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Long positions are really easier to manage than shorts; as long as the market rises a bit, it can instantly return to a bull market.🤣 In the early morning, this wave of ETH surged, and my buddy came back to life: A few days ago, all profits were wiped out and he was liquidated; now he has again obtained a floating profit of $1.35 million. This round of rolling long positions was like riding two roller coasters: On the 2nd: started rolling long ETH at $2,840 On the 4th: profits surged to $2.84 million On the 6th: a small bearish candle directly ate up all the profits, and he was liquidated as well. Today: ETH rebounded → back again, with a floating profit of $1.35 million. Because it’s a rolling long position, the liquidation price has been pushed higher all the way. His current liquidation price for ETH is at $3,212, with only $100 space left from the current price. Another chance to ride the roller coaster, let’s see if the market will provide it.😅$ETH #麻吉大哥
Currently, during this wave of market changes, do not be "too ambitious". Tomorrow early morning, the Fed's interest rate cut is basically a certainty, but the real black swan is on 10.19—Japan's interest rate meeting. Many people ask: "Does Japan's interest rate increase have more impact than the Fed?" Just recall the wave on 8.5— Bitcoin dropped 10,000 points in one day, and altcoins were directly pressed to the floor. Why? Because a large number of institutions' arbitrage leverage and financing costs fundamentally come from Japan's ultra-low interest rate environment. Once Japan raises interest rates: • Yen skyrockets • Interest costs soar • Leverage funds must withdraw • Assets are forced to be sold off to pay debts → Liquidity evaporates instantly So, FOMC is the main theme, but Japan is the sword hanging over our heads. The optimal solution for the current market: The likelihood is wide fluctuations; do not imagine miraculous market conditions, do not be overly ambitious. Surviving means having the qualification to seize the next wave of trends. $ETH $BTC #加密市场反弹
观澜Bit
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Bullish
The main theme before the interest rate cut is only one increase, and I predicted this direction back at 3100. This is not emotion; it is a trend backed by real funds. Now ETH is at the daily EMA60 resistance level, and my view is very simple: reduce holdings where applicable and only keep the base position; this period has already been quite profitable. Don’t deceive yourself into thinking you can always hold a full position. When the market doesn't give you any favors, you can't even press the button steadily. $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT) #美联储FOMC会议
The main theme before the interest rate cut is only one increase, and I predicted this direction back at 3100. This is not emotion; it is a trend backed by real funds. Now ETH is at the daily EMA60 resistance level, and my view is very simple: reduce holdings where applicable and only keep the base position; this period has already been quite profitable. Don’t deceive yourself into thinking you can always hold a full position. When the market doesn't give you any favors, you can't even press the button steadily. $ETH #美联储FOMC会议
观澜Bit
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Bullish
Currently, there is a lot of capital in the market betting on a rate cut in December (the rate cut probability on Polymarket is now as high as 94%+). So before the actual rate cut happens, the overall market sentiment is bullish, and everyone is betting on expectations. If there is indeed a rate cut in December, then the subsequent market movement will depend on whether Powell's speech is hawkish or dovish, and the market will follow his tone for the next phase. However, if there is no rate cut, it would be a significant disappointment for the market, and short-term volatility will be substantial.$BTC #美联储重启降息步伐 {future}(BTCUSDT)
The two treasury companies of Bitcoin and Ethereum continued to increase their positions last week. MSTR bought 10,624 BTC for ~$90,615 ($962 million). The total holdings have reached 660,624 BTC ($5.982 billion), with a cost of ~$74k and an unrealized profit of $10.47 billion. BMNR was also active, buying 138,452 ETH for ~$2,978 ($412 million). The total holdings have come to 3,864,951 ETH ($1.207 billion), with a cost of ~$3,925 and an unrealized loss of $3.095 billion. A fact is gradually becoming clear: Institutions are mindlessly increasing their positions $BTC $ETH #ETH走势分析
Complete regularization!!! Binance major update is here: simply put, it's about replacing the 'old license' with the 'new luxury license' from Abu Dhabi ADGM, and then splitting the services into three licensed companies to operate. Starting from 2026/1/5: One responsible for spot/contract trading One responsible for clearing + asset custody One responsible for OTC, wealth management, and other services What does this mean for you and me? Basically no difference. Account remains the same, balance remains the same, positions remain the same. Trading continues as usual, interface remains unchanged. The operational entity behind has changed, but the experience is 99% unaffected. The agreement will automatically migrate, and you can continue using it as a default consent; clicking confirm just explicitly shows consent. Data will also be managed by these three licensed companies individually, and the privacy policy will be updated accordingly. To sum it up: Binance is taking a more compliant route, user experience remains unchanged, assets stay put, no worries, everything remains the same! $BNB 🚀#币安七周年
Currently, there is a lot of capital in the market betting on a rate cut in December (the rate cut probability on Polymarket is now as high as 94%+). So before the actual rate cut happens, the overall market sentiment is bullish, and everyone is betting on expectations. If there is indeed a rate cut in December, then the subsequent market movement will depend on whether Powell's speech is hawkish or dovish, and the market will follow his tone for the next phase. However, if there is no rate cut, it would be a significant disappointment for the market, and short-term volatility will be substantial.$BTC #美联储重启降息步伐
观澜Bit
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This wave in the market is an early bet on interest rate cuts, and the rebound rhythm is expected to drag on until the actual rate cut is implemented. From here on, it all depends on whether Powell is the "hawk king" or "dove king"; a single sentence could determine the next trend. What's even more outrageous is that a whale directly threw 70 million USDC into Hyperliquid, and then a few hours later crazily swept 54,000 ETH long positions at $3,048 (totaling $166 million). Now there is already a floating profit of + $910,000. The whale has already prepared the car and is ready to take off. $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT) #美联储重启降息步伐
