饶哥加密日记

If the position is stable, the returns can be relied upon.
This time last year, I was still struggling in a quagmire of 120,000 in debt. I couldn't sleep all night, staring at the ceiling counting sheep, and the sheep turned into Bitcoin symbols jumping around in front of my eyes.
The pressure was so high that I almost wanted to give up. But after 58 days, my account balance changed from negative to over 860,000, and now I withdraw steadily every day, as easy as ordering takeout.
Many people ask me if I bet on which hundred times coin, or followed some mysterious big shot. Today I will break down and analyze the practical experience of these 58 days, telling you that the comeback is not about luck, but a set of underlying logic that most people overlook.

I am a firsthand witness of the '312 Black Swan' in 2020. That day, Bitcoin plummeted 30% in half an hour, my long contracts were liquidated one after another, and when the numbers on the screen went to zero, my hands trembled so much that I couldn't even hold my phone — an asset that was once nearly ten million evaporated overnight. Starting from a few thousand to a peak, then plummeting to the bottom, this roller coaster taught me far deeper lessons than any myth of getting rich quick.
1. Investing spare money is the bottom line; surviving is more important than making quick profits​
I have seen people who bet their homes and borrowed money end up with their families falling apart. My iron rule is: invest no more than 10% of liquid assets, even if I lose it all, it won't affect my life. The essence of the crypto world is high-risk gambling, and only with spare money can one maintain a stable mindset. During the bull market, some laughed at me for being 'conservative', but when the bear market came, they quietly retreated, while I could still hold my chips and wait for the next round.

As a veteran in the cryptocurrency world for five years, I firmly believe in one thing: trading is one of the few paths for ordinary people to turn their fortunes around, but it is definitely not a gambler's carnival. Three months ago, my fan Xiaoyu came to me with 1300U, and yesterday her account balance stopped at 62,000U. This is not some 'get rich quick myth', but the result of a set of 'steady and methodical rolling warehouse methods' that anyone can replicate. Today, I will share my practical insights, purely personal opinions, and not investment advice.
1. Stick to the trend, stay away from the 'choppy mud pit'​
Where do beginners most easily trip up? By repeatedly fidgeting in a directionless choppy market. The main players love to draw doors at such times: false breakouts, low volume traps, and needle liquidations... all are traps. I have told Xiaoyu: only trade in the belly of the trend, giving up the greed for the fish head and tail.

Six years ago, my life hit rock bottom. A failed startup left me with 1.2 million in debt, I couldn't pull out a week's living expenses from my pocket, and I had to watch my friends' faces when renting a place. At that time, if someone had told me that two years later I would not only pay off all my debts but also save a fortune in the eight figures, I would have thought they were crazy.
But this is a true story that happened to me. Moreover, I did not rely on any myths of hundredfold coins, but on a simple 'foolproof method' that even beginners can understand, carving out a path in the cryptocurrency world.
Today, I will share this method with you without reservation. This is not just a trading strategy, but a philosophy for surviving in the brutal battlefield of the cryptocurrency world.

As a veteran who has been in the crypto space for many years, I completely understand the urge to hold onto a few thousand dollars while dreaming of hundreds of thousands. Today, let's not talk about illusions; let's have a heart-to-heart about whether such small investments have a chance in the current market.
My conclusion is straightforward: yes, but the path may not be what you expect. The era of relying on betting a few Dogecoin to get rich overnight is basically over; now it tests patience, discipline, and a strategy that allows you to survive.
1. Grind through three 'tenfold coins'? The key is not to let yourself exit first.

(Pure content, no nonsense)
I entered the cryptocurrency world in 2018, experiencing the DeFi summer, NFT frenzy, and the bear market beating. I had a month where I made over 50 times my investment, but I also faced liquidation. Looking back now, for newcomers entering with 20,000 spare cash, the biggest fear is not losing money, but losing discipline. Today, I will share 8 practical strategies to help you pay your tuition upfront.
1. Resist the urge to act; opportunities are created by waiting.
The cryptocurrency market opens 24 hours, but there are only a few signals worth acting on each day. In the early days, I was always afraid of missing out, watching the market during the day and following news, which led me to be caught in false breakouts. Later, I discovered that the market is cleaner after 9 PM, with less activity from institutional investors, making technical trends more reliable. Now my rule is: no more than 3 trades a day, and if I’m not in the right state, I directly close the software.

