现货和悦交流村

The market has no bottom and no top, only trends and time. Those who want to chase the bottom actually want to outsmart probability, but they often end up being educated by it.
Chasing highs and cutting losses is a big taboo. When emotions run high, just leave. Uninstalling the app is a good way; out of sight, out of mind. The hardest part isn't buying; it's doing nothing after buying.
The term value investment is often misused in the crypto circle. True value is not about how much it rises, but about its ability to continuously create value. A pump in air coins is luck, but new highs in value coins are natural.
Patience means using time to smooth out uncertainty. Most people still think they are smarter, choosing to play in more difficult games, trying to get rich quickly.
In fact, the simplest strategies are often the most effective, but they are also the hardest to execute. Because it's simple, it's not easy $BTC
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#比特币VS代币化黄金 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察

September PCE data disappoints expectations! Is the Fed's "final piece of the puzzle" for rate cuts in December in place?

A key inflation indicator released by the U.S. Department of Commerce on Friday showed that the inflation rate for September was below expectations. This report, delayed due to the government shutdown, may further signal a green light for the Fed to lower interest rates.

The data revealed that the so-called core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.2% month-on-month, unchanged from August's data and in line with market expectations; however, the year-on-year growth unexpectedly fell to 2.8%, reaching a three-month low, with market expectations for a third consecutive month of 2.9%. $BTC
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#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #加密市场观察

I know a brother,

who has been in the cryptocurrency circle for eight years,

not engaging in insider trading, not chasing trends,

relying on a method that is 'so basic it's falling apart',

he managed to grow from 300,000 to 30 million.

He is almost 40 this year,

not competing, not floating,

watching the market at a fixed time every day, and doing fitness and spending time with family at other times.

He said: "Making money is a byproduct, living steadily is the real confidence."

What impresses me the most is not how much he earned,

but that he remains calm in any market condition—

no matter how much the whole network shouts 'the bull is coming',

he can stay calm like an outsider.

That day while drinking, I asked him:

"How do you manage to stay steady all the time?"

He said:

"Don’t believe in shortcuts, don’t believe in insider news,

the cryptocurrency circle is not about who is smarter,

but about who can endure, stay steady, and wait."

Later I understood,

those seemingly foolish persistences,

are the real underlying logic.

This guy's six sentences, I always remember👇

If something rises too fast, it’s not a real rise;

Those who shout the loudest are not really making money;

Never go all in, staying alive is more important than making money;

Take profits whenever you can, numbers are not money;

If you don’t understand it, don’t touch it, it’s not embarrassing;

Staying steady is harder than winning once.

The cryptocurrency circle has never been about who runs fast,

but who can live long.

Smart people earn luck,

foolish people earn cycles. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #ETH走势分析

This wave is truly explosive.

An old and outdated privacy coin actually managed to create the myth of 'an eightfold increase in a month,' going from $53 to $370, directly leaving a bunch of altcoins far behind.

What’s even more outrageous is that its trading volume once surpassed that of Ethereum.

Now various platforms are echoing the phrase: 'Bitcoin is the insurance against fiat, Zcash is the insurance against Bitcoin.'

So what’s the result? Countless people have been lured into this, fearing they might miss out on the new wealth code.

But to be honest, this kind of 'crazy bull market' often marks the start of the greatest risks.

ZEC is not a new project; it has been around since 2016, positioned as 'the optional privacy version of Bitcoin.' It sounds quite fancy, but many privacy coins were touted like this in the early days.

This time it has reignited interest purely due to three forces:

Grayscale Trust opening subscriptions, Ethereum Foundation endorsing privacy narratives, and those big influencers wildly leading the discussion.

In short, once the money and topics are in place, the market naturally explodes.

But don’t forget, it’s easy to push emotions up, but they can dissipate even faster.

Right now, the big players are not in a hurry to crash the market, but from the market rhythm, it seems that large funds have already started 'gently unloading'—not rushing to dump, but pulling up while selling, steadily trapping you as the next buyer.

At this position, if you’re still thinking about chasing, it’s truly like licking blood on a knife edge.

