-小蛋挞
公众号（加密小悦）币圈多年经验与专业知识，持续追踪市场动态，运用技术与基本面分析，精准洞察加密货币价格走势，精准行情预判与合理操作策略
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Why is virtual currency not allowed in the country?
Illegal cryptocurrencies have already perfectly bypassed foreign exchange controls to a certain extent. If cryptocurrencies were allowed legally, it could even directly undermine the Golden Tax Phase IV.
If you sell a house in a first-tier city and receive 5 million cash, and you want to exchange this money for 700,000 USD to transfer abroad.
The bank has a foreign exchange limit of 50,000, and remittances also have a limit of 50,000, which serves as double insurance. It would take 14 years to complete the transfer.
If you use someone else's quota to convert to cash in USD and try to exit the country personally, carrying more than 5,000 will be regulated.
If you use someone else's quota to transfer to your overseas card, exceeding 3 individuals will attract attention. If you want to carry RMB out of the country and then exchange it for foreign currency, an individual can carry no more than 20,000 at a time.
If you want to remit RMB abroad, sorry, you can't remit even a cent. All legal paths you can imagine are blocked. Now back to cryptocurrencies.
If there are no quota restrictions, they can perfectly bypass the system. If there are quota limits, assuming the foreign currency is 50,000 USD, you can utilize someone else's quota. 14 people can help you exchange 5 million RMB and then put it on a USB drive to take abroad. As long as you don’t say anything, no one will know.
In summary: cryptocurrencies, in a sense, are equivalent to precious metals. They have similar properties to precious metals: decentralization and anonymous transactions, which leads to a completely uncontrollable state for centralized national finances.
With the advancement of time, precious metals have gradually withdrawn from circulation, primarily due to physical laws at play. Compared to fiat currencies, they are too inconvenient. However, cryptocurrencies are not constrained by physical laws, making them almost as convenient as payment platforms like Alipay and PayPal.
Even if we set aside the issue of foreign exchange controls, if everyone were really allowed to use cryptocurrencies, the Golden Tax Phase IV would become a joke. Who can tolerate that?
#中美贸易谈判 $BTC
Illegal cryptocurrencies have already perfectly bypassed foreign exchange controls to a certain extent. If cryptocurrencies were allowed legally, it could even directly undermine the Golden Tax Phase IV.
If you sell a house in a first-tier city and receive 5 million cash, and you want to exchange this money for 700,000 USD to transfer abroad.
The bank has a foreign exchange limit of 50,000, and remittances also have a limit of 50,000, which serves as double insurance. It would take 14 years to complete the transfer.
If you use someone else's quota to convert to cash in USD and try to exit the country personally, carrying more than 5,000 will be regulated.
If you use someone else's quota to transfer to your overseas card, exceeding 3 individuals will attract attention. If you want to carry RMB out of the country and then exchange it for foreign currency, an individual can carry no more than 20,000 at a time.
If you want to remit RMB abroad, sorry, you can't remit even a cent. All legal paths you can imagine are blocked. Now back to cryptocurrencies.
If there are no quota restrictions, they can perfectly bypass the system. If there are quota limits, assuming the foreign currency is 50,000 USD, you can utilize someone else's quota. 14 people can help you exchange 5 million RMB and then put it on a USB drive to take abroad. As long as you don’t say anything, no one will know.
In summary: cryptocurrencies, in a sense, are equivalent to precious metals. They have similar properties to precious metals: decentralization and anonymous transactions, which leads to a completely uncontrollable state for centralized national finances.
With the advancement of time, precious metals have gradually withdrawn from circulation, primarily due to physical laws at play. Compared to fiat currencies, they are too inconvenient. However, cryptocurrencies are not constrained by physical laws, making them almost as convenient as payment platforms like Alipay and PayPal.
Even if we set aside the issue of foreign exchange controls, if everyone were really allowed to use cryptocurrencies, the Golden Tax Phase IV would become a joke. Who can tolerate that?
#中美贸易谈判 $BTC
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Is it meaningful to speculate in stocks with 10,000 to 20,000?
It's very meaningful, if you are under 25, you must take 10,000 to 20,000 to speculate in stocks.
