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Bearish
The U.S. military declared that it has completely cut off Iran's maritime import and export activities. 👉 Accordingly, eight oil tankers have been intercepted as they entered and exited Iranian ports. Trump's target is not to blockade the Strait of Hormuz but to blockade Iran's maritime economy itself, forcing Iran to participate in the second round of negotiations with the U.S. as well as accept the conditions set by the U.S. (primarily still being no uranium enrichment and not allowed to possess nuclear weapons). Note: The U.S. only blocks Iranian ships, while other ships not belonging to Iran will still be able to pass through the Strait normally, so the short-term pressure on oil prices will still decrease.$XAU {future}(XAUUSDT)
The U.S. military declared that it has completely cut off Iran's maritime import and export activities.

👉 Accordingly, eight oil tankers have been intercepted as they entered and exited Iranian ports.

Trump's target is not to blockade the Strait of Hormuz but to blockade Iran's maritime economy itself, forcing Iran to participate in the second round of negotiations with the U.S. as well as accept the conditions set by the U.S. (primarily still being no uranium enrichment and not allowed to possess nuclear weapons).

Note: The U.S. only blocks Iranian ships, while other ships not belonging to Iran will still be able to pass through the Strait normally, so the short-term pressure on oil prices will still decrease.$XAU
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Bearish
Before the "Golden Hour - 9 PM tonight" when Trump will officially blockade the Strait of Hormuz, we need to pay attention to what information. 👉 Trump's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is not a big issue, because in reality, Trump only wants to take control of this strait from Iran and not to "prohibit" ships from passing through here. 👉 The opposite possibility may be higher, Trump holding this strait to facilitate easier passage for ships, why is that 🤔🤔 First, "calming the people", due to the impact from the war with Iran, oil prices in the US have surged, in fact, the US holding the oil field in Venezuela is a big advantage for the US, however, the American people cannot endure such high oil prices, they will riot everywhere if oil prices remain like that => Trump must stabilize the people in the "city" first before considering other matters. Second, removing Iran's trump card of the Strait of Hormuz, if Iran continues to hold this strait and "stir the waters" like that, it will be a significant disadvantage for Trump => Trump's blockade is both "removing" Iran's trump card and forcing Iran to play another card. 👉 Finally, what the investors are concerned about is whether Trump will charge a fee when he takes control of the Strait of Hormuz, if not, this is good news for the market, if so, the fee could be lower than Iran (because Iran may charge excessively high fees causing many ships to get stuck, so Trump may charge a lower fee to facilitate easier passage for ships while also making "a little profit" from this.$BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
Before the "Golden Hour - 9 PM tonight" when Trump will officially blockade the Strait of Hormuz, we need to pay attention to what information.

👉 Trump's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is not a big issue, because in reality, Trump only wants to take control of this strait from Iran and not to "prohibit" ships from passing through here.

👉 The opposite possibility may be higher, Trump holding this strait to facilitate easier passage for ships, why is that 🤔🤔

First, "calming the people", due to the impact from the war with Iran, oil prices in the US have surged, in fact, the US holding the oil field in Venezuela is a big advantage for the US, however, the American people cannot endure such high oil prices, they will riot everywhere if oil prices remain like that => Trump must stabilize the people in the "city" first before considering other matters.

Second, removing Iran's trump card of the Strait of Hormuz, if Iran continues to hold this strait and "stir the waters" like that, it will be a significant disadvantage for Trump => Trump's blockade is both "removing" Iran's trump card and forcing Iran to play another card.

👉 Finally, what the investors are concerned about is whether Trump will charge a fee when he takes control of the Strait of Hormuz, if not, this is good news for the market, if so, the fee could be lower than Iran (because Iran may charge excessively high fees causing many ships to get stuck, so Trump may charge a lower fee to facilitate easier passage for ships while also making "a little profit" from this.$BTC
Important news to pay attention to next week 🇺🇸: Mon: No News Tue: PPI Inflation 🇺🇸 Wed: No News Thu: Unemployment Benefits Week 🇺🇸 Fri: No News 👉 Next week seems to be a week without significant macro news as there will be no important news released, even for PPI Inflation, as the data is influenced by rising oil prices which has significantly reduced the importance of the data since it will not accurately reflect the direction of Inflation in the Manufacturing Sector at the current time. 👉 Next week, the market is likely to await information related to Iran - the U.S. to determine a more accurate direction.
Important news to pay attention to next week 🇺🇸:
Mon: No News
Tue: PPI Inflation 🇺🇸
Wed: No News
Thu: Unemployment Benefits Week 🇺🇸
Fri: No News

