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70_ssd

慢即是快
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Jensen Huang said in the latest episode of Joe Rogan: "In 2017–2018, crypto literally saved NVIDIA. It gave us a second life."(加密2017-2018年直接救了NVIDIA一命) "Miners bought every single GPU we could make. We couldn’t keep up."(矿工把我们所有GPU扫光,供不应求) "That chapter is completely closed now."(PoW挖矿那一段彻底结束了) "AI training is 100× more demanding than crypto mining ever was."(AI训练对算力需求是当年挖矿的100倍) "Blockchain today is just a small application for us."(现在区块链对NVIDIA只是小应用) Most optimistic about the future: Tokenization of everything(所有资产代币化)—— real estate, bonds, carbon credits will all be on-chain #Bitcoin #JensenHuang #JreomePowell
Jensen Huang said in the latest episode of Joe Rogan: "In 2017–2018, crypto literally saved NVIDIA. It gave us a second life."(加密2017-2018年直接救了NVIDIA一命)
"Miners bought every single GPU we could make. We couldn’t keep up."(矿工把我们所有GPU扫光,供不应求)
"That chapter is completely closed now."(PoW挖矿那一段彻底结束了)
"AI training is 100× more demanding than crypto mining ever was."(AI训练对算力需求是当年挖矿的100倍)
"Blockchain today is just a small application for us."(现在区块链对NVIDIA只是小应用)
Most optimistic about the future: Tokenization of everything(所有资产代币化)—— real estate, bonds, carbon credits will all be on-chain

#Bitcoin #JensenHuang #JreomePowell
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#falconfinance $FF From IG to practice spoken English to playing DeFi on-chain, the core is all about 'getting liquidity for free' I have a low-cost hobby: chatting with white girls on IG to practice my spoken English. Instead of spending money on classes, I prefer direct practice, focusing on 'zero-cost occupation' combined with 'maximizing returns'. Last night, a girl asked me why I followed her, and I replied, "Game recognize game". This way of 'maximizing the use of existing resources' is actually my survival rule in the Crypto world. This is why I have been keeping an eye on @falcon_finance since the beginning of my new investments. On IG, it’s about learning English without spending money, while on-chain, it’s about not selling coins for cash flow. Falcon Finance is a universal collateral infrastructure that allows us to use our 'dead assets' (whether crypto tokens or RWA) as collateral to mint $USDf. It’s like how I practiced fluent spoken English on IG without any investment, Falcon allows you to **retain the long-term appreciation potential of your assets (without selling coins) while also releasing liquidity (getting USDf)** to seize new opportunities. This is the "Game recognize game" of the DeFi world🔥 #FalconFinance $FF
#falconfinance $FF
From IG to practice spoken English to playing DeFi on-chain, the core is all about 'getting liquidity for free'

I have a low-cost hobby: chatting with white girls on IG to practice my spoken English. Instead of spending money on classes, I prefer direct practice, focusing on 'zero-cost occupation' combined with 'maximizing returns'.
Last night, a girl asked me why I followed her, and I replied, "Game recognize game".
This way of 'maximizing the use of existing resources' is actually my survival rule in the Crypto world. This is why I have been keeping an eye on @falcon_finance since the beginning of my new investments.
On IG, it’s about learning English without spending money, while on-chain, it’s about not selling coins for cash flow. Falcon Finance is a universal collateral infrastructure that allows us to use our 'dead assets' (whether crypto tokens or RWA) as collateral to mint $USDf.
It’s like how I practiced fluent spoken English on IG without any investment, Falcon allows you to **retain the long-term appreciation potential of your assets (without selling coins) while also releasing liquidity (getting USDf)** to seize new opportunities.
This is the "Game recognize game" of the DeFi world🔥
#FalconFinance $FF
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The Vice President of Strategy indeed does not have the beliefs of the President😂