Personally, I wouldn’t touch it at this moment.

No matter how much ZEC is hyped, it’s just a cyclical coin. Once the heat fades and the funds leave, the crash will happen faster than you imagine.

The current strategy is just two words: wait for the crash.

If you really want to take action, wait for another surge, and when the volume doesn’t come through, short it at a high point; the risk will actually be lower.

In summary:

The peak of ZEC often marks the starting point for its collapse.

Once the heat passes, looking back—you will be glad you didn’t rush in at the peak. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #ETH走势分析

What is the essence of trading?

I once thought trading was a shortcut to getting rich, but later I realized it is more like a long game with oneself. There are no permanent winners, only practitioners who are constantly evolving.

What the market has taught me is not just about techniques, but also insights into human nature, respect for risks, and adherence to discipline.

What I want to share is never some "sure-win secret", but the genuine understanding of a lonely trader: the market is always fair. It does not punish mistakes, but will teach you time and again until you learn.

📌 Predicting the future is less important than managing the present.
Those who guess up and down all day long will either blow up their accounts or get slapped in the face. Trading is not fortune-telling, it is execution. You cannot predict the next profit or loss, but you know: if you stick to the rules, the odds will eventually be in your favor.

📌 Let profits run and cut losses short.
When first entering the market, everyone wants to "make steady profits", but the truth is: you must first learn to accept losses before you can truly make money. Losses are not scary; stubbornly holding on is what is scary; profits do not come from frequent trading but from holding onto the right position.

📌 True masters are all very "bored" and can endure solitude.
Those who achieve stable profits often live an extremely dull trading life. The rules do not change, execution is not chaotic, and they are not swayed by emotions—neither euphoric from profits nor devastated by losses. They are merely executors of discipline.

📌 Trading is a marathon; living long is more important than running fast.
You do not need to be the fastest person, just live longer than others. Those who blow up their accounts are not necessarily less intelligent; they just did not survive. Good risk control and steady drawdown management keep you at the table—time is the strongest compounding factor.

Lastly, I want to say:
The essence of trading is to constantly refine oneself.
The market will not reward you more just because you work hard, nor will it treat you specially because you perform well. It never changes; the only thing that can change is you.

Making money relies not on techniques but on understanding; not on methods but on execution.
If you truly grasp this point, you no longer need anyone's guidance.

The market has already taught you everything $BTC
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#比特币VS代币化黄金 #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析

Contracts are something that come and go quickly.

Many people think contracts are impressive, but to put it simply, they are just an enlarged version of spot trading.

Money comes in quickly, but losses can come even faster, so if you want to play, first understand the rules.
Don't ignore funding fees. A positive fee means that longs are paying shorts, so don't blindly chase after highs; a negative fee means that shorts are paying longs, which often indicates that the market will continue to drop.
Don't mess around with leverage either; it's like a magnifying glass—when you make money, it doubles, and when you lose, it also doubles.

Beginners should stick to 3-5 times leverage; anything above 10 times is meant for professional players, not for you to rely on luck.
How to play? I summarize it in four steps:
First, look at the big direction. Don't get distracted by one-minute candlesticks; at least start with daily charts. Moving averages and MACD can tell you where the trend is.

Second, find the entry point. A four-hour pullback to the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, with RSI turning upwards, is a reliable point; if the trading volume suddenly increases and breaks the pattern, that's even more stable.

Third, think about your stop-loss in advance. Don't have unrealistic expectations; if you hit your preset loss point, run immediately; otherwise, liquidation is just a matter of time.

Fourth, take profits. Walk away once you have made money, even if it's just 10%. Remember, there will always be the next market wave; greed will only lead to profit withdrawal.
The last piece of honest advice: don't have too heavy a position; for a single asset, at most use 30% of your principal.
Contracts aren't about who makes money fastest, but about who can survive the longest.
Market opportunities will always exist, so don't lose your principal in the pursuit of quick profits. $BTC
$ETH
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#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储重启降息步伐

Bitcoin Analysis on Saturday

The price of Bitcoin surged yesterday but has since fallen below the critical threshold of 90,000, reaching a low of around 88,000. The market shows a significant shift from strong to weak signals. In the short term, it is crucial to be aware of the continued risk of downward movement, with the effectiveness of previous support levels being a key focus: if it does not break, a wide range of fluctuations may be maintained, and a rebound could be triggered after the price tests support; if support is lost, a new round of downward probing will begin, so it is recommended to prepare for risk management.

