As of Beijing time 2025-12-12 14:54 (UTC 07:00), the Top 20 average 24h increase is +1.61%, total market value is 3.02T USD**. BTC $92,530 (+2.47%), ETH $3,254 (+1.60%), SOL leads with +6.09%. The market enters the weekend, and liquidity will significantly decrease (historical trading volume drops by 30-50%), increasing the risk of volatility.
Technical analysis: 1h RSI neutral (BTC~57), MACD hist positive, short-term upward momentum is sufficient, but daily MACD remains weak. Net outflow from on-chain exchanges supports the bottom.
Weekend liquidity impact: From Friday night to Saturday, institutions exit, retail dominates, and the sharp reduction in trading volume makes false breakouts/flash crashes likely (historical weekend volatility +20%). No significant events (PPI/initial claims have passed, next week BOJ interest rate hike expectations), but any news (such as hackers/geopolitical issues) under low volume can amplify impacts. No high-engagement discussions on Twitter regarding weekend liquidity; the market is calm and cautious.
24h trend judgment: Slightly bullish (probability 60%), BTC range 92k-94k, ETH 3.2k-3.3k. If trading volume stabilizes, a slight increase is possible; liquidity exhaustion or a pullback to 91k/3.15k. Non-structural reversal, beware of the weekend "weekend effect".
Operational advice: Reduce leverage, hold a light position and observe. Bullish stop loss at 91k (BTC)/3.15k (ETH), increase positions at 92k on dips. Avoid high-risk operations over the weekend, wait for liquidity to recover on Monday before taking action. Risk control is a priority!
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