BTC (2025-12-04 08:13) | Long and Short Trend Index: 48 / 100 (Weak Recovery in Oscillation)
BTC current price is approximately $93,030, with slight fluctuations in the past 24 hours, maintaining a sideways structure after rebounding from a low of $86,000. Short-term shows stabilization but remains below the descending trend line. If it breaks above $93,800, it could extend to $95,200; if it falls back to $92,000, it may point again to the $89,800 region.
【Short-term Trend】
In the 15-minute chart, MA7 and MA25 show slight upward movement, with short-term rhythm leaning bullish, but momentum is weakening. MACD bullish bars are shortening, RSI is around 46, indicating slowing rebound momentum, and the market is in a consolidation phase. Trading volume has significantly decreased compared to the previous day, with weak short-term direction.
The 1-hour chart shows prices running close to short-term moving averages, MA7 > MA25, but still below MA99, indicating the trend has not completely reversed. MACD bullish momentum is maintained but starts to converge, RSI is around 56, which is in a strong oscillation but lacks sustainability.
【Medium-term Trend】
The 4-hour chart structure is still in the recovery phase after the previous decline, currently rebounding near the descending trend line but has not broken through. MA7 crosses above MA25, but the slope is weak. MACD bullish bars continue but with diminishing energy, RSI is at 62, indicating the medium-term rebound has continuity, but still belongs to a stage recovery within a downward cycle.
The daily chart shows MA7 moving up but still below MA25, indicating that the trend has not formed a true reversal. MACD green bars are shortening, and the balance of bullish and bearish forces tends to stabilize; RSI is around 48, still in a weak central position. The daily overall leans towards oscillation recovery rather than a trending upward.
【Long-term Structure】
The weekly chart is still consolidating near MA25, prices have stabilized from a significant correction but have not re-established above the dense moving average area. MACD continues to slowly decline at a low level, RSI is 41, indicating that the long-term trend is still digesting pressure, the trend has neither worsened nor recovered.
【Impact of News】
1. The market is focused on this week's U.S. non-farm data and speeches from Federal Reserve officials, with short-term risk preferences still unstable.
2. ETF funds recorded a small net inflow, with limited scale but slightly improved sentiment.
3. On-chain fund flows are warming up, with some long-term positions showing increases, but overall activity remains low.