死多聪btc100w

Self-introduction of Banzhuan Capital

I. Macroeconomic and Risk Outlook:
Recent Events of Interest: The stablecoin conference on the 21st and the higher CPI forecast on the 24th, with expectations that the market may release negative news in advance.
Fear Index (Vix): It is expected that panic needs to reoccur to create opportunities for the next wave of bottom-fishing in the crypto and stock markets.
Safe-Haven Assets (Xau/Gold): Continues to hit new highs, indicating that safe-haven funds and national strategic funds are still flowing in.
II. Traditional Market Analysis:
Nasdaq (Nas): Significant rebound before the market opens, followed by a volume contraction rally and sideways adjustment at the start of the Asian session, viewed as a natural rebound, lacking capital support, with a larger expectation for further adjustments.
Japanese Stocks: Maintain a bullish trend, focus on the 47700 resistance level; if broken, the adjustment may end.
III. Cryptocurrency Market Overview:
Bitcoin Market Cap Share (Btc.d): Retraced to the middle of the range, expected to continue declining, benefiting the rebound performance of Ethereum (Eth) and altcoins.
USDT Market Cap Share (Usdt.d): Touched the key position of 4.64%, currently seeing sideways oscillation, needs to wait for a breakout to clarify direction (an upward breakout would suggest a long position). Expected to consolidate for two days before rising again.
Total Market Cap of Altcoins (Total2): Expected to pull back to stabilize at $1.5\text{T}$, then break out and rise.
IV. Specific Cryptocurrency Strategies:
Ethereum/Bitcoin (Ethbtc): Pressured by the trend line, but after a pullback, it will be a good opportunity to heavily invest in Ethereum and altcoins, suggesting that the altcoin season may arrive by the end of the month.
Bitcoin (Btc): Weak rebound strength, in a sideways oscillation, increasing risk factor.
Ethereum (Eth): Still in a bullish arrangement, trend unbroken, plans to continue holding.
Altcoins: Although the rebound is acceptable, the resistance on the 4-hour chart is a hard injury. Right-side trading needs to wait for a 4-hour level breakout. In terms of operations, strong altcoins can be chosen, but the focus should be on wave trading with a 5-minute level entry.
Core Viewpoint:
The market is influenced by expectations of macro events, while the traditional market shows signs of adjustment. In terms of cryptocurrency, the author believes the market focus will shift to Ethereum and altcoins (bearish on Btc.d, optimistic about Ethbtc after a pullback), with Bitcoin currently showing weak rebound and in dangerous oscillation. In terms of operations, a cautiously optimistic attitude towards altcoins is preferred, leaning towards wave trading after a breakout or stabilization after a pullback. #BTC #eth

Why was $LYN able to succeed without entering the graphic verification code?

#白宫首届加密货币峰会 #BTC走势分析
Last transaction plan follow-up:

Be patient and hold, waiting for changes in key time points and key position elevation angles.

Trade Plan Summary

#BTC

BTC is likely to fluctuate in the next 3 months, within the range of 84500-100000, with key support and resistance levels at 89000 and 94500. The dot plot in June may lead to a market shift. My fluctuation strategy: use small positions on the 1-hour level to capture high sells and low buys within the range, and patiently wait for the June breakout to take a large trend position. Want to follow the fluctuation rhythm? Follow me.

Essence > Expectation > Trend > Mentality > K-line

What is the essence of Bitcoin?
Here is my personal understanding
First layer: Speculation, scams, the underlying asset of a hundred times contracts, as long as there are ups and downs, this is the view of most people
Second layer: It is blockchain, a decentralized ledger, but very few people understand it
Third layer: It is a product of the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis, a digital code that hates the government's unlimited QE to create inflation, each inflation greatly widens the wealth gap, its core response to inflation is a constant total amount, halving mining every 4 years
Fourth layer: It is a product of trends, digital gold, people gradually start to have faith in it
Fifth layer: It is a true circulating currency, benchmarked against gold in global monetary value, Bitcoin's value exceeds 1.5 million dollars each
Sixth layer: A tool for the U.S. to manage its debt
Seventh layer: The most popular currency in the future AI world, humanity cannot live without mobile phones, and even less without the AI world

Funds have been flowing out these two days, and there is no money to compete with the existing funds when the market rises, so we still need to be cautious and do less operations in volatile markets

There is still money entering the market today, but it seems not much. We will see the data release before 4 pm

The position volume is also a problem. In the falling market, the position volume has been increasing last night, and there are more people who tend to short sell

After all, the market has rebounded, so it still needs a certain period of rebound. It depends on how much money is announced today to decide whether to go long in the short term today.

#BTC走势分析

The real breakthrough on the right side may be in the low of June or early July. By then, CZ will come out. If there is no interest rate cut in July, then there must be a rate cut in September. There are also speculation expectations.

Now the cycle is in a downward channel, and contract trading should be mainly short-selling

If the market changes this time, BTC will be the first choice, and then the copycat will be the strong one. The strong will always be strong. The garbage copycat can only pull a wave from the funds flowing out of BTC.

U has stepped back to the 10-day consolidation position from 2.15 to 2.26. The top structure has been formed. The market trend can be confirmed tonight.

USDC has fallen below and waited for confirmation.

The funds have not entered the warehouse obviously, waiting for the data to be released in the afternoon.

In the falling market, ETH holdings have been increasing, while BTC has decreased. ETH shows that there is still room for decline. Almost no one is shorting BTC.

It is recommended to hold half of the position. If ETH falls below the previous low of 2810, stop loss. There will be consolidation space at 2500 to 2600 below. Then choose to buy half of the position.

If the funds enter the warehouse in the afternoon, the market will continue to fall below, and the US stock market will also rise in the evening, which means that the market will be good in the next 10 days. This is the time to make money.