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#加密市场反弹

🚨 The Indian government is ramping up efforts: multiple departments join training, all for more precise targeting of crypto crimes

According to Financefeeds,

The Indian government is launching an unprecedented large-scale training program for crypto enforcement,

Aimed at addressing increasingly complex crypto-related financial crimes.

🛡️ The institutions involved include:

• FIU-IND (Financial Intelligence Unit)

• ED (Enforcement Directorate)

• NCB (Narcotics Control Bureau)

…almost all key departments involved in finance and criminal investigation are on board.

🔍 What is the focus of the training?

This time the direction is very hardcore, specializing in on-chain capabilities:

1️⃣ Blockchain forensics

2️⃣ On-chain analysis (tracking transaction paths)

3️⃣ Crypto asset seizure processes

4️⃣ Wallet address identification (de-anonymization)

In a nutshell:

They not only need to understand regulation but also the chain.

📌 Why do it now?

Because India requires all VDA service providers (VDASP)

➡️ Must mandatorily register with FIU-IND

The regulatory system has shifted from vague → structured, strong enforcement.

To improve case handling efficiency,

Law enforcement agencies must possess:

• Wallet identification

• Fund tracking

• Asset freezing

• Evidence collection and prosecution

These capabilities.

📝 Summary in one sentence

India does not intend to ban crypto but to “catch crypto crimes.”

Regulation is moving from slogans to practical, technical implementation.

🚨 Whale-level all-in: Sell 1654 ETH first, then use 7x leverage to go long 11,500 ETH!

Lookonchain just tracked a significant move with a "gambling king" vibe👇

🐋 Whale address 0x76AB's operation chain:

1️⃣ Selling spot ETH

• Sold 1654 ETH

• Received 5.49 million USDC

2️⃣ Deposited all USDC into Hyperliquid

3️⃣ Directly opened a 7x leveraged long position

• Corresponding position: 11,543 ETH

• Notional value ≈ 38.4 million USD

• Liquidation price: $2907.6

In other words:

This whale first dumped the spot,

Then took all the money to go 7x long on ETH,

A typical operation of "clearing spot, increasing position, enhancing flexibility."

📌 What does this represent?

• This is a very high certainty signal: the whale is extremely bullish on the mid-term trend of ETH.

• But it is also a very high-risk gamble, with the liquidation price not far from the current price.

• It indicates that large funds are willing to amplify profits amidst volatility rather than hold spot steadily.

⚠️ Risk point

Liquidation price $2907.6

→ If ETH experiences significant daily volatility again, this position may face liquidation pressure.

📝 One-sentence summary

This is a typical whale-style gamble:

"No spot, leverage, and a faster way to amplify profits."

The upcoming volatility of ETH may further be amplified by this large position.

🚨 Analyst: If the Federal Reserve continues to cut interest rates, the US dollar is likely to weaken—stocks and metal assets may welcome favorable winds

According to Jinshi News, analyst Neil Keene has given a clear judgment:

➡️ The tone of this week's Federal Reserve decision may not be as hawkish as the market fears

➡️ If the willingness to cut interest rates is further confirmed, it will directly lower the dollar

📉 Why will the dollar weaken?

Keene provided three main reasons:

1️⃣ Rate cut expectations = decline in dollar interest rate advantage

The fundamental strength of the dollar is the interest rate spread; once rates are cut → attractiveness decreases.

2️⃣ Seasonal factors (end of the year)

Typically, demand for the dollar decreases at year-end, and liquidity shifts towards risk assets.

3️⃣ Fund flows into risk assets

With risk appetite warming, funds often flow out of dollar assets and into the stock market and commodities.

📈 Who might benefit?

• US stocks (liquidity warming)

• Metals (such as gold, copper)

• Emerging market assets (stimulated by a weaker dollar)

The market currently expects:

➡️ This FOMC will cut rates by 25bp → range to 3.5%–3.75%

📝 One-sentence summary

If the Federal Reserve is not hawkish tonight, the dollar will find it hard to be strong;

A weak dollar = the stock market, metals, and multi-assets are likely to welcome another wave of market activity.

