0x99DaDa

BTC (2025-12-09 08:10) | Long and Short Trend Index: 44 / 100 (Weak volatility, short-term stabilization but limited momentum)
BTC is currently trading around $90,670. There was a rapid surge at the end of yesterday's trading session but it could not be sustained, and then it fell back to the central range. Overall, it is still in a weak rebound structure, with signs of short-term bottoming, but the trend has not shown a clear reversal. Resistance is at the 91,300–92,000 range, while support is at 89,800 and 88,900.
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【Short-term Trend】
In the 15-minute timeframe, MA7 and MA25 are once again converging, reflecting no obvious advantage for either bulls or bears. MACD has just crossed bullish from a low position, but the momentum bars are weak, indicating a nature of oversold recovery; RSI has returned to the 47–52 range, suggesting sentiment is tending towards neutral. The overall structure resembles a bottoming consolidation, but trading volume is still insufficient to drive the trend.
The 1-hour chart shows that after a short-term rebound, there is resistance and pressure, with MA7 bending down close to MA25, MACD momentum weakening, and RSI hovering around 48. Bulls do not have the ability to continue upward attacks, and the market has entered a short-term observation period.
【Medium-term Trend】
The 4-hour timeframe is still operating within a downward channel, with MA99 providing clear resistance to the price. The recent rebound has not been able to break through the trend line, indicating that the medium-term trend remains bearish. Although MACD shows signs of narrowing the bearish momentum, an effective reversal has not yet been formed; RSI has risen to around 50, in the observation zone of a trend turning point.
On the daily chart, although MA7 has shown a slight upward turn, it is still operating below MA25, indicating a weak rebound overall. The bearish MACD bars have shortened, and the decline is slowing; RSI is around 45, indicating a reduction in bearish advantage, but bulls have not yet gained dominance. As long as the daily chart cannot stabilize above 92,500, the strength of the medium-term rebound will be limited.
【Long-term Structure】
The weekly chart still maintains oscillation around MA25, with prices halting declines but difficult to claim a reversal. MACD remains downward but the speed is slowing, and RSI is hovering in the 39–40 range, reflecting long-term sentiment is weak but has not shown panic selling. Overall, it still belongs to the tail stage of a large-scale adjustment.
【Impact of News】
1. The market is awaiting the release of the US CPI data this week. If inflation continues to decline, it will be favorable for a short-term rebound in risk assets.
2. BTC ETF funds recorded a slight net outflow yesterday, indicating cautious sentiment among institutions.
3. The amount of coins held by exchanges continues to decrease, but on-chain activity has not increased simultaneously, representing a choice for funds to stay on the sidelines rather than entering on a large scale.

BTC (2025-12-08 08:10) | Long/Short Trend Index: 38 / 100 (Bearish oscillation, weak rebound in repair)
BTC is currently around $90,150, oscillating between $89,200 and $90,800 in the past few hours. After a quick drop in the early morning, there was a slight repair, but the momentum is weak. If it stabilizes above $90,500 in the short term, it could attempt a rebound to $91,300; if it breaks below $88,900, the bearish trend may spread further.
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【Short-term Trend】
In the 15-minute chart, MA7 and MA25 have just formed an upward crossover, but the slope is relatively flat, indicating a weak repair structure. MACD has a slight golden cross below the zero axis, but the energy is insufficient. RSI has returned to around 48, indicating a short-term rebound from the oversold edge, but has not formed a strong reversal. Overall, it is mainly a weak rebound with oscillation.
In the 1-hour chart, the moving averages are still in a bearish arrangement, with MA7 and MA25 below MA99, and the price has repeatedly faced resistance and retreated. Although MACD has shown a rebound, the momentum bars are very short, indicating that buying is still cautious. RSI is around 51, in a neutral position, and the rebound seems more like a technical correction.
【Medium-term Trend】
The 4-hour chart maintains a descending structure, with MA99 clearly suppressing the price, which encounters resistance around $90,500 during the rebound. Although MACD has bounced from a low position, the fast line is still below the zero axis, and the trend has not reversed. RSI is at 48, overall still in a weak oscillation area. Overall, the medium-term bearish trend has not changed, and it is currently just an inertial repair.
In the daily chart, the rebound meets resistance, with both MA7 and MA25 pointing downward, and the trend suppression is obvious. MACD green bars have shortened, and the bearish trend has slightly converged, but it is still far from turning strong. RSI is around 44, indicating that the daily structure is still weak.
【Long-term Structure】
The weekly chart is still in an adjustment phase, with obvious pressure above MA25. The MACD bearish bars continue but have not accelerated, and RSI is around 39, indicating that the market is in a consolidation zone after a long-term decline. The trend has not lost control, but lacks clear reversal signals.
【Impact of News】
1. The market is focused on this week's U.S. initial jobless claims data and CPI forecast expectations, with macro uncertainty still suppressing risk appetite.
2. ETF inflows have decreased for two consecutive days, with bullish sentiment being cautious.
3. On-chain trading activity has rebounded, indicating that the strength of low-level support has increased, but the momentum is still limited.