Because 10,000 to 20,000 is a lot for you, when you buy a stock, you will be very excited to see the fluctuations the next day, and likely just a small up or down will cause you to have emotions, you could lose or gain.
You will brag to others that you are trading stocks, maybe you earn a tiny percentage on one ticket, it's very necessary.
It's great that you earned this money, but it's better to lose, ideally losing 30% to 50%.
At this point, you finally start to learn some technical skills and fundamentals, when others talk about MA and BOLL, you won't understand everything, you will also know what limit orders and market orders are.
Because 10,000 to 20,000 is a lot for you, when you buy a stock, you will be very excited to see the fluctuations the next day, and likely just a small up or down will cause you to have emotions, you could lose or gain.
You will brag to others that you are trading stocks, maybe you earn a tiny percentage on one ticket, it's very necessary.
It's great that you earned this money, but it's better to lose, ideally losing 30% to 50%.
At this point, you finally start to learn some technical skills and fundamentals, when others talk about MA and BOLL, you won't understand everything, you will also know what limit orders and market orders are.
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Bitget GM Morning Report (2025.12.17)
I. Market Overview: Slight Increase Fails to Mask Low Sentiment
Crypto Market: BTC and ETH Slightly Rose, Altcoins Show Mixed Performance; Total Market Cap Increased Slightly by 1.53% to $2.98 Trillion, but Macro Concerns + Insufficient Liquidity Still Suppress the Market, Crypto Fear & Greed Index at Only 16 (Extreme Fear). US Stocks Correlation: Three Major Indices Show Divergence (Dow Down 0.62%, S&P Down 0.24%, Nasdaq Up 0.23%), Core Affected by “Mixed November Non-Farm Payrolls” —— New Jobs Added 64,000 Exceeded Expectations, but Unemployment Rate Soared to a Four-Year High, Economic Concerns Intensify, However, Fed's Rate Cut Expectations Remain Unchanged.
II. Market Hotspots: Traditional Finance Enters the Space + Token Unlocking Wave
Traditional Finance Web3 Takes Another Step: JPMorgan Asset Management Launched the First Tokenized Money Market Fund on Ethereum, Investing $100 Million, Marking a Significant Move for Traditional Institutions Deeply Engaging on-chain; Financing Dynamics: Payment Infrastructure Company Speed1 Raised $8 Million in Funding, Led by Tether; Token Unlocking Wave Approaches: Arbitrum (92.65 Million), Starknet (127 Million), Sei (55.56 Million) and Other Multi-Chain Concentrated Unlocking, Total Value Approaching $200 Million, Short-Term Selling Pressure Needs Caution; Opinions Clash: Michael Saylor States “Quantum Computing Will Not Threaten Bitcoin, But Instead Strengthen Its Security and Scarcity”.
#美股2026预测 $BTC$ETH
I. Market Overview: Slight Increase Fails to Mask Low Sentiment
Crypto Market: BTC and ETH Slightly Rose, Altcoins Show Mixed Performance; Total Market Cap Increased Slightly by 1.53% to $2.98 Trillion, but Macro Concerns + Insufficient Liquidity Still Suppress the Market, Crypto Fear & Greed Index at Only 16 (Extreme Fear). US Stocks Correlation: Three Major Indices Show Divergence (Dow Down 0.62%, S&P Down 0.24%, Nasdaq Up 0.23%), Core Affected by “Mixed November Non-Farm Payrolls” —— New Jobs Added 64,000 Exceeded Expectations, but Unemployment Rate Soared to a Four-Year High, Economic Concerns Intensify, However, Fed's Rate Cut Expectations Remain Unchanged.
II. Market Hotspots: Traditional Finance Enters the Space + Token Unlocking Wave
Traditional Finance Web3 Takes Another Step: JPMorgan Asset Management Launched the First Tokenized Money Market Fund on Ethereum, Investing $100 Million, Marking a Significant Move for Traditional Institutions Deeply Engaging on-chain; Financing Dynamics: Payment Infrastructure Company Speed1 Raised $8 Million in Funding, Led by Tether; Token Unlocking Wave Approaches: Arbitrum (92.65 Million), Starknet (127 Million), Sei (55.56 Million) and Other Multi-Chain Concentrated Unlocking, Total Value Approaching $200 Million, Short-Term Selling Pressure Needs Caution; Opinions Clash: Michael Saylor States “Quantum Computing Will Not Threaten Bitcoin, But Instead Strengthen Its Security and Scarcity”.
