Many people still don't know about Binance's new features, and the private chat channel has been open for several days now.
How to operate: ① Open the 【Binance APP】 and click the 'three horizontal lines' in the upper left corner of the homepage. ② Then click 'Scan' in the upper right corner. ③ Scan the QR code to add me as a friend.
Brothers, if you want to chat about contract trends, ask about strategies, or discuss opportunities in the future, you can directly private message me. I don't open positions frequently, about 1-3 times a day; follow my lead, and we can chat while watching the market, so you don't miss any take-off signals!
Good evening, brothers. Let's take a look at the news. Yesterday, the unemployment rate exceeded expectations, reaching a new high in nearly four years. Logically, this should be positive news, but BTC barely moved. The reason is simple: there are two more risks this week, and funds have preemptively hedged.
Both of these events will bring about significant volatility.
Tomorrow night at 21:30, the CPI will be announced. If it's above expectations, it's clearly negative; if it's below expectations, it's clearly positive.
On Friday, whether the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates: a 25bp hike (about 70% probability) meets expectations and has little impact. The recent decline has already largely reflected this, but a hike of ≥50bp (about 30% probability) would clearly be negative for BTC, which could drop below 82,000, resulting in a downward spike.
One thing is certain: the closer we get to these two time points, the more fragile BTC becomes, and panic will be infinitely amplified. There's a possibility of a short-term drop below 85,000, and Ethereum falling below 2,900.
However, if the CPI is positive and Japan's interest rate hike finally happens, the market is expected to recover quickly. It's not a dream for BTC to regain 90,000.
In this kind of volatile and event-driven market, the most common mistake is to be forced by emotions to sell at the bottom.
My strategy is very simple: don't chase, don't panic, keep good ammo, and when the real black swan arrives, you will still have the qualification to buy at the bottom. Many people get liquidated, but the cycle only rewards those who remain calm.
Ethereum 2915-2950 has been closed out, continuing to the next order
Today I am online watching the market for short-term Ethereum trades, is anyone joining?
加密货币蟹老板
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I shout orders in the square, and I will definitely call all my friends to get in. I cherish every opportunity to shout orders; a 90% margin increase will be effective.
4 pictures are not my limit, they are Binance's limit.
Ethereum 2915-2950 has surplus for margin increase.
I shout orders in the square, and I will definitely call all my friends to get in. I cherish every opportunity to shout orders; a 90% margin increase will be effective.
4 pictures are not my limit, they are Binance's limit.
Ethereum 2915-2950 has surplus for margin increase.
加密货币蟹老板
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December 17th first order
Open a long position at the market price of Ethereum, focusing on margin trading
The 25 years are about to end, and this round of market activity started in July, showing a roller coaster trend. Many people have cried and laughed; I hope everyone understands that position management is what truly determines whether you can survive long-term.
Many people think that position control is just about how much money is invested, but in fact, position management is about emotions. When fully invested and faced with a large bearish candle, emotions will inevitably collapse. To maintain emotional stability, a steady mindset, consistent operations, and naturally good results.
Those who truly know how to manage positions move at a very slow pace; in reality, slow is fast, which is why you see that I don't open positions frequently.
Many people think that with small funds, they don't need management, but in fact, they need position management even more because position is strategy; technique is merely tactics. Once you understand position allocation, you have truly stepped through the door of trading.
This set of data essentially boils down to one sentence: deliberately muddying the waters.
The non-farm payrolls for August and September were revised down by 33,000, indicating that the narrative of strong employment in the earlier period has been discredited. The October data is directly missing, while November has been singled out to show an increase of 64,000. Time has been fragmented, the criteria adjusted, and the conclusions delayed. When you look ahead, the data appears weak, but if you only look at November, it seems to be warming up.
How to interpret this? It all makes sense, depending on what story you want to tell.
This is the current data dilemma: It's not about how good employment is, but rather about not allowing you to see how bad employment really is, leaving the Federal Reserve with room for maneuver and the market with space for emotional fluctuations.
In summary: Data is not for judging direction; it is for stabilizing expectations and buying time. Brothers, remember, the real turning point is never in the reports, but at the moment when policy is forced to change.