KaiZXBT
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A compilation of quality crypto research that you should read
Crypto is not just a short-term profit and loss story. Anyone who has been in the crypto market long enough understands: insight is more important than signals, and good research helps prevent falling into FOMO.
If you are:
> Want to understand where the money is going
> Want to grasp the narrative before it becomes a trend
> Or simply want to trade with more basis, not emotionally
Then below are 20 crypto research papers used by hardcore retail to large organizations; reading the research from these entities makes a noticeable difference.
If you are:
> Want to understand where the money is going
> Want to grasp the narrative before it becomes a trend
> Or simply want to trade with more basis, not emotionally
Then below are 20 crypto research papers used by hardcore retail to large organizations; reading the research from these entities makes a noticeable difference.
BINANCE IS BUYING 1 BILLION DOLLARS OF BITCOIN!
In the latest message from the world's largest cryptocurrency exchange, Binance announced plans to use 1 billion dollars of Stablecoin from the SAFU fund to buy BTC in the next 30 days.
The SAFU fund (short for Secure Asset Fund for Users) was established in July 2018 to protect users' assets in unexpected situations such as security breaches, hacker attacks, etc.
There are 2 more noteworthy points:
1⃣ The SAFU fund will be periodically rebalanced based on market value.
2⃣ If BTC drops, causing the fund to decrease to 800 million dollars, Binance will supplement it to reach the full amount of 1 billion dollars. Here, there are 2 points to note:
• In the case of BTC dropping about 20% on average over the next 30 days, there will be additional buying pressure for BTC from Binance.
• However, the article does not mention whether there will be selling to maintain the 1 billion dollars in BTC if the price of BTC increases.
As I understand it, Binance states that the SAFU fund is rebalanced, which means that if the price of BTC increases -> the SAFU Fund will sell BTC to maintain a reserve of 1 billion dollars in BTC.
In this bad market context, a few hundred million to buy BTC is already precious, let alone 1 billion dollars from Binance. I only hope that Binance will expand this 1 billion dollars into multiple billions in the future!
However, we should not expect that this news or buying pressure can bring the market back to a flourishing phase!
$BTC
In the latest message from the world's largest cryptocurrency exchange, Binance announced plans to use 1 billion dollars of Stablecoin from the SAFU fund to buy BTC in the next 30 days.
The SAFU fund (short for Secure Asset Fund for Users) was established in July 2018 to protect users' assets in unexpected situations such as security breaches, hacker attacks, etc.
There are 2 more noteworthy points:
1⃣ The SAFU fund will be periodically rebalanced based on market value.
2⃣ If BTC drops, causing the fund to decrease to 800 million dollars, Binance will supplement it to reach the full amount of 1 billion dollars. Here, there are 2 points to note:
• In the case of BTC dropping about 20% on average over the next 30 days, there will be additional buying pressure for BTC from Binance.
• However, the article does not mention whether there will be selling to maintain the 1 billion dollars in BTC if the price of BTC increases.
As I understand it, Binance states that the SAFU fund is rebalanced, which means that if the price of BTC increases -> the SAFU Fund will sell BTC to maintain a reserve of 1 billion dollars in BTC.
In this bad market context, a few hundred million to buy BTC is already precious, let alone 1 billion dollars from Binance. I only hope that Binance will expand this 1 billion dollars into multiple billions in the future!
However, we should not expect that this news or buying pressure can bring the market back to a flourishing phase!
$BTC
Polymarket has been blocked in Vietnam, which is not surprising as this platform can be considered a form of disguised betting.
The fact that Polymarket is banned in some countries like Portugal and recently in Vietnam makes it very difficult for the trend/narratives prediction market to achieve mass adoption like other trends.
Currently, if you are grinding airdrops for prediction market projects like Predictfun, Opnion, the likelihood is also high.
#predictons
The fact that Polymarket is banned in some countries like Portugal and recently in Vietnam makes it very difficult for the trend/narratives prediction market to achieve mass adoption like other trends.
Currently, if you are grinding airdrops for prediction market projects like Predictfun, Opnion, the likelihood is also high.
#predictons
How have airdrops changed? What do we need to do to adapt?