#美股2026预测 $BTC$ETH
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To newcomers in the cryptocurrency world, I will say three sentences. Each one can save your life.
① Cryptocurrency is not a way to get rich quick; it's a game of high volatility.
What you earn is never "money that always goes up," but rather money tied to emotional cycles. It rises sharply, but when it falls, it often makes no sense.
So the first lesson is to learn to survive: always leave room for your positions; do not fully invest or go all-in; do not bet your future life on a single judgment; if you can survive, you've already won over half of the people.
② Always prioritize mainstream, stay away from projects you don’t understand.
Remember this phrase: if you don’t understand it, don’t touch it; that’s the best risk control. Mainstream grows slowly but steadily; speculative projects may rise quickly but can go to zero. For newcomers, stability is always more valuable than excitement.
③ Making money depends on the market; losing money depends on operations.
Most people do not lose to the market but rather to themselves.
You’ve surely experienced this: chasing after a slight increase, selling only after a drop, and making emotional decisions in trading.
If you want to last long in the cryptocurrency world, remember three things: ① Go with the trend, don’t guess tops and bottoms ② Invest in parts, don’t go all in ③ Emotional stability is more important than technical skills.
The cryptocurrency world is not about who can rush the fastest, but rather who can stay stable!!
#加密市场观察 $BTC
① Cryptocurrency is not a way to get rich quick; it's a game of high volatility.
What you earn is never "money that always goes up," but rather money tied to emotional cycles. It rises sharply, but when it falls, it often makes no sense.
So the first lesson is to learn to survive: always leave room for your positions; do not fully invest or go all-in; do not bet your future life on a single judgment; if you can survive, you've already won over half of the people.
② Always prioritize mainstream, stay away from projects you don’t understand.
Remember this phrase: if you don’t understand it, don’t touch it; that’s the best risk control. Mainstream grows slowly but steadily; speculative projects may rise quickly but can go to zero. For newcomers, stability is always more valuable than excitement.
③ Making money depends on the market; losing money depends on operations.
Most people do not lose to the market but rather to themselves.
You’ve surely experienced this: chasing after a slight increase, selling only after a drop, and making emotional decisions in trading.
If you want to last long in the cryptocurrency world, remember three things: ① Go with the trend, don’t guess tops and bottoms ② Invest in parts, don’t go all in ③ Emotional stability is more important than technical skills.
The cryptocurrency world is not about who can rush the fastest, but rather who can stay stable!!
#加密市场观察 $BTC
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What does liquidation in virtual currency mean?
First, let a picture help you understand the top ten single-day liquidation events in the history of the cryptocurrency market!
1. What is liquidation?
The so-called liquidation refers to a situation where the client's equity in the margin account is negative under certain special conditions. Liquidation can occur in fields such as virtual currency, futures, and foreign exchange.
Here, we need to explain a concept - the margin account.
A margin account is actually a type of credit account. For example, investors can use stocks as collateral to borrow funds from a securities company for investment at a certain ratio of the total market value of the account's assets. Especially in stock index futures trading, in order to ensure performance and protect the legitimate rights and interests of both parties in the transaction, a margin trading system is implemented.
1. What is liquidation?
The so-called liquidation refers to a situation where the client's equity in the margin account is negative under certain special conditions. Liquidation can occur in fields such as virtual currency, futures, and foreign exchange.
Here, we need to explain a concept - the margin account.
A margin account is actually a type of credit account. For example, investors can use stocks as collateral to borrow funds from a securities company for investment at a certain ratio of the total market value of the account's assets. Especially in stock index futures trading, in order to ensure performance and protect the legitimate rights and interests of both parties in the transaction, a margin trading system is implemented.
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Why do people with a high profit-to-loss ratio look down on those with a high win rate?
Because there are too many evil cultivators. A high profit-to-loss ratio is the most significant piece of cake left for speculators in the market. There are easier paths to eat this piece of cake, and they resemble the righteous sects.