BTC (2025-12-06 08:01) | Bull-Bear Trend Index: 38 / 100 (Overall bearish, weak rebound followed by renewed pressure)
BTC latest reported at about $89,213, with rebound momentum weakening over the past few hours, the price has fallen back below $89,500, entering a weak consolidation phase. If it cannot quickly recover $90,200, the bearish pattern will be maintained; support strength is noted at $88,400 and $87,600.
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【Short-term Trend】
In the 15-minute chart, MA7 and MA25 are declining, with the price moving weakly along the moving averages. After a MACD death cross, momentum remains below the zero line, and RSI oscillates in the 45–48 range, indicating a lack of strength from the bulls, and the rebound is basically a weak repair. Overall, the short-term rhythm is still a slow decline channel.
The 1-hour level is also weak, with MA7 < MA25 and both sloping downward, with the price repeatedly attempting to break above the moving averages but failing. MACD momentum bars continue to show green, and after RSI dips to 35, it has slightly rebounded but remains in a weak range. The short-term counterattack from the bulls is quite challenging.
【Medium-term Trend】
The 4-hour chart continues to run along a descending trend line, with MA7 and MA25 both under pressure from above, and the short-term structure has not yet reversed. Although the MACD is shrinking in the low range, it has not yet formed an effective golden cross, and RSI has returned to the 38–40 range, indicating limited rebound space; the medium-term trend remains bearish.
In the daily chart, MA7 and MA25 are in a bearish arrangement, with the price maintained below MA99, representing that the overall structure is still in a downtrend. The MACD double lines continue downward, and RSI is around 41, still not out of the weak zone. There is a demand for repair at the daily level, but the trend has not turned strong.
【Long-term Structure】
The weekly chart maintains a fluctuating downward trend, with MA25 starting to flatten but pressure remains evident. The MACD momentum bars continue to shrink, but no trend reversal signal has appeared. RSI is around 38, which is relatively low, indicating that the long-term is digesting earlier losses, but the bottom structure still requires time to confirm.
【Impact of News】
1. The market is waiting for U.S. non-farm payroll and next week’s CPI data, with short-term risk sentiment being cautious.
2. ETF funds had a slight net outflow yesterday, putting pressure on rebound momentum.
3. On-chain trading activity has decreased, indicating that large fund sentiment remains conservative.

BTC (2025-12-05 08:28) | Long and Short Trend Index: 48 / 100 (Consolidation Weak, Short-Term Repair in Progress)
BTC latest quote is about 92,330 USD, maintaining a narrow range fluctuation over the past 24 hours. The price entered a consolidation zone after rebounding from the 86,000 level, with current resistance concentrated at 92,800—93,500; if broken, it could extend to 94,600; if it falls below 91,700, the rebound structure will be destroyed.
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【Short-Term Trend】
The 15-minute chart shows that MA7 and MA25 received supportive turnarounds, but the overall trend leans towards consolidation. MACD oscillates near the zero line with light momentum; RSI is around 52, indicating a basic balance between long and short positions. Short-term volume is relatively weak, making it difficult to form a unilateral trend.
The 1-hour chart indicates that MA7 and MA25 continue to rise, but the price remains close to short-term moving averages. The MACD bars are narrowing, with RSI around 47, suggesting a weak oscillation leaning towards bullish structure, but the strength is limited.
【Medium-Term Trend】
The 4-hour chart maintains a rebound rhythm, but has not yet stabilized above the descending trend line. MACD turns red again, indicating that the repair momentum is still present; RSI is 56, showing a mild recovery in the medium term, but the trend has not truly reversed.
The daily level shows that the rebound still belongs to a technical repair after a decline. MA7 is turning up, but MA25 pressure is evident; MACD green bars are converging, with slight weakening of the bears; RSI is 47, overall still in a consolidation zone, lacking trend reversal signals.
【Long-Term Structure】
The weekly chart is still oscillating below MA25, with a weak trend but not out of control. MACD continues to decline, but the bar momentum has not expanded; RSI is 41, indicating that long-term sentiment remains cautious.
【Impact of News】
1. The market is waiting for next week's US non-farm data; if employment weakens, it may support a short-term rebound in risk assets.
2. ETF funds have maintained a slight net inflow recently, providing some bottom emotional support for the rebound.
3. Exchange inflows are rising, indicating that some chips are choosing to reduce positions during the rebound, suppressing the upward potential.

BTC (2025-12-04 08:13) | Long and Short Trend Index: 48 / 100 (Weak Recovery in Oscillation)
BTC current price is approximately $93,030, with slight fluctuations in the past 24 hours, maintaining a sideways structure after rebounding from a low of $86,000. Short-term shows stabilization but remains below the descending trend line. If it breaks above $93,800, it could extend to $95,200; if it falls back to $92,000, it may point again to the $89,800 region.
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【Short-term Trend】
In the 15-minute chart, MA7 and MA25 show slight upward movement, with short-term rhythm leaning bullish, but momentum is weakening. MACD bullish bars are shortening, RSI is around 46, indicating slowing rebound momentum, and the market is in a consolidation phase. Trading volume has significantly decreased compared to the previous day, with weak short-term direction.
The 1-hour chart shows prices running close to short-term moving averages, MA7 > MA25, but still below MA99, indicating the trend has not completely reversed. MACD bullish momentum is maintained but starts to converge, RSI is around 56, which is in a strong oscillation but lacks sustainability.
【Medium-term Trend】
The 4-hour chart structure is still in the recovery phase after the previous decline, currently rebounding near the descending trend line but has not broken through. MA7 crosses above MA25, but the slope is weak. MACD bullish bars continue but with diminishing energy, RSI is at 62, indicating the medium-term rebound has continuity, but still belongs to a stage recovery within a downward cycle.
The daily chart shows MA7 moving up but still below MA25, indicating that the trend has not formed a true reversal. MACD green bars are shortening, and the balance of bullish and bearish forces tends to stabilize; RSI is around 48, still in a weak central position. The daily overall leans towards oscillation recovery rather than a trending upward.
【Long-term Structure】
The weekly chart is still consolidating near MA25, prices have stabilized from a significant correction but have not re-established above the dense moving average area. MACD continues to slowly decline at a low level, RSI is 41, indicating that the long-term trend is still digesting pressure, the trend has neither worsened nor recovered.
【Impact of News】
1. The market is focused on this week's U.S. non-farm data and speeches from Federal Reserve officials, with short-term risk preferences still unstable.
2. ETF funds recorded a small net inflow, with limited scale but slightly improved sentiment.
3. On-chain fund flows are warming up, with some long-term positions showing increases, but overall activity remains low.