🚨 SpaceX is moving Bitcoin again: 1021 BTC transferred to a new wallet, worth approximately 94.48 million USD

On-chain analyst OnchainLens monitored:

SpaceX has once again transferred 1021 BTC from an old address

Calculated at the current price, it amounts to about 94.48 million USD.

🛰️ What does this mean?

SpaceX has been frequently moving BTC recently, which usually may imply:

• Internal asset structure adjustment (cold wallet rotation / multi-signature upgrade)

• Financial audit or custody update

• Enhancing asset security (commonly done by large institutions)

It is worth emphasizing:

➡️ The funds are not flowing into exchanges, so it is not a selling pressure signal.

This is more like institutional-level "warehouse relocation," rather than preparations for liquidation.

📝 Summary in one sentence

SpaceX has once again moved nearly 100 million USD in BTC, appearing to be adjustments in security and custody rather than signs of selling.

🚨 Tonight's real highlight of the Federal Reserve: Voting shows divergence, rate cut threshold raised, January may be directly "stuck"

According to Jin Shi reports, multiple institutions are giving signals of "dimensionality reduction strikes" for tonight's FOMC meeting.

The core consensus is only one sentence:

➡️ Rate cuts are not off the table, but the threshold is much higher than you think.

🗳️ 1️⃣ Voting shows divergence: Continuous rate cut path may be broken?

There is no longer unanimous agreement within the FOMC to continue cutting rates.

This represents:

• Judgments on inflation & economy are no longer in sync

• The current market's "continuous rate cut expectation" may be significantly overstated

• The greater the divergence → the less likely Powell is to give clear dovish signals

🦅 2️⃣ Barclays: Policy statement may include hawkish wording

Barclays believes that tonight's statement may see key changes:

➡️ Possible pause in rate cuts in January next year

In other words:

The idea of "cutting every time after December" may not happen.

This will directly compress the market's pricing space for future easing.

📉 3️⃣ JPMorgan: Wording will shift to "focus on the magnitude and timing of adjustments"

This phrase is actually a roundabout way of expressing:

➡️ Rate cuts are not the focus, when to cut and how much to cut are the focus

➡️ "Slow down + no commitment to path" → The market will perceive the probability of rate cuts as weakened

This typically brings short-term volatility to the market.

🎙️ 4️⃣ Powell may raise the threshold for rate cuts, hinting that it will be difficult to cut quickly before 2026

Analysts believe Powell may say two things tonight:

1️⃣ Avoid direct hawkish guidance (not to scare the market)

2️⃣ But emphasize that the threshold for rate cuts is very high (especially before 2026)

Translation:

→ No commitment to continue cutting rates

→ Hinting at a possible pause in the short term

→ But not saying "we will raise rates"

A typical "not hawkish on the surface, but effects are hawkish."

📝 One-sentence summary

The dovish signal the market hopes for may not appear tonight;

FOMC internal divergence + hawkish statement + Powell raises threshold

= A strong signal of cooling expectations for future rate cut pace.

🚨 The largest teachers' union in the United States lashes out at the cryptocurrency bill: Don't shove digital assets into our retirement funds

The American Federation of Teachers (AFT) — one of the largest teachers' unions in the country representing 1.8 million educators —

formally submitted a petition to the Senate requesting the withdrawal of the "Cryptocurrency Market Structure Bill."

CNBC was the first to disclose this heavyweight document.

📌 AFT's key point: This bill will expose pensions to huge risks

AFT President Randi Weingarten wrote in the letter:

➡️ The bill does not provide the necessary regulatory protections

➡️ Instead, it will expose working-class families, who have nothing to do with cryptocurrency, to financial risks

➡️ It could even undermine the stability of their retirement security

In a nutshell:

"Don't gamble our pensions on cryptocurrency."

🏛️ The two main concerns of the union
1️⃣ Pensions may passively engage with digital assets

The bill could pave the way for digital assets to enter:

• Pensions

• 401(k)

• Other retirement portfolios

AFT believes this is extremely irresponsible for groups with limited risk tolerance.

