Crypto雅思

✅ Don't chase high prices, don't go all in, don't gamble｜💡 6 key phrases to secure short-term profits｜⚠️ A guide to avoiding pitfalls where 90% of people stumble.
After 7 years in crypto, I've seen too many myths of overnight doubling and even more stories of liquidation to zero. In reality, those who thrive and profit steadily in the crypto world aren't the ones gambling on luck, but those who engrain the 'simple methods' into their bones. Today, I'll break down the 'sure profit logic' that I've validated in practice; for those who understand, their accounts will only grow thicker.
First Iron Rule: Never chase high prices during an increase; look for bargains during a decline.

—— Mining becomes an 'invisible export', with dual shocks in the foreign exchange market and crypto trends 💥
As a veteran in the crypto space for 7 years, the recent actions of Russia in the crypto world can be described as a 'game changer'! Putin's economic advisor has directly called for the inclusion of crypto assets in international balance of payments statistics, coupled with Russian companies profiting from cross-border payments using crypto and nearly 16% of global hashing power backing this move. This operation not only breaks the deadlock of Western sanctions but also drops a 'deep-water bomb' into the global crypto market.

Core Fact: Russian crypto forces have already taken shape
• Hashing power hard strength: accounting for nearly 16% of global Bitcoin hashing power, second only to the United States, definitely the 'second strongest mining country', having mined 55,000 BTC in 2023, with an expected output of 35,000 BTC in 2024 due to the halving.

🔥 Safe-haven funds are pouring in + ETF siphoning 🌍 The crypto market is welcoming a structural change｜Sister IELTS's 7-year observation of the crypto world
This morning at 10:26, Binance data shows BTC has strongly broken through the 93000 USDT mark, currently reported at 93013 USDT, with a 24-hour increase of 7.16%! From the low of 83822 USDT on December 1, it has rebounded nearly 10000 points in just two days, and this surge is by no means coincidental; it is quietly rewriting the rules of the crypto market.
1. Core logic of the surge: Safe-haven + dual drive of funds
The current BTC rise is the result of multiple factors resonating: the rise in global economic uncertainty, accelerated funds flowing into Bitcoin, gold, and other safe-haven assets, further solidifying its positioning as 'digital gold'; the continuous net inflow of the US spot BTC ETF, with a recent single-day peak inflow reaching 9.13 billion USD, providing strong support for the price. Meanwhile, on-chain data shows that exchange reserves have dropped to the lowest level since 2018, and 'whale' addresses continue to increase their holdings, tightening supply further amplifying the surge.

🔥Financial Innovation + Crypto Deregulation? A 7-Year Veteran of the Crypto World Helps You See the Core Impact💎
1. DOGE Debuts: Japan's Government 'Efficiency Revolution'
On December 2, Japan officially launched the 'Government Efficiency Department (DOGE)', led by Finance Minister Sakuta Katayama, with the core task of eliminating inefficient taxes and subsidies and optimizing financial allocation. This initiative fulfills the promise of the coalition government and sharply distinguishes itself from the previous government's policies, aiming to strengthen market trust in the yen and the Japanese economy by reducing waste and focusing on core areas. Notably, the Japanese government and the central bank have reached a consensus on economic assessment, clearing internal obstacles for subsequent policy implementation.

The market faces the most brutal 'deleveraging'
On-chain cost failure + ETF fund escape ⚠️ 81,700 becomes the life-and-death line, should we bottom out or wait and see?
As a veteran who has been in the crypto circle for 7 years, Sister Yasi has witnessed the darkness of the FTX collapse in 2022 and experienced the frenzy at the beginning of 2025, but the recent decline of Bitcoin still makes her sense danger - after breaking the short-term trading cost line of 90,900, the average point of 88,100 active investors has also declared failure, and it is currently approaching the real market average of 81,700, with the crypto market's 1 trillion market value evaporating in a month!

1. On-chain data warning: 70% of funds are trapped in losses

🔥The leveraged game is intensifying! Will the crypto market face a massive shock amid the long-short showdown?🔥
The veteran in the crypto circle, IELTS Sister, brings you to the core—currently, BTC is at a crossroads of destiny. A breakthrough or drop of the key price level could trigger a bloodbath of liquidation!🌊
1. Current Price Situation: BTC is at a critical juncture📈
As of the time of writing, BTC is currently priced around 90602 dollars, precisely stuck in the key range of 86675-95135 dollars. This range is like a 'minefield' for the market, approaching the resistance level of 95,000 dollars from above and closely aligned with the support level of 86,000 dollars from below. Every fluctuation pulls on the nerves of trillions in capital. Considering the market performance in November, the leverage ratio remains high. Although the open interest has decreased, speculative sentiment is still strong, laying hidden dangers for a wave of liquidations.

