At 3 AM, Trump has something to say, what should the market pay attention to?
Just saw the news that Trump will make an "announcement" at 3 AM Beijing time tomorrow (December 3). This timing occurs one week before the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting in December (December 9-10), so his remarks are worth noting.
Why should we pay attention?
Such "major statements" are the greatest uncertainty when there is no specific content. Given that Trump's topics often involve trade, fiscal spending, immigration, or regulatory policy, any unexpected strong remarks could quickly disrupt market sentiment, leading to a reassessment of the economy and policies.
Possible impact pathways
For the digital asset market, this impact is usually indirect and transmitted through sentiment:
1. If it involves fiscal stimulus or easing policies: it may be interpreted as positive for economic growth and risk assets, potentially boosting market sentiment in the short term.
2. If it involves trade friction or hardline policies: it may exacerbate market concerns about economic prospects, elevating risk-averse sentiment and increasing volatility in risk assets (including mainstream digital assets).
3. The most critical point: regardless of the content, the statement may increase overall market volatility in the week ahead, especially at this sensitive time before the Federal Reserve meeting.
Observational advice for everyone
In the face of this "event-driven" volatility, you can do the following:
· Stay calm, no need to pre-judge: Any speculation is insignificant before the specific content is released. Avoid betting in advance based on "possibilities".
· Pay attention to subsequent interpretations: After the announcement is made, focus on the first reactions from mainstream financial media and the market, which are more important than the announcement itself.
· Manage your positions well: Before and after major uncertainty events, reducing leverage and maintaining a flexible cash position is the best way to cope with unexpected volatility.
In summary, this is an "event risk" that needs attention. The real market direction still depends on economic fundamentals and the decisions of core institutions like the Federal Reserve. Let's keep an eye on it, but let the "bullets" fly for a while first.
(This article is based on the publicly released White House schedule analysis and is for reference only) #美联储何时降息? $BTC $ETH


