alan jiehe

$ETH 、$BNB 、$UNI unlimited potential, long-termism is the way to go
Today I will make a bold statement: both ETH and BNB have the potential for over 100 times, and UNI even more than 1000 times!
Yili Hua said ETH is a long-term value benchmark, and I completely agree. Besides BTC, ETH and BNB are the go-to options for mindless buying. If you have sufficient capital, directly buy 32 ETH to become a validator, mining while prices rise, yielding substantial returns. If capital is insufficient, BNB is also a good choice, holding for dividends and airdrop benefits, 10 BNB can also bring in a fair amount of income every month.
If you can't even afford 10 BNB, then $UNI is worth considering. As the current hottest DEX leader, UNI has initiated burning deflation, and has passed the dividend voting; it's just missing the ETH round voting. Once passed, holding will yield dividends, with enormous potential, backed by ETH; if ETH breaks 10,000, UNI reaching 150 USD per piece is not a dream, long-term holding can achieve over 1000 times in dividends and growth.
Many people overlook the long-term value in the crypto sphere, always playing contracts. However, if you look back, the wealthy in the crypto world are mostly long-termists. There are few contract whales, while OG whales have made their fortunes through long-term holding. Buying and holding, with price fluctuations being irrelevant, you never know when your wallet might be filled with money that lasts a lifetime!

Wow! $PAXG Gold is so strong! It has directly broken through 4300!!! Brothers who have positions have made big profits again. PAXG, as a token anchored to physical gold, naturally rises with the tide. No wonder Binance boss CZ acted so quickly, launching the XAU gold perpetual contract overnight. Isn't this clearly a sign of optimism for gold's future? Big players are already taking action, and we retail investors must keep up with the rhythm.

Why is gold so strong and keeps rising? Three reasons: First, the U.S. Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates and expanding its balance sheet, causing the dollar to continuously depreciate. As a hard currency, gold naturally benefits; with more money chasing fewer goods, prices go up. Second, central banks around the world are frantically buying physical gold and demanding physical delivery! From China, Poland to Turkey, this year's central bank gold purchases have exceeded a thousand tons, aimed at de-dollarization and seizing the pricing power of precious metals to hedge against U.S. hegemony. Third, geopolitical risks are endless, the Russia-Ukraine conflict is unlikely to achieve peace in the short term, and the situation in the Middle East could explode at any time. These uncertainties highlight the safe-haven properties of gold, which are likely to continue in the coming years.

The gold bull market has just begun; it’s easy to see 5000 tomorrow, and 8000 in the long run is not a dream. For those who don’t like frequent trading, gold is the best long-term appreciating asset. A normal allocation of 5-10% is sufficient—just lie back and enjoy the increase, it's stable! Continue to hold your positions, don’t waver easily, gold will only get more expensive!
#加密市场反弹 #ETH走势分析

Today's alpha airdrop is here
8 PM
230 alpha points to receive 400 RAVE tokens airdrop
Based on pre-market, worth 40u

Binance Alpha will launch RaveDAO (RAVE), Alpha trading will start on December 12, 2025, at 20:00. After trading begins, users with at least 230 Binance Alpha Points can receive 400 RAVE tokens airdrop on a first-come, first-served basis.

#美联储降息 $BNB
{future}(BNBUSDT)

US stocks on the chain, compliance further advanced
Continuing to be optimistic about the future development of $ONDO
{spot}(ONDOUSDT)

$ASTER The popularity has declined, despite the team accelerating the fourth buyback plan, increasing the daily buyback amount from 3 million dollars to 4 million dollars to support the token, it is still on a downward trend.

The current position has reached CZ's cost price, and on December 5th and 17th, the token unlocking will bring another wave of airdrop selling pressure. From the on-chain perspective, funds are continuously flowing out. Friends holding this coin should consider timely loss-cutting.

During the day, fans will ambush strong altcoins. Those who are optimistic about the senior sister can come along.

$ZEC $LRC #加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议 #加密市场观察

Let's talk about the upcoming macro environment of the Federal Reserve.

The Federal Reserve's dot plot leans dovish, indicating two rate cuts in 2026, one rate cut in 2027, and no change in rates in 2028. This means that the widespread liquidity that everyone expected is no longer viable, and CZ's assertion about $BTC benefiting from the Federal Reserve's large-scale liquidity injection is also no longer valid.

We see that the Federal Reserve has purchased $40 billion in government bonds, which many people believe is an expansion of the balance sheet.

However, this $40 billion belongs to RMP, and its purpose is not to stimulate the economy or actively inject liquidity, but rather to maintain the safety threshold of the minimum reserves in the banking system. This is to prevent the banking system from being stripped too much by factors such as funds allocation from the Treasury, tax payments, and year-end settlements.

