The crypto market faces a crucial week from December 8 to 13, 2025, with six major events impacting prices and sentiment. With multiple critical events condensed into a few days, the interplay of macroeconomic policy, technological milestones, legal proceedings, and regulatory actions creates a unique dynamic.
Together, these forces are likely to influence the valuations of altcoins and shape investor confidence in the sector.
FOMC interest rate decision sets the tone for Bitcoin
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will announce its interest rate decision on Wednesday, December 10, 2025, at 2:00 PM ET. According to the CME FedWatch tool, there is an 87.4% chance of a rate cut, a 12.6% chance that nothing changes, and no expectation of a hike.
Markets are anticipating looser financial conditions, which could boost risky assets like Bitcoin. However, the largest market movement is expected during the press conference of Fed Chair Jerome Powell at 2:30 PM ET, which will provide important guidance for future monetary policy.
Solana Breakpoint Conference
The Solana Breakpoint Conference begins on December 11 at the Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi. Organizers say this will be the largest Breakpoint to date, lasting until December 13.
The event coincides with Abu Dhabi Finance Week and the Formula 1 Grand Prix, placing Solana at the center of financial and technological attention.
Panels will focus on institutional adoption, with sessions on staking infrastructure for Solana ETFs and network infrastructure.
Breakout events like MEV Day, Block Zero, and Colosseum Breakpoint Arena will address topics such as blockchain scalability and decentralized applications. Registration prices range from $100 for students to $700 for late-bird access, keeping the event accessible to a broad audience.
Industry leaders and institutional investors will gather to discuss how to generate revenue within the Solana ecosystem.
The conference's emphasis on strong infrastructure indicates that Solana is becoming increasingly attractive to traditional financial participants seeking blockchain exposure.
Announcements made during the event could impact the Solana price, which is currently $138.49.
Terraform Labs founder Do Kwon will be sentenced on December 11, 2025, by Judge Engelmayer in the Southern District of New York.
Kwon pled guilty in August 2025 to conspiracy to commit commodities fraud, securities fraud, and wire fraud following the collapse of the Terra blockchain in May 2022, including the LUNA and UST stablecoin.
This collapse wiped out about $40 billion in market value and led to a broad decline in crypto, drawing more attention to algorithmic stablecoins.
Kwon could face up to 25 years in prison, although the final sentence will depend on various factors, such as cooperation and victim statements.
This conviction is a significant moment for accountability in crypto. It may influence the global regulatory stance toward stablecoins and algorithmic projects.
Many in the industry see this as a potential precedent for how authorities will tackle future crypto fraud, which could instill confidence in emerging projects.
Nonetheless, developments in court could influence sentiments around the LUNA price, which has dropped nearly 20% in the past 24 hours.
Aster begins on December 8, 2025, with an accelerated stage 4 buyback program, purchasing approximately $4 million worth of tokens daily for up to 10 days. The goal is to reduce volatility and support token holders through strategic liquidity management.
This approach ensures pre-loaded liquidity to alleviate concerns and demonstrates Aster’s commitment to the token economy. By concentrating purchases within a short timeframe, the project aims to create upward price pressure and absorb excess selling.
The program is transparent, with established timelines and daily goals, unlike less structured methods used by other projects.
In token markets, buybacks can reduce supply, convey confidence, and align team incentives with those of holders. Aster’s aggressive schedule suggests urgency about market conditions or future announcements.
Bittensor’s TAO Halving
Bittensor’s first TAO halving will occur between December 12 and 15, 2025, depending on block time. Daily token emissions will drop from around 7,200 TAO to 3,600 TAO, similar to Bitcoin’s fixed supply model.
As nearly half of the 21 million tokens are already in circulation, this marks an important milestone for the AI-focused blockchain.
Grayscale Research notes that halving can increase scarcity and spur price speculation while attracting developers to build AI applications. The halving mechanism ensures predictable supply and rewards long-term validators.
Avalanche ETF decision
Meanwhile, December 12 is the next deadline for U.S. regulators to decide on an Avalanche ETF. The SEC has postponed decisions on applications from VanEck and Grayscale since mid-2025.
Approval could unlock institutional access to AVAX, while further delays could strengthen the leading position of Bitcoin and Ethereum among regulated crypto products.
The SEC's response will signal its stance on investment products for blockchains outside of Bitcoin and Ethereum. Approval could lead to more ETF applications, while further delays could strengthen the dominance of existing regulated assets.
