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This week's U.S. stock market feels divided and in transition, with a calm surface hiding turbulent undercurrents.

As for Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies this week, their performance can be described as somewhat awkward.

The best-performing assets this week were gold and silver, with gold prices approaching $5000 and silver breaking the $100 mark for the first time in history. Normally, Bitcoin is often seen as digital gold, but unfortunately, it failed to ride the wave of safe-haven appeal, especially amid geopolitical tensions (the situation in Iran) and a weakening dollar. Bitcoin and Ethereum merely rebounded during the day before retreating, failing to generate a decent independent trend. It seems that capital is more inclined to flow into traditional precious metals rather than cryptocurrencies.

The macro analysis of the market is as follows:
1. Capital is quietly relocating; although the S&P 500 index is basically flat and the Nasdaq has seen a slight increase, there is a very concerning signal aside from the indices: capital is massively fleeing the U.S. stock market. According to Bank of America data, nearly $17 billion flowed out of U.S. stocks this week. So where did the money go? It has all gone to European and Japanese stock funds, and even to emerging market safe havens.

2. Policy risk has become the biggest variable; the main reason for market volatility this week was not economic data, but rather policy chaos. Trump one moment says he wants to buy Greenland and threatens to impose tariffs on Europe, the next he wants to sanction Iraq and even threatens to cut off Iraq's dollar supply. This weaponization of the dollar has directly led to a decrease in market trust in dollar assets. The result is a sharp decline in the dollar index, marking the largest single-day drop since August of last year, and even the worst weekly performance since April of last year.

3. The biggest variable in the market is next week's Federal Reserve meeting, but market expectations are very confused. Originally, everyone anticipated a rate cut, but it now seems the first rate cut may be delayed. Even more dramatic is that Trump could nominate a new Federal Reserve chairman at any time, with BlackRock executive Rieder becoming a frontrunner. This uncertainty regarding personnel and policy has left the market in a state of anxious anticipation for the next shoe to drop.

The logic of the market has completely become chaotic this week. On one side, gold is approaching $5000, and silver has surpassed $100, while on the other side, the dollar has recorded the worst weekly decline since April of last year, and Bitcoin has dropped below $90,000.

Behind this disorder lies a problem of trust. On the surface, U.S. stocks are still rising, but capital is actually flowing toward Europe and Japan. Even Europe's largest pension fund has started to significantly reduce its holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds.

What makes the market even more uneasy is that the U.S., in order to counterbalance Iran, has directly threatened to cut off the dollar supply to Iraq. This move weaponizes the 'dollar clearing rights,' breaking a certain civilizational tacit agreement, leading to a sell-off of the dollar while safe-haven assets have reached their peak.

Next week, the Federal Reserve's decision is approaching, and Trump's new chairperson candidate is full of uncertainties. All these uncertainties are converging and exploding at this moment. It seems that the market may need a real shock to calm this noisy world down again. $BTC

To receive a reward of more than 20% on the USD1 placed as collateral in the contract or leveraged account, it should be enough to open a small contract position with the unified margin for contracts. I have divided it into two accounts and will check tomorrow if the earnings in this account have increased.

The USD1 investment is about to end, and just as I was about to exit USD1, I found that it had actually increased?
It turns out that Binance has extended the activity again, with super doubling, and the reward is 40 million USD in WLFI. Based on the scale of USD1, estimated at 3 billion USD, the annualized return is roughly between 16% and 24%. No wonder the price surged right after the announcement; those who participated in the investment not only received interest but also enjoyed a premium...

This time there is no limit, and it counts for spot, funds, leverage, and contracts, with collateral assets having a 1.2 times boost.

Considering that many tokens may still be on-chain or trapped on other platforms, the actual amount of funds participating in the distribution may be less than 3 billion USD, so the previous returns will need to be doubled, which is even more powerful than the previous phase's 20% activity.

The activity has started counting snapshots from today, with rewards distributed once a week. Well, it seems that I don't need to exit USD1 and can continue mining it 😂

$USD1

Gold and silver have surged again; what happened to digital gold BTC?
Behind this market crash lies an even greater risk. Everyone is focused on Trump's harsh words on Greenland or the threat of tariffs, but the real epicenter is in Japan. The 40-year government bond yield in Tokyo has directly broken through the 4% mark, which hasn't happened in decades. As the world's largest creditor nation, if Japan's long-term interest rates get out of control, it means the overall valve of global liquidity is being forcibly tightened.

