#原油 12.17 Morning Crude Oil Strategy
The core contradiction of oversupply has not been alleviated, and after breaking through the joint support area, market bearish sentiment has further strengthened. Funds are only participating in short-term rebound repairs, with no willingness to bottom fish, providing a sentiment basis for a second decline;
The 4-hour bearish divergence pattern is complete, and the hourly level continues the bearish rhythm of 'decline - consolidation - further decline'. The rebound at the current price of 55.687 is a technical repair that does not change the overall downward trend, and a second decline is highly likely to occur towards the end of the trading session;
The 1-hour chart indicators show clear selling signals around 55.687, MACD quickly shrank after a golden cross below the zero axis, and the MA moving averages are in a bearish arrangement and pressing down on prices, confirming the technical logic of weak rebound and an imminent second decline.
Trading suggestion: Light short near 55.8-56.0
Stop loss: 56.5
Target: 55.0, 55.2
