AI选币侠

I provide 2-3 potential cryptocurrency recommendations every day, along with trading strategies for both long and short positions. The next day, I will conduct backtesting and review. I will also provide multi-dimensional trend analysis for the other mainstream indicators $BTC $ETH over the next 24 hours. You can go directly to my homepage to watch.
The AI model I've trained can quickly and accurately analyze all real-time data of all cryptocurrencies on centralized exchanges from multiple dimensions, serving as a reference for predicting future trends. While it cannot guarantee 100% accuracy, the overall win rate after two months of testing has been quite high. AI is a new thing and a trend of the times; we cannot rely completely on AI, but we also cannot reject it. We should not have biases against new things. It can be considered a super-strong auxiliary tool. After all, the speed and efficiency of AI are unmatched by the human brain. Once the data comes out, you can make judgments based on your own experience and skills, which can significantly increase the win rate. After all, not everyone is a professional trader, and many friends who have been trading for a long time may not be very clear about many technical indicators, often trading based on intuition. AI analysis can save you a lot of time and effort.
Specific analysis dimensions:
Technical aspects: EMA/SMA, MACD, RSI, Bollinger, ATR, VWAP, Volume Profile are the core.
On-chain aspects: active addresses, net inflow to exchanges, ETH locked, whale holdings, DeFi TVL.
Derivatives aspects: funding rates, open interest, implied volatility, maximum pain, basis.
Capital flow: exchange reserves, net inflow/outflow, large order transactions, cross-chain bridge flows.
Structural aspects: buy/sell walls, depth charts, liquidity pool depth.
Macroeconomic aspects: interest rates, US dollar index, regulations, network upgrades, competitive chain dynamics.
Combining these indicators into a six-dimensional matrix of “Technical + On-chain + Derivative + Capital Flow + Structure + Macroeconomic” for in-depth analysis of short-term trading strategies.

If friends have anything they need me to analyze, they can also post in the comments, and I can provide analysis.
#内容挖矿 #BinanceSquareFamily

As of Beijing time 2025-12-12 14:54 (UTC 07:00), the Top 20 average 24h increase is +1.61%, total market value is 3.02T USD**. BTC $92,530 (+2.47%), ETH $3,254 (+1.60%), SOL leads with +6.09%. The market enters the weekend, and liquidity will significantly decrease (historical trading volume drops by 30-50%), increasing the risk of volatility.

Technical analysis: 1h RSI neutral (BTC~57), MACD hist positive, short-term upward momentum is sufficient, but daily MACD remains weak. Net outflow from on-chain exchanges supports the bottom.

Weekend liquidity impact: From Friday night to Saturday, institutions exit, retail dominates, and the sharp reduction in trading volume makes false breakouts/flash crashes likely (historical weekend volatility +20%). No significant events (PPI/initial claims have passed, next week BOJ interest rate hike expectations), but any news (such as hackers/geopolitical issues) under low volume can amplify impacts. No high-engagement discussions on Twitter regarding weekend liquidity; the market is calm and cautious.

24h trend judgment: Slightly bullish (probability 60%), BTC range 92k-94k, ETH 3.2k-3.3k. If trading volume stabilizes, a slight increase is possible; liquidity exhaustion or a pullback to 91k/3.15k. Non-structural reversal, beware of the weekend "weekend effect".

Operational advice: Reduce leverage, hold a light position and observe. Bullish stop loss at 91k (BTC)/3.15k (ETH), increase positions at 92k on dips. Avoid high-risk operations over the weekend, wait for liquidity to recover on Monday before taking action. Risk control is a priority!
Follow me for daily recommendations on potential coins, with both long and short strategies available. There will also be in-depth market analysis.
$BTC $ETH #美联储降息

