BITCOIN HEADING TOWARDS THE RANGE $160,000–$170,000: NOT FOMO, BUT STRUCTURE
Many long-term models are pointing to a familiar price range: $160,000–$170,000 for Bitcoin in this cycle. This is not a sentimental forecast, but comes from logarithmic growth models and diminishing returns – which have closely tracked the cycle peaks of 2013, 2017, and 2021.
The noteworthy point is: each BTC cycle increases less in percentage, but the absolute price still reaches higher peaks. The market is transitioning from a speculative phase to a large capital absorption phase, where institutional money, ETFs, banks, and listed companies play a leading role.
On a macro level, the interest rate cycle has reversed, and liquidity is gradually returning to the system. Meanwhile, the supply of BTC is increasingly locked up by corporate treasuries and spot ETFs. Decreasing supply – increasing demand is a very “classic” financial problem.
Most importantly: Bitcoin does not need retail FOMO to increase significantly as before. It only requires long-term, patient, and sufficiently large capital.
If history still holds reference value, then the range $160k–$170k is not a “fantastical” peak, but a reasonable destination of the current market structure.
