btc吧

Ethereum
Ethereum doesn’t seem to vibe well with FOMC meetings. Since October 2025, every time after an FOMC meeting, Ethereum's price has dropped by 17% or more. Will we see this pattern repeat? #以太坊基金会解质押4890万美元ETH

$BTC back to 77.6K USD

I told you, there are a lot of shorts up there.

Monday and Tuesday saw liquidations of longs, and Wednesday was all about liquidating shorts.

The rich get richer, while the poor get completely wiped out. This story is as old as the stock market itself.

79,293 traders got liquidated, with a total liquidation amount of 263.53 million USD.

Is BTC going to pump to 80K and then crash down? #LayerZero承诺以超1万枚ETH支持DeFiUnited
😂

$BTC's current rally is primarily driven by spot trading.

Part of it is also due to short positions being liquidated, but there is indeed spot demand.

The only concern is that the Coinbase Bitcoin premium is negative, indicating that institutions are not buying right now. #Polymarket否认数据泄露

Sell-off

Today, the gold and silver markets have evaporated $1,200,000,000,000.

Wow!! The funding rate for Bitcoin has dropped to its lowest level since February.

Traders are going hard on the short side for $BTC.

$BTC April wasn't a terrible month by any means, especially considering everything happening around the globe.

May usually brings a mixed bag, a bit of a calm before the storm.

Starting in June, we kick off the summer seasonal effects, which typically bring low trading volume and liquidity issues during the holiday period. This is particularly noticeable in the TradFi markets, which is why we often see slow price movements during this time.

However, in the crypto space, summer often brings some interesting narratives; there's always something going on. So let's keep our eyes peeled to see if this year follows suit. #以太坊基金会解质押4890万美元ETH

There's a perfectly spaced sell wall between $80,400 and $82,000, with each order around $3.3M.

I particularly like tracking orders over $3M, and right now the order book is laying them out one by one in front of me.

This isn't just a whale order wall; it feels like a customized whale order setup. #币安推出黄金vsBTC未来资产对决活动

$BTC looks heavy here.

▫️Lost the 4-week uptrend.

▫️Coinbase premium has turned negative.

▫️RSI is forming lower highs and lower lows.

If the $77,500 level can't be reclaimed quickly with strong spot demand, the chances of a bigger pullback will increase. #ArthurHayes最新演讲

In January 2026, $BTC showed up:

- No RSI breakout
- No bullish MACD crossover
- No return to the bullish support zone

This time, we've seen all three signals on the weekly timeframe, yet the bears are still shorting.

What's next is pretty obvious.

Big Week for Crypto Holders

A ton of major events are hitting the market at once, which could spark a lot of volatility.

1) US-Iran Talks

Today, Iran proposed a new deal to open the Strait of Hormuz and end the war.

President Trump is set to hold a meeting today to discuss the negotiations.

Any signs of US-Iran talks resuming would be a solid bullish signal for the market.

2) Central Bank Decision

On Tuesday, the Bank of Japan will announce its interest rate decision.

The market expects a pause on rate hikes, so forward guidance is key.

Inflation in Japan has started to rise since the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.

Any signs of tightening from the central bank could lead to early action from sellers.

If the central bank believes inflation will be temporary, we might see a significant pump in the market.

3) Fed Decision

On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision, likely pausing rate hikes.

The key focus will be on Powell's press conference, since inflation has surged since the last Fed meeting.

Additionally, this could very well be Powell's last FOMC meeting as Fed Chair.

4) Earnings Reports

Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, Alphabet, and Apple will release their earnings this week.

These five companies account for over 25% of the entire S&P 500 index, which is a big deal.

If they report strong earnings, it’ll signal that consumers are still spending and the economy is in good shape.

If they report weak earnings, it could hit the stock market and the crypto market hard.

5) ISM PMI

On Friday, the US ISM PMI data for April will be released.

The ISM PMI data for the last three months has been above 52, which signals economic expansion.

If we see this kind of data again, it will show that despite the war, the US economy isn’t slowing down.

Historically, if ISM PMI stays above 52 for a long time, it leads to parabolic gains in the crypto market.

Conclusion

This week is packed with major data, meaning volatility could be extreme.

Avoid using leverage and keep my notifications on for real-time updates.

$BTC hit the resistance zone of 79,000-80,000 USD and got rejected again.

However, BTC is still holding above its key levels.

As long as the 76,000 USD support holds, BTC could potentially seize liquidity above the 80,000 USD level.

Bitcoin just flash-crashed to $77,500.

In just the past hour, over $68 million in long positions got liquidated.

The total crypto market cap evaporated by $4.1 billion, with $BTC alone wiping out $2.7 billion.

No obvious trigger. No breaking news. #Strategy增持比特币

$BTC just hit its first weekly close above the "bull market support zone" in 2026.

And the timing couldn’t be better.

➤ The S&P 500, NASDAQ, and Russell 2000 indices are reaching new highs.
➤ The Fed is pumping over $30 billion into the market each month.
➤ ISM PMI is nearly at a 4-year high.
➤ The market cap of stablecoins has hit an all-time high.

This means the market is favoring risk assets while liquidity continues to improve.

It could be the best setup for BTC and altcoins this year. #加密市场反弹

Bitcoin is currently driven by futures.

Open interest is on the rise, but despite the ETF inflows and Saylor's buys, on-chain apparent demand remains in the red.

Historically, bear markets end when both spot and futures demand recover. #比特币突破7.9万美元

BTC is developing as expected.
90-100k now seems possible.

The $BTC Coinbase premium has been positive for 17 days straight.

This often signals a potential local top in the market.

Stay cautious.

Bears have been shorting since $60K, anticipating another major sell-off.

I told everyone to buy in at $60K because Bitcoin is forming a fractal similar to the 2022 FTX bottom. #白宫晚宴枪击事件

The real bull run will kick off once Ethereum finally breaks above $4900.

Ethereum has been stuck in this range since 2021. #Tether配合美国制裁冻结3.44亿涉案USDT