BTC静静说

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朋友，撞了几次南墙了？有一段话非常好，烂泥烂得好好的，非要给它扶上墙；咸鱼躺得舒舒服服，非要给它翻个身；一块朽木，非要把它雕成材。
炒币者的世界，只有筛选，没有教育；只有选择，没有改变。
自己不醒悟，他人如何渡？自己若醒悟，何须他人渡？
能说服一个人的，从来不是道理，而是南墙！
能点醒一个人的，从来不是说教，而是磨难。
人教人，教不会；事教人，一次就够。
吃亏和吃饭一样，吃多了，自然就成长了。
所以我们混的圈子你是否真的成长了？还是嘴上说说？

The trend of silver and the current situation of short squeezing should put considerable pressure on some foreign investment banks! #Silver Next step $150 per ounce, prepare for launch
🚀
!

In addition to the geopolitical instability we are familiar with, there are tensions in Greenland and Iran.

The key point is that the United States plans to intervene in the yen, preventing its depreciation, which first requires printing new dollars to purchase yen. The yen strengthened significantly this morning, leading to a sharp drop in the dollar index, which briefly fell below 97.

This will greatly benefit gold and #BTC, although #BTC still shows weakness, the CME contract data is accumulating energy!

With Trump TACO, U.S. stocks as risk assets surged, VIX fell, and panic sentiment dissipated.

But gold, as a safe-haven asset, also rose, which is a bit strange without large-scale liquidity injection.

BTC also got chaotic, and neither risk assets nor safe-haven assets are following each other.

Why are U.S. stocks and gold rising together, while Bitcoin is taking a hit?

Geopolitical risks have not been completely eliminated, especially the Iran issue we mentioned repeatedly a few days ago, with Trump posting to validate.

Neither side wants to get stuck in a quagmire; either a quick success or a final compromise, with more impact leaning towards short-term disturbances.

Iran's protests have been suppressed for the most part, losing the best timing for action, making the probability of taking action lower and the chance of getting stuck in a quagmire even lower.

This weekend, the risks may be alleviated.

The recovery of risk assets is relatively cautious, with early-stage liquidity recovery, and the market value and trading volume of gold are 10 times that of BTC.

Bitcoin still has to wait for the risks to be alleviated, as liquidity in the gold market flows out.

Persist a little longer, get through this week's big test, and if there are no issues with the economic data in early February, spring will have arrived. Bottoming out from early January to early February.

Filter out the noise, focus on the main line for the whole of 2026: moderate economic weakening, inflation falling, liquidity improving, global fiscal expansion, semiconductor shortages, and crypto deregulation!

这波持续回调中，清算掉了88.5k的多头流动性，但没有进一步清算86k的流动性...

由于期货流动性分布只记录开仓不记录平仓，所以我们目前还无法确认这里的巨量流动性还有多少？

因此唯一可以参考的就是现货溢价的变化，由于昨晚现货溢价有小幅提升，所以可以猜测多头仓位确实平掉了不少...

那么短期也许市场会选择先反弹再向下清算的路径。

The reasons for today's Bitcoin crash
1. Trump has initiated new geopolitical conflicts, causing safe-haven funds to flee
2. U.S. stocks fell before the market opened, leading to a drop in the cryptocurrency market
3. Bitcoin spot ETFs have seen net outflows for several days, exceeding $700 million

Bitcoin is currently the most decentralized investment product, as most of the chips are in the hands of individuals, with numerous participants ranging from global asset management to listed companies and government individuals. The only one who has the most say, Satoshi Nakamoto, has not appeared for over a decade and is most likely deceased, and the total issuance is capped at 21 million coins, with future growth potential comparable to today's gold.

The prerequisite for getting rich:

It's not that you, as the '10u Battle God', have eaten the 100 times many times.

But when blue chips emerge, you happen to be heavily invested in the car.

I don't even know which one I'm talking about.

$1? Life K-line? Mountains and fields for miles? Treading horses? crypto winter?

Why is it hard for the poor to make money?

Because they want to make money too much, they hope to make money too much, their minds are full of money, and they are too eager for quick success.