Why has gold surged again?
Denmark's pension funds have started to take the lead in selling U.S. Treasuries, and European countries are beginning to discuss using the $10 trillion of U.S. assets they hold as capital weapons to retaliate. Gold has become the only zero credit risk asset in the eyes of global central banks and risk-averse investors.

Why has Bitcoin become a weak point?
Bitcoin has dropped below $90,000 this time, primarily because it is still regarded as a long-term risk asset in the face of an extreme liquidity crisis. The surge in Japanese long-term bond yields means that the world's cheapest arbitrage funding pool is drying up. When institutions engaged in yen arbitrage discover that their backyard is on fire, the first assets they sell are highly liquid and highly volatile cryptocurrencies.

Bitcoin is far from being able to take on the defensive banner in place of gold. Its sensitivity to U.S. dollar liquidity even exceeds that of Nasdaq. When VVIX moves before VIX, smart money is already pricing this uncertainty in the options market. Here, Bitcoin resembles a liquidity siphon rather than a safe haven.

If Bitcoin drops below $90,000 due to long-term capital withdrawal triggered by the return of Japanese funds, what we need to guard against is not the fluctuations of the next day or two, but the downward shift of the entire cryptocurrency market valuation system.
$BTC

Binance has also ramped up stock trading, with a minimum wear of about 0.2 to 0.5 U for 5 points

The entry is in [Wallet Home] -> [Stock Tokens]

Select any stock token and click [Trade]

Supports wallet balance, exchange balance, and professional mode

You can trade stock tokens with a single order ≥ 50 USDT/USDC

📌 Points will be displayed before the end of the next day
⚠️ Limited to Binance users without a private key wallet

Everyone finally remembers the fear of being dominated by Trump. In the past, when the market fell, it always felt like someone was there to support, but now looking back, Trump is planting explosives. Gold and silver are skyrocketing in front, while US stocks, bonds, and the dollar are collectively plummeting behind. This is basically a coordinated withdrawal from American assets; the previous mindless buying of US assets formula has completely failed.

On Monday, the US stock market was closed, building up frustration, and when it opens tonight, it is expected to crash again. The counterattack plan from Europe is already on the table, and Trump has directly locked in tariffs and national security. This ironclad attitude of wanting to confront head-on has left traders feeling half frozen. As Trump continues to go mad, US stocks will still fall, and the hope that he will kneel down at lightning speed may be dashed.

The Federal Reserve is now in a dilemma, simply playing dead. Coming out to put out the fire risks being scolded, while staying out means the market is suffocating quickly. Added to that is the Supreme Court's ruling on tariffs, which is like a sword hanging over us. No matter how the final judgment goes, this fire is definitely going to ignite.

Currently, Bitcoin still behaves more like a risk asset, moving down alongside US stock futures. This indicates that in the face of an extreme systemic crisis, large funds' first reaction is still to flow back to traditional physical safe-haven assets. For BTC to explode like gold, it will have to wait until the market enters the latter stage of the "sovereign credit crisis," which is when people truly begin to doubt the US dollar payment system.

$BTC

The well-known AI advertising giant AppLovin in the U.S. stock market has been exposed as a money laundering hub for Southeast Asian telecom fraud.

A sensational news has emerged in the U.S. stock circle. The AI advertising giant AppLovin, which was originally praised by everyone, has been revealed to be the money laundering hub for a Southeast Asian telecom fraud group. The glamorous facade of this Nasdaq star company is actually a chain of black market profit.

The blood and sweat money extracted from the telecom fraud parks in northern Myanmar and Cambodia has been accurately injected into AppLovin's financial reports through cryptocurrency channels. It has been packaged into a myth of AI growth with annual performance doubling.