BTC (2025-12-02 08:40) | Long/Short Trend Index: 33 / 100 (Bearish dominance, short-term rebound but structure not repaired)
BTC is currently reported at approximately $86,450, rebounding about 0.6% in the past 24 hours. After experiencing a rapid drop yesterday, the price found support at the 85,000 level and showed technical repair. However, it remains below the key moving averages, with the nature of the short-term rebound being greater than a trend reversal. If it can stabilize above 87,200, it may extend to 88,600; if it drops back to 85,800, the rebound structure will be broken, pointing back to the 84,000 area.
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【Short-Term Trend】
In the 15-minute chart, MA7 and MA25 have turned upwards but are still below MA99, indicating the rebound is still a weak repair. MACD continues to expand after a golden cross, and RSI has risen to 58, showing significant improvement in short-term sentiment. Trading volume has noticeably reduced compared to the decline, indicating that buying pressure remains insufficient.
The 1-hour chart shows MA7 and MA25 trending upwards, but the price is still constrained by MA99 pressure. MACD has rebounded from the deep space area to near the zero axis, with RSI around 47, indicating a weak structure but clear signs of stopping the decline. The rebound direction still needs confirmation with volume support.
【Medium-Term Trend】
The 4-hour chart remains within a large downward trend, with the MA system showing a bearish arrangement. MACD bearish bars are shortening, showing initial signs of repair. RSI has risen to 37, indicating that panic selling has temporarily ended, but a trend reversal has not yet formed.
In the daily chart, the price is still running below MA7 and MA25, indicating that the overall trend remains bearish dominant. MACD green bars continue to expand, and RSI has dropped to 33, representing that the market is still in a weak zone, but it also means that there is still room for a rebound.
【Long-Term Structure】
The weekly chart is near the important support level around MA25, MACD bearishness continues but has not accelerated, RSI is at 36, indicating that the market is entering a medium to long-term consolidation phase, the trend is not out of control but is weak.
【Impact of News】
1. The market is focusing on risk aversion ahead of the U.S. employment data release, which is putting short-term pressure on risk asset prices.
2. The ETF recorded moderate net outflows again yesterday, indicating that institutional funds remain cautious.
3. On-chain activity has slightly rebounded, with bottom-fishing funds attempting to intervene, but the overall strength is limited.

BTC (2025-12-01 08:30) | Long and Short Trend Index: 31 / 100 (Clearly Weakening, Short-term Entering Oversold Rebound Observation Period)
BTC is currently priced at approximately 88,300 USD, a significant drop of about -3.2% in the past 24 hours. A rapid decline occurred in the morning, forming a volume surge and sharp drop structure, entering an extreme oversold area in the short term. If the price cannot regain above 89,500, the weakness will continue; if a strong rebound occurs, the target area looks toward 90,800—91,200.
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【Short-term Trend】
The 15-minute chart shows MA7 and MA25 accelerating downward, with moving averages diverging bearish. MACD bearish bars are sharply increasing, and RSI once dropped to around 12, in a severely oversold area, indicating a technical rebound demand in the short term. The trading volume is rapidly increasing, indicating that the sell-off comes from concentrated selling pressure rather than a natural pullback.
On the hourly chart, the price breaks below all major moving averages, MA7 < MA25 < MA99, and the trend structure has completely weakened. MACD death cross is expanding, and RSI has fallen to around 20, showing that bears continue to dominate, but a weak pullback may occur in the short term.
【Medium-term Trend】
The 4-hour chart's rebound structure has been damaged, MA7 and MA25 are bending downward again, and MACD bullish bars have shortened and turned into green bars, with momentum clearly shifting to bearish. RSI has fallen to around 35, not yet entering extreme values but showing a weak trend. If it fails to quickly reclaim 89,800, the rebound structure is difficult to repair.
On the daily chart, the price has once again fallen below MA7, with clear signs of a rebound termination. MACD green bars are expanding again, and RSI has slipped to around 35, indicating that the daily trend has returned to a downward segment. Overall, it still belongs to a stage of failure in the rebound during a downtrend.
【Long-term Structure】
The weekly chart is still oscillating near MA25, but continues to face pressure. MACD long-term momentum is still declining, and RSI is around 38, in a weak structure. Although the long-term trend has not been broken, the synchronous weakening of the medium and short-term cycles is transmitting pressure to the long-term.
【News】
1. US Treasury yield has risen to 4.9%, and the US dollar index has strengthened, overall suppressing risk asset sentiment.
2. BTC ETF saw a net outflow of about 170 million USD yesterday, the largest single-day outflow in nearly four days.
3. The market has heard that some institutions are making quarterly adjustments, and short-term selling pressure may be related to passive selling.

BTC (2025-11-30 10:10) | Long-Short Trend Index: 42 / 100 (Weak Consolidation, Short-term Maintains Recovery Momentum)
BTC is currently priced at approximately $91,020, having risen slightly by about 0.2% in the past 24 hours. The overall trend remains in a consolidation range of 90,500—91,500, showing weak recovery in the short term, but still lacks a willingness to break through. If the price continues to stabilize above 91,200, it could extend to 92,300; if it falls back below 90,400, it may weaken again to the 89,200 area.

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【Short-term Trend】
The 15-minute chart shows MA7 and MA25 aligning horizontally, with short-term fluctuations converging. MACD has a slight golden cross but with light momentum, and RSI is around 55, indicating a weak rebound rhythm. Trading volume has significantly shrunk, indicating that both bulls and bears are waiting for direction.
In the 1-hour chart, the price is close to the short-term moving average, MA7 > MA25, but overall it remains below MA99, indicating a weak position. MACD is stabilizing below the zero axis, and RSI is about 54, indicating a consolidation that is slightly bullish but not strong.
【Medium-term Trend】
The 4-hour chart maintains a rebound structure but has not broken through the descending trend line, with MA7 and MA25 turning upwards. MACD bullish bars are reducing, and short-term energy remains limited. RSI is around 57, in a neutral to slightly strong zone, but has not formed a trend-breaking move.
In the daily chart, MA7 is moving up but still pressed below MA25, indicating that the rebound belongs to a stage of recovery after a decline. MACD green bars are shortening, and bears are weakening; RSI is near 40, still in a weak zone. Overall, the daily rebound has not escaped the weak pattern.
【Long-term Structure】
The weekly chart maintains a key position near MA25, with prices not breaking out, but the trend slope is downward. MACD continues to weaken but has not shown accelerated decline; RSI is around 39, indicating that the long-term trend is still digesting the previous round of declines, with the trend not reversing or losing control.
【Impact of News】
1. The market is paying attention to this week's US PCE inflation data; if it is below expectations, it could strengthen short-term risk appetite.
2. ETF funds have recorded slight net inflows for three consecutive days, with limited scale but slightly improved sentiment.
3. On-chain activity has slightly increased, but trading depth remains thin, indicating that large funds have not yet entered.

