BTC (2025-12-06 08:01) | Bull-Bear Trend Index: 38 / 100 (Overall bearish, weak rebound followed by renewed pressure)
BTC latest reported at about $89,213, with rebound momentum weakening over the past few hours, the price has fallen back below $89,500, entering a weak consolidation phase. If it cannot quickly recover $90,200, the bearish pattern will be maintained; support strength is noted at $88,400 and $87,600.
【Short-term Trend】
In the 15-minute chart, MA7 and MA25 are declining, with the price moving weakly along the moving averages. After a MACD death cross, momentum remains below the zero line, and RSI oscillates in the 45–48 range, indicating a lack of strength from the bulls, and the rebound is basically a weak repair. Overall, the short-term rhythm is still a slow decline channel.
The 1-hour level is also weak, with MA7 < MA25 and both sloping downward, with the price repeatedly attempting to break above the moving averages but failing. MACD momentum bars continue to show green, and after RSI dips to 35, it has slightly rebounded but remains in a weak range. The short-term counterattack from the bulls is quite challenging.
【Medium-term Trend】
The 4-hour chart continues to run along a descending trend line, with MA7 and MA25 both under pressure from above, and the short-term structure has not yet reversed. Although the MACD is shrinking in the low range, it has not yet formed an effective golden cross, and RSI has returned to the 38–40 range, indicating limited rebound space; the medium-term trend remains bearish.
In the daily chart, MA7 and MA25 are in a bearish arrangement, with the price maintained below MA99, representing that the overall structure is still in a downtrend. The MACD double lines continue downward, and RSI is around 41, still not out of the weak zone. There is a demand for repair at the daily level, but the trend has not turned strong.
【Long-term Structure】
The weekly chart maintains a fluctuating downward trend, with MA25 starting to flatten but pressure remains evident. The MACD momentum bars continue to shrink, but no trend reversal signal has appeared. RSI is around 38, which is relatively low, indicating that the long-term is digesting earlier losses, but the bottom structure still requires time to confirm.
【Impact of News】
1. The market is waiting for U.S. non-farm payroll and next week’s CPI data, with short-term risk sentiment being cautious.
2. ETF funds had a slight net outflow yesterday, putting pressure on rebound momentum.
3. On-chain trading activity has decreased, indicating that large fund sentiment remains conservative.