半沐
慢就是快，相信复利的力量
Open Trade
High-Frequency Trader
7.5 Years
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Many people are used to treating luck as strength. This market never lacks geniuses, but there are also many gamblers. That's right, I'm a gambler 🐶
So, let's gamble $BNB
So, let's gamble $BNB
The market has entered a boring garbage time,
Still holding $BNB still believe $BNB
Still holding $BNB still believe $BNB
Lisa Cook Case: The 'Doomsday Judgment' of Federal Reserve Independence 🔥
Judgment is imminent: The Supreme Court will debate this week, with a decision in June.
Core Risk: If Trump wins, the president can arbitrarily fire board members.
Market Consequences:
1. 📉 US Treasury Collapse: Long-term yields soar, inflation expectations spiral out of control.
2. 🌡️ US Dollar Confidence
Trump vs Federal Reserve: A High-Stakes Gamble on Power
The Lisa Cook case is being heard by the Supreme Court. This is not just a personnel dispute, but a constitutional game about whether the president can arbitrarily dismiss Federal Reserve board members.
If Trump wins: The Federal Reserve will be fully politicized, and the 'safe haven' status of US Treasuries and the dollar will no longer exist.
Global Markets: A storm is coming, and the June judgment will reveal the outcome.
#circle $ETH
$BTC
Judgment is imminent: The Supreme Court will debate this week, with a decision in June.
Core Risk: If Trump wins, the president can arbitrarily fire board members.
Market Consequences:
1. 📉 US Treasury Collapse: Long-term yields soar, inflation expectations spiral out of control.
2. 🌡️ US Dollar Confidence
Trump vs Federal Reserve: A High-Stakes Gamble on Power
The Lisa Cook case is being heard by the Supreme Court. This is not just a personnel dispute, but a constitutional game about whether the president can arbitrarily dismiss Federal Reserve board members.
If Trump wins: The Federal Reserve will be fully politicized, and the 'safe haven' status of US Treasuries and the dollar will no longer exist.
Global Markets: A storm is coming, and the June judgment will reveal the outcome.
#circle $ETH
$BTC
Trump's Greenland Tariff, NYSE Tokenization, Bermuda USDC Layout, CLARITY Act, Analyzing Key Impacts on Circle and the Crypto Market
1. Trump's Greenland Tariff: Risks and Catalysts Coexist
- Event: On January 17, 2026, it was announced that an additional 10% tariff would be imposed on Denmark and 7 other countries starting February 1, increasing to 25% in June, pressuring the 'purchase' of Greenland; Europe strongly retaliates, straining transatlantic relations.
- Impact on crypto: Short-term risk aversion boosts BTC/ETH volatility; favorable for the safe-haven attributes of USD stablecoins (like USDC); if trade friction escalates, the demand for cross-border payments will rise, and Circle's cross-border business is expected to benefit.
- Regarding Circle: Geopolitical uncertainties are raising demand for USDC, but caution is needed regarding market expansion obstacles posed by European countermeasures (such as stablecoin restrictions).
- Event: On January 17, 2026, it was announced that an additional 10% tariff would be imposed on Denmark and 7 other countries starting February 1, increasing to 25% in June, pressuring the 'purchase' of Greenland; Europe strongly retaliates, straining transatlantic relations.
- Impact on crypto: Short-term risk aversion boosts BTC/ETH volatility; favorable for the safe-haven attributes of USD stablecoins (like USDC); if trade friction escalates, the demand for cross-border payments will rise, and Circle's cross-border business is expected to benefit.
- Regarding Circle: Geopolitical uncertainties are raising demand for USDC, but caution is needed regarding market expansion obstacles posed by European countermeasures (such as stablecoin restrictions).
$AXS axs suddenly soaring, it feels like a reheated cold dish, should we follow the trend and take another shot, one hour of capital cost $AXS
Circle (CRCL): The Darkest Moment or the Dawn of a New Opportunity
Rating: Buy
Target Price: $142.00
Current Price: $78.00
The current market pricing of Circle (CRCL) is primarily based on the single dimension of 'narrowing interest rate spreads during a rate-cutting cycle,' leading to significant damage to the stock price over the past few months, dropping to a temporary low of $78. However, we believe the market is severely underestimating the company's balance sheet resilience, compliance moat, and the long-term logic of transitioning from 'interest spread arbitrage' to 'Web3 infrastructure (SaaS).'