BTC (2025-11-29 09:23) | Long-short trend index: 47 / 100 (Neutral bullish)
BTC is currently around $91,010, maintaining sideways movement over the past 24 hours, fluctuating around the 90,500–91,500 range. After peaking yesterday, momentum has slowed, but bulls have not retreated. If BTC breaks through 91,800 again, it is likely to continue the rebound and test 92,800–93,400; if it falls below 90,200, then the short-term will weaken and may retest the 89,000–89,600 area.
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【Multi-period K-line trend judgment】
15-minute chart: MA7 and MA25 are converging, direction unclear; MACD is weakly fluctuating near the zero axis; RSI ~49, short-term sentiment neutral. Overall showing small-scale repeated consolidation.
1-hour chart: MA7 and MA25 cross above MA99, short-term showing a bullish structure; MACD has fallen but remains above the zero axis, momentum has not yet turned bearish; RSI ~48, market is mainly waiting. Watch for pressure at 91,800.
4-hour chart: The downward trend is beginning to flatten, MA7 has turned upward; MACD green bars are significantly shrinking and nearing red, bearish strength is weakening; RSI ~57, rebound has room to continue. Overall in the early stages of a rebound, but the mid-term structure has not reversed.
Daily chart: MA7 still suppresses the price, but downward pressure has weakened; MACD green bars are shortening, indicating a decline in downward momentum; RSI ~40, in a weak area but has shown some recovery. This is a typical pattern of "consolidation after a pullback."
Weekly chart: The long-term trend remains in a bullish structure, but the MACD bars continue to decline, indicating that the mid-term correction has not yet ended; RSI ~39, sentiment is weak but has not further deteriorated.
【Technical Indicator Analysis】
MACD: Short-term weak fluctuations, mid-term (1H, 4H) gradually recovering, daily bearish momentum decreasing. Overall showing a combination of "short bullish, neutral, long weak."
RSI: All periods maintain in the 40–57 range, returning to the neutral zone but not showing strong reversal signals.
Moving average system: 1H has formed a short-term bullish arrangement for the first time, 4H moving average suppression has weakened; daily and weekly lines are still in a mid-term correction structure, requiring prices to effectively stabilize above 92,000 for improvement.
Trading volume: Trading volume has declined over the past 24 hours, buying pressure after the rebound has weakened, but significant selling pressure has not appeared.
【Macro news】
1. U.S. inflation and employment data remain neutral, U.S. Treasury yields are consolidating at high levels, and risk asset sentiment is stable.
2. On-chain short-term selling pressure is decreasing, net inflows to exchanges are slowing, indicating that selling momentum has temporarily weakened.

BTC (2025-11-28 08:25) Long and Short Trend Index: 46 / 100 (Weak Fluctuation)

BTC price is approximately $91,260, entering consolidation after rebounding for two consecutive days. The price has regained above $90,000, but the upper range of $92,000 to $92,500 is under significant pressure, indicating insufficient continuation of bullish momentum. The overall structure is still in a weak repair stage, with short-term bulls attempting to stabilize, but the medium-term trend has not yet reversed.

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【Technical Trend Observation】
The 15-minute level shows a decline in short-term momentum. MA7 and MA25 have begun to flatten, MACD has formed a death cross, and RSI has fallen to 43, indicating a lack of strength in short-term highs, with the market entering a consolidation range.
The 1-hour chart structure is slightly stronger but still under pressure. The price remains above MA7 and MA25, but has not been able to break through MA99, with MACD momentum decreasing and RSI falling back to around 56, showing that bullish strength is more short-term, and the trend has not yet formed acceleration.
The 4-hour chart remains weak. The price has just returned above MA7, but MA25 and MA99 continue to decline, and the medium-term bearish structure has not been broken. MACD maintains a low position golden cross, but the expansion of the bars is limited, with RSI rising to 64, indicating a normal repair during a rebound, rather than evidence of a trend reversal.
The daily level is still in a downward trend. Both MA7 and MA25 are pressing down, with clear resistance encountered during rebounds. MACD green bars are shortening but still in the negative zone, and RSI is at the 40 level, overall indicating low-level fluctuations, but no trend reversal signals have emerged.
The weekly structure maintains a long-term upward framework, but medium-term pullback pressure remains. MA7 is bending down, MACD red bars continue to decrease, and RSI is around 39, indicating that the medium-term market is still in the tail end of a pullback stage, lacking the necessary conditions for a trend restart.

【Key Position Reference】
Support: 90,000; key support below at 88,500.
Resistance: 92,000; if it breaks above 92,500, it could open up rebound space above 94,000.

【News Summary】
Recent market risk appetite has slightly warmed, US economic data has performed steadily, and the dollar and US Treasury yields have retreated, providing slight support for digital assets in the short term. However, ETF funds remain generally cautious, with limited institutional increments, making this round of BTC rebound more like a technical repair rather than a trend reversal.

BTC (2025-11-27 08:22) | Long and Short Trend Index: 46 / 100 (Weak Rebound)
BTC price is approximately $90,260, experiencing a strong rebound after a series of declines, but overall still in a downtrend. Bulls have regained control in the short term, but the medium-term trend has not yet reversed. If it stabilizes in the 89,500-90,000 region, the rebound is expected to test 92,800-93,500; if it breaks below 88,000, it will return to a weak pattern and may retest around 85,600.

【Short-term Structure】
The 15-minute cycle shows that the rebound is entering a slowing phase. MA7 and MA25 remain upward, but the MACD red bar is shortening, indicating weakening momentum; RSI is around 59, slightly strong but lacking a clear breakout signal.
The 1-hour cycle is the core driving force of this rebound. MA7 crosses above MA25, and the MACD golden cross is accompanied by an increase in volume, indicating a still bullish short-term structure. However, the MA99 resistance has not yet been broken, and the RSI is close to 68, which is in a short-term easy pullback zone, and further upward movement requires increased volume.