Let's take a look at how this money laundering scheme operates. The black market bosses in the telecom fraud parks first exchange the illicit funds for USDT or Bitcoin. Then, through platforms like Byex Exchange, they use the so-called powdering and funneling techniques to scatter large assets into thousands of anonymous wallets, making on-chain tracking tools completely clueless. Next, this money flows to WOWNOW, a super app in Cambodia. This app plays a key role as the payment gateway in the chain. It disguises cryptocurrency assets as legitimate advertising budgets and generously pays advertising fees to the AppLovin platform.

On AppLovin's side, they are also very cooperative. They do not conduct any strict customer background checks. They directly recognize this black money as legitimate software revenue. To make the fund flow back more concealed, what’s even scarier is that the shell companies associated with the Prince Group are not only advertisers but also control applications that receive traffic. They use AppLovin's system to play a game of back and forth. Here, they pay high advertising fees, while on the other side, they settle the money back to overseas accounts controlled by the criminal group in the name of developer revenue sharing, allowing the funds to be laundered right under Nasdaq's nose.

Pony.ai, Horizon Robotics, WeRide, MiniMax, and Anthropic, these 5 companies founded by former Baidu employees now have the following market values:

On January 16, Baidu's market value was approximately 398.4 billion HKD
Horizon Robotics, 137.728 billion HKD
MiniMax, 131.288 billion HKD
Pony.ai, 54.583 billion HKD
WeRide, 24.656 billion HKD
Anthropic, valuation has soared to 350 billion USD

Baidu's current situation only proves that the company will eventually go bankrupt; those who are capable have left, and those who remain are mediocre. Baidu's AI products are still a pile of garbage. One fan who left Baidu commented that when gathered, it's a pile of garbage, but when scattered, it's a sky full of stars.

Mainland China has started strict inspections of overseas income again. Can profits from cryptocurrency trading really be exempt from the law? Let's correct a few misconceptions:

1. Paying taxes does not equal recognizing legality. The 2,000 ETH collected from Yao Qian was still investigated.

Don't think that the state does not recognize cryptocurrency trading, so you don't have to pay taxes. In the eyes of tax law, whether the source is legal or not does not affect the right to levy taxes. This large-scale tax investigation is not just about increasing fiscal revenue; it also aims to prevent capital flight. Taxation is a confirmation of property, not an endorsement of behavior. The state does not encourage virtual currency trading but recognizes cryptocurrency assets as wealth.

2. How was it discovered that there was overseas income? Will cryptocurrency trading be investigated?
Currently, the penetration targeting overseas income mainly relies on:
- Chinese-funded Hong Kong and U.S. stock brokers: Comprehensive information penetration has been achieved, which belongs to a precise strike zone, and small accounts are also hard to escape.
- CRS (Common Reporting Standard): Your overseas bank account balance, interest income, and transfers.
- Large overseas expenditures: Consumption profiles generated through passport information, high-value insurance policies, or real estate.

However, China has not yet conducted large-scale inspections specifically targeting cryptocurrency profits. Income data from cryptocurrency trading may come from overseas bank statements + exchange profit data + domestic OTC records, which can only be cross-verified, making it extremely difficult. So theoretically, it can be traced, but this part mainly relies on self-assessment, and currently, there is no risk.

3. Will exchanges sell my data? Will I be pursued for repayment in the future?
First, it is necessary to clarify that there have not yet been large-scale investigations targeting cryptocurrency profits. In the current public cases, there are very few special tax supplements for cryptocurrencies, far less common than overseas securities accounts and CRS financial accounts.

The reason is that cryptocurrency transactions often occur on foreign exchanges like Binance, and it is difficult for the Chinese tax bureau to directly obtain transaction data (CRS currently has limited coverage for cryptocurrency assets, and although the CARF framework is being promoted, China's participation and implementation timeline remain uncertain).
However, the risk is rising. If large amounts of RMB are withdrawn after making profits (through over-the-counter transactions, bank cards, Alipay, etc.), the troublesome aspect of the Golden Tax Phase IV is that it can trace back your wealth source through abnormal capital flows. If you cannot explain it clearly, you may face not only a 20% personal income tax repayment but also potential legal risks related to money laundering or illegal operations.

Have you received a call from the tax bureau? Feel free to share in the comments section.

Musk sent Kaito to the guillotine, yet Kaito still thought about enjoying a delicious last meal, with the bill once again being paid by you.