👉 Next week seems to be a week without significant macro news as there will be no important news released, even for PPI Inflation, as the data is influenced by rising oil prices which has significantly reduced the importance of the data since it will not accurately reflect the direction of Inflation in the Manufacturing Sector at the current time.

👉 Next week, the market is likely to await information related to Iran - the U.S. to determine a more accurate direction.
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Bearish
After 21 hours of continuous tense negotiations, the U.S. delegation led by Vice President JD Vance left the negotiating table early in the morning on April 12 (local time). Vice President JD Vance asserted that Washington had made a "final and best offer," but Iran rejected it. He emphasized that this is "bad news for Iran" and stated that the U.S. will not compromise on its "red lines." Response from Iran: Iranian state media quoted diplomatic officials as saying that the U.S. demands are "absurd" and "unacceptable." The Iranian side believes that the U.S. lacks goodwill and is presenting conditions that violate their sovereignty.$BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
After 21 hours of continuous tense negotiations, the U.S. delegation led by Vice President JD Vance left the negotiating table early in the morning on April 12 (local time).

Vice President JD Vance asserted that Washington had made a "final and best offer," but Iran rejected it. He emphasized that this is "bad news for Iran" and stated that the U.S. will not compromise on its "red lines."

Response from Iran: Iranian state media quoted diplomatic officials as saying that the U.S. demands are "absurd" and "unacceptable." The Iranian side believes that the U.S. lacks goodwill and is presenting conditions that violate their sovereignty.$BTC
$RAVE always have opportunities in countless difficulties
$RAVE always have opportunities in countless difficulties
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Bearish
Iran has accepted a ceasefire agreement with the US within 2 weeks after Pakistan acted as a mediator. 👉 Iran has proposed a 10-point plan and hopes Trump will accept this proposal: control of the Hormuz Strait, a request for the US to withdraw troops, ending sanctions, compensating for damages, and legitimizing the terms through a UN resolution. In the short term, the market is reacting extremely well, however, people need to note that there is a high possibility Trump will not accept this proposal, because if Trump accepts, it would be no different from the US accepting defeat in the US-Iran War, and of course, with Trump's competitive nature, there will never be an acceptance of defeat. So for now, let's just let the situation continue to Pump in the short term and then we will see Trump's reactions to Iran's proposal to further assess the developments in the future.$ZRO
Iran has accepted a ceasefire agreement with the US within 2 weeks after Pakistan acted as a mediator.

👉 Iran has proposed a 10-point plan and hopes Trump will accept this proposal: control of the Hormuz Strait, a request for the US to withdraw troops, ending sanctions, compensating for damages, and legitimizing the terms through a UN resolution.

In the short term, the market is reacting extremely well, however, people need to note that there is a high possibility Trump will not accept this proposal, because if Trump accepts, it would be no different from the US accepting defeat in the US-Iran War, and of course, with Trump's competitive nature, there will never be an acceptance of defeat.

So for now, let's just let the situation continue to Pump in the short term and then we will see Trump's reactions to Iran's proposal to further assess the developments in the future.$ZRO
Before the "Good Hour" Iran closed all diplomatic and indirect communication channels with the United States. 👉 On Trump's side, he is heavily criticizing Iran for being so relaxed so close to the deadline. The final deadline Trump set for Iran is 8:00 PM on Tuesday (U.S. time) = 7:00 AM tomorrow (Vietnam time), those who still hold the orders should pay attention to this time.
Before the "Good Hour" Iran closed all diplomatic and indirect communication channels with the United States.

👉 On Trump's side, he is heavily criticizing Iran for being so relaxed so close to the deadline.