From a technical perspective, the 2-hour chart shows a continuous bearish trend, with prices falling from around 92,700 to near 88,000, forming a clear descending channel. Although a long lower shadow was recorded last night, indicating short-term buying support, the current price is still under pressure from the 7-day (90,000) and 30-day (91,000) moving averages, limiting rebound momentum, and the weak fluctuation pattern remains unchanged in the short term.

Operational Suggestions:

Short Bitcoin on the rebound at 89,700-90,000, targeting 88,500-88,000. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐 #美SEC推动加密创新监管

A profitable iron logic for making money, beginners follow to lose less than 80%:
1. Don't make small money, don't lose big money

These 8 words have trapped countless people! Open a position with 20,000 and run after a 5% increase, resulting in missing out on 50%; next time greedy to earn more, when it rises don't take profit, and it falls back to the principal while also cutting losses. Remember: don't act on small fluctuations, flee from big risks first.

2. Only chew on "mainstream coins that have dropped thoroughly"

Don't touch flashy new coins! Only choose mainstream coins that have dropped to the bottom and stabilized, first throw 10% of the position to lay the foundation. Don't guess the bottom, wait for it to stabilize before taking action; being slow is fine, but it won't trigger the zero-return bomb.

3. Add positions only when the trend is stable

Don't blindly copy others to catch the bottom! Wait until it is confirmed to rise, and then add 20%-30% of the position during a pullback. Even if it's a bit expensive, it's better than being stuck halfway up the mountain crying; the trend is 100 times more important than the price level.

4. After a wave of increase, "withdraw principal and lock in profits"

After every wave of increase, first withdraw the principal + half of the profits! The remaining can be tossed around by the market; what's in the pocket is real money. $BTC
$ETH
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#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐 #美SEC推动加密创新监管

Last night, someone privately messaged me asking: "Why do you lose more money the more you watch the market?"
I replied directly: "Because you treat candlestick charts like an ECG and value your positions more than life itself."
After being in the crypto space for a while, you will notice a pattern:
Those who go all in want to shut down and escape at the first drop, but panic to take profits at the slightest rise;
Those who are out of the market miss opportunities and end up regretting it after three days of not watching, always being a step behind;
Only those with a "half position + stop-loss" strategy can smile every day while steadily increasing their capital curve.
This isn't mysticism; it's the "game mentality" in trading at work:
Winning without boasting, losing without cursing;
Not blaming others for liquidation, not inflating profits;
Only thinking about "how to play the next round," never dwelling on "how to lose the previous round." $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#中美贸易谈判 #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐

There is a very foolish method for trading cryptocurrencies that almost guarantees 99.99% profit.
1. Open the daily chart, only look at the daily level, and focus on the cryptocurrencies with a MACD golden cross, preferably choose a golden cross above the zero line, as this effect is the best!
2. Switch to the daily level, here you only need to look at one moving average, called the daily moving average, hold above the line, sell below the line.
3. After buying, if the cryptocurrency price breaks above the daily moving average, and the volume is also above the daily moving average, you should buy with your entire position. For the fourth sell, this is divided into three details: the first is the wave's increase, when it exceeds 40%, sell 1/3 of the total position; then when the overall wave's increase exceeds 80%, sell another 1/3, and if it falls below the daily moving average, clear all positions.
4. This is also the most important step, since we are using the daily moving average as our buying basis; if some unexpected situation occurs the next day and it directly falls below, then you must sell everything, do not harbor any lucky thoughts! Although through our method of selecting cryptocurrencies, the probability of it breaking is very small! But we still need to have risk awareness! After selling, wait for it to stand above the daily moving average again, and you can buy back! $BTC
$ETH
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#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #加密市场观察