Hello everyone, I am an old investor who dived into the crypto world six years ago. I have seen too many people dreaming of getting rich during the day and returning to zero in tears at night. Today, let's talk about some practical insights, avoiding the fluff, and discuss how to survive in this market and make money. The following ten points are the insights I have gained through real investments, suitable for repeated contemplation.
1. Small funds should act like snipers, don't be a shotgun.
If your capital is less than 100,000, don't try to diversify like the big players. With fewer bullets, you need to aim for a guaranteed kill. Focus on one or two main upward trends a year, earn enough and then stop. Usually, control your hands, less trading means fewer pitfalls. I have seen too many people chasing highs and lows every day, and in the end, the fees are higher than the profits.

Only by preserving the principal can one wait for a bull market.
Some people ask me if there is a shortcut in the cryptocurrency world? My answer is always: if there is, it is to take fewer detours.
Six years ago, I entered the cryptocurrency world with 10,000 yuan, experiencing the ecstasy of tenfold returns in a day and also the despair of losing everything to just a few hundred yuan. The most painful time was when I lost nearly 800,000 due to trusting 'insider information' during a sharp decline; that was most of my net worth at the time. But it was these lessons that gradually helped me understand the survival rules of this market, ultimately achieving a leap from 10,000 to 30 million.

Only under rules can one endure for a long time
When I first got into the cryptocurrency contract world, I was also superstitious about the thrill of 'a single throw' until I went bankrupt three times in a row, heavily in debt, before I completely woke up. Later, I spent seven years analyzing thousands of bankruptcy cases to gradually develop a survival strategy that suited me.
I'm not talking about the myth of getting rich overnight; today I'm sharing five core principles that helped me survive in the contract market. These experiences are all lessons learned at the cost of real money, and I hope they can help you avoid the pitfalls I encountered over the years.
1. Stop-loss is not a suggestion, it's a lifeline

Surviving in the cryptocurrency world relies not on miraculous trades, but on discipline.
Three months ago, a fan reached out to me with only 1500U left in their account, anxiously asking how to break even. I didn't provide a complicated strategy; I simply shared three basic rules. Three months later, their account balance exceeded 15000U.
Behind this tenfold growth, there were no miraculous hundredfold trades, no luck involved, only strict adherence to three ironclad rules. Today, I will share these with you, believing they can help you avoid unnecessary detours.
01 Capital management: Treat the principal as your last bullet.
The biggest mistake many make in the cryptocurrency world is to bet all in. The market is highly volatile, and a single misjudgment can wipe out your account, leaving no chance for recovery.

Discipline is more important than IQ, especially in the world of contracts.
I still clearly remember the phone call I received that night. On the other end of the line, Xiaoya's voice was obviously tearful: 'Teacher, I blew up my account, it's all gone...' followed by her uncontrollable sobbing.
Only when her emotions calmed down a bit did she manage to tell the complete story: not only was her position forcibly liquidated, but her boyfriend of three years also broke up with her on the same day. The double 'reset' made her completely collapse, locking herself in her room for several days, like a forgotten private key, sinking in regret and unwillingness.

I am a cryptocurrency analyst who has struggled from a principal of tens of thousands to stable profits today. I have seen too many people go bankrupt due to greed and miss opportunities due to fear. Every rule I share today is hard-earned knowledge that I have refined through trial and error, and the core message is simple: use discipline to combat human nature and use rules to harvest volatility.
1. The '9-Day Rule' for Strong Coins: Be patient and wait for a pullback, don't rush to chase highs.
After a continuous rise in strong coins, if there is a consecutive drop for 9 days at a high position, it is often a washout by the main force rather than a trend reversal. I usually start to position in batches at this time but never with a full heavy position at once – the pullback phase is often accompanied by panic selling. Wait until the trading volume shrinks to below 30% of the previous period before taking action for a higher win rate.

Rules lock in impulsiveness, discipline conquers the market
Three months ago, on a cold night. A little girl stood at the door with her nose red from the cold, tightly clutching her phone, the screen showing the 600U she was about to transfer to me. 'I want to learn cryptocurrency investment from you, not for comparison, but to save enough for freelance startup capital,' her eyes were firm, 'I can endure hardship.'
In the cryptocurrency world over the years, I have seen too many tragedies. Some borrowed money online to gamble on contracts, sending messages for help in the middle of the night; some blindly followed 'big shots' making calls, ultimately losing everything. Faced with this girl who only had 600U as capital, my first reaction was concern.