The final deadline Trump set for Iran is 8:00 PM on Tuesday (U.S. time) = 7:00 AM tomorrow (Vietnam time), those who still hold the orders should pay attention to this time.
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Bearish
Iran conditions for reopening the Strait of Hormuz - Thousands of ships and 20,000 sailors are still stranded The Strait remains under severe blockade following military conflicts since February. Currently, there are about 2,000 - 3,200 ships along with more than 20,000 sailors stuck or waiting to anchor around this area. Although there were slight signs of increase over the past weekend, the total number of ships passing through has still decreased by 95% compared to normal levels (only achieving about 21 trips per day instead of 130 trips). Latest development (07/04): Iran claims it will only fully reopen if compensated for war damages. Meanwhile, U.S. President Donald Trump has issued an ultimatum demanding immediate reopening; otherwise, military intervention will occur.$XAU {future}(XAUUSDT)
Iran conditions for reopening the Strait of Hormuz - Thousands of ships and 20,000 sailors are still stranded

The Strait remains under severe blockade following military conflicts since February. Currently, there are about 2,000 - 3,200 ships along with more than 20,000 sailors stuck or waiting to anchor around this area.

Although there were slight signs of increase over the past weekend, the total number of ships passing through has still decreased by 95% compared to normal levels (only achieving about 21 trips per day instead of 130 trips).

Latest development (07/04): Iran claims it will only fully reopen if compensated for war damages. Meanwhile, U.S. President Donald Trump has issued an ultimatum demanding immediate reopening; otherwise, military intervention will occur.$XAU
Important news to pay attention to next week 🇺🇸: Mon: ISM-PMI Services 🇺🇸 Tue: Empty News Wed: Empty News Thu: FOMC Minutes 🇺🇸 PCE Inflation 🇺🇸 Q4 GDP 🇺🇸 (final revision - less important) Fri: CPI Inflation 🇺🇸(most important next week)
Important news to pay attention to next week 🇺🇸:
Mon: ISM-PMI Services 🇺🇸
Tue: Empty News
Wed: Empty News
Thu: FOMC Minutes 🇺🇸
PCE Inflation 🇺🇸
Q4 GDP 🇺🇸 (final revision - less important)
Fri: CPI Inflation 🇺🇸(most important next week)
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Bearish
$STO when you have been in the market long enough, you will know when to do what
$STO when you have been in the market long enough, you will know when to do what
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Bearish
Summarize Trump's speech this morning. 👉 The U.S. will attack Iran's energy facilities in the next 2-3 weeks, UNLESS a deal is reached with Iran. 👉 The U.S. work in Iran is nearing completion and will end quickly, leaving Iran no opportunity to possess WMDs. 👉 The U.S. does not need oil from the Middle East, as it currently holds oil from Venezuela. 👉 Previously, we did not need the Strait of Hormuz, and now we do not need it either. This is everything Trump said that caused the market to panic this morning; Trump's attack on Iran will not be significant because Trump's threats are too familiar to investors, and the main negative market reaction comes from Trump abandoning the Strait of Hormuz, saying that anyone who wants to go through there should deal with Iran themselves, as the U.S. will not directly handle it for them. This will once again disrupt Global Supply in the short term.$STO
Summarize Trump's speech this morning.

👉 The U.S. will attack Iran's energy facilities in the next 2-3 weeks, UNLESS a deal is reached with Iran.

👉 The U.S. work in Iran is nearing completion and will end quickly, leaving Iran no opportunity to possess WMDs.

👉 The U.S. does not need oil from the Middle East, as it currently holds oil from Venezuela.

👉 Previously, we did not need the Strait of Hormuz, and now we do not need it either.

This is everything Trump said that caused the market to panic this morning; Trump's attack on Iran will not be significant because Trump's threats are too familiar to investors, and the main negative market reaction comes from Trump abandoning the Strait of Hormuz, saying that anyone who wants to go through there should deal with Iran themselves, as the U.S. will not directly handle it for them. This will once again disrupt Global Supply in the short term.$STO
Fed Chair Powell: Long-term inflation expectations remain solid, Fed will not rush to address the energy shock. 👉 Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stated that despite the ongoing energy shock, long-term inflation expectations appear to remain stable, and the Fed does not yet need to make a decision on how to respond to the latest developments. 👉 Currently, inflation remains above the 2% target, and we will closely monitor its impact on price pressures. Powell still maintains a "wait and see" stance similar to the recent FOMC statement.
Fed Chair Powell: Long-term inflation expectations remain solid, Fed will not rush to address the energy shock.