【Medium-term Structure】
The 4-hour cycle is still in a bearish structure, but the downward momentum is weakening. The MA system continues to be in a bearish arrangement, but the angle is flattening; the MACD has a golden cross but with limited strength, typical of a pullback after a decline. The RSI has risen to 63, indicating that the rebound has a certain strength, but the trend has not yet reversed.
The daily line is still in a mid-term downward trend. MA7 suppresses the price, and the MACD continues to maintain green bars, with the rebound insufficient to form a trend reversal. The RSI is at 38, having escaped the oversold zone, but still within a weak range, belonging to a repair phase rather than a trending bull market.

【Long-term Structure】
The weekly line maintains a high-level correction trend. The MACD has not stopped declining, and the RSI is around 38, indicating weak long-term momentum. No trend reversal signals have appeared, and the market remains in a corrective cycle from high levels.

【Trend Index Summary】
Considering all cycles, the BTC long and short trend index is 46, representing a “weak rebound in a bearish trend.” There are short-term performances, but they are insufficient to shake the medium to long-term downward structure. If it cannot break through 93,000 and the daily MA99 (around 98,000), medium-term pressure will continue.

【Impact of News】
On the macro front, the Federal Reserve continues a hawkish stance, and the market has no expectations for interest rate cuts. U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar index remain high, exerting pressure on risk assets. Although there has been a slight net inflow of ETF funds, it is insufficient to bring about a trend reversal, more belonging to an emotional recovery phase.

📉 $BTC（2025-11-24 07:51）｜Bullish/Bearish Trend Index: 33 / 100 (Weak rebound in a bearish structure)
BTC is currently around 86,764 USD, having risen about +2.5% in the past 24 hours, experiencing a technical rebound from near the previous low (84,600), but overall still in a clear medium-term bearish trend. This round of increase is more of a correction rebound after being oversold, and no structural reversal signals have been seen yet. If BTC breaks above 89,50090,200 USD with increased volume, it could confirm the continuation of the rebound; if it falls below 85,000 USD, it may revisit the 82,800~83,500 USD region.

🔹 Multi-timeframe Trends & Technical Indicators
15-minute chart: MA7/25/99 bearish structure has not yet reversed, but there was a quick breakout above MA25; MACD golden cross has strengthened momentum; RSI ~42 → retracement after the rebound, short-term is biased towards oscillation repair.
1-hour chart: MA7 is turning up but still below MA25 and MA99, trend remains weak; MACD has continuously released green bars → turning into a golden cross; RSI ~55, short-term has entered a relatively strong rhythm.
4-hour chart: Bearish trend still dominates, MA system overall tilting down; MACD golden cross is emerging but still at a low position; RSI ~48, rebounding but has not escaped the weak channel.
Daily chart: MA7/25/99 are all in a bearish arrangement; MACD death cross and green bars are slowing down; RSI ~28.6, first rebound after entering deep oversold → indicating further repair space.
Weekly chart: Structure is bearish but not broken down; MA7 is bending down close to MA25; MACD red bars are rapidly shrinking; RSI ~35.7 → long-term momentum is weakening but has not entered a trending collapse.

📌 Comprehensive Judgment:
Short-term (15m~1H): biased towards strong repair
Medium-term (4H~1D): bearish dominance but rebound has room
Long-term (weekly): structure is weakening but not broken
→ Overall, it is still a rebound in a downward trend, and the sustainability needs to observe the performance of breaking 90K.

🌐 Macro Sentiment and News (Past 48 hours)
1. U.S. economic data is relatively strong → U.S. Treasury yields have risen: 10-year yield back to 4.48%, putting pressure on high-risk assets.
2. U.S. Dollar Index maintains high-level oscillation (around 105.4): Weak risk appetite makes BTC's rebound seem more like a technical repair rather than a trend reversal.
3. BTC ETF has seen a small net outflow again: approximately 120 million USD, indicating that institutions remain cautious.
4. The cryptocurrency market fear index continues to drop to the 29-32 range: classified as extreme fear area → consistent with oversold rebound, but does not guarantee trend reversal.

📉 $BTC（2025-11-24 07:51）｜Bullish/Bearish Trend Index: 33 / 100 (Weak rebound in a bearish structure)
BTC is currently around 86,764 USD, having risen about +2.5% in the past 24 hours, experiencing a technical rebound from near the previous low (84,600), but overall still in a clear medium-term bearish trend. This round of increase is more of a correction rebound after being oversold, and no structural reversal signals have been seen yet. If BTC breaks above 89,50090,200 USD with increased volume, it could confirm the continuation of the rebound; if it falls below 85,000 USD, it may revisit the 82,800~83,500 USD region.

🔹 Multi-timeframe Trends & Technical Indicators
15-minute chart: MA7/25/99 bearish structure has not yet reversed, but there was a quick breakout above MA25; MACD golden cross has strengthened momentum; RSI ~42 → retracement after the rebound, short-term is biased towards oscillation repair.
1-hour chart: MA7 is turning up but still below MA25 and MA99, trend remains weak; MACD has continuously released green bars → turning into a golden cross; RSI ~55, short-term has entered a relatively strong rhythm.
4-hour chart: Bearish trend still dominates, MA system overall tilting down; MACD golden cross is emerging but still at a low position; RSI ~48, rebounding but has not escaped the weak channel.
Daily chart: MA7/25/99 are all in a bearish arrangement; MACD death cross and green bars are slowing down; RSI ~28.6, first rebound after entering deep oversold → indicating further repair space.
Weekly chart: Structure is bearish but not broken down; MA7 is bending down close to MA25; MACD red bars are rapidly shrinking; RSI ~35.7 → long-term momentum is weakening but has not entered a trending collapse.

📌 Comprehensive Judgment:
Short-term (15m~1H): biased towards strong repair
Medium-term (4H~1D): bearish dominance but rebound has room
Long-term (weekly): structure is weakening but not broken
→ Overall, it is still a rebound in a downward trend, and the sustainability needs to observe the performance of breaking 90K.

🌐 Macro Sentiment and News (Past 48 hours)
1. U.S. economic data is relatively strong → U.S. Treasury yields have risen: 10-year yield back to 4.48%, putting pressure on high-risk assets.
2. U.S. Dollar Index maintains high-level oscillation (around 105.4): Weak risk appetite makes BTC's rebound seem more like a technical repair rather than a trend reversal.
3. BTC ETF has seen a small net outflow again: approximately 120 million USD, indicating that institutions remain cautious.
4. The cryptocurrency market fear index continues to drop to the 29-32 range: classified as extreme fear area → consistent with oversold rebound, but does not guarantee trend reversal.