If you were in the market since 2020, you probably still remember the Uniswap airdrop of 400 UNI tokens for using the protocol, or in 2022, just minting an NFT on the Aptos testnet could earn you 3000 USD, or the largest and fairest airdrop in history from Arbitrum.
This could be considered the golden age of airdrops, do less, receive more.
But since then, airdrops have completely changed.
1. The airdrop era for real users.
In the early days of the crypto market, users did not approach protocols with the mindset of farming airdrops. Back then, people used them because the products were genuinely valuable and to understand the market.
This could be considered the golden age of airdrops, do less, receive more.
But since then, airdrops have completely changed.
1. The airdrop era for real users.
In the early days of the crypto market, users did not approach protocols with the mindset of farming airdrops. Back then, people used them because the products were genuinely valuable and to understand the market.
Bitcoin drops sharply as Gold investors take profits and AI stocks are sold off
The hope for a Bitcoin recovery at the beginning of 2026 has been completely extinguished as BTC has sharply dropped to its lowest level of the year, currently trading around 84,000 USD. Analysts believe this move is due to adjustments from reduced leverage in the futures market rather than selling pressure from the spot market and the influence of traditional finance.
The liquidation of futures contracts has pushed BTC to a new low.
The liquidation of futures contracts has pushed BTC to a new low.
What is the reason behind this extreme crash?
1) Excessive leverage & mass margin calls
Traders are using excessive leverage, 50x–100x in the futures market. Just a slight decrease has triggered liquidations, wiping out trillions of USD in profits.
2) Taking profits after an overheating cycle
Over the past 2 years, gold has increased by about 160%, and silver has risen nearly 380%. When prices have entered the overbought territory, it is inevitable for investors to take large profits.
3) Microsoft dragging the entire market down
MSFT shares fell by up to 11% in a single day due to weaker-than-expected cloud/AI growth figures, along with Morgan Stanley removing it from the priority stock list. This directly dragged down the Nasdaq and S&P 500.
4) Precious metals are in a bubble
Gold and silver are at the highest overbought levels in history. The market needs a reset to shake off weak hands.
In summary, there has been no policy change or war that triggered this crash. This is simply the unwind process after a hot growth period.
#dump
1) Excessive leverage & mass margin calls
Traders are using excessive leverage, 50x–100x in the futures market. Just a slight decrease has triggered liquidations, wiping out trillions of USD in profits.
2) Taking profits after an overheating cycle
Over the past 2 years, gold has increased by about 160%, and silver has risen nearly 380%. When prices have entered the overbought territory, it is inevitable for investors to take large profits.
3) Microsoft dragging the entire market down
MSFT shares fell by up to 11% in a single day due to weaker-than-expected cloud/AI growth figures, along with Morgan Stanley removing it from the priority stock list. This directly dragged down the Nasdaq and S&P 500.
4) Precious metals are in a bubble
Gold and silver are at the highest overbought levels in history. The market needs a reset to shake off weak hands.
In summary, there has been no policy change or war that triggered this crash. This is simply the unwind process after a hot growth period.
#dump
KaiZXBT
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Last night, the entire financial market witnessed a massive crash.
Gold dropped 8.2%, with the market capitalization evaporating by nearly 3,000 billion USD.
Silver plummeted 12.2%, wiping out about 760 billion USD in market capitalization.
The S&P 500 lost 1.23%, equivalent to 780 billion USD being erased.
Nasdaq fell more than 2.5%, taking away about 760 billion USD in market capitalization.
In just one hour, thousands of billion USD disappeared. Does anyone know the reason?
Gold dropped 8.2%, with the market capitalization evaporating by nearly 3,000 billion USD.
Silver plummeted 12.2%, wiping out about 760 billion USD in market capitalization.
The S&P 500 lost 1.23%, equivalent to 780 billion USD being erased.
Nasdaq fell more than 2.5%, taking away about 760 billion USD in market capitalization.
In just one hour, thousands of billion USD disappeared. Does anyone know the reason?
Last night, the entire financial market witnessed a massive crash.
Gold dropped 8.2%, with the market capitalization evaporating by nearly 3,000 billion USD.
Silver plummeted 12.2%, wiping out about 760 billion USD in market capitalization.