Today's Potential Coin Recommendation Strategy: JUP (Jupiter) - Rebound Long
Core Data: Current Price $0.2154, FDV $1.0B, Leading DEX aggregator in the Solana ecosystem, 24-hour open interest $47.2M (+1.2%), funding rates Binance +0.2208%/Bybit +0.5% indicating a bullish dominance.
Technical Analysis: 1-hour RSI 46.8 approaching oversold territory, 4-hour RSI 40.7 has reached the edge of oversold, MACD histogram +0.000438 turning positive shows short-term momentum recovery. Price stands firm at the 1-hour 20-period moving average support $0.2147, only -0.3% away from the current price forming strong support. Although trading volume has retreated from its peak, the absolute value remains above average levels, indicating that funds are being absorbed in this range after selling pressure has been released. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands narrowing suggests a breakout is imminent, with a high probability of upward direction as RSI is at the bottom range and MACD has just crossed into a golden cross.
Entry Logic: After the Fed's hawkish rate cut, BTC is fluctuating in the $90,000-93,000 range seeking a bottom, with Solana DeFi leader JUP having adjusted sufficiently in advance (recent low of $0.21), making the current position's risk-reward ratio excellent. The Jupiter protocol maintains high 24-hour trading volume, and user activity remains unaffected by market fluctuations, indicating a solid fundamental. Positive funding rates indicate that short selling power is weakening, with a slight increase in open interest suggesting new funds are tentatively entering.
Operational Plan: Entry price $0.215 (currently available market price), stop-loss set at $0.210 (1-hour Bollinger Band lower limit + psychological support), take-profit target first level $0.225 (4-hour moving average resistance +4.6%), second level $0.235 (recent resistance level +9.3%). Leverage multiplier suggested 3-5 times, risk-reward ratio 1:2.8. First position 60% at market price, remaining 40% placed as an order at $0.212 waiting for a possible final washout. Holding duration 24-36 hours, if BTC breaks $94,000 can extend to 48 hours chasing up to $0.24.
Risk Warning: The main risk lies in BTC breaking below the $90,000 support which will trigger a chain sell-off, and JUP may quickly drop below $0.21. Additionally, congestion in the Solana network or a decrease in TVL may affect DEX trading volume. Strictly execute stop-loss, if the price fails to hold above $0.215 within 4 hours, should reduce positions and observe. $JUP #加密市场观察

Shorting High Valuation New Projects Reference ZBT
Shorting Core Logic
1. Upcoming Unlock Bomb
In 5 days (2025-12-17), node staking will unlock 7.17M ZBT, accounting for 0.72% of total supply, which represents a 3.1% increase in the current circulation of 230 million. 43.75% of node staking will be released linearly over the next 60 months, averaging about 0.73% per month, creating continuous selling pressure. Investors and the team will have 11.25% and 20% respectively starting from 2026-10-17 with a cliff + linear unlock.
2. The Double-Edged Sword Backed by Binance Labs
While investment from YZi Labs brings traffic from the launch of Binance Alpha, it also means extremely low institutional costs (the seed round valuation is far below the current FDV). Historically, Binance Labs projects often exhibit a "pump and dump" model during the unlock period, as evidenced by ZBT's 89.73% drop from its ATH.
3. High Concentration of On-Chain Chips
The top 10 holders control 78% of circulation supply, with Uniswap PoolManager accounting for 40.8% (suspected market maker or project party liquidity), while retail holdings are minimal. The average daily active addresses on-chain are only 500, with monthly active addresses between 22,000-27,000, indicating low community participation.
4. Intense Competition in the ZK Track
The ZK Prover network faces mature competitors like Polygon zkEVM, zkSync, and StarkNet. ZBT, focusing on zkLogin and zkDarkPool, has yet to establish a moat in the privacy track. There is no TVL data (non-DeFi protocol), making it difficult to quantify actual adoption.
5. Mixed but Bearish Technicals
Mid-term Oversold: the 1d RSI at 28.6 is in the oversold zone, indicating a risk of technical rebound with short-term rebound signs: the 1h RSI at 55.7 is neutral, and the MACD histogram has turned positive. OI has risen against the trend by 5.8%: new leveraged long positions have entered the market, providing a counterparty for shorting with positive funding rates: Binance +0.005%, Bybit +0.00125%, with long positions dominating liquidation: 65% of $20,274 liquidations in 24 hours were long positions.
Warning: the ZBT technicals show a 1d RSI that has been oversold. It is recommended to wait for a rebound to the $0.1065-0.1093 range (4h Bollinger Bands middle line to SMA50) before entering, or observe price trends for 3 days before the unlock on 12-17.
Operational Suggestions
📍 Entry Price Levels:
Aggressive: $0.1047 (current price, suitable for small position testing)
Conservative: $0.1065-0.1093 (waiting for a rebound to the 4h middle line/SMA50)
🎯 Target Price Levels: First Level: $0.1018 (1h Bollinger Bands lower band, -2.8%)
Second Level: $0.1000 (psychological round number, -4.5%)
Third Level: $0.0850 (breakdown target, -18.8%) 🛡️ Stop Loss Price Level: $0.1142 (+9%, 1d Bollinger Bands middle line) ⚖️ Risk-Reward Ratio: 2.23 (excellent level)
💰 Suggested Position: 20-30% of capital, leverage ≤2x ⏰ Key Time Points: 48 hours around the unlock on December 17 $ZBT