2️⃣ Non-crypto companies can exploit "equity tokenization" to evade securities regulation

Weingarten pointed out a key loophole:

➡️ Companies can tokenize equity → put it on the chain → bypass the registration, disclosure, and regulation of traditional securities laws

This will lead to:

• Investor protection being weakened

• Regulatory accountability failing

• Traditional assets may also be contaminated into "unsafe assets"

She warned:

"Even if pensions invest in traditional securities, they may ultimately be forced to hold risky assets."

⚠️ AFT's bigger concern: It may lay the groundwork for the next financial crisis

The letter also pointed out that the bill lacks sufficient regulation of crypto-related illegal activities,

and the loopholes could lead to greater systemic risks.

📝 A summary in one sentence

AFT is not against crypto, but opposes letting pensions bear crypto risks,

especially in a context where regulation is not yet complete and tokenization may bypass securities laws.

🚨 2.27 million USD equivalent of TON transferred to the exchange: 1.3845 million TON flowed from an anonymous wallet to the TON platform

Arkham data shows that,

at 16:03 today, a significant on-chain flow of TON tokens occurred:

📦 Transfer path

1️⃣ Anonymous address UQCGXN… → Anonymous address Uf9UjA…

2️⃣ Then Uf9UjA… → TON (exchange/platform address)

➡️ Total of 1,384,500 TON

➡️ Valued at approximately 2,270,500 USD

This is a complete CEX inflow action, with a clearer purpose compared to address rotation.

🔍 What does this usually mean?

On-chain actions flowing into exchanges are often seen as potential selling pressure signals:

• Holders may be ready to sell

• It could be institutions/whales reallocating

• It may also be market makers adding trading depth

• But overall, the significance leans towards short-term bearish

Especially with a one-time inflow exceeding 1.3845 million,

this is relatively a large single inflow for TON.

📝 Summary in one sentence

1.3845 million TON was directly sent to the exchange, requiring attention to the potential selling pressure's impact on TON prices.

🚨 Binance makes another move in Central Asia: signs a memorandum of understanding with Pakistan's largest digital wallet JazzCash

According to BusinessInsider,

Binance has signed an MoU (memorandum of understanding) in Abu Dhabi with Pakistan's leading digital finance platform JazzCash,

which is part of the global telecom group VEON and is one of Pakistan's most important digital payment infrastructures.

🤝 Core of the cooperation: Establishing a framework for the 'responsible development' of virtual assets in Pakistan

The MoU is not a direct product rollout but establishes an exploratory cooperation framework for both parties, including:

1️⃣ Education and popularization

Promoting a safer and more systematic understanding of virtual assets for Pakistani users.

2️⃣ Exploration at the level of inclusive finance

Studying how digital assets can integrate with the local financial system to serve a wider range of users.

3️⃣ Virtual asset solutions consistent with regulation

Focusing on 'compliance and responsibility', in line with Pakistani regulatory and market demands.

🌍 Why is this cooperation important?

Because JazzCash's position in Pakistan is equivalent to:

➡️ A national-level entry point for 'mobile payments + digital wallets + financial services'

For Binance:

• This is a key step into one of South Asia's most populous countries (240 million people)

• It is also an important piece of the compliance strategy

• Meanwhile, it further deepens the financial bridge between the Middle East and South Asia

📝 One-sentence summary

Binance is opening new doors for the compliant establishment of virtual assets in the South Asian region through its cooperation with Pakistan's digital finance giant JazzCash.

🚨 $148 million level selling pressure? Coinbase Prime suddenly received 54,100 ETH large inflow

Arkham data shows that in just 2 minutes from 16:16 to 16:18,

Coinbase Prime received three large ETH deposits totaling 54,151.73 ETH,

worth approximately $148 million.

📦 The three inflows are broken down as follows:

1️⃣ 14,714.79 ETH (≈ $48.99 million)

Source: Anonymous address 0xA66e…

2️⃣ 14,644.94 ETH (≈ $48.76 million)

Source: Anonymous address 0x1755…

3️⃣ 24,792 ETH (≈ $82.57 million)

Source: Anonymous address 0xc583…

All addresses are from anonymous sources and uniformly flowed into Coinbase Prime (institutional channel).

🔍 What does this mean?
🟥 Short-term selling pressure signals are very strong

Coinbase Prime is typically used for:

• Institutional cashing out

• Whale OTC selling

• Market maker rebalancing

Three consecutive transactions, with a total amount exceeding $148 million of ETH flowing in simultaneously,

is a typical precursor to potential selling, especially at the Prime port.