With the implementation of the EU MiCA legislation and the acceleration of institutional RWA (real-world assets on-chain), Circle is on the brink of a fundamental reversal. The current stock price offers excellent safety margins and risk-reward ratios.
Target Price: $142.00
Current Price: $78.00
The current market pricing of Circle (CRCL) is primarily based on the single dimension of 'narrowing interest rate spreads during a rate-cutting cycle,' leading to significant damage to the stock price over the past few months, dropping to a temporary low of $78. However, we believe the market is severely underestimating the company's balance sheet resilience, compliance moat, and the long-term logic of transitioning from 'interest spread arbitrage' to 'Web3 infrastructure (SaaS).'
With the implementation of the EU MiCA legislation and the acceleration of institutional RWA (real-world assets on-chain), Circle is on the brink of a fundamental reversal. The current stock price offers excellent safety margins and risk-reward ratios.
There is a red envelope event, come and participate, brothers
When the market votes with its feet, someone tries to convince you with words—remember to guard your wallet.
1: Either he's trapped
2: Or he wants you to be trapped too
3: Just bored and full
$BNB
$UNI
1: Either he's trapped
2: Or he wants you to be trapped too
3: Just bored and full
$BNB
$UNI
One day destroys 16,000 UNI, and some people are already talking endlessly about the 'deflation narrative'?
Even if you exaggerate the data to the sky, assuming 20,000 UNI destroyed per day, it's only 7.3 million annually.
Question: Is 7.3 million enough to cover half of the project's annual 'rigid release' of 20 million UNI?
It's not even a fraction! On one hand, the destruction is as insignificant as a mosquito's leg; on the other, the selling pressure keeps pouring in. Anyone with basic logic can see this imbalance. Who is pretending not to notice? 😂
The most annoying are those with 'selective blindness':
They never mention the annual 20 million UNI inflation dilution, yet they use this tiny destruction data to brainwash people.
Was this rebound due to UNI's destruction, or was it driven by ETH's sector rotation?
Ask those who are actually trading with real money—do they really believe UNI stood up on its own?
As soon as the market turns slightly green, every fake analyst emerges, pointing and talking like prophets.
The rebound is just so-so, yet the hired 'apologists' are more active than the trading volume. That's a good investment, isn't it? 😂😂
Stop deceiving yourselves. The fundamental logic of the token model is clear:
When the 'inflation faucet' flows faster than the 'destruction drain' can handle, the so-called value capture is just a joke.
How long can this rebound last? Wash your face and go to sleep—dreams have everything.
$UNI
Even if you exaggerate the data to the sky, assuming 20,000 UNI destroyed per day, it's only 7.3 million annually.
Question: Is 7.3 million enough to cover half of the project's annual 'rigid release' of 20 million UNI?
It's not even a fraction! On one hand, the destruction is as insignificant as a mosquito's leg; on the other, the selling pressure keeps pouring in. Anyone with basic logic can see this imbalance. Who is pretending not to notice? 😂
The most annoying are those with 'selective blindness':
They never mention the annual 20 million UNI inflation dilution, yet they use this tiny destruction data to brainwash people.
Was this rebound due to UNI's destruction, or was it driven by ETH's sector rotation?
Ask those who are actually trading with real money—do they really believe UNI stood up on its own?
As soon as the market turns slightly green, every fake analyst emerges, pointing and talking like prophets.
The rebound is just so-so, yet the hired 'apologists' are more active than the trading volume. That's a good investment, isn't it? 😂😂
Stop deceiving yourselves. The fundamental logic of the token model is clear:
When the 'inflation faucet' flows faster than the 'destruction drain' can handle, the so-called value capture is just a joke.
How long can this rebound last? Wash your face and go to sleep—dreams have everything.
$UNI
From Elliott Wave Theory
Currently, BTC is at a critical juncture of the macro impulse wave—after the 2024 halving, the strong rally of waves 1-3 has concluded, and we have entered the terminal phase of wave 5 and the threshold of the corrective wave. The average cost line of short-term holders is precisely the most crucial 'wave structure validation level' at this stage.
98,000 is a dense trading zone, and this level has already become a strong resistance area: above it, the bull market continues; below it, a deep downturn looms.