They are constantly pursuing something certain, which is: what can guarantee quick money.

It's like pursuing a button that, when pressed, will make them rich immediately.

If someone asks me: What can make money this year?

Sorry, if you think like that, I can only answer that in reality, making money is very difficult and almost anything you do has little profit.

Because the things that can make money in the world are definitely uncertain, and the things that can make big money are extremely uncertain.

Only uncertainty can help you keep your competitors out, only by not knowing whether you can make money can you eliminate the most competitors and enjoy that share of the bonus.

Many people are keen on getting certifications, eager to improve themselves in various aspects, like learning accounting and English.

These are not bad, but they have a problem: they are certain.

In other words, everyone knows they are good, and everyone knows they are useful to learn.

That will definitely attract countless competitors until the profits are leveled.

So any project that can visibly make money will inevitably have its profits dissipated in the competition.

What can truly change fate in this world are precisely those seemingly useless knowledge, those that you are not clear about the short-term returns after learning.

Only this kind of long-term, not eager for quick success, not just looking at the present, and uncertain knowledge can help you shake off most competitors, can allow you to understand the rules before competing, allowing you to exceed your opponents by dozens or hundreds of times at the level of the framework.

The efforts of many people are efforts that progress step by step, efforts to learn what is useful.

They are extremely shrewd, believing that they never waste energy in useless areas.

But it is precisely this shrewdness that misleads them, keeping their eyes fixed on the present, fearing that if they stop, they will lose the immediate benefits, while blindly moving forward at the critical crossroads of life.

After struggling for half a lifetime, they are empty-handed.

If you want to turn your life around from the bottom, you must remember three words:

Against human nature.

The current charity, I call 'Internet Charity' or 'Traffic Charity'. Charity should be a mutual kindness, but now it has become a tool for gaining attention.

True charity is about helping those in need, not using donations to endorse one's own persona. Any donation with a 'purpose' is 'hypocritical'—because they want to use donations to gain traffic, 'atone for sins', or exchange for rewards.

True charity is the kind of pure 'almsgiving'!

The strong are very strong!

I feel that the anonymous section really has a connection with me. Previously, I made a good profit on ZEC several times, and now it's my turn to keep profiting from DASH repeatedly...

Although XRP caused me to get liquidated today, DASH has allowed me to break even. Its potential is much greater compared to ZEC, with a low market cap and currently only doubling in price, while ZEC has increased up to 20 times from its bottom and is now at 10 times.

DASH is mainly driven by foreigners, and generally has a larger and more persistent pattern, so I will focus on it!

It feels like there are many people shorting the market now, and it's quite enjoyable to both profit and hold. Yesterday, the funding rate was 800u for 8 hours...

BSC already has the initial form of SOL MEME

The crying horse from before
Yesterday's 1, funny, MAYOR
Today's Jianghu

Good concept, a trigger point that resonates

Still the same old saying, as long as Binance keeps going, the meme cake can definitely be bitten into, the application currency still has to be SOL

In order to prevent the United States from using military force to control Greenland, eight European countries symbolically sent troops to Greenland, with not many, some sending just one or two people, mainly as a political statement. As a countermeasure, Trump announced on February 1 that an additional 10% tariff would be imposed on these eight countries, and if they insisted on not backing down, it would increase to 25% on June 1. If this continues, it is possible that in the end, the money for the U.S. to buy the island will still be sponsored by Europe, which is somewhat funny!

Weekend chat about support and resistance levels
In short: Both long and short positions can be taken this weekend, with the drop and rise being valid until Sunday afternoon. Pay attention to the breakout area on Sunday evening, primarily focusing on long positions!
BTC
Aggressive long position zone at 93700-94300; support at 91450/87450, if it dips down early Monday morning, that would be a gift!
Aggressive short position关注96000-96600区间; valid until Sunday afternoon, resistance at 100300
ETH
Aggressively关注3235 level, support at 3170
Resistance above 3325, pay close attention to potential spikes above 3360 with a strict stop-loss, opportunities may not be guaranteed, valid until noon on Sunday;
SOL is the strongest, surprisingly holding firm at 142.5, which is even stronger than BTC/ETH, truly a top performer!
This weekend, watch for a breakout at 142.5 to see if there's an opportunity at 138.5
Weekend trading suggestion: Lower profit expectations, the market will definitely have particularly low liquidity until tomorrow noon, and the fluctuations will also be small. Occasionally, if there are spikes up and down, that’s an opportunity. Sunday evening and Monday will have larger fluctuations, so more opportunities will arise. Remember the key rhythm points where trading opportunities are likely to appear;

Binance alpha listing habits: over 1m, dead as a doornail, Three Saints and community narrative.