This wave in the market is an early bet on interest rate cuts, and the rebound rhythm is expected to drag on until the actual rate cut is implemented. From here on, it all depends on whether Powell is the "hawk king" or "dove king"; a single sentence could determine the next trend. What's even more outrageous is that a whale directly threw 70 million USDC into Hyperliquid, and then a few hours later crazily swept 54,000 ETH long positions at $3,048 (totaling $166 million). Now there is already a floating profit of + $910,000. The whale has already prepared the car and is ready to take off. $ETH #美联储重启降息步伐
The United States just released the latest strategic document: no longer playing the global hegemony game, all resources are flowing back to "Technology—AI—Financial Innovation". As a result, at the same time, the "1011 Insider Whale" injected 30 million USD into the market, pushing the ETH long positions to 39,000 (approximately $120 million). Brothers, these two signals exploded together, and the market directly rebounded. $ETH #ETH走势分析
Bitmine today has increased their holdings by 41,946 ETH ($130 million) through Bitgo and FalconX. Including this week, they have already accumulated 97,649 ETH ($296 million). I must say, Bitmine is really wealthy and has faith—they started buying consistently from July when ETH was at $2,800, purchasing all the way up to $4,600, and continued to buy even when it returned to $3,100. tomli is still amazing, truly a ruthless funding machine. $ETH #加密市场观察
观澜Bit
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Bitmine last week gambled again and bought 96,798 ETH (worth $283 million), bringing their total holdings of ETH to 3.726 million (worth $10.52 billion). Their average cost is $3,960, and they are now facing a loss of $4.22 billion, -28.6% —— this depth is definitely a "institutional-level deep trap". Even Tom Li, who has the most flamboyant hairstyle in the crypto world, has been held down this time. Looks like they're still young... Dare to touch the "faith in Ethereum", now all we can do is chant together: I Ethereum, I believe, I am trapped. $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT) #加密市场回调
Brother Ma Ji is indeed the king of longs and also the most tragic liquidity giver on the internet. This small pullback of ETH has directly turned his profits from this round of rolling positions back to square one, with only 42 dollars left before liquidation. With 500,000 capital starting from 2840, it rolled up all the way, and when it surged to 3200 the day before yesterday, it once reached 3.34 million, feeling ecstatic; but the rolling positions pushed the liquidation price up to 3000, and as a result, ETH fell below with a single bearish candle in the early morning, leading to two liquidations in a row. 3.34 million instantly dropped to only 730,000, and nearly all profits were wiped out. Ma Ji once again took the saying "going long is like being a dog" to the extreme. $ETH #麻吉大哥
观澜Bit
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Bearish
Heizi is speaking!!! Maji finally won a round this time, can shout loudly: "How could Duojun lose every day?" 😂 From 500,000 to 3,340,000, net profit of 2,840,000, he has pulled back all the losses from the past two months in one breath. Now he still holds 33,500,000 USD long positions: mainly ETH, with HYPE and ZEC as supplementary materials.$ETH {future}(ETHUSDT) #ETH巨鲸增持
As I mentioned before, we are currently in a range market, where no one is waiting for the bull to return, and no one is afraid of a deep bear market. It has been a back-and-forth struggle all day, a market that belongs to no one, yet everyone has to participate. I opened this short position at 935, and I'm quite satisfied to reach here. To be honest, I can't hold it any further, so this is it, time to wrap up 😂$BTC $#加密市场观察
Heizi is speaking!!! Maji finally won a round this time, can shout loudly: "How could Duojun lose every day?" 😂 From 500,000 to 3,340,000, net profit of 2,840,000, he has pulled back all the losses from the past two months in one breath. Now he still holds 33,500,000 USD long positions: mainly ETH, with HYPE and ZEC as supplementary materials.$ETH #ETH巨鲸增持
You read that right, the one getting hit again is familiar Buddy! With only a few hundred thousand dollars left, Buddy charged 250,000 USDC hard again at dawn. It's the same old strategy — not looking, not asking, directly going all in on ETH long. Now holding a long position worth 7.54 million dollars, opened at 2840, with the liquidation price already down to 2698. 10/11 is the market's life and death inflection point. After that, it kept crashing down, and Buddy kept going all in, getting hit all the way. The cumulative loss has already exploded to 21.1 million dollars. Buddy is not trading; he is demonstrating what it means to be obsessed with the capital. $ETH #加密市场回调
观澜Bit
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Bearish
That's right, it's Maji again 🤣. Maji ultimately... still couldn't stand up. On the first day of December, the market hurriedly gave Maji a 'class' 😂. Just now, the sharp drop at 8 o'clock directly turned his ETH long position from floating profit to floating loss, and also brought another round of liquidation baptism. Just a few days ago, he invested 1 million dollars, which at one point rolled up to 2.08 million due to continuous margin increases. As a result, being kicked down by this morning's move, there is now only 360,000 left in the account... a solid experience of going from peak to trough on the roller coaster. $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) #币安HODLer空投AT
Bitmine last week gambled again and bought 96,798 ETH (worth $283 million), bringing their total holdings of ETH to 3.726 million (worth $10.52 billion). Their average cost is $3,960, and they are now facing a loss of $4.22 billion, -28.6% —— this depth is definitely a "institutional-level deep trap". Even Tom Li, who has the most flamboyant hairstyle in the crypto world, has been held down this time. Looks like they're still young... Dare to touch the "faith in Ethereum", now all we can do is chant together: I Ethereum, I believe, I am trapped. $ETH #加密市场回调
Maji can’t hold on anymore. ETH long position was instantly liquidated at $2,792 for 400 coins ($1.11 million), leaving a position of only $4.52 million.