The Vice President of Strategy indeed does not have the beliefs of the President😂
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!Annual yield of USDC assets on Deribit is 7.5%! (Until the end of the year, up to 250k, the portion exceeding that is 3.6%). #稳定币
!Annual yield of USDC assets on Deribit is 7.5%! (Until the end of the year, up to 250k, the portion exceeding that is 3.6%). #稳定币
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The real reason for Bitcoin's weakness is that ordinary people have no money in their pockets. Many people shout every day, "This time is different," "The bear market is here," and "Retail investors are all gone," but the main reason is not that the bull market is not working; it's that ordinary Americans (Main Street) are really too poor to play now. There are no new "retail investors" coming in. In this round from 2024 to 2025, although Bitcoin has increased significantly, these Main Street people have basically not entered the market, mainly relying on Wall Street. In the past two major bull markets (2017, 2021), it was not the Wall Street guys in suits who really pushed BTC from $20,000 to $69,000 and Dogecoin to $0.007, but the countless ordinary people like you and me, who are burdened with mortgages, queueing in supermarkets to buy discounted beef, grabbing goods at Costco, and struggling to support three kids on a tight budget. When mortgage rates are 2.5% and gasoline is $2 a gallon, people will celebrate as retail investors. But in 2024-2025, with mortgage rates at 8% and monthly payments skyrocketing, supermarkets, gasoline, and insurance are all crazily increasing in price, and AI is constantly shouting about taking away jobs... Don’t even mention increasing BTC positions; people are struggling to pay credit card bills, who has the mood for FOMO? It can only rely on institutions slowly grinding it out. Looking at macro data, you'll find an interesting phenomenon: every major peak of Bitcoin in the past 10 years has almost coincided with peaks in the ISM Manufacturing Index (which measures how well the economy is doing). Now the ISM is still hovering below 50, indicating that the real economy is still contracting, and ordinary people's pockets are cleaner than their faces; where does the frenzy come from? So now it looks quiet, with low trading volume and retail investors not shouting slogans; it's not that BTC is dead, it's that ordinary people are still fighting for their livelihoods and have no time to go to the battlefield. But money will eventually flow back into their pockets. It may be due to the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates, or maybe Trump will issue helicopter money again (tax cuts, infrastructure, stimulus vouchers). As long as there's a clever move, once ordinary people catch their breath, FOMO will come back. At that time, don't say $100,000; even $200,000 won't be stopped. Remember this phrase: "Bears sound smart, bulls make money." The loudest voices in the air force are basically the same people who cut their losses at $60,000 last round and are bearish again at $70,000 this round. Don’t be like them. Wait until the beer in Main Street's hands becomes cheap again, and the next round of craziness will truly begin. Keep enough cash, then play music, and keep going. $BTC #BTC
The real reason for Bitcoin's weakness is that ordinary people have no money in their pockets.

Many people shout every day, "This time is different," "The bear market is here," and "Retail investors are all gone," but the main reason is not that the bull market is not working; it's that ordinary Americans (Main Street) are really too poor to play now. There are no new "retail investors" coming in. In this round from 2024 to 2025, although Bitcoin has increased significantly, these Main Street people have basically not entered the market, mainly relying on Wall Street.
In the past two major bull markets (2017, 2021), it was not the Wall Street guys in suits who really pushed BTC from $20,000 to $69,000 and Dogecoin to $0.007, but the countless ordinary people like you and me, who are burdened with mortgages, queueing in supermarkets to buy discounted beef, grabbing goods at Costco, and struggling to support three kids on a tight budget. When mortgage rates are 2.5% and gasoline is $2 a gallon, people will celebrate as retail investors.
But in 2024-2025, with mortgage rates at 8% and monthly payments skyrocketing, supermarkets, gasoline, and insurance are all crazily increasing in price, and AI is constantly shouting about taking away jobs... Don’t even mention increasing BTC positions; people are struggling to pay credit card bills, who has the mood for FOMO? It can only rely on institutions slowly grinding it out.
Looking at macro data, you'll find an interesting phenomenon: every major peak of Bitcoin in the past 10 years has almost coincided with peaks in the ISM Manufacturing Index (which measures how well the economy is doing). Now the ISM is still hovering below 50, indicating that the real economy is still contracting, and ordinary people's pockets are cleaner than their faces; where does the frenzy come from? So now it looks quiet, with low trading volume and retail investors not shouting slogans; it's not that BTC is dead, it's that ordinary people are still fighting for their livelihoods and have no time to go to the battlefield. But money will eventually flow back into their pockets. It may be due to the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates, or maybe Trump will issue helicopter money again (tax cuts, infrastructure, stimulus vouchers). As long as there's a clever move, once ordinary people catch their breath, FOMO will come back. At that time, don't say $100,000; even $200,000 won't be stopped.
Remember this phrase: "Bears sound smart, bulls make money." The loudest voices in the air force are basically the same people who cut their losses at $60,000 last round and are bearish again at $70,000 this round. Don’t be like them. Wait until the beer in Main Street's hands becomes cheap again, and the next round of craziness will truly begin. Keep enough cash, then play music, and keep going. $BTC #BTC
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格局一下
26%
格局不了一点
74%
35 votes • Voting closed
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X found this picture
X found this picture
70_ssd
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{spot}(BTCUSDT)
From a historical perspective, after experiencing a death cross, will BTC rebound or continue to decline?

Bitcoin (BTC) officially triggered a 'death cross' on November 16, 2025, where the 50-day simple moving average (50D SMA) crosses below the 200-day simple moving average (200D SMA). This classic technical signal is often seen as a bear market warning in traditional finance, suggesting potential further declines. However, historical data shows that BTC's death cross performance is more complex: it may be accompanied by volatility or slight pullbacks in the short term, but in the medium to long term, it often signifies a local bottom, leading to a significant rebound rather than a sustained collapse.

Since 2011, there have been at least 12 death crosses for BTC. Overall statistics: among 11 complete events, the average 30-day return is -3.3% (short-term pressure), but +26.2% over 90 days, +21.9% over 180 days, and +88.9% over 1 year; 7 times achieving positive returns within 1 year.

The probability of a rebound is higher (about 70% of cases): since 2017, every death cross has formed a local bottom within ±5 days, subsequently rebounding by 20-50% (short-term window). For instance, after the COVID panic in 2020, the price soared from $6,753 to $69,000 (+715%); after September 2023, BTC rose from $25,842 to a peak of $73,000 (+213%). This reflects BTC's 'anti-fragility': signals lag, capturing opportunities after bad news has been digested.

