than a trend reversal.

Trading advice: Light short near 58.0-58.5

Stop loss: 58.8

Target: 57.0, 56.5#美联储降息 #加密市场观察 #美联储FOMC会议 $BTC $ETH