Hydropower mining accumulated 6154 BTC + Ethereum ecosystem staking 🌐 7 years of insights from the cryptocurrency world analyzing the market logic behind sovereign layouts
As a veteran in the cryptocurrency space for 7 years, what has caught my attention recently is not the surge of a leading project, but rather the cryptocurrency operations of a sovereign nation — the government of Bhutan has officially staked 320 ETH (worth approximately 970,000 USD), along with its holdings of 6154 BTC (over 562 million USD). This 'cryptocurrency sovereign nation' that has risen through hydropower mining is rewriting the market's perception of cryptocurrency assets.

Bhutan's two-step cryptocurrency strategy: from BTC reserves to ETH staking

📉💻 Hash power price plummets + payback period exceeds 1200 days ➜ Will a wave of miner withdrawals trigger a market reversal?
The 'dangerous approach' of price to cost
On November 26, the price of Bitcoin once soared to $91,950 (data varies slightly across different platforms, with some exchanges not breaking $91,000 that day), very close to the average production cost for miners of $83,873. The current selling price for miners is about $87,979, with a profit margin of only 4.9%, almost 'selling at cost.'
Sister IELTS's viewpoint: The 'zero distance' between price and cost means the market buffer is thinning, and once selling pressure appears, prices can quickly drop.

📊 Initial Claims + EIA + Rig Count Data Attack | 📉 US Stock Market Closure Linked to Crypto Volatility, a 7-Year Veteran in the Crypto Space Guides You Through Opportunities and Risks
1. Core data preview, highlighting key time points
Due to the impact of the US Thanksgiving holiday, multiple key economic data are being released in advance. The US stock and bond markets will be closed simultaneously, and the crypto market should be wary of liquidity fluctuations:
• Tonight at 21:30: US Initial Jobless Claims Data (Labor Market Barometer)
• Tomorrow at 01:00: EIA Natural Gas Inventory Report (Energy Market Barometer)
• Tomorrow at 02:00: Oil Rig Count Data (Key Indicator of Energy Supply)

MSCI Index 'Knife' + ETF Capital Outflow, Is the Myth of the Currency Storage Model Coming to an End? 🔪

As a veteran in the crypto circle for 7 years, Sister IELTS has been closely watching Strategy, the 'Bitcoin Holdings Leader' — after all, every move it makes is a 'barometer' of market trends. Last week, this giant, holding 649,870 bitcoins (average cost $74,400/each), suddenly paused its six-week streak of increased holdings, instantly sparking heated discussions both inside and outside the circle. This is by no means a coincidence; the signals hidden behind it may rewrite the market logic in the coming period.

1. The Core of the Suspension of Increased Holdings: Premium Collapse, Gameplay Failure

🔥 Capital reversal + whale sell-off double strangulation, the crypto market faces the most severe test 💥
As an IELTS sister who has been in the cryptocurrency circle for 7 years, the recent severe market fluctuations have left many investors panicked — the ETF funds that once drove Bitcoin to a historical high of $126,000 have now become the 'straw that broke the camel's back' for prices, and Bitcoin's market dominance has fallen to about 58%. The entire crypto ecosystem is undergoing a deep adjustment.

1. Core Turning Point: ETF has changed from 'bull market engine' to 'retreat pioneer'
Who would have thought that the once-celebrated benchmark of the industry, the spot Bitcoin ETF, would fall into a continuous outflow of funds? BlackRock's IBIT saw a record net outflow of $523 million in a single day, and since November, 12 US spot Bitcoin ETFs have cumulatively withdrawn over $3 billion, with IBIT alone accounting for nearly $2 billion.

🔥 Tax Incentives VS Regulatory Changes 📈 The logic of cryptocurrency investment is being restructured again
Hello everyone, I am IELTS Sister. I have been in the cryptocurrency industry for 7 years and have witnessed countless market fluctuations driven by policies. Recently, an interesting phenomenon has emerged in the Japanese market: the stocks of DAT (Digital Asset Treasury) companies listed in Tokyo have consistently outperformed Bitcoin, and the core driver is the huge difference in tax policies. The shelf life of this bonus may have already entered the countdown.

1. 55% vs 20%: The tax rate difference supports DAT's valuation advantage
Japan's current tax system's 'differentiated treatment' of crypto assets and stocks has directly created the investment appeal of DAT:

🔥 Data interruption + rate cut fog 💥 The volatility of the crypto market is about to be ignited!
According to BlockBeats, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) has announced major news: due to the federal government shutdown hindering data collection and the inability to make up for it, the October CPI report will be permanently canceled, marking the first time since 1994 that the agency has abandoned the monthly CPI release. Meanwhile, the November CPI report will be postponed to December 18 — just after the Federal Reserve's last interest rate meeting of the year.

Core Impact: The Federal Reserve's 'Blindness,' the cryptocurrency market loses a key pricing anchor

Banmuxia's bottom prediction
On November 21, Chinese crypto analyst Banmuxia pointed out:
• Bitcoin is highly likely to stop falling between $81,800 and $74,800.
• If it falls to $74,800, it is very likely to be the lowest point of this bear market.
His judgment is based on a comprehensive framework of 'cycle + liquidity + technical patterns + wave theory', emphasizing that changes in macro liquidity are key variables.

