1. On the night of the crash, I saw the signal
In the cold winter of 2022, BTC fell below $16,000 and ETH dropped below $800, and the market was filled with wailing. The Fear and Greed Index plummeted to 18, and social media was flooded with claims that 'cryptocurrency is dead.' But I knew that a historic opportunity had arrived.
Mainstream coins fell below their cost line: Bitcoin mining machine shutdown price and Ethereum staking cost line have been breached, which is a strong signal that assets are severely undervalued.
Extreme sentiment indicator: When the Fear and Greed Index is below 20, it often corresponds to a long-term market bottom; above 80 indicates a bubble peak. This is the core of anti-human trading.
Institutions are secretly accumulating: despite publicly expressing pessimism, on-chain data shows that whale addresses continue to accumulate at low levels.
That night, I liquidated the assets of a vacant property in my hometown, gathering 800,000. Everyone said I was 'crazy', but the data told me: this is rational decision-making.
2. My three iron rules: Do not gamble on luck, only fight with strategy.
(1) Only touch 'hard currency', stay away from altcoin traps.
In a bear market, 90% of altcoins will go to zero or remain permanently sluggish.
I hold BTC and ETH (70:30), because only they can survive and rebound in extreme markets:
BTC is the 'gold' of the crypto world, and every halving cycle creates a new historical high.
ETH relies on staking rewards and the ecological foundation for long-term value support.
(2) Build positions in batches, refuse to go all in.
Split 800,000 into two batches:
The first investment of 60% was made at BTC 16,000 and ETH 8,000;
Reserve 40% for additional purchases, agreeing that if BTC drops another 10%, I will decisively increase my position.
This draws on the essence of the Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) method: do not guess the bottom, only seek controllable average costs.
(3) Set safety valves to counter emotional reactions.
Place orders in advance: if BTC falls below 13,000, automatically stop-loss at 10% to prevent black swans;
Physical isolation: delete market apps, go back to the mountains to farm for six months, to avoid the temptation to trade.
The biggest enemy in a bear market is not volatility, but the demons in one’s mind.
3. Result: The lonely persistence finally welcomes rewards.
Half a year later, the market quietly warms up. When I logged back into my account, 800,000 turned into 5,200,000:
BTC surged from 16,000 to 40,000, an increase of 6 times;
ETH jumped from 8,000 to 22,000, with an increase of 5.5 times.
I took partial profits at BTC 40,000 and ETH 2,200 as planned, retaining my base position to wait for higher potential. Those who once mocked me began to ask, 'What coin should we buy?'
But I know this is not a 'miraculous operation', just a victory of discipline + contrarian thinking.
Accumulating coins in a bear market and making money in a bull market—this is the most basic cyclical law of the crypto market.
When others are panicking, be greedy; what you need is courage supported by data.
4. Heartfelt words for current investors.
If you are experiencing a new round of fluctuations, remember:
The bear market is an opportunity, not the end: accumulating quality assets at low prices is the key to crossing cycles.
Always leave room: even when bottom fishing, do not go all in. Keep 10% cash to deal with extreme situations.
Filter out the noise and focus on on-chain data: institutional holdings, fear and greed index, trading volume are more real than trending topics on social media.
The last piece of insight:
Bull markets are born in pessimism, grow in doubt, and die in frenzy.
When you think 'this time is different', it is precisely history repeating itself. Follow A Ke to learn more firsthand information and precise points about the crypto circle, becoming your navigation in the crypto world; learning is your greatest wealth!#加密市场反弹 #美联储降息 $ETH