📉 $BTC（2025-11-20 08:27）｜Bullish/Bearish Trend Index: 31 / 100（Weak rebound, bearish dominant）
BTC is currently priced at $91,818, with a slight rebound of about +0.28% in the past 24 hours, recovering from the oversold region around 89k. However, the overall structure remains in a clear bearish trend, and the current rise appears more like a "pullback in a downtrend." If it cannot break through $93,500–$94,200, the sustainability of the rebound is limited; a drop below $90,500 may return to the $88,600–$89,300 region.

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🔹 Multi-period K-line + Technical Indicator Comprehensive Judgment

15-Minute Chart (Strong Rebound): MA7 crosses above MA25 but still below MA99; MACD golden cross momentum strengthens; RSI ~69 (short-term overbought).
→ Short-term strong rebound, possible pullback anytime.

1-Hour Chart (Weak Pullback): MA system remains bearish; MACD golden cross but below the zero line; RSI ~55.
→ Technical pullback after the decline.

4-Hour Chart (Trend Still Bearish): Moving averages sloping down, price under pressure at MA99; MACD negative area is converging but still weak; RSI ~43.
→ Bearish trend unbroken.

Daily Chart (Strongest Bearish): MA bearish arrangement complete; MACD death cross expands; RSI ~29 (significantly oversold).
→ Oversold rebound phase in a large cycle, but trend has not reversed.

Weekly Chart (Long-Term Weak Trend): MA7 bending down; MACD close to turning green; RSI ~38.
→ The upward cycle enters a recession stage, mid-term bearish.

Comprehensive Conclusion:
Short-term repair → Medium cycle still weak → Long cycle weakens
➡ Trend rebound, but does not constitute a reversal basis

🌐 Macro News
1. The dollar index holds steady at 105.7–106, high interest rate expectations remain strong → Risk assets under pressure.
2. 10-year U.S. Treasury yield maintains above 4.55% → Liquidity tightening, unfavorable for BTC.
3. BTC ETF has a slight net inflow but limited scale → Rebound more dominated by short-term trading.
4. Slight net inflow of on-chain stablecoins → Supports the rebound but insufficient to reverse the trend.

📉 $BTC（2025-11-19 07:56）｜Bull-Bear Trend Index: 27 / 100（Weak Downtrend, Bears Strongly Control）
BTC is currently priced at 92,865 US dollars. Although there was a rebound in the past 24 hours, the overall structure remains strongly bearish. The short-term rebound towards 93,800–94,000 faces significant resistance, and bulls still lack volume support.
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
1. Comprehensive Technical Analysis Across Multiple Timeframes
15 Minutes (Short-term Sentiment)
(1) MA7, MA25, MA99 are still in a bearish arrangement, but the short-term begins to flatten.
(2) MACD golden cross, but momentum is weak and the bars are not continuous.
(3) RSI ~49, rebounding but not strong.
➡️ Short-term repair, but the structure is weak → merely a rebound, does not constitute a trend reversal.

1 Hour (Short-term Trend Strength)
(1) Overall MA system is downward, rebound is suppressed by MA25 and MA99.
(2) MACD is still in a weak repair after the death cross, red to green conversion lacks volume.
(3) RSI ~53, rebound enters neutral, but far from strong.
➡️ The rebound is insufficient to reverse the bearish trend; once volume decreases, it is easy to continue downward.

4 Hours (Main Trend Strength)
(1) MA7/25/99 shows clear bearish divergence, which is the strongest trend direction.
(2) MACD is deeply in the negative range; although there is slight convergence, it is still dominated by bears.
(3) RSI ~41, hovering at a low level.
➡️ 4H is currently the most reliable main trend reference → bearish trend is stable, the downward movement is not yet complete.

Daily (Medium-term Trend)
(1) MA7 strongly presses MA25, K-line continuously closes below the main moving averages.
(2) MACD green bars expand → bearish momentum further strengthens.
(3) RSI ~30.5, approaching oversold.
➡️ The medium-term bearish trend continues to extend, but the conditions for a technical rebound are present.

Weekly (Long-term Structure)
(1) MA7 is above MA25, but the slope is clearly turning down → momentum is turning downwards.
(2) MACD red bars continue to shrink, fast line presses down.
(3) RSI ~38.9, still in a healthy zone but trending downward.
➡️ The long-term trend is entering a decaying phase; although the trend has not collapsed, there is still downward space.

2. Current Key Levels
(1) Upper Resistance: 94,600 – 95,200 (Short-term Stop Loss Confirmation Zone)
(2) Stronger Resistance: 99,000 – 100,500 (Trend Reversal Signal Zone)
(3) Lower Support: 92,000 (Breaking this will accelerate the decline)
(4) Stronger Support: 89,800 – 90,600 (Potential Rebound Zone)

📉 $BTC（2025-11-18 07:53）｜Bull-Bear Trend Index: 24 / 100 (Weak Downtrend, Bears in Strong Control)
BTC is currently priced at approximately 92,083 USD, having dropped about -2.3% over the past 24 hours, continuing a multi-day weakening trend as the price accelerates towards the psychological level of 90,000 USD. Although there is a slight rebound in the short term, the overall trend remains significantly bearish. If BTC falls below 91,000 USD, it may further test the range of 88,400~89,200 USD; a short-term breakout above 94,600 USD would be considered an initial signal of a stop loss formation.
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🔹 Multi-Cycle K-Line Trend Analysis
15-Minute Chart: MA7, MA25, MA99 are clearly arranged in a bearish pattern; MACD shows a golden cross but with weak momentum; RSI ~43.6 indicates a slight recovery but lacks strength.
1-Hour Chart: Continuing bearish trend, MA7, MA25, MA99 are all trending downwards; MACD death cross continues, with bearish bars expanding; RSI ~33.5 indicates a weak zone.
4-Hour Chart: MA system shows bearish divergence, with the trend being most evident in this section; MACD remains deep in the negative range, although it has narrowed, it is still weak; RSI ~30.8 is approaching oversold.
Daily Chart: MA7 presses down on MA25, MA99, the structure is entirely bearish; MACD green bars continue to expand; RSI ~28.7 has entered a clearly oversold zone.
Weekly Chart: MA7 is above MA25 but the slope is rapidly bending downwards; MACD red bars are shrinking close to turning green; RSI ~38.5 indicates a long-term weakening trend but has not collapsed.