The most ironic part of the entire incident is that Kaito was still thinking about this "last meal" before his execution. On the eve when API access was revoked, on-chain data shows that as early as 11 days before the announcement (January 4th), the team's associated multi-signature wallet transferred 5 million tokens of $KAITO (approximately $2.7 million) to a Binance-related address. $KAITO

After the announcement, founder Yu Hu also admitted to having communicated with X's side. This means while you were staying up all night tweeting to earn points, the team had already known everything and completed their high-price sell-off in advance.

Building in someone else's backyard, the timing of dismantling the fence depends entirely on the owner's mood. When X decided it could no longer tolerate these projects that leveraged its traffic to grow, the so-called decentralized vision proved as fragile as a blank sheet of paper in front of the centralized platform's API. But perhaps it's for the best—now X might finally be a bit quieter.

According to CryptoQuant's '2025 Exchange Report,' the global crypto market is undergoing an unprecedented 'siphon effect': Binance has officially evolved into a liquidity black hole for global crypto assets, demonstrating a dominant, breakaway-level supremacy across all core metrics.

1. The 'Absolute Dominant' in Trading Markets
In the spot market, Binance's trading volume in 2025 approached $7 trillion, capturing 41% of the top ten exchanges' share, a scale 4.6 times larger than second-place Bybit. This means that regardless of market volatility, Binance consistently offers the lowest slippage across the network. In the derivatives market, Binance has become the 'heart' of Bitcoin trading, with a turnover of $25.4 trillion—exceeding the combined total of OKX and Bybit.

2. Capital Reserves: From Catching Up to Crushing
The most remarkable development is the shift in asset dominance. Binance's total reserves have reached $117 billion, approximately 45% higher than the veteran compliant giant Coinbase. Particularly in stablecoin reserves, Binance holds $47.6 billion (USDT + USDC), five times that of OKX. This extreme capital density is not only a moat for security but also the core reason institutional traders cannot afford to leave Binance.

3. Competitive Landscape: Evolution into a Single Superpower with Multiple Strong Players
Although OKX has maintained its position through its Web3 wallet ecosystem, and Coinbase continues its compliant edge via acquisitions of Deribit and the Base chain, in pure liquidity competition, Binance has built a fully integrated closed-loop system.

The rise of Binance Alpha was the key differentiator in 2025. It acts like a supercharged turbocharger, continuously funneling traffic and capital into the core spot and futures markets. In the crypto world, liquidity begets more liquidity—Binance's scale effect is turning it into a financial gravitational field too large to ignore.

#bnb

USD1 wealth management hasn't ended yet, dropping from a premium to below 1, at this point Lista's value becomes evident

CZ Appears at Binance Square Chinese AMA Key Points:
1. Macro Insight: The market is transitioning from a four-year halving cycle to a 'super cycle.' Driven by macro political tailwinds such as the US election, its scale has surpassed the halving effect. CZ firmly believes BTC will eventually reach $200,000, urging investors to adopt a strategic long-term mindset.
2. Sector Analysis: 90% of Meme coins face a risk of zero value; true vitality stems from cultural depth rather than traffic manipulation. The prediction market is still in its early stages, constrained by insufficient liquidity and unclear regulatory boundaries.
3. AI Revolution: AI is the core productivity driver in the crypto industry. It can exponentially increase development efficiency (e.g., producing the equivalent of 7 years of code in 1 year), shorten protocol iteration cycles, and propel the BNB ecosystem into a dApp boom phase.
4. Platform Advantage: Compared to X (Twitter), Binance Square's moat lies in its 100% KYC foundation. This shortens the path from social interaction to financial transactions, overcoming the compliance and payment bottlenecks that traditional social platforms struggle to address.
5. Compliance Evolution: Compliance is a survival requirement for the industry, not a barrier. Projects should adopt a global compliance mindset from day one and proactively mitigate systemic risks.
6. Risk-Avoidance Advice: Beginners should avoid high-leverage contracts to safeguard their principal; KOLs should focus on human credibility and trust-based businesses that AI cannot easily replicate, choosing partnerships with long-term platforms.

CZ emphasizes maintaining rationality amid drastic market shifts, leveraging AI and compliance as growth levers, and returning to value creation.

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