BTC (2025-11-28 08:25) Long and Short Trend Index: 46 / 100 (Weak Fluctuation)
BTC price is approximately $91,260, entering consolidation after rebounding for two consecutive days. The price has regained above $90,000, but the upper range of $92,000 to $92,500 is under significant pressure, indicating insufficient continuation of bullish momentum. The overall structure is still in a weak repair stage, with short-term bulls attempting to stabilize, but the medium-term trend has not yet reversed.
【Technical Trend Observation】
The 15-minute level shows a decline in short-term momentum. MA7 and MA25 have begun to flatten, MACD has formed a death cross, and RSI has fallen to 43, indicating a lack of strength in short-term highs, with the market entering a consolidation range.
The 1-hour chart structure is slightly stronger but still under pressure. The price remains above MA7 and MA25, but has not been able to break through MA99, with MACD momentum decreasing and RSI falling back to around 56, showing that bullish strength is more short-term, and the trend has not yet formed acceleration.
The 4-hour chart remains weak. The price has just returned above MA7, but MA25 and MA99 continue to decline, and the medium-term bearish structure has not been broken. MACD maintains a low position golden cross, but the expansion of the bars is limited, with RSI rising to 64, indicating a normal repair during a rebound, rather than evidence of a trend reversal.
The daily level is still in a downward trend. Both MA7 and MA25 are pressing down, with clear resistance encountered during rebounds. MACD green bars are shortening but still in the negative zone, and RSI is at the 40 level, overall indicating low-level fluctuations, but no trend reversal signals have emerged.
The weekly structure maintains a long-term upward framework, but medium-term pullback pressure remains. MA7 is bending down, MACD red bars continue to decrease, and RSI is around 39, indicating that the medium-term market is still in the tail end of a pullback stage, lacking the necessary conditions for a trend restart.
【Key Position Reference】
Support: 90,000; key support below at 88,500.
Resistance: 92,000; if it breaks above 92,500, it could open up rebound space above 94,000.
【News Summary】
Recent market risk appetite has slightly warmed, US economic data has performed steadily, and the dollar and US Treasury yields have retreated, providing slight support for digital assets in the short term. However, ETF funds remain generally cautious, with limited institutional increments, making this round of BTC rebound more like a technical repair rather than a trend reversal.
