Today, something very typical happened in the crypto world, but 90% of retail investors don't understand it.
👉 The Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates
👉 Japan is rumored to be raising interest rates
👉 BTC and ETH are neither rising nor falling, but rather tormenting back and forth
Many people are starting to feel confused:
“Isn't it a rate cut? Where's the money?”
“Isn't Japan going to raise interest rates? Why hasn't it collapsed?”
It's not the market that's strange; it's that you are looking at it from the wrong angle.
1. What the market fears the most right now is not bad news, but 'lack of new things'
Let me say something that hits hard:
📌 Everything you see in the news today, the major players knew about it two weeks ago
Whether it's a rate cut or Japan raising interest rates,
None of it is 'suddenly happening', but expectations that have been repeatedly discussed and traded.
What does this mean?
👉 The moment the news comes out
is not the 'starting point', but the emotional realization point
So you will see:
Good news → Doesn't rise
Bad news → Doesn't fall
Market → Drawing an ECG on the spot
Because the money has already lined up.
II. What really determines the rise and fall is never the news headlines
Many people check news every day, but overlook one thing:
📉 Prices are not driven by news, but determined by whether 'capital is willing to continue staying'.
Ask you three questions:
1️⃣ How much new capital is really ready to come in for the long term?
2️⃣ How many people are just betting on a wave of news?
3️⃣ After the news lands, are there still 'relay people'?
If the answer is negative —
Then the price can only fluctuate, retrace, and exhaust emotions.
This is why the recent market:
👉 Looks like it's about to take off
👉 In reality, it's always hitting the brakes
III. At this stage, which type of person is the most dangerous?
Not bearish.
Not bullish.
But — people who are led by the news.
📍 When I see 'interest rate cut', I chase
📍 When I see 'interest rate hike', I run
📍 Didn't check the candlestick, positions come first
📍 Emotions are ups and downs, the account goes down all the way
What the market likes to do the most is:
Using 'seemingly reasonable logic' to reap the most anxious crowd.
IV. So what exactly is the market doing now?
In one sentence:
📌 Waiting for a 'variable that cannot be ambushed in advance'.
It's not an interest rate cut, it's not an interest rate hike,
But:
The real direction of capital choice
Further clarification on macro risks
Breakthrough after emotions have been completely worn down
Before this, the probability is:
👉 Can't go up
👉 Can't go down deep
👉 Specializing in impatience
V. A word of truth to you who are still in the market
If you have been feeling recently:
Really want to operate
Always feels wrong
Every time I enter the market, I get slapped back and forth
That's not your dish.
But this stage was never prepared for emotional players.
📌 What should really be done is not 'taking sides in long and short',
📌 But to think clearly:
Are you here to endure the cycle, or to gamble on emotions?
The market has something every day,
But not many can survive to wait for direction to emerge.
Understanding this point,
You have already outperformed half of the people.#美联储降息 #加密市场反弹 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 $BTC $ETH $XRP