I can't live with laughter, family, who understands? This bankrupt coin LUNC is almost gathering dust in the corners, and it surprisingly gets a sudden wave of hype. Is there really someone with nothing else to trade? But seriously, anyone who has been in the crypto circle for a few years knows that the LUNA series and FTT series are the infamous 'doomsday chariots'. After all, there are very few that can carry people down the slope like that. Mindless bearishness, control your own entry point. $ETH
$BTC
$BNB
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐 #美SEC推动加密创新监管

After ten years of trading cryptocurrencies, I've seen too many people go from liquidation to sleepless nights, ultimately leaving in disgrace.
To put it simply, in the crypto world, only those who survive have the right to talk about making money.

I rely on a set of habits I’ve stubbornly developed, and now I can steadily maintain an annualized return of over 50%+, not by taking huge risks or betting on market trends, but through trend analysis and discipline.
This is a survival manual for beginners still struggling in the crypto space, not a call to action:

1. Trade only after 9 PM
During the day, news is flying everywhere, with shorts and longs battling each other, creating chaos in the market.
Real clean and clear trends often occur after 9 PM when the European and American markets overlap.

2. Take profits first
If my account has an extra 1000 USDT, I will definitely withdraw 400 USDT to my bank account.
Because the money withdrawn is real, while the money left on the exchange is just a number.
Too many people want to double their 10,000, only to see a retracement wipe out their principal.

3. Look at indicators, not feelings
Feelings are the killers in the crypto world.
The TradingView trio: MACD, RSI, Bollinger Bands.
Open a position only when at least two signals agree.
For short-term, look at the 1-hour chart, and for trends, check the 4-hour chart; don’t fixate on the erratic 5-minute fluctuations.

4. Be flexible with stop-losses
If you have time to monitor the market, dynamically adjust your stop-loss upwards.
If not, just set a stop-loss at 3%.
A stop-loss is not a shame; it's a ticket to survive.

5. Withdraw funds at least once a week
On Fridays, without exception, transfer 30% of your profits to your bank account.
After three months of persistence, you will find that you have finally escaped the cycle of repeatedly losing everything.

6. Always remember these taboos
Don’t use leverage over 10 times; beginners should ideally use 3-5 times.
No more than 3 trades a day; too many can lead to impulsive decisions.
Stay away from scam coins and dog coins, which are games played by manipulators.
Never borrow money to trade cryptocurrencies.

Final statement:
Crypto trading is not a gamble for your life; it is a profession.
Maintain a work rhythm: check the market at set times, shut down at set times; take profits and walk away, stop when you’re losing.
No late nights, no chasing highs, no dreaming.

If you can last three months, you will find that stable profits are more important than sudden wealth.
It’s not that you can’t make money; it’s that you haven’t learned how to keep the money you’ve made.

Whether you can drive a Mercedes-Benz or Bentley home at the end of the year depends on whether you can survive. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析

The cryptocurrency world can be summed up in two sentences: understand the direction, and don't fight against the market.
Newbies lose money not because they lack skills, but because they are too idealistic.

When the market falls, you think it will rebound; when it rises, you always feel it can go higher. In the end, you're either chasing highs or bottom-fishing and getting buried.

After ten years in this game, I’ve summarized one truth:

Candlestick charts don’t speak, but they never lie.

When the volume comes in, it means someone is trading;

If key levels can't hold, it means someone is selling;

If the trend is not in your favor, no matter how strong your belief, it's useless— the market only recognizes money.

My trading approach is very simple now:

I only enter when there is a signal; if there’s nothing, I exit immediately.

I don’t bet on direction, I don’t touch emotional trades, and I don’t try to be a hero.

Remember this: in the cryptocurrency world, understanding the market is a thousand times more important than understanding yourself.

If you grasp this point, you are already better than 90% of newcomers. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储重启降息步伐

The rebound and repair phase has resumed, and time flies swiftly; the weekend market is once again upon us. Last night, the market cascaded downwards, and after a significant decline at midnight, it showed a rebound and repair phase. The Bitcoin price dipped to around 87900, while Ethereum hovered around 2980. The downward space has once again been opened by the trend, and the trend after the weekend repair is already very clear.