High Valuation New Project Latest Short Recommendation RLS (Rayls)
Shorting Core Logic
1. Valuation Bubble at Market's Highest
FDV/MC ratio 6.7x leads the new coin rankings, 85% of tokens locked means the current $19M market cap carries a $127.6M valuation, any unlocking triggers selling pressure. Benchmark against the already zeroed PIPE (similar infrastructure narrative), RLS pricing is clearly detached from fundamental support.
2. Heavy VC Investment + Upcoming Unlock
Investors and team each hold 22% and 17%, linear unlocking starts after a 12-month cliff in December 2026 for 36 months. While the main unlocking happens after one year, 35% of the ecosystem treasury is already in a 48-month linear release, averaging about 0.73% supply release per month. In the last 30 days, there has been a net inflow of 300 million RLS on-chain, with whales holding an average of only 15 days, indicating short-term speculation rather than long-term locking.
3. Extremely Weak Fundamentals
No TVL: Mainnet not launched, all indicators are zero with no users: 340,000 users on the testnet cannot convert to mainnet value. Competitive Landscape: RWA tokenization competitors include mature projects like Railgun, Zcash, Polymesh, etc. Regulatory Risks: Privacy features face compliance challenges under Brazil, EU MiCA framework.
4. Perfect Technical Setup for Shorting
Multi-Cycle Bear Market: Price below all EMA and SMA on 1h/4h/1d, RSI nearing oversold: 4h RSI 35.74, 1d RSI unavailable but expected <30. OI Crash -15.09%: Open interest dropped significantly from a high, showing leveraged exits. Positive Funding Rate +0.005%: Longs pay shorts, excessive leveraged longs face liquidation pressure. Long Positions Dominating Liquidations: 24h liquidations $196,759, of which 89% are long positions ($175,334).
5. Catalyst Time Window
Short Listing Time: Just launched on December 2nd on Binance and 5 other exchanges, FOMO market has ended. Unlocking about to begin: Ecosystem treasury monthly unlock continues to apply pressure. Mainnet Delay Risk: Q1 2026 mainnet delay could trigger a collapse in confidence.
Operational Suggestions
📍 Entry Price: $0.01275-0.01280 (current price or rebound to 1h EMA12) 🎯 Target Prices:
First Level: $0.01218 (1h Bollinger Band lower bound, -4.3%)
Second Level: $0.01178 (4h Bollinger Band lower bound, -7.7%)
Third Level: $0.01000 (psychological barrier, -21.5%) 🛡️ Stop Loss Price: $0.01328 (+4.5%, above 1h Bollinger Band upper bound) ⚖️ Risk-Reward Ratio: 1.86 (excellent level) 💰 Suggested Position: 30-40% principal, leverage ≤2x $RLS #加密市场观察

Short Selling High Valuation New Project Recommendation Strategy Reference: MET Short Selling

Suggested Actions:
Entry Price: $0.270-0.272 (Current Price, close to the 4-hour Bollinger Band lower band) Target Price: $0.256 (1-hour support) → $0.243 (Major liquidation cluster) Stop Loss Price: $0.289 (1-hour Bollinger Band middle band) Risk-Reward Ratio: 0.8-0.9 (Note: R:R is slightly low, as RSI is deeply oversold, position should be controlled within 20%)