👉 Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stated that despite the ongoing energy shock, long-term inflation expectations appear to remain stable, and the Fed does not yet need to make a decision on how to respond to the latest developments.

👉 Currently, inflation remains above the 2% target, and we will closely monitor its impact on price pressures.

Powell still maintains a "wait and see" stance similar to the recent FOMC statement.
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Bearish
"Bloodline" The Suez Canal is under serious threat from geopolitical factors, pushing global energy security into a state of red alert. Houthi Involvement & Suez Blockade: The Houthi forces have officially joined the regional conflict, using missiles and UAVs to relentlessly attack commercial ships in the Bab al-Mandab Strait. This action has nearly paralyzed the maritime route through the Suez Canal, forcing major shipping companies to suspend their routes. Oil Prices Soar: This morning, Brent crude surpassed the threshold of 115 USD/barrel. The market is in a panic due to the risk of supply disruptions from the Middle East. The need for oil tankers to reroute around the Cape of Good Hope adds 10-15 days to their journey, tripling transportation and insurance costs. The "squeeze" on energy and logistics is exerting extreme inflationary pressure on Europe and Asia. Despite the efforts of major powers to establish protective corridors, the situation remains unpredictable due to the recklessness of the warring parties.$XAU
"Bloodline" The Suez Canal is under serious threat from geopolitical factors, pushing global energy security into a state of red alert.

Houthi Involvement & Suez Blockade: The Houthi forces have officially joined the regional conflict, using missiles and UAVs to relentlessly attack commercial ships in the Bab al-Mandab Strait. This action has nearly paralyzed the maritime route through the Suez Canal, forcing major shipping companies to suspend their routes.

Oil Prices Soar: This morning, Brent crude surpassed the threshold of 115 USD/barrel. The market is in a panic due to the risk of supply disruptions from the Middle East. The need for oil tankers to reroute around the Cape of Good Hope adds 10-15 days to their journey, tripling transportation and insurance costs.

The "squeeze" on energy and logistics is exerting extreme inflationary pressure on Europe and Asia. Despite the efforts of major powers to establish protective corridors, the situation remains unpredictable due to the recklessness of the warring parties.$XAU
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Bearish
Important news to pay attention to next week 🇺🇸: T2: Fed Chair Powell Speaks 🇺🇸 T3: Job Openings Jolts 🇺🇸 T4: ADP Non-Farm 🇺🇸 Retail Sales 🇺🇸 ISM-PMI Manufacturing T5: Weekly Unemployment Claims 🇺🇸 T6: Non-Farm T3 🇺🇸 👉 Next week there will be quite a few important new data releases, especially among them will be the Non-Farm T3 data and the speech by Fed Chair Powell taking place tomorrow evening.$SIREN
Important news to pay attention to next week 🇺🇸:
T2: Fed Chair Powell Speaks 🇺🇸
T3: Job Openings Jolts 🇺🇸
T4: ADP Non-Farm 🇺🇸
Retail Sales 🇺🇸
ISM-PMI Manufacturing
T5: Weekly Unemployment Claims 🇺🇸
T6: Non-Farm T3 🇺🇸

👉 Next week there will be quite a few important new data releases, especially among them will be the Non-Farm T3 data and the speech by Fed Chair Powell taking place tomorrow evening.$SIREN
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Bullish
Iran declared that the Strait of Hormuz has been closed and any ships passing through this waterway will face "severe measures". 👉 Currently, there are 3 transport ships that have been "warned" by the Iranian navy and forced to turn back after attempting to approach the Strait of Hormuz. As this information was released, it caused oil prices to gradually return to the level of 100 usd/barrel (currently at 96.85 usd, up more than 3.25% today)$XAU
Iran declared that the Strait of Hormuz has been closed and any ships passing through this waterway will face "severe measures".