Last week, I just added $1 million, and now only $140,000 is left in balance. What can I say—Maji's strategy is very simple: Lost? Keep adding money. After all, in this crypto game, for those who stubbornly go long, it’s just a pay-to-win hell mode. #麻吉大哥
观澜Bit
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Bearish
That's right, it's Maji again 🤣. Maji ultimately... still couldn't stand up. On the first day of December, the market hurriedly gave Maji a 'class' 😂. Just now, the sharp drop at 8 o'clock directly turned his ETH long position from floating profit to floating loss, and also brought another round of liquidation baptism. Just a few days ago, he invested 1 million dollars, which at one point rolled up to 2.08 million due to continuous margin increases. As a result, being kicked down by this morning's move, there is now only 360,000 left in the account... a solid experience of going from peak to trough on the roller coaster. $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) #币安HODLer空投AT
That's right, it's Maji again 🤣. Maji ultimately... still couldn't stand up. On the first day of December, the market hurriedly gave Maji a 'class' 😂. Just now, the sharp drop at 8 o'clock directly turned his ETH long position from floating profit to floating loss, and also brought another round of liquidation baptism. Just a few days ago, he invested 1 million dollars, which at one point rolled up to 2.08 million due to continuous margin increases. As a result, being kicked down by this morning's move, there is now only 360,000 left in the account... a solid experience of going from peak to trough on the roller coaster. $BTC #币安HODLer空投AT
Basically, most of the Chinese community has been very supportive of the families affected by the fire at the Hong Kong Tai Po Wang Fuk Yuen, with donations getting larger and larger. Among them, Bitget directly donated 12 million HKD, which is indeed leading by a street. Group members also joked: the Chinese community is not only competing in technology and operations, but now even charity has started to become competitive 😂 But I actually think this is a good thing; the more competitive, the better— the more competition in technology and operations, the smoother our 'losing money experience' will be; the more competition in charity, the more real help those truly affected will receive. #香港
9w A few days ago, it was already mentioned that the target has been reached. At this position, we can start considering taking profits. Don't rush to shout that the bull market has returned; the daily chart is still just a rebound from an oversold condition. The right shoulder structure is currently forming, and it's fine for smaller low points to continue rising, but the volume is still somewhat lacking, and the bulls have not yet regained their previous strength. So for the short term, let's look at 93k first. If the volume picks up, a push to 98 - 10w is not out of the question. However, until we see real capital inflow, it's always wise to be a bit cautious. $BTC #加密市场反弹
观澜Bit
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Bullish
For the operations after the regression, I can give myself a score of 7. However, for this trade capturing SOT, I can only give myself a score of 1 [awkward], as my judgment on the bottom was quite early [smirk]. Fortunately, the leverage is low and the cash flow is sufficient, so I didn't feel very anxious. When everyone was probably at their most desperate on Friday, I did my best to provide confidence through social media. Currently, I have already started making a profit, and I won't treat this as a historical turning point; instead, I see it as a structural confirmation of SOT in a major downward channel. So, definitely don't think too broadly, and control your position well. The highest point should be around 9—92. $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT) #美国非农数据超预期
The buddy who is obsessed with going long is back🥹 After a quiet weekend, from last night to early this morning, he once again deposited 1 million USDC into his account and continued to gamble on the long side. This time he directly opened two large positions: • Long ETH: 4,550 ETH, position value approximately $13.35 million • Opening price: $2,883 • Liquidation price: $2,716 • Current floating profit: approximately $280,000 • Long HYPE: 25,000 HYPE, position value approximately $830,000 • Opening price: $31.57 • Currently slightly profitable Since October 11, he has almost been going long and losing all the way, but he just doesn’t give up. Every time he gets blown up, he recharges and goes for it again, firmly implementing the 'death long' to the extreme. This time, can he catch a decent rebound? Or will he be educated by the market again?😂