However, achieving a high win rate is extremely difficult. One way is to go the route of evil cultivation, similar to the Evil-Repelling Sword Manual, where one cuts off their own profits or amplifies risks; another way is to obtain the true secret, akin to the Nine Yin Manual, which is truly an extremely precious Alpha.
The current problem is that the Nine Yin Manual is rare and secretive, while the Evil-Repelling Sword Manual is readily available.
This is why those with a high profit-to-loss ratio, often referred to as 'trend traders', look with a kind of almost pitying arrogance at those who pursue a high win rate.
However, achieving a high win rate is extremely difficult. One way is to go the route of evil cultivation, similar to the Evil-Repelling Sword Manual, where one cuts off their own profits or amplifies risks; another way is to obtain the true secret, akin to the Nine Yin Manual, which is truly an extremely precious Alpha.
The current problem is that the Nine Yin Manual is rare and secretive, while the Evil-Repelling Sword Manual is readily available.
This is why those with a high profit-to-loss ratio, often referred to as 'trend traders', look with a kind of almost pitying arrogance at those who pursue a high win rate.
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Why Are So Many People Addicted to Trading Systems!?
You may have experienced the feeling of anticipation before a trade, fantasizing about the joy of profit afterward; but when the trade ends, even if you profit, you feel empty, or even a bit lost. Why is that? You think you trade to make money, but what truly hooks you is the exhilarating feeling of 'anticipating profit.' Behind this is dopamine controlling your behavior.
Dopamine is a neurotransmitter associated with pleasure and reward. But what makes it special is that the brain starts releasing dopamine even before you actually receive the reward. In other words, the anticipation is more exciting than the result.
Dopamine is a neurotransmitter associated with pleasure and reward. But what makes it special is that the brain starts releasing dopamine even before you actually receive the reward. In other words, the anticipation is more exciting than the result.
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Five Minutes to Improve Your Contract Win Rate in the Crypto World!
Recently, too many friends have been trading contracts, so I specifically wrote an article on how to significantly improve contract win rates using indicators for everyone's reference.
1. There are many friends who can open orders 24 hours a day; this behavior is almost like giving away money. The purpose of contracts is to make a stable profit strategy under controllable risks and relatively stable indicators, rather than to buy in with 100 times leverage and then become rich! Therefore, the timing of entering contracts is particularly important!
1: Do not open orders during periods of significant good or bad news, as the market is very chaotic at this time. Spot prices can fluctuate rapidly between 1-3%, and if you choose to gamble on the market, it is easy to be taken out by sudden spikes.
1. There are many friends who can open orders 24 hours a day; this behavior is almost like giving away money. The purpose of contracts is to make a stable profit strategy under controllable risks and relatively stable indicators, rather than to buy in with 100 times leverage and then become rich! Therefore, the timing of entering contracts is particularly important!
1: Do not open orders during periods of significant good or bad news, as the market is very chaotic at this time. Spot prices can fluctuate rapidly between 1-3%, and if you choose to gamble on the market, it is easy to be taken out by sudden spikes.
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Why do your trades always start off "great but end up terrible"?
Many people's trading issues are not about finding opportunities but rather about knowing when to exit the trade.
Entering a position is usually done well, and the logic is clear, but once in the holding phase, the logic begins to waver: a small profit makes you fear giving it back, and a small loss makes you reluctant to cut losses.
Ultimately, this leads to results opposite to your intentions: you can't hold onto what you should hold, and you delay cutting what you should cut.
The core issue is that you lack a clear "exit logic".
Once the trade enters the holding phase, your judgment should not fluctuate with the market but should follow two questions: Is the market still moving according to your expectations? Is your risk still within a controllable range?
As long as both answers are "yes", you have a reason to continue holding; if either becomes "no", the trade should end. This way, your exit won't be governed by emotions but by rules.
Entering a trade determines whether you can make money, exiting determines whether you can keep the money, which is very important.
I am Little Egg Tart, a professional analyst and teacher, a mentor and friend on your investment journey! As an analyst, the most basic thing is to help everyone make money. I will help you solve confusion and position issues, speaking with strength. When you lose your direction and don't know what to do, follow Little Egg Tart; Little Egg Tart will point you in the right direction #美联储降息 $BTC
Many people's trading issues are not about finding opportunities but rather about knowing when to exit the trade.