🟦 It may also mean:

• Institutions are preparing to execute hedging strategies

• Asset redistribution / staking redeployment

However, this explanation is less likely, as all inflows are entering CEX, rather than on-chain protocols.

📝 One-sentence summary

54,100 ETH instantly flowed into Coinbase Prime, likely indicating an increase in short-term institutional selling pressure, requiring vigilance against market fluctuations.

🚨 10x Research: BTC advantages are declining, real liquidity is back – altcoins may lead the market

10x Research's latest analysis provides a very critical turning point signal:

➡️ Bitcoin's dominance is declining + fresh liquidity is returning → altcoins may take the lead.

Historically, this often means:

Risk preference shifts from 'value traps' to 'growth tracks'.

📉 1️⃣ Bitcoin dominance declines: preference begins to shift

The model has favored BTC for three consecutive months,

but the latest signal shows the market direction is reversing.

When BTC.D declines and market funds shift from stable assets to high Beta assets,

the pattern of past cycles is:

➡️ Altcoin Season often starts from here.

💧 2️⃣ Stablecoin inflows rebuild the 'venture capital pool'

10x points out:

• Continuous net inflow of stablecoins

• Indicates funds are returning on-chain

• This is one of the prerequisites for the altcoin market

Although trading volume has not yet recovered to peak levels,

the 'underlying liquidity' has been silently rebuilt.

📈 3️⃣ This round of rebound is driven by spot, not leverage

This is a very important signal.

Past false starts often came from excessive leverage + short squeezes,

which made the funds unreliable, thus weak sustainability.

This time:

➡️ The rebound of certain assets is driven by spot buying,

indicating that real money is entering the market, rather than derivatives speculation.

🧨 4️⃣ Perpetual market lagging: leverage is being washed out

Platforms with active contract trading are performing weakly,

indicating:

• Over-extended positions are being liquidated

• Leverage bubbles are being squeezed out

This leaves room for healthier upward movement.

🎯 5️⃣ The next winner: not the loudest, but the 'quietly accumulating'

10x's most critical statement:

If this rotation is real, the strong coins will not be those making the most noise in the market, but rather the assets that are being quietly accumulated.

This means:

• Low liquidity but with fundamentals alt

• Platform tokens, ecological leaders

• Altcoins in structurally low accumulation areas

all have the opportunity to become the next main line.

📝 In summary

BTC funds begin to spill over, stablecoins flow back, spot buying leads the rebound –

these are all typical preludes to altcoin season.

🚨 15.1 million USD worth of Bitcoin just sent to Coinbase Prime: 1594 BTC instantly flowed in, signaling intense selling pressure from institutions

Arkham's latest data shows:

Around 16:20, Coinbase Prime received three large inflows of BTC consecutively——

A total of 1594.06 BTC, worth approximately 15.1 million USD.

📦 Details of the three inflows are as follows:

1️⃣ 540.28 BTC

Source: Anonymous address 12DPRto…

2️⃣ 540.28 BTC

Source: Anonymous address 1J7PYiA…

3️⃣ 543.49 BTC

Source: Anonymous address 139jrDV…

All sources are non-exchange anonymous addresses, and the destination is Coinbase Prime (institutional port).

🔍 What does this mean?
🟥 Short-term selling pressure risk has significantly increased

Coinbase Prime is a channel dedicated to institutions:

• OTC trading

• Large cash-outs

• Institutional rebalancing

Three consecutive inflows of nearly equal amounts of BTC at the same time,

indicates a well-planned large capital movement, rather than random transfers from retail investors.

🟥 Resonating with earlier inflows of ETH

Earlier, 54,000 ETH flowed into Coinbase Prime (≈ 14.8 million USD).

Adding this 15.1 million USD BTC inflow:

➡️ Institutions are clearly operating in the same direction: increasing selling pressure/reconfiguring positions.

