Entry price: $0.140-0.142 (currently $0.1402 available for transaction)
Leverage: 6x
Stop loss level: $0.133 (-5.6%, 1-hour Bollinger band middle line + liquidation support)
Take profit target: $0.158 (+12.8%, short position liquidation zone)
Holding duration: 18-30 hours after entry
Core Logic: AXL is an undervalued asset in the cross-chain infrastructure sector (FDV only $167M). It has recently shown explosive breakthroughs, surging 27.48% in 24 hours, with a cumulative increase of 16.04% over 7 days. However, its market cap still has a valuation gap of 5-10 times compared to similar projects (LayerZero FDV $3B+). The most critical signal is that the holding volume has surged 184% in the past 24 hours to $16.8M, indicating that this level of capital inflow typically signals a leading trend before a significant price increase.
Technically, a multi-timeframe resonance for going long has formed: 1-hour RSI is 62.4 and not overheated, 4-hour RSI is 66.4 approaching overbought but the MACD histogram (0.0037) is still expanding, and the daily line has just broken through the 50-day moving average resistance ($0.1485). The price is currently testing the 1-hour Bollinger band upper band at $0.1503; if it breaks out effectively, it will open up upward space to the short liquidation zone of $0.155-0.16 (accumulated liquidation volume of $1.6 million). The funding rates on Binance are -0.08% and Bybit -0.01%, in a negative environment, shorts are 'working' for longs, paying interest every 8 hours instead of hindering. The liquidation map shows a long liquidation risk of $3.6 million below $0.133, but shorts face a liquidation risk of up to $1.6 million between $0.14-0.155, making the upward resistance smaller.
Risk management: Under 6x leverage, the actual loss at stop loss is about 34%, and the take profit gain is about 77%. The risk is that AXL, being a small market cap coin (circulating market cap $152M), has relatively limited liquidity, and the impact cost of large orders is high, especially after two consecutive days of significant increases, creating short-term profit-taking pressure. If the Federal Reserve releases hawkish signals, small-cap infrastructure tokens may face a double hit (diminished narrative + liquidity withdrawal), quickly breaking below $0.13. Strict stop-loss is advised, and attention should be paid to changes in Binance positions; if a single-day reduction exceeds 20%, an early exit should be considered.
Operational details: The first batch of 50% position is executed at market price of $0.140, the second batch of 30% is placed at $0.138 (if the 1-hour candlestick retraces without breaking the Bollinger band middle line), reserving 20% for maneuvering to chase higher after confirming the breakthrough at $0.145. A stop loss of $0.133 is rigidly enforced, with take profit set in two stages: close 60% at $0.150 (breaking the Bollinger band upper band), and the remaining 40% targets $0.158 (short liquidation peak). Due to slightly lower liquidity compared to ENA/WIF, a $100,000 order on Binance/Bybit is expected to have a slippage of 0.5-1%, so it is recommended to execute in batches to avoid excessive impact. If the price reaches $0.15 before the Federal Reserve meeting, the stop loss can be moved up to $0.142 to protect profits; if a rate cut is confirmed after the meeting and risk appetite rises, it can be held until $0.16.$AXL #美联储FOMC会议
