BTC (2025-12-08 08:10) | Long/Short Trend Index: 38 / 100 (Bearish oscillation, weak rebound in repair)
BTC is currently around $90,150, oscillating between $89,200 and $90,800 in the past few hours. After a quick drop in the early morning, there was a slight repair, but the momentum is weak. If it stabilizes above $90,500 in the short term, it could attempt a rebound to $91,300; if it breaks below $88,900, the bearish trend may spread further.
【Short-term Trend】
In the 15-minute chart, MA7 and MA25 have just formed an upward crossover, but the slope is relatively flat, indicating a weak repair structure. MACD has a slight golden cross below the zero axis, but the energy is insufficient. RSI has returned to around 48, indicating a short-term rebound from the oversold edge, but has not formed a strong reversal. Overall, it is mainly a weak rebound with oscillation.
In the 1-hour chart, the moving averages are still in a bearish arrangement, with MA7 and MA25 below MA99, and the price has repeatedly faced resistance and retreated. Although MACD has shown a rebound, the momentum bars are very short, indicating that buying is still cautious. RSI is around 51, in a neutral position, and the rebound seems more like a technical correction.
【Medium-term Trend】
The 4-hour chart maintains a descending structure, with MA99 clearly suppressing the price, which encounters resistance around $90,500 during the rebound. Although MACD has bounced from a low position, the fast line is still below the zero axis, and the trend has not reversed. RSI is at 48, overall still in a weak oscillation area. Overall, the medium-term bearish trend has not changed, and it is currently just an inertial repair.
In the daily chart, the rebound meets resistance, with both MA7 and MA25 pointing downward, and the trend suppression is obvious. MACD green bars have shortened, and the bearish trend has slightly converged, but it is still far from turning strong. RSI is around 44, indicating that the daily structure is still weak.
【Long-term Structure】
The weekly chart is still in an adjustment phase, with obvious pressure above MA25. The MACD bearish bars continue but have not accelerated, and RSI is around 39, indicating that the market is in a consolidation zone after a long-term decline. The trend has not lost control, but lacks clear reversal signals.
【Impact of News】
1. The market is focused on this week's U.S. initial jobless claims data and CPI forecast expectations, with macro uncertainty still suppressing risk appetite.
2. ETF inflows have decreased for two consecutive days, with bullish sentiment being cautious.
3. On-chain trading activity has rebounded, indicating that the strength of low-level support has increased, but the momentum is still limited.