One conclusion: discipline is the greatest protective charm
I still remember three years ago when I first entered this market, holding 1000U in my hand, filled with both hope and anxiety. In hindsight, this journey is less about technical improvement and more about the refinement of mindset. Today, I won't discuss complex candlestick patterns or use rigid terminology, just sharing the real path I've walked.
Phase One: Trial and Error Fund, prioritize capital preservation
I call that 1000U the 'trial and error fund', with a simple and direct goal: survive.
I set two strict rules for myself: a single loss must not exceed 2% of total capital; any profit reaching 20% should immediately have half of it withdrawn. This method seems conservative, yet during the extreme fluctuations of 2021, it not only helped me preserve my capital but also accumulated the most valuable asset—trading discipline.

As a veteran who has been in the cryptocurrency circle for many years, I completely understand that urgent desire to get rich quickly. But I want to tell you a simple truth: in this market, living long is far more important than making money quickly. I started as a small retail investor, and my deepest realization is: if you want to make money, first learn to 'not act rashly.'
At the beginning, like most people, I had a small amount of capital in hand, and what I saw were all opportunities, always afraid of missing every 'hundredfold coin.' What was the result? Frequent operations, chasing rises and falls, I didn't make money, but the transaction fees and slippage contributed a lot. Later, I realized that the cryptocurrency circle is not an arena where speed is the key to victory, but more like a marathon that tests patience and discipline. The ones who can truly survive and make money are not those who can predict the highs and lows the best, but those who can control their hands and stick to their systems.

As a veteran who has been in the cryptocurrency market for many years, I fully understand the urgent desire to get rich quickly. But I want to tell you a simple truth: in this market, living long is much more important than earning quickly. I started as a small retail investor, and my deepest realization is this: to make money, you first need to learn "not to act rashly."
At the beginning, like most people, I had a small amount of capital in hand and saw only opportunities, always afraid of missing every "hundredfold coin." What was the result? Frequent trading, chasing rises and selling falls, I didn't make money, but the fees and slippage contributed quite a bit. Later I understood that the cryptocurrency market is not an arena where speed wins, but more like a marathon that tests patience and discipline. Those who can truly survive and make money are not the ones who can predict tops and bottoms the best, but the ones who can control their hands and stick to the system.

I am an old retail investor who entered the market in 2018. I have seen Bitcoin reach $30,000 and experienced the night of '312' when I was even losing money while trying to eat. My story is like most people's, starting with a few thousand dollars of spare cash, nearing ten million during a bull market, and then almost going to zero due to a black swan event. Today, I won't talk about the myth of getting rich; I'll only share the lessons learned from hard cash.
1. Playing with spare cash is both a bottom line and a lifeline.
I have seen people lose everything from mortgage loans and gambling on altcoins, and I have also seen those who borrowed money and turned gray overnight. The volatility in the crypto world far exceeds expectations; an extreme market condition can turn all plans into jokes.

— A survival diary of a wild trader
1. First, 'nail' your capital down.
I have seen too many people perish because of one phrase: 'I will go all in this time.'
The most terrifying thing in the cryptocurrency world is not the crash, but the impulse. My first rule: no matter how much capital you have, first split it into five parts. Put only one part in the hot wallet, and lock the remaining four parts in a cold wallet - preferably one that requires rummaging through drawers to find a USB stick and entering the password three times to access it.
Why five parts? Because when people get excited, they think even thirty seconds is too long to wait. And that little bit of time is enough for the adrenaline to cool down, reminding you that you are a 'trader', not a gambler.

As an old hand in the crypto world for many years, I've seen too many myths of overnight wealth, and I've personally buried my own fantasy of becoming rich through leverage. Today, I want to share some truths from my own experience: leverage is not a tool; it is a gambling device; and the first lesson for survival in the crypto world is always to stay alive first, then talk about profits.
1. That night, I almost 'went to zero'
In early 2023, I rushed into the market with 1500U when ETH was fluctuating around 1600 dollars. Seeing others earn back their principal in a day with 5x leverage made me eager to follow suit. Sure enough, when ETH rose to 1700 dollars, my account had an additional 300U profit - that feeling was like picking up money, and I even started calculating, 'At this rate, I can change my car in three months.'

In the cryptocurrency world, only those who can hold onto their profits are the true winners.
Last summer, when Xiaolin came to me, her situation was a reflection of many new entrants in the cryptocurrency world: a principal of 2500U had dwindled to only 1200U, her eyes filled with anxiety and unwillingness. She told me that every time she made a trade, she originally made 5%, but always thought 'let's earn a bit more'. As a result, the market corrected, and not only did she not make money, but she lost it; sometimes when she lost, she thought 'let's wait to break even', and the more she held on, the more she lost.
I have seen this kind of experience too many times. In the world of cryptocurrency, greed and fear are the biggest enemies of investors. I told Xiaolin that if she doesn't first solve her mindset issues, no matter how good the strategy is, it won't change the situation.