📊 Technical Indicator Analysis
MACD: Dominantly bearish across all cycles (15m → Weekly); short cycle shows a slight golden cross but is a weak rebound, while the medium to long-term death cross structure is solid.
RSI: Distributed in the range of 28–43, clearly oversold on the daily and 4H charts → There is technical rebound space, but it does not constitute a basis for trend reversal.
Moving Average System: MA7/25/99 are clearly arranged in a bearish pattern, and the angle is steep, indicating that the downward trend has not yet softened; Daily MA99 (~111k) has become a strong resistance zone at the far end, while the medium-short term sees 95k as the primary resistance.
Trading Volume: 1H, 4H show increased volume during the downtrend → Healthy bearish trend; 15m, 1H show reduced volume during the rebound at the bottom → Insufficient buying pressure, the sustainability of the rebound is in doubt.

🌐 Macroeconomic News
1. [U.S. Economic Data is Strong → USD and U.S. Treasury Yields Rise] U.S. retail data and secondary inflation indicators exceeded expectations, pushing the dollar index back to 105.9, and the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield rises to 4.55%, putting pressure on risk assets.

📉 $BTC（2025-11-17 08:25）｜Long and Short Trend Index: 22 / 100（Strong Downtrend, Bears in Full Control）
BTC is currently priced at $93,852, continuously declining over the past 24 hours, with a low of $93,767. The short-term rebound strength is extremely weak, and the overall trend maintains a slow downward movement along the moving averages. If BTC breaks below $93,200, bears will continue to push the price down to the $91,500~92,000 range; if there is a short-term volume breakout above $95,600, a minor technical rebound may occur.
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
🔹 Multi-Cycle K-Line Trend Judgment:
15-Minute Chart: MA7, MA25, MA99 in bearish arrangement; MACD has a low-level golden cross but weak momentum; RSI ~44.8, oscillating towards weakness.
1-Hour Chart: MA system in complete bearish arrangement; MACD continues below the zero axis, with green bars continuing; RSI ~37.3, weak momentum with no obvious reversal signs.
4-Hour Chart: MA7, MA25 pressuring prices downwards, MA99 as strong resistance; MACD death cross deepening, green bars increasing; RSI ~32.2, nearing oversold but still has room to fall.
Daily Chart: MA7 pressing down MA25, MA99, forming a standard bearish structure; MACD death cross expanding; RSI ~30.8, entering mild oversold territory.
Weekly Chart: MA7 flattening and turning down, trend weakening; MACD red bars rapidly shrinking, death cross critical; RSI ~39.7, still in long-term risk area.

📊 Technical Indicator Analysis:
MACD: Maintains a death cross structure across all cycles, overall running below the zero axis, indicating strong downward momentum that has not weakened.
RSI: All periods in the **3145 range**, multiple cycles close to oversold but with no effective rebound confirmation.
Moving Average System: MA99 (1H: approximately 97,400 / 4H: approximately 102,900) has become a strong resistance level, difficult to break through in the short term.
Volume: Both 1H and 4H accompanied by increasing volume during the decline, typical bearish trend structure.

🌐 Macroeconomic News (Latest 48 Hours):
1.【U.S. PPI Surprises with Rebound】
The latest Producer Price Index (PPI) exceeded market expectations, raising concerns about persistent inflation, and the probability of a short-term rate cut by the Federal Reserve has significantly decreased, with risk appetite swiftly retreating.
2.【U.S. Treasury Yield Rebounds to 4.55%】
Medium to long-term U.S. Treasury yields are strengthening, causing the market to reprice risk assets, putting significant pressure on high-volatility products like BTC.
3.【BTC ETF Net Outflow for Four Consecutive Days】
Daily outflow of approximately $110 million, with a five-day cumulative outflow nearing $400 million, as institutions continue to reduce positions, reinforcing the downward pressure on the market.

📉 $BTC（2025-11-15 09:26）｜Bull and Bear Trend Index: 22 / 100（Strong Bear Control, Weak Downward）
BTC is currently quoted at about 95,118 USD. After a significant drop in the past 24 hours, it has entered a low-level weak rebound range, with prices fluctuating between 94,500 and 96,000 USD. The clear structure of falling volume and shrinking rebound volume shows that bears are still in complete control. If BTC loses 94,000 USD, it may quickly drop to 92,200～93,000 USD; if it breaks through 97,200 USD in the short term with increasing volume, it can confirm signs of stabilization.
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
🔹 Multi-Timeframe K-line Trend Judgment
15-Minute Chart: MA7 < MA25 < MA99 Bearish Arrangement; MACD Golden Cross but weak momentum, rebound height is limited; RSI ~49, still belongs to weak recovery.
1-Hour Chart: The bearish arrangement of moving averages continues, with MA25 and MA99 suppressing the rebound; MACD Death Cross after red bars exhausted, short-term has weak recovery; RSI ~38.9, momentum is weak.
4-Hour Chart: MA7 and MA25 continue to decline, prices are suppressed below MA25; MACD Death Cross expands; RSI ~30.6, at the edge of oversold but no obvious reversal.
Daily Chart: MA7 deeply presses MA25; MACD green bars continue to expand, downward momentum is strong; RSI ~31.4, in deep oversold area, a rebound may occur but the trend remains bearish.
Weekly Chart: MA7 is approaching MA25 downwards; MACD red bars sharply shrink, death cross is critical; RSI ~40.3, long-term trend weakens but has not collapsed.