History has repeatedly proven that the essence of bull and bear market transitions lies in the cyclical alternation between impulse waves and corrective waves. When prices fail to break through key cost levels, the end of wave 5 triggers a deep correction in the ABC pattern; only by firmly holding above this line can we confirm the extension of wave 5 and initiate a new primary upward move.
We have already retraced to 96,000. If today's price fails to rise, the shadow of a bear market will once again descend.
Currently, BTC is at a critical juncture of the macro impulse wave—after the 2024 halving, the strong rally of waves 1-3 has concluded, and we have entered the terminal phase of wave 5 and the threshold of the corrective wave. The average cost line of short-term holders is precisely the most crucial 'wave structure validation level' at this stage.
98,000 is a dense trading zone, and this level has already become a strong resistance area: above it, the bull market continues; below it, a deep downturn looms.
History has repeatedly proven that the essence of bull and bear market transitions lies in the cyclical alternation between impulse waves and corrective waves. When prices fail to break through key cost levels, the end of wave 5 triggers a deep correction in the ABC pattern; only by firmly holding above this line can we confirm the extension of wave 5 and initiate a new primary upward move.
We have already retraced to 96,000. If today's price fails to rise, the shadow of a bear market will once again descend.
$RIVER is there something I don't know about, how to pull the project team, how to get money, brothers analyze this, itching 100 times more to short it $RIVER
The world has finally turned into a shape I no longer recognize, $BNB
$ZAMA Currently zama is doing an ICO for 10% of the tokens, but the total supply is now 11 billion, with a current price of 0.12u, which seems high, but actually isn't low at all.
So should we go all in shorting it? Brothers, give me some advice to consider!! $ZAMA
So should we go all in shorting it? Brothers, give me some advice to consider!! $ZAMA
The current market is just a bunch of simulated accounts, it's pointless to show off, let's fight with real accounts
$BTC
$BTC
The current market situation is that the dragon is lying down, the tiger needs to be coiled up, and if it's 💩 it can take off, so I've decided to go for it $PIPPIN
The trend of ZEC, the second wave adjustment begins to adjust towards the triangular contraction position. After the adjustment is completed, it is estimated that there will be a third wave. Let's look forward to it $ZEC
Summary of Wave Theory
1: 60-minute line analysis of sub-waves.
2: Sub-wave 4 does not overlap with sub-wave 1, and sub-wave 3 is not the shortest sub-wave.
3: Impulse waves are usually confined within a pair of parallel lines.
4: A driving wave within the impulse wave, namely waves 1, 3, or 5, typically extends, meaning it is significantly longer than the other two waves.
5: The driving wave has a rare variant known as the diagonal wave, a wedge pattern that appears at the starting position (wave 1 or wave A) or the ending position (wave 5 and wave C) of a larger wave.
6: There are many variants of corrective waves. The most notable variants are known as zigzag corrective waves (as shown in figures 1-2, 1-3, and 1-4), flat corrective waves, and triangle corrective waves (which are identified by D and E). These three simple corrective patterns can be strung together to form more complex corrective waves (whose components are labeled W, X, Y, and Z).
2: Sub-wave 4 does not overlap with sub-wave 1, and sub-wave 3 is not the shortest sub-wave.
3: Impulse waves are usually confined within a pair of parallel lines.
4: A driving wave within the impulse wave, namely waves 1, 3, or 5, typically extends, meaning it is significantly longer than the other two waves.
5: The driving wave has a rare variant known as the diagonal wave, a wedge pattern that appears at the starting position (wave 1 or wave A) or the ending position (wave 5 and wave C) of a larger wave.
6: There are many variants of corrective waves. The most notable variants are known as zigzag corrective waves (as shown in figures 1-2, 1-3, and 1-4), flat corrective waves, and triangle corrective waves (which are identified by D and E). These three simple corrective patterns can be strung together to form more complex corrective waves (whose components are labeled W, X, Y, and Z).
$TRUST -2% tariff, originally wanted to take a bite, this dog farm really can't afford it anymore, directly blew it up, isn't that a big fund to deal with you, brothers, go all in and do it
B
TRUSTUSDT
Perp
Closed
PNL
-4.30USDT
Some lives have already ended, while others are still ongoing. Promise me to keep gambling $TNSR
It's time to short some Ether, the daily level has a death cross. If I don't short you, who will? $ETH
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