👉 Currently, there are 3 transport ships that have been "warned" by the Iranian navy and forced to turn back after attempting to approach the Strait of Hormuz.

As this information was released, it caused oil prices to gradually return to the level of 100 usd/barrel (currently at 96.85 usd, up more than 3.25% today)$XAU
🚨 📉 💸 SHOCKING TRUTH ABOUT PUMPFUN: 96% OF "WHITE-HAND" INVESTORS, THE DEVELOPMENT TEAM HAS POCKETED OVER 500 MILLION USD! The latest statistical data on trading performance on the PumpFun platform has just been released, revealing a terrifying reality about the current Meme coin game. 📊 The numbers show inequality: 📍 Failure rate: 96% of users on PumpFun earn less than 500 USD (mostly at a loss). 📍 Wealth gap: Only a mere 0.22% of accounts earn over 10,000 USD. Notably, among millions of wallets, only 2 wallets achieved profits over 1 million USD. 📍 The "big boss" revealed: While users are losing money, the PumpFun team has quietly cashed out about 500M - 600M USD since 2024. Indeed, "disaster does not come alone," domestic exchanges tighten, while foreign exchanges suck blood🤭$USDC
🚨 📉 💸 SHOCKING TRUTH ABOUT PUMPFUN: 96% OF "WHITE-HAND" INVESTORS, THE DEVELOPMENT TEAM HAS POCKETED OVER 500 MILLION USD!

The latest statistical data on trading performance on the PumpFun platform has just been released, revealing a terrifying reality about the current Meme coin game.

📊 The numbers show inequality:

📍 Failure rate: 96% of users on PumpFun earn less than 500 USD (mostly at a loss).

📍 Wealth gap: Only a mere 0.22% of accounts earn over 10,000 USD. Notably, among millions of wallets, only 2 wallets achieved profits over 1 million USD.

📍 The "big boss" revealed: While users are losing money, the PumpFun team has quietly cashed out about 500M - 600M USD since 2024.

Indeed, "disaster does not come alone," domestic exchanges tighten, while foreign exchanges suck blood🤭$USDC
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Bullish
Iran rejected Trump's proposal for an agreement and has put forward five conditions for a ceasefire. These conditions include: 1. Complete cessation of the "aggressive and assassination" activities of the enemy. 2. Establishment of a specific mechanism to ensure that war is not imposed on Iran again. 3. Clear assurance and determination of compensation payments and costs for repairing war damages. 4. End of the war on all fronts and within the scope of all resistance organizations involved throughout the region. 5. International recognition and guarantees of Iran's sovereignty in exercising jurisdiction over the Strait of Hormuz. 👉 Iran declared that unless Trump accepts the five conditions proposed by Iran, there will be no negotiations at the table with the U.S.; otherwise, Iran's "defensive" activities will continue.$XAU {future}(XAUUSDT)
Iran rejected Trump's proposal for an agreement and has put forward five conditions for a ceasefire.

These conditions include:

1. Complete cessation of the "aggressive and assassination" activities of the enemy.

2. Establishment of a specific mechanism to ensure that war is not imposed on Iran again.

3. Clear assurance and determination of compensation payments and costs for repairing war damages.

4. End of the war on all fronts and within the scope of all resistance organizations involved throughout the region.

5. International recognition and guarantees of Iran's sovereignty in exercising jurisdiction over the Strait of Hormuz.

👉 Iran declared that unless Trump accepts the five conditions proposed by Iran, there will be no negotiations at the table with the U.S.; otherwise, Iran's "defensive" activities will continue.$XAU
The U.S. has proposed a month-long ceasefire, with a solution suggested by the U.S. to end the conflict with Iran, expected to be approved at 3 PM. 👉 The U.S. government, through Pakistan, has presented Iran with a plan consisting of 15 conditions (currently only about 13) to end the conflict, including: 1. Dissolution of existing nuclear capabilities 2. Commitment not to develop nuclear weapons, 3. Prohibition of uranium enrichment on its territory. 4. Transfer about 60% of the high-enriched uranium stockpile to the International Atomic Energy Agency 5. Dissolution of nuclear facilities in Natanz, Isfahan, and Fordow. 6. Allow the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) to conduct full inspections. 7. Require Iran to stop supporting armed groups of allies in the region, not to provide them or fund, command, and support weapons. 8. Limit the scale and range of the ballistic missile program. 9. The use of missiles is solely for defensive purposes. 10. Ensure the Strait of Hormuz remains open. In return, Iran may be: 11. Completely lifting international sanctions. 12. The U.S. will support Iran's civilian nuclear program. 13. Allowing a "snap-back" sanctions mechanism on Iran if it does not comply. 👉 The question is whether Iran will accept the entire agreement 🤔🤔. Currently, Iran claims to have lost trust after two rounds of negotiations interrupted by U.S. military actions, and Tehran suspects this is just a “trap” from the U.S.
The U.S. has proposed a month-long ceasefire, with a solution suggested by the U.S. to end the conflict with Iran, expected to be approved at 3 PM.

👉 The U.S. government, through Pakistan, has presented Iran with a plan consisting of 15 conditions (currently only about 13) to end the conflict, including:

1. Dissolution of existing nuclear capabilities
2. Commitment not to develop nuclear weapons,
3. Prohibition of uranium enrichment on its territory.
4. Transfer about 60% of the high-enriched uranium stockpile to the International Atomic Energy Agency
5. Dissolution of nuclear facilities in Natanz, Isfahan, and Fordow.
6. Allow the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) to conduct full inspections.
7. Require Iran to stop supporting armed groups of allies in the region, not to provide them or fund, command, and support weapons.
8. Limit the scale and range of the ballistic missile program.
9. The use of missiles is solely for defensive purposes.
10. Ensure the Strait of Hormuz remains open.

In return, Iran may be:

11. Completely lifting international sanctions.
12. The U.S. will support Iran's civilian nuclear program.
13. Allowing a "snap-back" sanctions mechanism on Iran if it does not comply.

👉 The question is whether Iran will accept the entire agreement 🤔🤔. Currently, Iran claims to have lost trust after two rounds of negotiations interrupted by U.S. military actions, and Tehran suspects this is just a “trap” from the U.S.
🚨 📉 🏦OFFICIAL NAMI "CLOSES" AUTOMATIC DEPOSIT/WITHDRAW – THE DOMINO WAVE SWEEPS ACROSS VIETNAMESE CRYPTO EXCHANGES! After the drama with ONUS, the "storm" of withdrawals has spread to Nami. Early this morning, this exchange had to issue an urgent notice about changes to transaction processing due to a sudden spike in requests. 🔥 Key points from Nami's announcement: 📍 Temporarily suspend automatic deposit/withdrawal: All transactions must now be manually reviewed by a team of experts to "ensure safety". 📍 Extended waiting time: Withdrawal requests may take from a few hours to a few days depending on the partner banking system and internal review processes. 📍 Liquidity commitment: Nami asserts that its capital remains stable, and delays are purely a technical operating issue under high load conditions. ⚠️ Important note: Nami is an exchange with a Vietnamese team but is not officially licensed by the Ministry of Finance.$USDC {spot}(USDCUSDT)
🚨 📉 🏦OFFICIAL NAMI "CLOSES" AUTOMATIC DEPOSIT/WITHDRAW – THE DOMINO WAVE SWEEPS ACROSS VIETNAMESE CRYPTO EXCHANGES!

After the drama with ONUS, the "storm" of withdrawals has spread to Nami. Early this morning, this exchange had to issue an urgent notice about changes to transaction processing due to a sudden spike in requests.

🔥 Key points from Nami's announcement:

📍 Temporarily suspend automatic deposit/withdrawal: All transactions must now be manually reviewed by a team of experts to "ensure safety".

📍 Extended waiting time: Withdrawal requests may take from a few hours to a few days depending on the partner banking system and internal review processes.

📍 Liquidity commitment: Nami asserts that its capital remains stable, and delays are purely a technical operating issue under high load conditions.

⚠️ Important note: Nami is an exchange with a Vietnamese team but is not officially licensed by the Ministry of Finance.$USDC
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Bearish
$NAORIS sometimes waiting is something very nice $NAORIS
$NAORIS sometimes waiting is something very nice $NAORIS
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