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Trader Trường Làng

Hãy tham lam khi người khác sợ hãi và hãy sợ hãi khi người khác tham lam.
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Bullish
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Before the FOMC T12 takes place, there will be a small news announcement tonight. 👉 Labor Costs (Q3): According to the current forecast, the data will remain unchanged at 0.9%. For me, we are just briefly looking at this data to gain more information, because the data will not significantly impact the market or affect the Rate Cut tonight.
Before the FOMC T12 takes place, there will be a small news announcement tonight.

👉 Labor Costs (Q3): According to the current forecast, the data will remain unchanged at 0.9%.

For me, we are just briefly looking at this data to gain more information, because the data will not significantly impact the market or affect the Rate Cut tonight.
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Currently, the rate of interest rate cuts on CME Group remains unchanged at over 87%. 👉 Nothing is certain yet, so the Market will hold its breath and wait for the FOMC Meeting in December to take place tomorrow morning at 2 AM (Vietnam time)
Currently, the rate of interest rate cuts on CME Group remains unchanged at over 87%.

👉 Nothing is certain yet, so the Market will hold its breath and wait for the FOMC Meeting in December to take place tomorrow morning at 2 AM (Vietnam time)
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JOLTs Job Report 🇺🇸 Previous: Expectation: 715 Actual: 767 Good for USD
JOLTs Job Report 🇺🇸
Previous:
Expectation: 715
Actual: 767

Good for USD
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The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 89.4%. 👉 Although the rate of cuts for the FOMC Meeting T12 has increased in the next 2 days, the entire Market (Gold, Stocks, and others) has decreased because investors are placing bets on the number of cuts by the Fed next year, expecting the Fed to cut about 75 basis points ~ 3 cuts, but since the probability of this happening slightly decreased last night, the entire Market has slightly declined. 👉 For me, such developments only exist in the short term; to gain a clearer view in the long term, new information from Powell in the upcoming speech will be needed for a better perspective. 👉 There is good news that Powell is on the list of supporters for cuts in T12, so the possibility of the Fed cutting during the end of this year is entirely possible.
The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 89.4%.

👉 Although the rate of cuts for the FOMC Meeting T12 has increased in the next 2 days, the entire Market (Gold, Stocks, and others) has decreased because investors are placing bets on the number of cuts by the Fed next year, expecting the Fed to cut about 75 basis points ~ 3 cuts, but since the probability of this happening slightly decreased last night, the entire Market has slightly declined.

👉 For me, such developments only exist in the short term; to gain a clearer view in the long term, new information from Powell in the upcoming speech will be needed for a better perspective.

👉 There is good news that Powell is on the list of supporters for cuts in T12, so the possibility of the Fed cutting during the end of this year is entirely possible.
B
PIPPINUSDT
Closed
PNL
+77.95USDT
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Important News Next Week 🇺🇸: T2: Economic Data Release T3: Jolts Job Openings 🇺🇸 T4: Economic Data Release T5: FOMC Meeting T12 🇺🇸 Unemployment Benefits Week 🇺🇸 T6: Economic Data Release Currently, the likelihood of a rate cut remains unchanged (86.2%) after the PCE Inflation data T9 was released. For next week, the beginning of the week will not have many significant data releases, so it will not have much impact on the rate cut and will also not significantly affect the market. Regarding the Fed, one may have to wait for the Fed's decision on whether to cut rates in the FOMC Meeting T12, along with the speech from Fed Chair Powell. If he changes his stance unlike in the FOMC Meeting T10, then there may be a strong chance of a rebound since he is also the main factor causing Altcoins and the market to drop sharply as it currently stands.
Important News Next Week 🇺🇸:
T2: Economic Data Release
T3: Jolts Job Openings 🇺🇸
T4: Economic Data Release
T5: FOMC Meeting T12 🇺🇸
Unemployment Benefits Week 🇺🇸
T6: Economic Data Release

Currently, the likelihood of a rate cut remains unchanged (86.2%) after the PCE Inflation data T9 was released.