Entering a position is usually done well, and the logic is clear, but once in the holding phase, the logic begins to waver: a small profit makes you fear giving it back, and a small loss makes you reluctant to cut losses.
Ultimately, this leads to results opposite to your intentions: you can't hold onto what you should hold, and you delay cutting what you should cut.
The core issue is that you lack a clear "exit logic".
Once the trade enters the holding phase, your judgment should not fluctuate with the market but should follow two questions: Is the market still moving according to your expectations? Is your risk still within a controllable range?
As long as both answers are "yes", you have a reason to continue holding; if either becomes "no", the trade should end. This way, your exit won't be governed by emotions but by rules.
Entering a trade determines whether you can make money, exiting determines whether you can keep the money, which is very important.
I am Little Egg Tart, a professional analyst and teacher, a mentor and friend on your investment journey! As an analyst, the most basic thing is to help everyone make money. I will help you solve confusion and position issues, speaking with strength. When you lose your direction and don't know what to do, follow Little Egg Tart; Little Egg Tart will point you in the right direction #美联储降息 $BTC
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Trump returns to the White House, SEC "completely loosens" restrictions on the crypto industry: entangled interests behind the massive withdrawal of lawsuits.
A New York Times investigation reveals that since Trump began his second term, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has made a 180-degree turn in its regulatory approach to the cryptocurrency industry: not only has it suspended or withdrawn over 60% of pending cryptocurrency cases, but it has also significantly reduced penalties for the companies involved. The core connection to this "abnormal operation" is that most of the companies that received leniency had financial or business dealings with Trump, who calls himself the "crypto president."
From "tough crackdown" to "complete retreat": The SEC's abrupt regulatory turn
Previously, both during Trump's first term and Biden's presidency, the SEC maintained a tough stance on the crypto industry. During Biden's term, an average of two crypto lawsuits were filed per month, and the regulatory team was expanded to 50 people. However, after Trump's re-election, the SEC completely "hit the brakes":
From "tough crackdown" to "complete retreat": The SEC's abrupt regulatory turn
Previously, both during Trump's first term and Biden's presidency, the SEC maintained a tough stance on the crypto industry. During Biden's term, an average of two crypto lawsuits were filed per month, and the regulatory team was expanded to 50 people. However, after Trump's re-election, the SEC completely "hit the brakes":
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From Yen Rate Hikes to Mine Closures, Why is Bitcoin Still Falling? This wave of decline is definitely not a good time to bottom out; don't rush in!
The Federal Reserve just cut interest rates, and the market gave a harsh response, with Bitcoin crashing to around $85,600, and Ethereum even falling below the $3,000 mark, dragging down crypto-related stocks: Strategy and Circle fell nearly 7% in a single day, Coinbase dropped over 5%, and mining companies like CLSK and HUT suffered even more, with declines exceeding 10%. This wave of declines is not coincidental; the core issues are all macro-level problems, compounded by on-chain funds collectively fleeing, making it very difficult to stop the decline.
Yen Rate Hike: The Underestimated 'Trigger for a Crash'
The number one culprit behind this wave of decline is definitely the expectations of rate hikes from the Bank of Japan; this could be the last 'black swan' in the financial world this year, but the market has already started to react early.
Yen Rate Hike: The Underestimated 'Trigger for a Crash'
The number one culprit behind this wave of decline is definitely the expectations of rate hikes from the Bank of Japan; this could be the last 'black swan' in the financial world this year, but the market has already started to react early.
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Good afternoon everyone~ Last night the big pancake hit around 85000 again. This month has basically been a case of falling whenever there is resistance, with no change in rhythm. Yesterday, I originally planned to short near 90500, but the market didn't even touch that position. Recently, I've been missing points by just a bit, which is a bit of a pity.
Today's structure is very clear: the bears are still dominant, and there will be a weak short-term recovery, but don’t expect much strength—the core idea remains 'short after a rebound.'
The resistance levels are: 86500/87000/87500, with a hard resistance at 88100-89000;
The support level to watch first is 85500. If it breaks below 84700, it will likely test 81000. In extreme cases, it may touch the large cycle support area of 76000-74000 before the end of the month.