Such synchronized actions typically imply:

• Reduced risk before macro events

• Taking profits

• Some large holders/institutions intending to cash out at high levels

📝 Summary in one sentence

In just a few minutes, BTC + ETH worth over 300 million USD simultaneously flowed into Coinbase Prime,

highly likely indicating that institutions are making large-scale reduction actions, and caution is needed for short-term market volatility amplification.

🚨 In the past 24 hours, the entire network has experienced liquidations amounting to $417 million! Short sellers have become the biggest victims, with a comprehensive double kill of longs and shorts.

According to Coinglass data,

The market has been highly volatile in the past 24 hours, and the scale of liquidations has expanded again:

➡️ Total liquidations across the network: $417 million

➡️ Number of liquidated individuals: 115,668 people

🔥 Shorts have been hit the hardest: liquidations of $309 million

• Long liquidations: $108 million

• Short liquidations: $309 million (nearly 3 times the longs)

This wave of market movement presents a typical:

➡️ "Double kill" structure of either first smashing then pulling or first pulling then smashing.

Especially, the short sellers have encountered strong reverse market movements.

📊 Breakdown by major cryptocurrencies:
BTC (Bitcoin)

• Long liquidations: $29.4937 million

• Short liquidations: $134 million

→ Shorts have been collectively buried.

The rhythm of first killing longs and then liquidating shorts is very obvious.

ETH (Ethereum)

• Long liquidations: $30.0047 million

• Short liquidations: $104 million

The long-short structure of ETH is similar to that of BTC:

→ Shorts become the largest "blood bag."

💥 Largest single liquidation

• Occurred on HTX - BTC/USDT

• Amounting to $23.9894 million

This is the "liquidation king" of the past 24 hours.

🧠 Market sentiment interpretation

• Short liquidations far exceed long liquidations → indicating that the market rhythm leans towards "reverse slaughter."

• Large liquidations usually trigger high volatility windows.

• After the leveraged positions are washed out, the subsequent volatility may be healthier.

This, along with recent on-chain signals of a large influx of BTC and ETH into Coinbase Prime,

suggests that institutions are resetting positions and the market is cleaning up leverage.

📝 Summary in one sentence

In the past 24 hours, $417 million in liquidations occurred, with shorts being heavily harvested;

After the leveraged structure is cleaned up, market volatility may continue to expand.

🚨 USD1 has reached a new milestone! Binance Futures announces: Starting December 11, it can be used as margin in a multi-asset model.

Binance has just officially announced:

From December 11, 2025, 17:00 (UTC+8),

the futures multi-asset model will officially support USD1 (World Liberty Financial USD) as a margin asset.

📌 What does this mean?
1️⃣ USD1 is incorporated into the core level of the Binance derivatives system.

Being usable as margin means:

• It is not an ordinary stablecoin.

• Risk assessment has passed.

• Liquidity and stability have been recognized internally by Binance.

This is a qualitative boost for the ecological expansion of USD1.

2️⃣ Multi-asset model = Use USD1 to participate in more futures trading.

Users can:

• Open U-based futures contracts with USD1.

• Flexibly switch positions with USD1.

• Improve capital utilization efficiency.

This will enhance convenience for many users engaged in futures.

3️⃣ The narrative of WLFI / USD1 is further strengthened.

The linkage between USD1 and WLFI is one of the popular narratives this year,

The introduction of margin means:

→ More trading demand.

→ More protocol support.

→ Increased ecological credibility.

📝 In summary

USD1 being incorporated as a margin asset for Binance futures is an important endorsement of its stability and ecological status, and also a new acceleration signal in the stablecoin sector.

🚨 Bitfinex Macro Report: Rate Cuts ≠ Bull Market, Weak Employment + High Debt are Brewing Greater Volatility

Bitfinex's latest macro analysis provides a very clear and realistic judgment:

➡️ The market expects rate cuts, but the environment is not robust; volatility may actually increase.

🧨 1️⃣ The U.S. labor market is weak → Opens the door for rate cuts

Key data has clearly weakened:

• The voluntary resignation rate has dropped to 1.8% (the lowest since 2020)

• Layoff rates are approaching a three-year high

This indicates:

→ Wage pressure is easing

→ Demand is cooling

→ The Fed may accelerate the pace of rate cuts

This is also an important positive source for BTC and risk assets.