QE = actively expanding the balance sheet, with the goal of lowering long-term interest rates and increasing system liquidity. This is commonly referred to as liquidity injection.

QT = actively shrinking the balance sheet, with the goal of draining liquidity and tightening financial conditions.

RMP = completely different from QE, it is about maintaining water levels and avoiding systemic water shortages.

The essence of RMP is that the Federal Reserve replenishes the water that has been lost, not adding more water to the pool.

So this is not an expansion of the balance sheet; the Federal Reserve has clearly stated in its announcement two points: RMP will maintain a relatively high pace before April 2026 (as the Treasury will significantly increase non-reserve liabilities in April), but after April, with the seasonal factors disappearing, the purchase scale will quickly decline.

What truly determines liquidity is not RMP, but whether SLR is relaxed, whether banks can expand their balance sheets, whether the Treasury continues to replenish reserves, and whether the Federal Reserve will reduce the scale of ON RRP.

Next, we need to continue to pay attention to the non-farm data on December 16 (November) and the CPI data on December 18 (November). Non-farm payrolls are likely to be bad because November is during the later stages of the U.S. government shutdown, which significantly impacts the economy. Pay special attention to the CPI in November; if it does not rebound after the rate cuts in September and October, it will reduce obstacles to further easing by the Federal Reserve.

In summary, the current macro environment is not optimistic, and at least the widespread liquidity injection by the Federal Reserve in 2026 that everyone hopes for is not seen as a possibility for now.
{spot}(BTCUSDT)

Let's talk about the upcoming macro environment of the Federal Reserve.

The Federal Reserve's dot plot leans dovish, indicating two rate cuts in 2026, one rate cut in 2027, and no change in rates in 2028. This means that the widespread liquidity that everyone expected is no longer viable, and CZ's assertion about $BTC benefiting from the Federal Reserve's large-scale liquidity injection is also no longer valid.

We see that the Federal Reserve has purchased $40 billion in government bonds, which many people believe is an expansion of the balance sheet.

However, this $40 billion belongs to RMP, and its purpose is not to stimulate the economy or actively inject liquidity, but rather to maintain the safety threshold of the minimum reserves in the banking system. This is to prevent the banking system from being stripped too much by factors such as funds allocation from the Treasury, tax payments, and year-end settlements.

QE = actively expanding the balance sheet, with the goal of lowering long-term interest rates and increasing system liquidity. This is commonly referred to as liquidity injection.

QT = actively shrinking the balance sheet, with the goal of draining liquidity and tightening financial conditions.

RMP = completely different from QE, it is about maintaining water levels and avoiding systemic water shortages.

The essence of RMP is that the Federal Reserve replenishes the water that has been lost, not adding more water to the pool.

So this is not an expansion of the balance sheet; the Federal Reserve has clearly stated in its announcement two points: RMP will maintain a relatively high pace before April 2026 (as the Treasury will significantly increase non-reserve liabilities in April), but after April, with the seasonal factors disappearing, the purchase scale will quickly decline.

What truly determines liquidity is not RMP, but whether SLR is relaxed, whether banks can expand their balance sheets, whether the Treasury continues to replenish reserves, and whether the Federal Reserve will reduce the scale of ON RRP.

Next, we need to continue to pay attention to the non-farm data on December 16 (November) and the CPI data on December 18 (November). Non-farm payrolls are likely to be bad because November is during the later stages of the U.S. government shutdown, which significantly impacts the economy. Pay special attention to the CPI in November; if it does not rebound after the rate cuts in September and October, it will reduce obstacles to further easing by the Federal Reserve.

In summary, the current macro environment is not optimistic, and at least the widespread liquidity injection by the Federal Reserve in 2026 that everyone hopes for is not seen as a possibility for now.
{spot}(BTCUSDT)

Today is the second one, 241 points, 13,000 copies, 18:00, a bit too much, this time it can't be gone in a second, right? It should lower the score.

Follow me to know airdrop tips and news in real time, let's make guaranteed money together!
#ALPHA #空投大毛 #空投

$ASTER
Since the 2nd, the ASTER team has been repurchasing for 10 days, spending about 40 to 50 million dollars. The price, however, remains stagnant. They have really been working hard, knowing they have to face the upcoming 15th, a major test with 200 million tokens unlocking. The project team has already taken action, using valuable resources to build a solid defensive wall at a price of 0.9. I believe that the unlocking of 200 million tokens won't break this defense. However, for my own safety, I won't hold the spot for now. Once you have passed the test, we can be partners again.
{future}(ASTERUSDT)

200,000 copies, once again basking in the sunshine! The first airdrop Night is here today at 17:00, 230 points, dropping 10 points every 5 minutes, eat as much as you can.