The S&P 500 lost 1.23%, equivalent to 780 billion USD being erased.
Nasdaq fell more than 2.5%, taking away about 760 billion USD in market capitalization.
In just one hour, thousands of billion USD disappeared. Does anyone know the reason?
Gold dropped 8.2%, with the market capitalization evaporating by nearly 3,000 billion USD.
Silver plummeted 12.2%, wiping out about 760 billion USD in market capitalization.
The S&P 500 lost 1.23%, equivalent to 780 billion USD being erased.
Nasdaq fell more than 2.5%, taking away about 760 billion USD in market capitalization.
In just one hour, thousands of billion USD disappeared. Does anyone know the reason?
Reasons why the USD has fallen to its lowest level in recent months
In recent days, the P2P exchange rate on crypto exchanges like Binance has dropped sharply, the reason for this is that the USD has fallen to its lowest level in 4 months due to pressures from monetary policy, geopolitics, and the simultaneous trend of diversifying global reserves.
P2P exchange rate on Binance
USD has weakened significantly since the beginning of 2026
At the end of January 2026, the USD entered a clearly weakening phase. Specifically, in January, the US dollar decreased by about 1.5%, extending its decline of over 9% since 2025, the strongest drop since 2017. This trend reflects changes in monetary policy, market expectations, and global capital flows.
P2P exchange rate on Binance
USD has weakened significantly since the beginning of 2026
At the end of January 2026, the USD entered a clearly weakening phase. Specifically, in January, the US dollar decreased by about 1.5%, extending its decline of over 9% since 2025, the strongest drop since 2017. This trend reflects changes in monetary policy, market expectations, and global capital flows.
Analysis $PUMP : The meme coin market is bustling, revenue surpassing 2.3 million USD
PUMP is recording good growth as the memecoin wave returns, with some notable memecoins like PENGUIN, WHITEWHALE,..
1. Revenue and fees surge dramatically
Revenue from launchpad activities and meme coin transactions on Pump.fun has surged, reaching 2.32 million USD at the beginning of the week, compared to 2.02 million USD the day before and only 1.18 million USD at the end of the previous week. Previously, the platform recorded a low of 869,000 USD on January 3rd, but quickly recovered and maintained above the 1 million USD mark just after two days.
Along with that, total transaction fees and meme token creation fees also exploded over 21%, reaching 5.4 million USD, indicating that speculative demand is strongly shifting towards high-volatility assets.
This revenue is used by Pump.fun to implement the PUMP token buyback program, reducing circulating supply and allocating the remainder for staking, thereby increasing value for holders.
2. Technical analysis
On the daily frame, PUMP maintains a support level of 0.003 USD with RSI staying above 60, reflecting that the short-term uptrend still prevails. MACD continues to be above the signal line, opening up the possibility for the price to test the resistance level of 0.00339 USD. If successful, the next target could be the 0.004 USD area. However, the risk of correction still exists if profit-taking pressure increases.
#memecoin
PUMP is recording good growth as the memecoin wave returns, with some notable memecoins like PENGUIN, WHITEWHALE,..
1. Revenue and fees surge dramatically
Revenue from launchpad activities and meme coin transactions on Pump.fun has surged, reaching 2.32 million USD at the beginning of the week, compared to 2.02 million USD the day before and only 1.18 million USD at the end of the previous week. Previously, the platform recorded a low of 869,000 USD on January 3rd, but quickly recovered and maintained above the 1 million USD mark just after two days.
Along with that, total transaction fees and meme token creation fees also exploded over 21%, reaching 5.4 million USD, indicating that speculative demand is strongly shifting towards high-volatility assets.
This revenue is used by Pump.fun to implement the PUMP token buyback program, reducing circulating supply and allocating the remainder for staking, thereby increasing value for holders.
2. Technical analysis
On the daily frame, PUMP maintains a support level of 0.003 USD with RSI staying above 60, reflecting that the short-term uptrend still prevails. MACD continues to be above the signal line, opening up the possibility for the price to test the resistance level of 0.00339 USD. If successful, the next target could be the 0.004 USD area. However, the risk of correction still exists if profit-taking pressure increases.