💳 2️⃣ But consumers are increasingly relying on "living on credit"

The report points out:

• Total credit card debt has surpassed $1.2 trillion

• Average interest rates exceed 20%

• Household financial pressure continues to worsen

Consumers' "vulnerability" is rising.

This means:

→ Once the economy faces problems again, demand will quickly decline

→ Risk assets will bear greater volatility

📊 3️⃣ Inflation is still not fully under control

CPI year-on-year is still at 2.5%–2.7%,

above the Fed's 2% target.

This complicates the path for rate cuts:

• Too fast → Excessive stimulus

• Too slow → Economic slowdown intensifies

This is the "policy uncertainty" that assets like BTC fear the most.

⚠️ 4️⃣ Implications for traders: Rate cuts ≠ Unilateral Bull Market

Bitfinex summarizes it very directly:

Rate cuts can indeed support asset prices,

but worsening employment + high debt make the market more sensitive to shocks.

In other words:

Favorable policies face a counterbalance from weak fundamentals, resulting in: volatility may be greater, not smaller.

📝 One-sentence summary

Even if there are rate cuts today, the market is not risk-free rising;

Weak employment + surging credit card debt are laying new volatility triggers for BTC and risk assets.

🚨 Nearly 100 million dollars worth of BTC was moved, but only 3 coins finally flowed into Binance — the selling pressure is not as heavy as it seems.

Arkham data shows:

At 16:52, a large BTC migration occurred:

📦 On-chain transfer path:

1️⃣ Anonymous address 33yTWf… → Anonymous address 3CVURz…

 Amount: 1000 BTC (approximately 92,649,000 dollars)

2️⃣ Then from 3CVURz… → Binance

 Amount: only 3 BTC

🔍 Key point: the vast majority of BTC did not flow into CEX.

Generally,

➡️ Large amounts of funds entering an exchange directly = strong selling pressure signal

But here:

➡️ Only 0.3% (3 coins) of the 1000 BTC entered Binance.

This is more like:

• Cold wallet rotation

• Security reorganization

• Multi-signature migration

• Institutional internal asset sorting

Rather than preparing to sell.

🟥 Why pay attention to this detail?

Many people see "1000 BTC was transferred out" and think the selling pressure is huge.

But the exchange received only 3 BTC, indicating:

→ The real potential selling pressure is very limited.

→ The main purpose of the transfer is not to sell.

If the whale was preparing to sell, it wouldn't just throw away 3 coins to test the waters.

📝 In summary:

Although 1000 BTC was moved, only 3 coins flowed into Binance,

this is not selling pressure, it is a typical wallet sorting action.

🚨 UBS: The AI frenzy is far from over, and there is still room for AI concept stocks to rise in 2026.

UBS Wealth Management's Chief Investment Office (CIO) clearly pointed out in the latest "2026 Outlook":

➡️ Strong capital expenditures (CapEx) + Accelerating AI adoption = AI concept stocks still have upward momentum in the next two years.

This means AI is not a "short-term trade",

but a cross-cycle mega trend.

📈 Why can AI concept stocks still rise?

UBS provides two core reasons:

1️⃣ Capital expenditures continue to surge

Global companies are accelerating investments:

• AI servers

• Training computing power

• Data centers

• Commercial applications

These expenditures are not only not slowing down, but are actually expanding.

2️⃣ The AI adoption curve is accelerating

From models → Enterprise applications → Industrial implementation,

the speed is faster than the market generally expects.

🌍 Regional differences: The US and China are following two different paths in AI

UBS Asia-Pacific CIO MinLan Tan pointed out:

🇺🇸 United States: Focus on cutting-edge infrastructure + Large models

• NVIDIA

• AMD

• Hyperscale cloud vendors

• Foundation model companies

Here, the Beta is the highest, and the volatility is also the highest.

🇨🇳 China: More focus on algorithm efficiency + Self-reliance + Scenario implementation

• Algorithm optimization

• AIGC industrial scenarioization

• Local computing power and chip substitution

• Large-scale applications of AI + industrial chain

This means:

The "AI beneficiary stock combinations" in both places are completely different and are not based on the same logic.