For next week, the beginning of the week will not have many significant data releases, so it will not have much impact on the rate cut and will also not significantly affect the market.

Regarding the Fed, one may have to wait for the Fed's decision on whether to cut rates in the FOMC Meeting T12, along with the speech from Fed Chair Powell. If he changes his stance unlike in the FOMC Meeting T10, then there may be a strong chance of a rebound since he is also the main factor causing Altcoins and the market to drop sharply as it currently stands.
Convert 2 NXPC to 0.96501736 USDT
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Core PCE 🇺🇸 (m/m) Previous: 0.2% Forecast: 0.2% Actual: 0.2 Core PCE 🇺🇸 (y/y) Previous: 2.9% Forecast: 2.9% Actual: 2.8% Bad for USD
Core PCE 🇺🇸 (m/m)
Previous: 0.2%
Forecast: 0.2%
Actual: 0.2

Core PCE 🇺🇸 (y/y)
Previous: 2.9%
Forecast: 2.9%
Actual: 2.8%

Bad for USD
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PCE inflation data (the Fed's preferred measure of inflation) will be released tonight. 👉 This data is extremely important because it is the last major news before the FOMC meeting in December. 👉 Current forecasts indicate that PCE Inflation will remain unchanged in this release.
PCE inflation data (the Fed's preferred measure of inflation) will be released tonight.

👉 This data is extremely important because it is the last major news before the FOMC meeting in December.

👉 Current forecasts indicate that PCE Inflation will remain unchanged in this release.
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Countdown to the Fed's decision: Will PCE be the 'final piece' guiding the market at the end of the year? 👉 Wall Street is anxiously awaiting the September PCE report – the Fed's preferred inflation gauge – to validate the mixed economic signals seen recently. 👉 While survey data shows weakening consumer confidence and rising recession risks, strong business results and spending during Black Friday reflect sustainable purchasing power. PCE thus becomes important 'hard data' before the Fed's year-end meeting, where the market expects an 87% chance the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points. 👉 If PCE cools and consumption remains strong, U.S. stocks could continue their year-end recovery.
Countdown to the Fed's decision: Will PCE be the 'final piece' guiding the market at the end of the year?

👉 Wall Street is anxiously awaiting the September PCE report – the Fed's preferred inflation gauge – to validate the mixed economic signals seen recently.

👉 While survey data shows weakening consumer confidence and rising recession risks, strong business results and spending during Black Friday reflect sustainable purchasing power. PCE thus becomes important 'hard data' before the Fed's year-end meeting, where the market expects an 87% chance the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points.

👉 If PCE cools and consumption remains strong, U.S. stocks could continue their year-end recovery.
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Number of people applying for unemployment benefits last week 🇺🇸 Previous: 216k Forecast: 219k Actual: 191k Good for USD in the short term
Number of people applying for unemployment benefits last week 🇺🇸
Previous: 216k
Forecast: 219k
Actual: 191k

Good for USD in the short term
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President Trump will make an important statement at 2 AM tomorrow (According to Vietnam Time 🇻🇳) 👉 Just go ahead and make a fuss, with such a mess there's nothing left to be afraid of.
President Trump will make an important statement at 2 AM tomorrow (According to Vietnam Time 🇻🇳)

👉 Just go ahead and make a fuss, with such a mess there's nothing left to be afraid of.
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Fed Powell gave a speech this morning, however, the Fed did not mention anything about monetary policy, interest rates, inflation, and even the rumor that he would resign. 👉 In summary, the speech was unimportant, so the rate cut will remain unchanged, and the market will have to continue waiting for new data to be released tomorrow (today has no news).
Fed Powell gave a speech this morning, however, the Fed did not mention anything about monetary policy, interest rates, inflation, and even the rumor that he would resign.