📊 Technical Indicator Analysis
MACD: All timeframes (1H, 4H, Daily) maintain a clear death cross, green bars continue to expand; although there is a golden cross in the short term, the strength is very weak, making it difficult for the rebound to continue.
RSI: Multi-timeframes concentrated in the 30-49 range, daily enters deep oversold; short-term has rebound space, but mid-term still clearly bearish.
Moving Average System: MA7, MA25, MA99 complete bearish arrangement; MA99 (approximately 101,000～103,000 USD) has become a key resistance area.
Trading Volume: Significant increase during the downtrend, decrease during the rebound phase, clearly shows a bear-dominated pattern.

🌐 Macroeconomic News (Last 48 Hours・Extended Version)
1. U.S. PPI exceeds expectations
The Producer Price Index has rebounded, intensifying market concerns about inflation rebound, with the USD and U.S. Treasury yields strengthening simultaneously, putting pressure on BTC.
2. Fed officials again express hawkish stance
Two regional Fed presidents emphasized "not ruling out further tightening in the future," reinforcing market expectations for prolonged high interest rates, with risk assets facing continued pressure.

📉 $BTC (2025-11-12 12:20) | Long and Short Trend Index: 39 / 100 (Weak Fluctuation, Bears Dominant but Downward Momentum Slowing)
BTC is currently priced at approximately 103,349 USD, down -0.9% in the past 24 hours, consolidating at a low for the second consecutive day. Short-term rebound momentum is insufficient, with prices fluctuating within the narrow range of 103,000 to 104,000 USD. The market shows that bears still have control, but selling pressure intensity is starting to weaken. If BTC stabilizes above 103,200 USD and increases in volume, it may trigger a technical rebound; if it drops below 102,400 USD again, it could continue to test the 100,800 to 101,200 USD area.
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
🔹 Multi-Period K-Line Trend Judgment:
15-Minute Chart: MA7, MA25, MA99 in a bearish arrangement; MACD golden cross initially forming but momentum is weak; RSI ~56.1, short-term entering recovery zone.
1-Hour Chart: MA7 crosses below MA25 and MA99 and slightly converges, price fluctuates near the midpoint; MACD red bar slightly releases, indicating a short-term rebound attempt; RSI ~42.0, still weak.
4-Hour Chart: MA7 and MA25 both declining, price under pressure from MA99; MACD red bar weakening, momentum sluggish; RSI ~45.5, rebound sustainability insufficient.
Daily Chart: MA7 significantly pressing down on MA25, trend still in bearish phase; MACD death cross maintained, green bar expansion speed slows; RSI ~41.6, entering mild oversold zone.
Weekly Chart: MA7 above MA25 but slope flattening; MACD red bar significantly contracting, fast and slow lines converging; RSI ~45.6, long-term trend still in a healthy range.

📊 Technical Indicator Analysis:
MACD: Short-term (15m, 1H) showing slight golden cross signals, indicating potential short-term rebound recovery momentum; medium-term (4H, daily) still maintaining death cross structure, bearish trend not reversed.
RSI: RSI distribution across all periods in the 41-56 range, short-term entering recovery but medium-term still weak; overall momentum at a low level, indicating market remains cautious.
Moving Average System: MA7, MA25, MA99 in a bearish arrangement, structure not yet repaired; MA99 (approximately 104,000 USD) is a key resistance.
Trading Volume: Reduced by about 15% compared to yesterday, funds are clearly in a wait-and-see mode, downward momentum is slowing but buying pressure has not significantly returned.

🌐 Macroeconomic News:
1. [BTC ETF Slight Net Outflow of 80 Million USD in One Day] for two consecutive days of fund outflow, institutions remain cautious.
2. [On-chain Activity Declined by 2.8%] Slight increase in net inflow to exchanges, short-term selling pressure still exists.

📉 $BTC (2025-11-12 12:20) | Long and Short Trend Index: 39 / 100 (Weak Fluctuation, Bears Dominant but Downward Momentum Slowing)
BTC is currently priced at approximately 103,349 USD, down -0.9% in the past 24 hours, consolidating at a low for the second consecutive day. Short-term rebound momentum is insufficient, with prices fluctuating within the narrow range of 103,000 to 104,000 USD. The market shows that bears still have control, but selling pressure intensity is starting to weaken. If BTC stabilizes above 103,200 USD and increases in volume, it may trigger a technical rebound; if it drops below 102,400 USD again, it could continue to test the 100,800 to 101,200 USD area.
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
🔹 Multi-Period K-Line Trend Judgment:
15-Minute Chart: MA7, MA25, MA99 in a bearish arrangement; MACD golden cross initially forming but momentum is weak; RSI ~56.1, short-term entering recovery zone.
1-Hour Chart: MA7 crosses below MA25 and MA99 and slightly converges, price fluctuates near the midpoint; MACD red bar slightly releases, indicating a short-term rebound attempt; RSI ~42.0, still weak.
4-Hour Chart: MA7 and MA25 both declining, price under pressure from MA99; MACD red bar weakening, momentum sluggish; RSI ~45.5, rebound sustainability insufficient.
Daily Chart: MA7 significantly pressing down on MA25, trend still in bearish phase; MACD death cross maintained, green bar expansion speed slows; RSI ~41.6, entering mild oversold zone.
Weekly Chart: MA7 above MA25 but slope flattening; MACD red bar significantly contracting, fast and slow lines converging; RSI ~45.6, long-term trend still in a healthy range.

📊 Technical Indicator Analysis:
MACD: Short-term (15m, 1H) showing slight golden cross signals, indicating potential short-term rebound recovery momentum; medium-term (4H, daily) still maintaining death cross structure, bearish trend not reversed.
RSI: RSI distribution across all periods in the 41-56 range, short-term entering recovery but medium-term still weak; overall momentum at a low level, indicating market remains cautious.
Moving Average System: MA7, MA25, MA99 in a bearish arrangement, structure not yet repaired; MA99 (approximately 104,000 USD) is a key resistance.
Trading Volume: Reduced by about 15% compared to yesterday, funds are clearly in a wait-and-see mode, downward momentum is slowing but buying pressure has not significantly returned.

🌐 Macroeconomic News:
1. [BTC ETF Slight Net Outflow of 80 Million USD in One Day] for two consecutive days of fund outflow, institutions remain cautious.
2. [On-chain Activity Declined by 2.8%] Slight increase in net inflow to exchanges, short-term selling pressure still exists.