#memecoin
Common mistakes of traders when first entering the crypto market
These are my personal experiences over nearly 5 years in the market; back then, if I had known and done these things, I probably wouldn't have lost so much money.
1. Using too much capital while not being fully equipped with the necessary knowledge.
You participate in the crypto market, of course, you want to make a lot of money, but the knowledge is not equivalent.
1. Using too much capital while not being fully equipped with the necessary knowledge.
You participate in the crypto market, of course, you want to make a lot of money, but the knowledge is not equivalent.
The important data you need to check before trading
This can be called the conclusions drawn from trading experience as well as the data I've observed, I spent 5 years accumulating it and you only take 5 seconds to save it.
If you find it interesting, don't hesitate to give me a like and a follow.
1. Derivative data Open Interest & Funding Rate
OI decreases but the funding rate is not too negative → Not a strong short signal, it might just be a temporary panic sell.
OI increases significantly but the price stays flat → It could be accumulation or a leverage trap before a major move.
If you find it interesting, don't hesitate to give me a like and a follow.
1. Derivative data Open Interest & Funding Rate
OI decreases but the funding rate is not too negative → Not a strong short signal, it might just be a temporary panic sell.
OI increases significantly but the price stays flat → It could be accumulation or a leverage trap before a major move.
How to find the right smart money wallets for memecoin trading
The recent time for memecoins like PENGUIN WHITEWHALE has shown impressive growth, and some traders have changed their lives thanks to these memecoins. Although this story is somewhat similar to buying lottery tickets, who knows, one lucky day we might be the ones who win.
To find and detect these memecoins early, following smart money wallets, wallets with high PNL, and buying accordingly will greatly increase our chances of success. Here are the detailed steps to search for such wallets.
To find and detect these memecoins early, following smart money wallets, wallets with high PNL, and buying accordingly will greatly increase our chances of success. Here are the detailed steps to search for such wallets.
Whales bottom fishing $ZEC is the narrative of Privacy coming back?
Whales are accumulating strongly as prices fall
According to data from Nansen, the top 100 wallet holders have increased their holdings by 8.85%, equivalent to approximately 42,623 ZEC. Other large wallet groups also reported increases of more than 5.06% in quantity. This trend indicates that whales are actively bottom fishing. At the same time, ZEC's trading volume increased by 43% to nearly 500 million dollars according to Coinmarketcap, reflecting a return of demand.
Derivative data reinforces bullish prospects
In the derivatives market, CoinGlass data shows that long positions are heavily concentrated around the $325.1 zone, while shorts are mainly in the $365.1 area. The total value of leveraged long positions reached $7.37 million, higher than the $5.45 million held by shorts, indicating that bullish expectations are prevailing.
ZEC is testing a key support zone
ZEC is currently trading around $350, up about 7% on the day. The major support zone at $320 continues to hold firm; this is the fourth time the price has retested this level since the growth in 10/2025. The last time the price touched this zone, it always increased.
Technical analysis and commentary
The Money Flow Index (MFI) has exited the oversold area and risen to 37.76, indicating that buying pressure is improving. However, ZEC is still below the 50-day EMA, suggesting that the downtrend has not completely ended.
#Privacy
Whales are accumulating strongly as prices fall
According to data from Nansen, the top 100 wallet holders have increased their holdings by 8.85%, equivalent to approximately 42,623 ZEC. Other large wallet groups also reported increases of more than 5.06% in quantity. This trend indicates that whales are actively bottom fishing. At the same time, ZEC's trading volume increased by 43% to nearly 500 million dollars according to Coinmarketcap, reflecting a return of demand.
Derivative data reinforces bullish prospects
In the derivatives market, CoinGlass data shows that long positions are heavily concentrated around the $325.1 zone, while shorts are mainly in the $365.1 area. The total value of leveraged long positions reached $7.37 million, higher than the $5.45 million held by shorts, indicating that bullish expectations are prevailing.
ZEC is testing a key support zone
ZEC is currently trading around $350, up about 7% on the day. The major support zone at $320 continues to hold firm; this is the fourth time the price has retested this level since the growth in 10/2025. The last time the price touched this zone, it always increased.