👉 In summary, the speech was unimportant, so the rate cut will remain unchanged, and the market will have to continue waiting for new data to be released tomorrow (today has no news).
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Trump: Completed the nomination for the Fed Chair 👉 Trump said: I know who I will choose as the Chair of the Federal Reserve and I will announce it soon.
Trump: Completed the nomination for the Fed Chair

👉 Trump said: I know who I will choose as the Chair of the Federal Reserve and I will announce it soon.
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Important news next week 🇺🇸: T2: ISM-PMI Manufacturing 🇺🇸 T3: Fed Chair Powell Speaks 🇺🇸 T4: ADP Non-Farm 🇺🇸 ISM-PMI Services 🇺🇸 T5: Weekly Unemployment Claims 🇺🇸 T6: PCE Inflation (T9) 🇺🇸 The early days of next week will mostly feature minor data releases. Regarding Powell's speech, we have to wait and see if he mentions any changes to his current stance (not leaning towards the possibility of rate cuts at the FOMC T12), otherwise, this speech will not be as significant as the PCE Inflation (T9) data to be released at the end of next week.
Important news next week 🇺🇸:
T2: ISM-PMI Manufacturing 🇺🇸
T3: Fed Chair Powell Speaks 🇺🇸
T4: ADP Non-Farm 🇺🇸
ISM-PMI Services 🇺🇸
T5: Weekly Unemployment Claims 🇺🇸
T6: PCE Inflation (T9) 🇺🇸

The early days of next week will mostly feature minor data releases.

Regarding Powell's speech, we have to wait and see if he mentions any changes to his current stance (not leaning towards the possibility of rate cuts at the FOMC T12), otherwise, this speech will not be as significant as the PCE Inflation (T9) data to be released at the end of next week.
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A whale has just sold 500 BTC at a significant loss after buying them at the bottom on October 11, resulting in a loss of over $10.5 million. 👉 Short-term trading has never been a safe option, even for whales.
A whale has just sold 500 BTC at a significant loss after buying them at the bottom on October 11, resulting in a loss of over $10.5 million.

👉 Short-term trading has never been a safe option, even for whales.
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The strategy has spoken to reassure investors about their continuous sell-off of the company's shares due to the ongoing decline in prices, which could expose them to debt risks and force them to liquidate their assets. 👉 To reassure investors, the company stated that even if the price drops to 25k, the total assets they own will still be twice their debt.
The strategy has spoken to reassure investors about their continuous sell-off of the company's shares due to the ongoing decline in prices, which could expose them to debt risks and force them to liquidate their assets.

👉 To reassure investors, the company stated that even if the price drops to 25k, the total assets they own will still be twice their debt.
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Lessons When We Step Into The Market10 BLOOD LESSONS IN THE CRYPTO MARKET THAT I WISH I KNEW SOONER For all the brothers who are and will step into this volatile market. This is not just theory, but what I have had to pay to learn. 1️⃣ Start Small: The initial goal is to learn, not to get rich immediately. Many people win a few trades and then become greedy, increasing their volume and "burning" their accounts. Entering small trades helps you reduce psychological pressure, maintain your stance, and learn without destroying your wallet.

Lessons When We Step Into The Market

10 BLOOD LESSONS IN THE CRYPTO MARKET THAT I WISH I KNEW SOONER
For all the brothers who are and will step into this volatile market. This is not just theory, but what I have had to pay to learn.
1️⃣ Start Small:
The initial goal is to learn, not to get rich immediately. Many people win a few trades and then become greedy, increasing their volume and "burning" their accounts. Entering small trades helps you reduce psychological pressure, maintain your stance, and learn without destroying your wallet.
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GDP data for Q3 and PCE has been postponed, so tonight there will only be the Weekly Unemployment Claims news released. And this is also the last data to be published this week, as tomorrow is Thanksgiving Day in the United States 🇺🇸
GDP data for Q3 and PCE has been postponed, so tonight there will only be the Weekly Unemployment Claims news released.