Currently, there are no clear bottoming signals from the indicators (TD, MACD, SKDJ), so don't guess the bottom recklessly.
Important reminder: Non-farm payroll data will be released tonight at 21:30, so make sure to prepare your risk control in advance!
Here’s a breakdown of the data's impact on BTC:
- Non-farm new jobs < 50,000 → Bullish
Non-farm new jobs > 50,000 → Bearish
- Unemployment rate > 4.4% → Bullish
Unemployment rate < 4.4% → Bearish
If the two data directions are consistent, the signal will be clearer; if one is bullish and the other bearish, expect a period of volatility before determining the direction after the U.S. stock market opens.
#加密市场观察 $BTC
Today's structure is very clear: the bears are still dominant, and there will be a weak short-term recovery, but don’t expect much strength—the core idea remains 'short after a rebound.'
The resistance levels are: 86500/87000/87500, with a hard resistance at 88100-89000;
The support level to watch first is 85500. If it breaks below 84700, it will likely test 81000. In extreme cases, it may touch the large cycle support area of 76000-74000 before the end of the month.
Currently, there are no clear bottoming signals from the indicators (TD, MACD, SKDJ), so don't guess the bottom recklessly.
Important reminder: Non-farm payroll data will be released tonight at 21:30, so make sure to prepare your risk control in advance!
Here’s a breakdown of the data's impact on BTC:
- Non-farm new jobs < 50,000 → Bullish
Non-farm new jobs > 50,000 → Bearish
- Unemployment rate > 4.4% → Bullish
Unemployment rate < 4.4% → Bearish
If the two data directions are consistent, the signal will be clearer; if one is bullish and the other bearish, expect a period of volatility before determining the direction after the U.S. stock market opens.
#加密市场观察 $BTC
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How to invest in the cryptocurrency circle to ensure stable income?
I entered the circle from 120,000 to 100,000 to 2,002,000
In the third year, it reached 590,000
In August of the fourth year, it reached 3,780,000
In November, it reached over 7,000,000.
Until a few years ago, I could easily withdraw 30,000,000 from the cryptocurrency circle.
What is the most brutal way to make money in the cryptocurrency circle? Just one word: roll!
My personal account went from 300,000 to 1,000,000 over nearly 10 years, but when it hit 1,000,000, it felt like a breakthrough, shooting directly to 40,000,000. Today, I will share a few key points, these experiences are worth 60,000,000, hoping to help you.
The core is just one sentence: rely on contract trading to amplify profits! But don’t rush in, first exchange these 2,000 yuan for 300 U (approximately 300 dollars), let’s take it step by step:
In the third year, it reached 590,000
In August of the fourth year, it reached 3,780,000
In November, it reached over 7,000,000.
Until a few years ago, I could easily withdraw 30,000,000 from the cryptocurrency circle.
What is the most brutal way to make money in the cryptocurrency circle? Just one word: roll!
My personal account went from 300,000 to 1,000,000 over nearly 10 years, but when it hit 1,000,000, it felt like a breakthrough, shooting directly to 40,000,000. Today, I will share a few key points, these experiences are worth 60,000,000, hoping to help you.
The core is just one sentence: rely on contract trading to amplify profits! But don’t rush in, first exchange these 2,000 yuan for 300 U (approximately 300 dollars), let’s take it step by step:
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Why do you find it harder to grasp the market the more you try to hold onto it?
Many people feel that they can't grasp the market due to inadequate skills, misunderstanding the structure, or switching rhythms too quickly. But the real issue is often simpler: you care too much about the market.
When you focus on every move of the market, your emotions get pulled along. A sudden rise makes you fear missing out, while a sudden drop makes you doubt the direction. The result is either chasing or running away, being led by prices all day long, forgetting that what you really should do is execute the system, not chase fluctuations.
Stable traders never watch the market; they focus on their own "effective range." When the market is outside their trading range, they won't act impulsively; when it's within the range, they only do what the rules allow.
Market fluctuations are chaotic, but your actions must be orderly.
Those who can grasp the market are not the ones who react the fastest, but those who can filter out meaningless fluctuations and act only on system signals. When you are no longer swayed by the market, you actually find it easier to grasp the core segments of the market.