Technical analysis and commentary
The Money Flow Index (MFI) has exited the oversold area and risen to 37.76, indicating that buying pressure is improving. However, ZEC is still below the 50-day EMA, suggesting that the downtrend has not completely ended.
#Privacy
The project is increasingly allocating less for airdrops - How can farmers adapt?
If previously a 10% pool for airdrops was the standard for many projects, currently that portion is no more than 5%. Notable examples include:
• Monad: 3.3%
• Fogo: 1.5%
• Sentient: 4%
• Zama: 2%
• ETHGas: lock 4 years
However, there are still a few projects that airdrop large quantities or have allocations over 10%:
• Aster
• Seeker
• Lighter
• Hyperliquid
• Trump Game
However, finding the right opportunities like the above is very difficult, along with a bit of luck, and these projects often require a long time or very strict criteria, resulting in a small number of farmers.
For example, Perp Dex has an airdrop pool of 20 to 25%. But it requires a lot of money, and participants must choose correctly and enter early.
As for Seeker or Trump, for some reason, they outright refuse Vietnamese members. And the inevitable consequence is that the airdrop is very good.
Moreover, the emergence of Binance Alpha, Yap, InfoFi further shrinks the airdrop pool for Testnet participants. Money flows entirely into the pockets of KOLs and high-level farmers.
So how can we adapt to the current situation:
• The most obvious criterion: The more popular the opportunity, the less appealing it is, especially avoid opportunities that Vietnamese members flock to, as easy tasks often lack selectivity. Thus, airdrops will be hard to yield good results.
• During a sluggish market, with fewer farmers, many good opportunities appear. The pool remains the same, but with fewer participants, the airdrops will become larger.
• InfoFi is no longer available, and Binance Alpha is also gradually cooling down. I believe the airdrop pool will gradually return to the participants, but it will take time.
• Choose to farm projects based on your own criteria, focusing on what you believe is right.
• Be patient with the market + lucky prayers to the ancestors.
#Airdrop
If previously a 10% pool for airdrops was the standard for many projects, currently that portion is no more than 5%. Notable examples include:
• Monad: 3.3%
• Fogo: 1.5%
• Sentient: 4%
• Zama: 2%
• ETHGas: lock 4 years
However, there are still a few projects that airdrop large quantities or have allocations over 10%:
• Aster
• Seeker
• Lighter
• Hyperliquid
• Trump Game
However, finding the right opportunities like the above is very difficult, along with a bit of luck, and these projects often require a long time or very strict criteria, resulting in a small number of farmers.
For example, Perp Dex has an airdrop pool of 20 to 25%. But it requires a lot of money, and participants must choose correctly and enter early.
As for Seeker or Trump, for some reason, they outright refuse Vietnamese members. And the inevitable consequence is that the airdrop is very good.
Moreover, the emergence of Binance Alpha, Yap, InfoFi further shrinks the airdrop pool for Testnet participants. Money flows entirely into the pockets of KOLs and high-level farmers.
So how can we adapt to the current situation:
• The most obvious criterion: The more popular the opportunity, the less appealing it is, especially avoid opportunities that Vietnamese members flock to, as easy tasks often lack selectivity. Thus, airdrops will be hard to yield good results.
• During a sluggish market, with fewer farmers, many good opportunities appear. The pool remains the same, but with fewer participants, the airdrops will become larger.
• InfoFi is no longer available, and Binance Alpha is also gradually cooling down. I believe the airdrop pool will gradually return to the participants, but it will take time.
• Choose to farm projects based on your own criteria, focusing on what you believe is right.
• Be patient with the market + lucky prayers to the ancestors.
#Airdrop
Large financial organizations continue to bet on Ethereum despite stagnant prices: CEO of SharpLink
Joseph Chalom, former Director of Digital Asset Strategy at BlackRock and now CEO of SharpLink, stated that major financial institutions are quietly placing strong bets on Ethereum as the global infrastructure for asset tokenization, despite the gloomy price developments.