And this is also the last data to be published this week, as tomorrow is Thanksgiving Day in the United States 🇺🇸
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Zelensky accepts Trump's peace framework, ready to negotiate directly on sensitive terms. 👉 Zelensky stated that Ukraine is ready to advance the peace framework proposed by the U.S. and will directly discuss controversial terms with Trump, particularly the issue of territorial concessions to Russia. 👉 On the U.S. side, Trump mentioned that there are only a few points of disagreement and has sent a special envoy to meet with Putin and the Ukrainian side. Kiev is under significant pressure as the conflict escalates, internal instability increases, and there are concerns about being forced to sign an agreement under Russia's conditions, thus the possibility of Zelensky traveling to the U.S. soon to finalize the plan is significantly increasing. However, the timeline for peace has not yet been set, and alongside this, Trump continues to go back on his word by stating that Ukraine and Russia will reach an agreement before the U.S. Thanksgiving (27-11-2025), instead he says that "there will be no deadline for this."
Zelensky accepts Trump's peace framework, ready to negotiate directly on sensitive terms.

👉 Zelensky stated that Ukraine is ready to advance the peace framework proposed by the U.S. and will directly discuss controversial terms with Trump, particularly the issue of territorial concessions to Russia.

👉 On the U.S. side, Trump mentioned that there are only a few points of disagreement and has sent a special envoy to meet with Putin and the Ukrainian side. Kiev is under significant pressure as the conflict escalates, internal instability increases, and there are concerns about being forced to sign an agreement under Russia's conditions, thus the possibility of Zelensky traveling to the U.S. soon to finalize the plan is significantly increasing.

However, the timeline for peace has not yet been set, and alongside this, Trump continues to go back on his word by stating that Ukraine and Russia will reach an agreement before the U.S. Thanksgiving (27-11-2025), instead he says that "there will be no deadline for this."
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Retail Sales 🇺🇸(m/m) Previous: 0.6% Forecast: 0.4% Actual: 0.2% Core Retail Sales 🇺🇸(m/m) Previous: 0.6% Forecast: 0.3% Actual: 0.3% Core PPI 🇺🇸 (m/m) Previous: -0.1% Forecast: 0.2% Actual: 0.1% PPI 🇺🇸 (m/m) Previous: -0.1% Forecast: 0.3% Actual: 0.3% Bad for USD in the short term
Retail Sales 🇺🇸(m/m)
Previous: 0.6%
Forecast: 0.4%
Actual: 0.2%

Core Retail Sales 🇺🇸(m/m)
Previous: 0.6%
Forecast: 0.3%
Actual: 0.3%

Core PPI 🇺🇸 (m/m)
Previous: -0.1%
Forecast: 0.2%
Actual: 0.1%

PPI 🇺🇸 (m/m)
Previous: -0.1%
Forecast: 0.3%
Actual: 0.3%

Bad for USD in the short term
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2 pieces of quite important data will be announced tonight. 👉 Retail Sales T9: The forecast from the data is quite bad for USD as the figures show a slight decline in this announcement. 👉 PPI Inflation T9: This data is expected to be the most important tonight because it is inflation data, which the Fed is paying close attention to, as it needs to rely on it to make the most accurate decision on whether to change current policy. Regarding the forecast, if people only look at the figures, they might think it will be good for USD; however, in reality, if the data is only in line with the forecast, this inflation index is just stagnating, as it hovers around 0.2-0.3%, while any spikes or drops in the data are influenced by tariffs. Therefore, the reference for the data will be in the range of 0.2-0.3%, above 0.3% will be good for USD, below 0.2% will be bad for USD, and finally, the news will be neutral if it is just above the level.
2 pieces of quite important data will be announced tonight.

👉 Retail Sales T9: The forecast from the data is quite bad for USD as the figures show a slight decline in this announcement.

👉 PPI Inflation T9: This data is expected to be the most important tonight because it is inflation data, which the Fed is paying close attention to, as it needs to rely on it to make the most accurate decision on whether to change current policy.

Regarding the forecast, if people only look at the figures, they might think it will be good for USD; however, in reality, if the data is only in line with the forecast, this inflation index is just stagnating, as it hovers around 0.2-0.3%, while any spikes or drops in the data are influenced by tariffs.

Therefore, the reference for the data will be in the range of 0.2-0.3%, above 0.3% will be good for USD, below 0.2% will be bad for USD, and finally, the news will be neutral if it is just above the level.
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