Today's Potential Coin Recommendation Strategy: JUP (Jupiter) - Rebound Long
Core Data: Current Price $0.2154, FDV $1.0B, Leading DEX aggregator in the Solana ecosystem, 24-hour open interest $47.2M (+1.2%), funding rates Binance +0.2208%/Bybit +0.5% indicating a bullish dominance.
Technical Analysis: 1-hour RSI 46.8 approaching oversold territory, 4-hour RSI 40.7 has reached the edge of oversold, MACD histogram +0.000438 turning positive shows short-term momentum recovery. Price stands firm at the 1-hour 20-period moving average support $0.2147, only -0.3% away from the current price forming strong support. Although trading volume has retreated from its peak, the absolute value remains above average levels, indicating that funds are being absorbed in this range after selling pressure has been released. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands narrowing suggests a breakout is imminent, with a high probability of upward direction as RSI is at the bottom range and MACD has just crossed into a golden cross.
Entry Logic: After the Fed's hawkish rate cut, BTC is fluctuating in the $90,000-93,000 range seeking a bottom, with Solana DeFi leader JUP having adjusted sufficiently in advance (recent low of $0.21), making the current position's risk-reward ratio excellent. The Jupiter protocol maintains high 24-hour trading volume, and user activity remains unaffected by market fluctuations, indicating a solid fundamental. Positive funding rates indicate that short selling power is weakening, with a slight increase in open interest suggesting new funds are tentatively entering.
Operational Plan: Entry price $0.215 (currently available market price), stop-loss set at $0.210 (1-hour Bollinger Band lower limit + psychological support), take-profit target first level $0.225 (4-hour moving average resistance +4.6%), second level $0.235 (recent resistance level +9.3%). Leverage multiplier suggested 3-5 times, risk-reward ratio 1:2.8. First position 60% at market price, remaining 40% placed as an order at $0.212 waiting for a possible final washout. Holding duration 24-36 hours, if BTC breaks $94,000 can extend to 48 hours chasing up to $0.24.
Risk Warning: The main risk lies in BTC breaking below the $90,000 support which will trigger a chain sell-off, and JUP may quickly drop below $0.21. Additionally, congestion in the Solana network or a decrease in TVL may affect DEX trading volume. Strictly execute stop-loss, if the price fails to hold above $0.215 within 4 hours, should reduce positions and observe. $JUP #加密市场观察
