Operation direction: Wait and see or lightly short
The current market is in a weak consolidation pattern, with bears slightly dominant, but downward space is limited.
It is recommended to wait for clearer trend signals before increasing position operations.
Suggested entry price:
Short: 82500-83000 USDT (close to resistance level)
Long: 79000-80000 USDT (close to support level)
Trading reasons:
Technical indicator signals: Moving averages in bearish arrangement, KDJ death cross, short-term bearish.
Capital signal: Long positions are dominant, but market sentiment has not reached extreme levels, posing a risk of pullback.
Market structure signals: The current price is near the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, with uncertain short-term direction and slight bearish dominance.
Position Management
Recommended leverage: 10x (based on current volatility of 2.21%)
High leverage (>30x) carries extremely high risks, it is recommended to avoid using it.
Single position: It is recommended to use 20% of the principal, i.e., 14 USDT.
Position building method: Gradually build positions
First: 15% of the principal, i.e., 10.5 USDT
Additional: 15% of the principal, i.e., 10.5 USDT (increase position after market confirmation)
Take profit and stop-loss settings
Stop-loss price:
Short: 84100 USDT (upper resistance level + volatility)
Long: 78500 USDT (lower support level - volatility)
Maximum loss: no more than 2% of total capital, i.e., 1.4 USDT.
Take profit price:
Short: 80000 USDT (close to support level)
Long: 82500 USDT (close to resistance level)
Expected return: 4%-6%.
Risk control requirements
Profit and stop-loss strategy to ensure capital safety.
Summary: The current BTCUSDT market is in a weak consolidation phase, with short-term bears slightly dominant, but downward space is limited. It is recommended to operate with light positions, prioritize shorting, and strictly control position and leverage when entering the market, ensuring capital safety as the primary goal.