The short-term repair adjustment is still concluding, and the overall market volatility is relatively weak. From a four-hour perspective, the market is currently operating near the lower Bollinger Band, with bulls and bears pulling back and forth, continuously testing the bottom support. The previous downward trend has clearly turned bearish, and the middle and lower Bollinger Bands are under significant downward pressure, combined with the MACD technical indicator showing a top divergence dead cross that continues to expand downward; the bearish sentiment in the market is very solid. From an hourly perspective, the market is currently operating below the middle Bollinger Band, and the short-term rebound momentum has clearly completed; the middle band is under pressure again, and the bearish trend is about to rise again.

Bitcoin short in the 89700-90000 range, target 88500
Ethereum short in the 3050-3080 range, target 3980$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储重启降息步伐

Small funds in the cryptocurrency world want to turn their situation around? Stop dreaming and first roll out your first 1 million before talking about anything else.

To put it bluntly, most people with a principal of a few tens of thousands are stuck in place:

They panic and run when the price rises a bit, and fear liquidation when it drops a bit, this state cannot lead to a turnaround.

There is only one real path: wait for opportunities and roll your positions aggressively.

Usually, play with small positions to feel the market direction, don’t rush, don’t charge recklessly.

Once that kind of “sharp drop cleans out → sideways grind → breakout about to take off” trend appears, that’s your key point for heavy positions.

You don’t need to trade every day, just catch two or three times in a lifetime, and your fate will change.

After you get your 1 million, you will find that making money becomes easy: holding the spot and riding a 20% volatility is equivalent to your income over the past six months.

Risks? They are just scare tactics.

With a principal of 50,000, using only 10% of the capital to open 10 times leverage, the actual risk is similar to 1x leverage, with a stop loss of two points, losing one thousand, it’s not painful at all.

But what if you are right? With each segment of the trend, you add more, and after adjustments, a wave of market can directly lead to hundreds of thousands.

Stop believing in fairy tales about 10% daily compound interest.

For small funds to truly take off, it relies on two 10x trades and three 5x trades of “big markets.”

Remember one thing:

You don’t need to make money every day, you just need to seize that one right opportunity. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐

In the cryptocurrency world, if we're going to talk about experience, there are actually eight sentences, but each one can save your life.

When you're stuck, don't think about flipping back in one go; first stabilize, and if you can protect your principal, you'll have a chance in the future.

Also, when the market looks calm, don't relax; that is often a sign that a big fluctuation is coming.

After a surge, don't get too excited; that kind of soaring trend usually comes back down a bit, and those who understand will take some profits early.

Buying and selling are the same; have the courage to enter when the market is declining, and be brave to exit when the bullish candles are crazy. If you follow the emotions, you generally won't make money.

Don't rush to sell at highs, don't buy recklessly at dips, and don't click randomly during sideways markets; this is discipline.

Follow the trend and look for support; when going against the trend, look for resistance; this is fundamental.

The most important point: don't go all in.

A full position may feel great once, but if something goes wrong, it's all gone.

Finally, mindset is always the top priority.

Greed, fear, and urgency will push people into a pit.

Be steady, be slow, and your account will actually be safer.

In the cryptocurrency world, the true experts are not those who earn the most aggressively, but those who lose the least and live the longest. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察

Market News: The recent pullback of Bitcoin is a healthy trend as expected, and it is recommended to observe over the weekend.

The current pullback of Bitcoin is completely in line with expectations; the retracement is not a bad thing, but rather pushes the market towards a healthier rhythm—if a bottom is to form a rebound or reversal, it needs to leave room for retail investors to enter the market.

Yesterday's 4H level indicators crossing down triggered a downward pullback, which is essentially a process of indicator repair. At midnight, the market accelerated below the 90,000 mark, reaching a low of around 85,500; this position still has strong support, and small-level signals of a stop-drop have appeared.

The market liquidity tends to weaken over the weekend, and it is advised to mainly observe. Focus on the support levels of 88,500 and 86,500 below, and watch for resistance levels of 92,500 and 94,500 above. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #加密市场观察