Market trends and proximity to the range 📊
• On November 21, Bitcoin briefly dropped over 6% during trading, falling below $87,000 for the first time since April.
• The price is gradually approaching the lower edge of $81,800, and the short-term trend aligns with Banmuxia's directional judgment.

🔥102,900 transactions of millions triggered on-chain! 📊 The movements of whales during the six-week decline hide secrets
As a veteran with seven years of experience in the crypto space, Sister Yasi has always emphasized: whale movements are the 'weather vane' of the crypto market. Recently, Santiment's monitoring data is shocking—during the past six weeks of continuous Bitcoin price correction, whale activity surged against the trend, reaching a peak this week not seen since 2025: over 102,900 transactions exceeding $100,000, and 29,000 large transfers over $1,000,000 have emerged intensively, securing the title of the most active week for whale transactions this year.

🌍 Dovish voices + data completion, rate cut expectations suddenly 'soared'
November 19, the crypto market welcomed a key macro signal: Polymarket data shows that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December has risen to 52%, and CME Federal Reserve observation data has also climbed to 48.9%, with a daily increase of over 6 percentage points. The probability of no change in interest rates is now below 50%. Behind this reversal is a significant shift in the internal policy direction of the Federal Reserve.
📌 Key driver: Dovish bigwig 'makes the final call'
The clear statement from Federal Reserve Governor Waller became a key catalyst. As a core member with strong policy influence, he stated, 'Currently, we should prioritize preventing weakness in the labor market; a 25 basis point rate cut can stabilize expectations and also push policy towards neutrality,' directly reversing the previously cautious tone dominated by hawks. Another dovish official, Milan, even called for a 50 basis point rate cut. Although internal disagreements remain sharp, the voice of the dovish camp has clearly risen.

Interest rate cuts + cryptocurrency-friendly policies double catalysis 📈 Bitcoin's investment logic dissection under the fluctuation of 90,000
As someone who has been deeply involved in the cryptocurrency space for 7 years, recent targets set by Trump of 'bringing inflation down to 1%' combined with his positive remarks on the cryptocurrency industry have added more variables to an already hot market. This policy signal is by no means an isolated event, but a key variable linked to interest rates, regulation, and capital flows. Today, let's take a look at the core impacts behind it.
1. 1% inflation target: essentially a strong demand for interest rate cuts
Trump's inflation target is not empty talk, but is deeply linked to his repeated call for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates to 1%. The core logic is clear: low interest rates can reduce government borrowing costs and alleviate deficit pressure, while 1% low inflation provides a reasonable basis for aggressive interest rate cuts.

Niche investments turning into ace holdings, this signal has given the B circle a sense of reassurance.
As a veteran of the crypto space for 7 years, Sister IELTS has seen many institutions playing the bottom-fishing game, but Harvard University's heavy investment in the Bitcoin ETF still caught my eye. It is known that the endowment funds of such top universities are traditionally regarded as stable, and now suddenly placing a heavy bet on IBIT (BlackRock Bitcoin Trust) is not just a simple asset allocation adjustment; it sends a key signal to the entire crypto market. Today, let's break down the deeper logic behind this operation and its implications for ordinary investors.

Today's market judgment ➜ Slight fluctuations, focused on short-term. Today's market continues to maintain a slight oscillation rhythm, with limited volatility range, and there's no need to emphasize specific points.
Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin have seen slight pullbacks, but the overall trend remains unchanged, and rebound signals are still unclear.
• In this low-volatility environment, market sentiment is cautious, with most funds on the sidelines.
• Short-term traders can seize small wave opportunities, but chasing highs is not recommended.
• Mainstream cryptocurrencies have not yet shown clear trending markets, and we need to wait for clearer signals.
📌 Impact Analysis: The volatile market can easily lead to anxiety about 'missing opportunities,' but frequent trading often results in losses. Patience in waiting for the rebound opportunity to mature is more important than entering blindly. I'm going out to have fun, so I wish everyone a happy weekend! @Crypto雅思 #加密市场回调

When everyone is fearful, the veteran analyst goes against the tide and remains bullish
The cryptocurrency market is recently filled with wails, with voices of "the end of the bull market" and "pullback warnings" ringing in our ears. Retail investors are panic-selling, and everyone is on edge. However, the legendary analyst Tom Lee from Fundstrat—this veteran who is "bullish in despair and calm in madness"—has thrown out a shocking viewpoint: the current situation is by no means the end of the bull market, but rather the starting point of a "super cycle" lasting over ten years! Just like the structural opportunities in real estate in 2000 and tech stocks in the U.S. in 2010, this time, getting on the right track may lead to a leap in wealth, and Ethereum is the core protagonist of this super cycle.