I am Little Egg Tart, a professional analyst and educator, a mentor and friend on your investment journey! As an analyst, the most fundamental thing is to help everyone make money. I will help you resolve confusion and positions, speak with strength, and when you lose your direction and don't know what to do, follow Little Egg Tart. Little Egg Tart will point you in the right direction #美SEC推动加密创新监管 $ETH
Many people feel that they can't grasp the market due to inadequate skills, misunderstanding the structure, or switching rhythms too quickly. But the real issue is often simpler: you care too much about the market.
When you focus on every move of the market, your emotions get pulled along. A sudden rise makes you fear missing out, while a sudden drop makes you doubt the direction. The result is either chasing or running away, being led by prices all day long, forgetting that what you really should do is execute the system, not chase fluctuations.
Stable traders never watch the market; they focus on their own "effective range." When the market is outside their trading range, they won't act impulsively; when it's within the range, they only do what the rules allow.
Market fluctuations are chaotic, but your actions must be orderly.
Those who can grasp the market are not the ones who react the fastest, but those who can filter out meaningless fluctuations and act only on system signals. When you are no longer swayed by the market, you actually find it easier to grasp the core segments of the market.
I am Little Egg Tart, a professional analyst and educator, a mentor and friend on your investment journey! As an analyst, the most fundamental thing is to help everyone make money. I will help you resolve confusion and positions, speak with strength, and when you lose your direction and don't know what to do, follow Little Egg Tart. Little Egg Tart will point you in the right direction #美SEC推动加密创新监管 $ETH
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Why are retail investors always the ones getting cut?
I think there are three types of people who are not suitable for trading:
(1) People who lack persistent intrinsic motivation (2) People who do not have deep learning abilities (3) People who like to question and confront
What are the manifestations of lacking intrinsic motivation? Three minutes of enthusiasm, unable to stick to anything. The initiative is also very poor, and it is very difficult to start some new attempts, unwilling to jump out of the comfort zone, indefinitely procrastinating on the actions of change until forgotten.
For example, reviewing this issue, it can be said that reviewing is the best training method for novice traders, because only in review software can you speed up the flow of time, increase the frequency of signals, and repeatedly execute patterns.
(1) People who lack persistent intrinsic motivation (2) People who do not have deep learning abilities (3) People who like to question and confront
What are the manifestations of lacking intrinsic motivation? Three minutes of enthusiasm, unable to stick to anything. The initiative is also very poor, and it is very difficult to start some new attempts, unwilling to jump out of the comfort zone, indefinitely procrastinating on the actions of change until forgotten.
For example, reviewing this issue, it can be said that reviewing is the best training method for novice traders, because only in review software can you speed up the flow of time, increase the frequency of signals, and repeatedly execute patterns.
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Will Bitcoin still have a 4-year cycle?
Has the 4-year cycle of Bitcoin really been broken? Three major indicators reveal shocking truths and answers!
This question, which has troubled countless investors, is stirring up an unprecedented storm in the cryptocurrency market of 2025. When traditional theories face real-world challenges, should we trust historical patterns or embrace market changes?
1. The End or Evolution of the 4-Year Cycle
The price of Bitcoin has been fluctuating around the $100,000 mark, with only two months left until the theoretical peak of the traditional 4-year cycle. Market sentiment is as volatile as a roller coaster, and investors are beginning to question the once ironclad 4-year cycle theory.
This question, which has troubled countless investors, is stirring up an unprecedented storm in the cryptocurrency market of 2025. When traditional theories face real-world challenges, should we trust historical patterns or embrace market changes?
1. The End or Evolution of the 4-Year Cycle
The price of Bitcoin has been fluctuating around the $100,000 mark, with only two months left until the theoretical peak of the traditional 4-year cycle. Market sentiment is as volatile as a roller coaster, and investors are beginning to question the once ironclad 4-year cycle theory.
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Plummeting by 17.25%! Bitcoin's hash rate has plunged, it's not that the network is going down, it's that miners are once again 'crossing tribulations.'
Last week, the Bitcoin network's hash rate plummeted by 17.25%, which left many people confused, wondering if there was a problem with the Bitcoin network? Don't panic, such a drastic fluctuation of over 15% in hash rate has never been an isolated technical failure; to put it simply, it's a result of a collaboration between the market, miners, and fate.