Follow me to be the first to know airdrop tips and news, let's earn guaranteed money together!
#ALPHA🔥 #空投大毛 #空投分享

Brothers,

Recently, there has been a renewed clampdown on web3 virtual currency operations and speculation.

I advise all brothers to pay attention to the policies.

Protect your information and be cautious with deposits and withdrawals.

Speaking of deposits and withdrawals, I have to mention the SafePal ibank Swiss Bank U Card.

If you want to "withdraw funds securely,"

In addition to using Binance C2C's carefully selected shield,

you can also try the SafePal ibank Swiss Bank U Card.

Just a few days ago, I went through the process myself: SafePal Bank Card → Industrial and Commercial Bank of China.

The experience was smooth, the path clear, few steps, and no need to navigate across platforms.

Why is this method "stable"?
- When you withdraw funds using SafePal, your fund path is: your U → recharge to your own Swiss bank account in euros → transfer to your domestic bank card → exchange to RMB through your domestic bank card.

The payments are made by a regulated and compliant financial institution (Swiss bank account).

The operation is extremely simple and smooth.
Recharge: App homepage → Bank → Recharge USDC → Wait for on-chain confirmation.
Currency exchange: After the funds arrive, switch the receiving currency to EUR (euros).
Transfer: Homepage Bank → Transfer → External transfer
Country/Bank: China / Industrial and Commercial Bank of China
Ref: Fill in "Personal"
Address: Fill in freely
Currency exchange: Wait for the funds to enter the card and exchange in the ICBC App.

It's December now; each person has a foreign exchange limit of $50,000 per year, don't waste it, use it!

SafePal's 0 exchange loss has finally arrived; now you can use my invitation code 782428 to get a hardware wallet for free.

Portal
https://www.safepal.com/bank/register?referral=782428

Quickly download the SafePal App to apply!
Don't forget to use my referral code 782428.

Using Wanzhan's invitation code,
You can get a hardware wallet worth 69.9U for free!
🌟 Invitation code: 782428 (required, otherwise you won't get the hardware wallet)
Hardware wallet collection path:
App homepage → Bank → Rewards → Invite → Claim gift.

#加密市场观察 $BNB
{future}(BNBUSDT)

$ASTER is an important psychological barrier at the position of 0.9, after all, CZ bought at this position, so many retail investors started to mindlessly believe. Once it effectively breaks below 0.9, you can refer to the trend after $ZEC broke 420. Previously, when I was bearish on ZEC at 580, there were a lot of people crazily criticizing me, and now those people have gone silent. I started to be bearish on ASTER at 1.2, and currently, half of the people criticizing me have gone silent; the rest going silent is just a matter of time.

🔸Commission rebate link: https://www.maxweb.cab/join?ref=ZO25P9WZ
Contract activation invitation code: 38911925

{spot}(ZECUSDT)
{spot}(ASTERUSDT)

Finally, there is some good news. Next, let's patiently wait for the interest rate cut. The Federal Reserve's next monetary policy meeting will be held from December 9 to 10, 2025. The Bank of Japan's next monetary policy meeting will be held from December 18 to 19, 2025.
So the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates and rise a bit, rebounding around the 15th, and then wait for the Bank of Japan's actions. If the Bank of Japan raises interest rates, then the rebound will end and continue to plummet.

In fact, I have high hopes for the $ONDO coin. The only viable path for the RWA sector in the future is the on-chain US stock market. Currently, ONDO's coin-stock trading occupies over 70% of the market share, and major exchanges, including Binance Wallet, are based on the ONDO protocol for coin-stock trading. Currently, ONDO's market value is 2.3 billion, and there will be large unlocks every January 18th for the next three years. Personally, I plan to wait until ONDO drops below 0.2 before considering building a position, betting that ONDO will explode in a bull market.
{spot}(ONDOUSDT)

Another giant is here

Kalshi, with total financing exceeding $1.3 billion

The prediction market platform Kalshi announced today that it has completed a $1 billion financing round, reaching a valuation of $11 billion, doubling from the $5 billion valuation earlier this year. At the same time, Kalshi has become CNN's official prediction market partner, with CNN integrating Kalshi's real-time probability data into its news programs. The platform's weekly trading volume has exceeded $1 billion, more than ten times that of the same period last year, and has attracted top institutional investments from Paradigm, Sequoia Capital, Andreessen Horowitz, and others.

Portal
https://kalshi.com/

#币安区块链周 $BNB
{future}(BNBUSDT)