🧠 Investment implications

• Want to invest in American AI = Look at infrastructure and large model ecosystems

• Want to invest in Chinese AI = Look at industrial applications and supply chain optimization

• The diversified paths of global AI → Bring about diversification and structural opportunities

📝 One-sentence summary

The AI bull market is not over yet; 2026 will still be a year of capital expenditures and accelerating implementation;

The US focuses on computing power, while China focuses on applications, and both main lines still have a lot of room.

🚨 7,555,500 TRX has been withdrawn from Binance, worth approximately 2.11 million USD——indicating an accumulation signal on-chain

Arkham data shows:

At 17:03, a significant outflow of TRX funds occurred:

➡️ 7,555,500 TRX

➡️ Worth approximately 2.11 million USD

From Binance → FarFuture (on-chain address)

🔍 What does this mean?
🟢 1️⃣ It's not selling pressure, but funds flowing out of the exchange

Outflow from CEX (Binance) → Inflow to on-chain wallet

Usually seen as:

→ Choosing self-custody for funds

→ Reducing short-term selling potential

→ A tendency towards "accumulation / long-term holding"

This is a signal completely opposite to "inflow to exchanges."

🚨 Whale's godly operation has returned: $3,108 to go long on ETH, with a 5x leverage position yielding a floating profit of $17.26 million

On-chain analyst The Data Nerd monitored:

Whale address 0xb31… has once again accurately captured the market conditions, almost perfectly timed.

🐋 Details of the whale's operation are as follows:
1️⃣ Opening average price: ≈ $3,108

Decisively going long during the market pullback.

2️⃣ Position size: ≈ $268 million

And using 5x leverage, this is an institutional-level heavy bet.

3️⃣ Current floating profit: ≈ $17.26 million

The profit at this scale indicates:

➡️ The whale not only predicted the direction correctly

➡️ But also timed the volatility rhythm accurately

🔍 Why is this worth attention?

The address 0xb31 has previously made several accurate predictions on ETH's trend,

already regarded by the market as one of the resident players of “on-chain god predictions.”

This time, he has once again heavily invested in going long, and has already achieved a high floating profit,

indicating:

• Large funds remain optimistic about ETH's medium to short-term direction

• The overall market structure is being driven by these massive leveraged positions

• On-chain capital behavior will further amplify ETH's volatility range

📝 Summary in one sentence

Whale 0xb31 has once again opened a $268 million scale leveraged long position on ETH,

currently with a floating profit of $17.26 million,

and on-chain large funds are still strongly bullish on ETH.

🚨 分析师：比特币已重新转强！美联储降息几乎被完全定价，短期上涨动能恢复

CryptoQuant 分析师 Axel 最新指出：

➡️ BTC 回调至 8 万美元后，已恢复看涨结构

➡️ 市场几乎完全定价美联储本次将连续第三次降息

只要鲍威尔不突然 hawkish（鹰派爆冷），

金融条件改善 → 给 BTC 打开新的上涨窗口。

📈 过去 14 天：BTC 重新进入稳步上行节奏

自 10 月高点回调 → 触及 8 万美元区间后，

比特币过去两周呈现有序爬升，显示买盘正在重新占优。

🔑 最关键的技术信号：
200 日均线（DMA）斜率一个月来首次转正

这是 Axel 提到的最重要指标——

不是站上均线，而是均线本身开始往上拐。

→ 代表趋势方向重新转多

→ 显示长期买盘压力恢复

→ 是典型的结构性看涨信号

📊 目前 BTC 正处的技术结构

✔️ 价格重新站上 50 日均线

✔️ 同时也站上 200 日均线

✔️ 趋势反转信号已经成立

下一步的关键在：

52 周高点（年度高点）= major resistance（强阻力）

分析师认为：

➡️ 一旦突破，将打开 BTC 下一阶段上涨的空间。

🧠 宏观背景也变成顺风：

• 降息预期几乎完全消化

• 金融条件改善

• 没有新的鹰派风险的情况下 → 流动性支撑风险资产

这对 BTC 属于典型的 “结构 + 宏观” 双重共振。

📝 一句话总结

BTC 已重新恢复看涨趋势：技术面转强 + 降息定价完成，一旦突破年度高点，将进入新上涨区间。