As it stands? Those who meet these habits include:

Grassroots culture, small shareholders, love you yourself.

However, Binance doesn't really like to list old coins, so the self is a bit uncertain.

Grassroots culture belongs to Nina; if listed, will the first sister be unhappy? After all, women often make things difficult for women.

So it seems it can only be small shareholders.

CZ's narrative hasn't been listed for a long time.

Among mainstream coins, the one that everyone must pay attention to is SOL

Once the major market starts in the first half of the year, SOL's increase can outpace BTC, ETH, and BNB, and it can be seen from this round of rebound that it has been relatively stable!

Since SOL went through the ETF, it has also experienced significant adjustments, and like BTC and ETH, it has seen substantial increases after the adjustments. Following this trend, once SOL's main upward wave starts, breaking through 300 should not be a big problem...

Projects like XRP, DOGE, and ADA that are supported by ETFs will also present good opportunities!

Looking at the weekly chart of BTC, the long-term bull market structure appears quite stable!

The blue trendline is supporting the price, which is now hovering around 91k. The weekly red circle shows consolidation at the bottom, indicating a high probability of washout, but the overall bullish structure remains intact with strong support below.

From a technical analysis perspective, the 50-day MA is near 88k, and the 200-day MA is at 75k. The golden cross is still in place, RSI is in the neutral-to-bullish range of 55-60, not overbought, and the MACD histogram is narrowing but hasn't crossed over into bearish territory—momentum is weakening but not reversing.

Fibonacci retracement levels: 38.2% at 85k, 50% at 75k (coinciding with the lower channel boundary), 61.8% at 110k, and a full retracement could reach 140k-150k.

In the U.S. stock market, the S&P rose 16% last year, and Nasdaq gained 19%. GDP is projected to grow 2.6% by 2026, with the Fed expected to cut rates 2-3 times. AI investment remains hot, and the S&P target is set at 7k-7.8k.

If Nasdaq continues to lead, BTC will likely follow with strong momentum. However, if there's a recession risk (35% probability), a short-term pullback is normal but a crash is unlikely.

Outlook for the next 3-6 months: a 70% probability of a short-term 1-3 month consolidation and subsequent rebound, possibly testing 85k-88k to form a base before pushing up to 95k-100k.

In the medium term (3-6 months), an accelerated upward move is expected, targeting 110k-130k, with an optimistic scenario reaching 150k. If U.S. markets remain stable, a major BTC rally in the first half of the year is likely—but avoid FOMO. A dip presents a buying opportunity.

Key support: 85k-88k (lower channel boundary), secondary support at 80k. Resistance at 95k-100k. Overall trend remains consolidation with upward bias—stay patient, don't panic on dips, as the bottom will keep rising!

BSC is currently at a critical turning point; it could either rise sharply or continue to decline after a brief uptick. The difficulty is high, and there is significant divergence.

I thought about it all night and decided to stick with my belief strategy. I will buy a bit of everything good. If there is a market movement, this is an early opportunity. It's possible to incur losses, but I cannot miss out.

Sister Yi has been following the life K-line and has added some to her position.

0x1a1e69f1e6182e2f8b9e8987e83c016ac9444444

BSC's meme coin #memecoin , the harder the insults, the faster it soars!

Woke up this morning and saw #我踏马来了 fly again instantly, it's clearly a tactic. How many people are like me who sold out yesterday and only kept a small position

The purpose of #ALPHA is to get everyone to sell out. The dog shill won't really pump until you all sell. So high, truly impressive!