He identified 3 main drivers that could boost Ethereum's activity, including:
- CEO of BlackRock views Ethereum as the toll station for RWA
- Stablecoins and RWA tokens existing on Ethereum are leading, 10 times more than the second blockchain, Solana
- Ethereum has advantages in security and liquidity instead of choosing a fast and cheap blockchain
#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
Joseph Chalom, former Director of Digital Asset Strategy at BlackRock and now CEO of SharpLink, stated that major financial institutions are quietly placing strong bets on Ethereum as the global infrastructure for asset tokenization, despite the gloomy price developments.
He identified 3 main drivers that could boost Ethereum's activity, including:
- CEO of BlackRock views Ethereum as the toll station for RWA
- Stablecoins and RWA tokens existing on Ethereum are leading, 10 times more than the second blockchain, Solana
- Ethereum has advantages in security and liquidity instead of choosing a fast and cheap blockchain
#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
Where does the revenue of crypto projects come from?
It can be seen that in recent years, the development of the crypto industry has forced web3 projects to change, as they must prove that their projects have real products, solve problems, and generate revenue if they want to exist long-term in a high-risk environment like the crypto market.
Because whether it is Web2 or Web3, the operational essence remains the same: money is needed to develop products, maintain teams, market, audit security, and pay for infrastructure…
Because whether it is Web2 or Web3, the operational essence remains the same: money is needed to develop products, maintain teams, market, audit security, and pay for infrastructure…
How to Know Where Cash Flow is Going? What Trend/Narrative is the Crypto Market Having?
For most of the day trading brothers, profits mainly come from choosing the right coins that have cash flow and narrative. When cash flow focuses on a specific sector, that sector will outperform the other coins in the market.
However, there is one problem: how to know which narrative the market is currently experiencing? It is not simple to determine which sector cash flow is pouring into.
This article will help you recognize that through some signs.
However, there is one problem: how to know which narrative the market is currently experiencing? It is not simple to determine which sector cash flow is pouring into.
This article will help you recognize that through some signs.
Japan is accelerating its roadmap for the approval of crypto ETFs by 2028.
Japan is speeding up the roadmap for approving crypto ETFs, aiming for before 2028. According to analysis, this will pave the way for major financial institutions to participate in crypto, as has happened in the U.S.,
Corporations like Nomura and SBI Holdings are seen as the top candidates for the first crypto ETFs, indicating that Japan is shifting from cautious oversight to proactively integrating crypto into the traditional financial system. Despite having previously implemented strict regulations following incidents, Japan remains a pioneering country in recognizing Bitcoin and crypto as legal payment methods.
According to sources, Japan prioritizes long-term considerations, perfecting the legal framework for custody, pricing, and transparency of information, rather than hastily opening up based on studies of previous ETFs like those in the U.S. and Europe.
Japan is speeding up the roadmap for approving crypto ETFs, aiming for before 2028. According to analysis, this will pave the way for major financial institutions to participate in crypto, as has happened in the U.S.,
Corporations like Nomura and SBI Holdings are seen as the top candidates for the first crypto ETFs, indicating that Japan is shifting from cautious oversight to proactively integrating crypto into the traditional financial system. Despite having previously implemented strict regulations following incidents, Japan remains a pioneering country in recognizing Bitcoin and crypto as legal payment methods.
According to sources, Japan prioritizes long-term considerations, perfecting the legal framework for custody, pricing, and transparency of information, rather than hastily opening up based on studies of previous ETFs like those in the U.S. and Europe.
Good news for holder $LINK
On-chain data from Santiment shows that about 100 top LINK whales are increasing their accumulation of LINK as the price drops below the $13 mark.
In contrast to this movement, retail investors tend to sell in the context of a gloomy market and widespread FUD concerns about a new downtrend.
This accumulation reflects long-term confidence in the fundamentals of Chainlink, especially as CME Group is expected to launch Chainlink futures contracts next month, indicating increasing institutional demand.
On-chain data from Santiment shows that about 100 top LINK whales are increasing their accumulation of LINK as the price drops below the $13 mark.
In contrast to this movement, retail investors tend to sell in the context of a gloomy market and widespread FUD concerns about a new downtrend.
This accumulation reflects long-term confidence in the fundamentals of Chainlink, especially as CME Group is expected to launch Chainlink futures contracts next month, indicating increasing institutional demand.
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