Core Short Selling Logic:
1. Continuous Unlock Pressure: Team 18% and ecological reserves 34% are undergoing monthly linear unlocks, releasing 22M MET (2.2% of total) over the next 3 months, with 7.3M unlocking on December 23
Whale Concentration: Top 10 holders control 40% of total supply, with a large unlock at TGE (LP 150M, stakeholders 150M) causing selling pressure
2. Legal Risk Shadow: Co-founder facing a class-action lawsuit due to previous memecoin activities, damaging the project's reputation, although not amplified recently on social media, it poses potential risks
Technical Weakness:
3. Multi-timeframe Bear Market, prices below all EMA and SMARSI deeply oversold (1h: 25.6, 4h: 28.5, 1d: 30.3) OI decreased -5.26%, showing leveraged exit with negative funding rates (Bybit -0.033%, OKX -0.037%), shorts have dominated with 24-hour long liquidation $578K vs short liquidation $14K, long liquidations dominate 98%
4. Social Heat Decline: Very few high-quality discussions in November-December, heat has not recovered after the airdrop sell-off storm in October $MET #加密市场观察

Short-selling high valuation new project recommendation strategy reference: MON short-selling
Entry price range: $0.0265-0.0268 (near current price or rebound to the middle band of the 4-hour Bollinger Bands) Target price: $0.0237 (major long liquidation cluster) → $0.0195 (1-day Bollinger Bands lower band) Stop loss price: $0.0273 (above the middle band of the 4-hour Bollinger Bands) Risk-reward ratio: 1.0-1.3
Core short-selling logic:
Valuation disparity: FDV $2.65B vs actual market value only $288M, 90% of tokens are not in circulation, selling pressure upon unlocking
Severe institutional control: Paradigm leads with $244M+, ecosystem development fund holds 38.5B MON (38.5% of total supply), actual retail distribution only 10.8%
Airdrop leads to sell-off: 52.4% of airdrop recipients (39,796 wallets) sold off all immediately after receiving, within the last 24 hours whales sold over 8M MON
KOL warning: Arthur Hayes publicly pointed out that MON is a "high FDV low circulation VC coin, facing significant downside risk", broad community skepticism about the token economics
Technical confirmation:
Price below all major moving averages (EMA12/26, SMA50/200) funding rate positive (+0.005-0.01%), indicating bullish over-leverage 24-hour long liquidation $236K vs short liquidation $148K, long position dominant OI slightly decreased -0.48%, showing leverage exit $MON #美联储降息

BTC Liquidation Map Explained: What is it? Why is it important?

The liquidation map (Liquidation Heatmap) is a key tool for observing the risk in the BTC contract market. It uses color to show the potential concentration of liquidations at different price levels: the deeper the color, the more leveraged positions are piled up, and once triggered, it could lead to a chain reaction of liquidations, amplifying market fluctuations.

1. What can the liquidation map show?
Upper hot zone = Concentration point for short liquidations
Once the price breaks through, a large number of shorts will be forced to buy, pushing the market up.
Lower hot zone = Concentration point for long liquidations
If the price drops to these areas, longs will be forced to sell, possibly accelerating the decline.
The larger and brighter the hot zone = the higher the risk
It can easily become a price “magnet point” and is often quickly filled.

2. The impact of the liquidation map on the market
Drives short-term volatility: The forced buying and selling caused by liquidations will quickly amplify price movements.
Forms key price levels: Hot zones often become short-term support or resistance levels.
Reflects market sentiment: A concentration of hot zones at the top indicates many shorts; a concentration at the bottom indicates accumulation of longs.

3. How to use it in practice?
Avoid opening positions in hot zones to reduce the risk of getting stopped out or forced to take over.
Combine with funding rates / OI / trading volume to assess whether liquidation risks will actually be triggered.
Market movements near hot zones are generally more volatile, making them a key focus for short-term traders.

4. The liquidation map is not used to predict price movements
Its core value is:
To tell you “where is most dangerous,” rather than “whether it will go up or down.”
It functions more like a “market radar,” helping you identify potential risk points.

BTC Liquidation Map Brief Review (with chart)

From the latest liquidation heatmap:

The lower 88k–89k is the densest area for long liquidations; breaking below here will trigger more long liquidations, leaning short-term risk downwards.

