【Gold XAUUSD】#黄金 12.16 Latest Strategy Analysis‼️

The evening non-farm payroll and retail sales data have yet to be released, and funds are on the sidelines; the gold price will be limited in volatility during the European session. After the Federal Reserve's third interest rate cut, the 2026 rate cut expectations remain unchanged, with the dollar dropping to 98.29 supporting gold in the medium to long term, but there are differences within the Federal Reserve regarding the pace of rate cuts, making bulls hesitant to chase. Additionally, global central banks continue to buy gold, and silver has reached historical highs, providing strong support for gold, with a low probability of a significant drop.

During the day, the Asian session fluctuated around 4288-4300, with 4320-4330 above serving as resistance from last Friday's breakout point. If the European session cannot break through, the fluctuation will continue, with clear resistance at 4320-4330 and strong support at 4285. The market will not show a clear directional breakout before the non-farm data; however, if new information arises from the Russia-Ukraine situation or if the dollar index moves unexpectedly, a brief breakout may occur, but the overall fluctuation pattern is unlikely to change.

(For reference only)

The big yellow is seen north around 4275-4265.

Targeting the area around 4285-4295, if it breaks through, look for 4315, 4320.

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