The risk of continuing to decline (about 30% of cases): near cycle tops (like in 2018, 2022), further probing down 20-50% after the cross confirms a macro bear market. However, these are often accompanied by external shocks (like regulation, crashes), rather than being driven by the signal itself.

Current: The cross occurring in November 2025 takes place during a retreat from a high of $95,984, similar to the mid-phase of 2023/2024 (bull market). If the cycle is not over (like the halving effect continues), historical patterns support a rebound next week (November 16-23) to $100,000-$110,000, testing previous highs. Conversely, if there is no rebound, it could drop to $80,000 (support from 200D SMA), forming a 'lower high'.

Finally, borrowing a phrase seen on X: 'Trade the market you have, not the market you want' to help us make better trading decisions.
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{spot}(BTCUSDT) From a historical perspective, after experiencing a death cross, will BTC rebound or continue to decline? Bitcoin (BTC) officially triggered a 'death cross' on November 16, 2025, where the 50-day simple moving average (50D SMA) crosses below the 200-day simple moving average (200D SMA). This classic technical signal is often seen as a bear market warning in traditional finance, suggesting potential further declines. However, historical data shows that BTC's death cross performance is more complex: it may be accompanied by volatility or slight pullbacks in the short term, but in the medium to long term, it often signifies a local bottom, leading to a significant rebound rather than a sustained collapse. Since 2011, there have been at least 12 death crosses for BTC. Overall statistics: among 11 complete events, the average 30-day return is -3.3% (short-term pressure), but +26.2% over 90 days, +21.9% over 180 days, and +88.9% over 1 year; 7 times achieving positive returns within 1 year. The probability of a rebound is higher (about 70% of cases): since 2017, every death cross has formed a local bottom within ±5 days, subsequently rebounding by 20-50% (short-term window). For instance, after the COVID panic in 2020, the price soared from $6,753 to $69,000 (+715%); after September 2023, BTC rose from $25,842 to a peak of $73,000 (+213%). This reflects BTC's 'anti-fragility': signals lag, capturing opportunities after bad news has been digested. The risk of continuing to decline (about 30% of cases): near cycle tops (like in 2018, 2022), further probing down 20-50% after the cross confirms a macro bear market. However, these are often accompanied by external shocks (like regulation, crashes), rather than being driven by the signal itself. Current: The cross occurring in November 2025 takes place during a retreat from a high of $95,984, similar to the mid-phase of 2023/2024 (bull market). If the cycle is not over (like the halving effect continues), historical patterns support a rebound next week (November 16-23) to $100,000-$110,000, testing previous highs. Conversely, if there is no rebound, it could drop to $80,000 (support from 200D SMA), forming a 'lower high'. Finally, borrowing a phrase seen on X: 'Trade the market you have, not the market you want' to help us make better trading decisions.
From a historical perspective, after experiencing a death cross, will BTC rebound or continue to decline?

Bitcoin (BTC) officially triggered a 'death cross' on November 16, 2025, where the 50-day simple moving average (50D SMA) crosses below the 200-day simple moving average (200D SMA). This classic technical signal is often seen as a bear market warning in traditional finance, suggesting potential further declines. However, historical data shows that BTC's death cross performance is more complex: it may be accompanied by volatility or slight pullbacks in the short term, but in the medium to long term, it often signifies a local bottom, leading to a significant rebound rather than a sustained collapse.

Since 2011, there have been at least 12 death crosses for BTC. Overall statistics: among 11 complete events, the average 30-day return is -3.3% (short-term pressure), but +26.2% over 90 days, +21.9% over 180 days, and +88.9% over 1 year; 7 times achieving positive returns within 1 year.

The probability of a rebound is higher (about 70% of cases): since 2017, every death cross has formed a local bottom within ±5 days, subsequently rebounding by 20-50% (short-term window). For instance, after the COVID panic in 2020, the price soared from $6,753 to $69,000 (+715%); after September 2023, BTC rose from $25,842 to a peak of $73,000 (+213%). This reflects BTC's 'anti-fragility': signals lag, capturing opportunities after bad news has been digested.

The risk of continuing to decline (about 30% of cases): near cycle tops (like in 2018, 2022), further probing down 20-50% after the cross confirms a macro bear market. However, these are often accompanied by external shocks (like regulation, crashes), rather than being driven by the signal itself.

Current: The cross occurring in November 2025 takes place during a retreat from a high of $95,984, similar to the mid-phase of 2023/2024 (bull market). If the cycle is not over (like the halving effect continues), historical patterns support a rebound next week (November 16-23) to $100,000-$110,000, testing previous highs. Conversely, if there is no rebound, it could drop to $80,000 (support from 200D SMA), forming a 'lower high'.

Finally, borrowing a phrase seen on X: 'Trade the market you have, not the market you want' to help us make better trading decisions.
比特币下周反弹至100000-110000
68%
比特币保持在当前区间
0%
比特币继续下探。
32%
28 votes • Voting closed
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