The upper 94k–96k is a dense area for short liquidations, with clear resistance here, a breakthrough will trigger short liquidations and push the price up.

The middle 90k–92k is mostly a consolidation zone, with price testing back and forth but not forming clear support/resistance.

Summary: The lower risk concentration area is more pronounced, leaning weak short-term; if it wants to strengthen, it needs to re-establish above the upper hot zone and trigger short liquidations. $BTC

Latest Macro: Is This the "Last Rate Cut" During Powell's Tenure? How Should the Crypto Market View It?

According to ChainCatcher, Charlie Ripley, Vice President of Allianz Investment Management, stated that the Federal Reserve has entered a difficult balancing range of "employment vs inflation," and this rate cut may be the last during Powell's tenure. As a result, the market has strengthened an expectation: the further easing space for monetary policy may be limited in the future.

What does this mean for the crypto market?
First, the rate cut itself is beneficial for liquidity and theoretically will enhance risk appetite. However, the signals conveyed by “only this cut” and “the end of the rate-cutting cycle” are entirely different: liquidity may improve in the short term, but there is uncertainty about whether this can be sustained in the medium term. Therefore, the market is likely to lean toward fluctuations rather than a one-sided trend.
Second, a weaker dollar is usually beneficial for crypto assets, but if the dollar falls while the fundamentals weaken (for example, cooling employment, economic slowdown), the crypto market may face pressure. In other words, the direction of crypto depends more on macro risk appetite rather than simply on interest rate changes.
Third, institutional fund flows will become the core variable. The net inflow/outflow of Bitcoin ETFs has replaced the simple logic of rate cuts and has become the dominant force in price trends. If policies are no longer clearly easing, institutional allocations will be more cautious; if ETFs cannot sustain net inflows, the height of crypto rebounds will be limited.

Strategy Suggestions for Traders:
Mainstream coins (BTC/ETH) remain the most efficient risk allocations, focus on opportunities to buy on dips.
Small-cap assets are more susceptible to macro uncertainty shocks, so positions must be light and cycles shorter.
Three key indicators must be closely monitored: ETF fund flows, the US dollar index (DXY), perpetual contract funding rates/OI.
If employment data weakens but the Fed does not continue to cut rates, be wary of a decline in overall market risk appetite.
In summary:
This rate cut is not the "beginning of a comprehensive easing," but rather more like a "cautious one-time release." Moving forward, the direction of the crypto market will be jointly determined by "macro data + institutional fund flows," rather than solely by the rate cut itself. $BNB #美联储降息

Today's potential cryptocurrency recommendation strategy reference: PIPPIN - Trend chasing
Current price $0.345, FDV $345M (fully diluted), 24-hour counter trend increase of 5%, 7-day cumulative increase of 67%, AI Agent concept Meme coin. Technical indicators show 4-hour RSI at 70.2 and daily RSI at 79.5, indicating overbought conditions, but the MACD daily histogram at +0.0186 maintains strength, with the price staying above all moving averages, and whale holdings increased by 18.2% over 7 days (approximately 350M coins). Although the holdings have decreased by 11.6% to $212M, the funding rate on Binance at +0.017% indicates a willingness to go long.
Entry price $0.340 (1-hour moving average support), stop loss at $0.331 (key support level), target $0.370 (upward extension), leverage 5-7 times, risk-reward ratio 3.33. Logic: The narrative heat of AI Agent continues, PIPPIN has broken through the trend channel and whales are continuously accumulating; after interest rate cuts, risk appetite increases, benefiting speculative Meme coins. Risk: The overbought condition may correct at any time, waiting for confirmation of support at $0.340, if it drops below $0.331, stop loss immediately. $pippin

2026 Keep it up. $BNB #2025WithBinance

It has been 1959 days since coming to Binance, and I can be considered an old leek $BNB #美联储FOMC会议

The mercury thermometers that have been used for decades are going to be discontinued. Will we only be able to use electronic ones in the future?
$BNB

The WeChat account of the top sister has been hacked
$BNB

Ether short-term trading strategy reference $ETH #加密市场反弹