#美联储降息
FOMC two major committee members explain why they oppose interest rate cuts: inflation risks are too high, caution is needed!
Chicago Fed President Goolsbee stated that he voted against this week because he wants to wait for more economic data to determine whether the impact of tariffs on inflation is only temporary.
The prudent approach is to wait for more information.
Inflation remains too high.
He remains optimistic that interest rates can be lowered by a 'considerable amount' next year. However, the government shutdown in October and November has delayed the release of several key economic reports, which makes him more concerned about recent interest rate cuts based on previous inflation data.
Paulson describes the labor market as 'under pressure but not collapsing.'
But she will have voting rights in 2026.
She continues to believe that monetary policy is somewhat restrictive, although the recent easing measures will provide some buffer for the labor market.
If the economy experiences high growth due to an AI-driven productivity boom, the necessary policy response will be different from the situation where high inflation is also a risk.