Let's talk about the most core reason: miners are not making money, so they can only turn off their machines and run away.
Bitcoin mining is essentially a 'electricity bill business.' Mining machines hum 24 hours a day, and the electricity bill is unyielding. Once the coin price drops, or the overall mining difficulty increases, miners holding onto old, high-energy-consuming machines will find it tough. Earnings drop sharply, and it seems they are about to fall below the 'shutdown price,' which means the money earned from mining is not enough to pay the electricity bill. At this point, do they just wait to lose money without turning off their machines?
Let's talk about the most core reason: miners are not making money, so they can only turn off their machines and run away.
Bitcoin mining is essentially a 'electricity bill business.' Mining machines hum 24 hours a day, and the electricity bill is unyielding. Once the coin price drops, or the overall mining difficulty increases, miners holding onto old, high-energy-consuming machines will find it tough. Earnings drop sharply, and it seems they are about to fall below the 'shutdown price,' which means the money earned from mining is not enough to pay the electricity bill. At this point, do they just wait to lose money without turning off their machines?
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Why is it so difficult for retail investors to restrain themselves from frequent trading?
Due to greed, fearing to miss any opportunity, wanting to accumulate small gains into larger ones.
The market is limited, and by frequently entering and exiting, you can only capture small market movements, which cannot cover the various costs of your frequent trading. Over time, it will inevitably lead to losses, making it meaningless.
The fundamental reason for frequent trading lies in the lack of clear trading rules. Many beginners like to trade frequently in the short term because human nature drives this; short-term trading yields quick results, and people tend to pursue short-term profits, fearing they might miss every trading opportunity. When they incur losses, they want to recover, leading to more losses.
People's emotions are easily influenced by the market and others. Without trading rules, they can easily engage in emotional trading, causing operations to become chaotic, which leads to frequent trading.
The market is limited, and by frequently entering and exiting, you can only capture small market movements, which cannot cover the various costs of your frequent trading. Over time, it will inevitably lead to losses, making it meaningless.
The fundamental reason for frequent trading lies in the lack of clear trading rules. Many beginners like to trade frequently in the short term because human nature drives this; short-term trading yields quick results, and people tend to pursue short-term profits, fearing they might miss every trading opportunity. When they incur losses, they want to recover, leading to more losses.
People's emotions are easily influenced by the market and others. Without trading rules, they can easily engage in emotional trading, causing operations to become chaotic, which leads to frequent trading.
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Why can professional traders achieve stable profits?
I once thought of myself as the fearless captain in the sea of cryptocurrency, until the '312 black swan' caused my ship to sink. The 12 million position was wiped out in half an hour, and the cold touch of the phone screen is still unforgettable.
But despair is often the catalyst for wisdom, suddenly realizing: the essence of contracts is a probability game. Using the remaining 800,000 principal, combined with 'motion
'Attitude hedging model', this February, achieved an asset increase to 2.18 million in 60 days, an increase of 272900%!
Now, I am sharing this 'MACD trading method' for free—learning to dance with risk in the crypto world is the true way to survive.
In addition to solid MACD techniques, I strictly adhere to the following 6 iron rules of the crypto world:
But despair is often the catalyst for wisdom, suddenly realizing: the essence of contracts is a probability game. Using the remaining 800,000 principal, combined with 'motion
'Attitude hedging model', this February, achieved an asset increase to 2.18 million in 60 days, an increase of 272900%!
Now, I am sharing this 'MACD trading method' for free—learning to dance with risk in the crypto world is the true way to survive.
In addition to solid MACD techniques, I strictly adhere to the following 6 iron rules of the crypto world:
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Complete Guide to K-Line Charts in the Cryptocurrency World: From Basics to Practical Strategies
Complete Guide to K-Line Charts in the Cryptocurrency World: From Basics to Practical Strategies
In cryptocurrency trading, K-line charts are the core tool for every investor—it is like a 'price diary' that uses simple graphics to record the opening price, closing price, highest price, and lowest price of cryptocurrencies over a specific time, while also hiding key signals of market capital flow and bull-bear battles. Whether you are a beginner or an advanced trader, understanding K-line charts is the first step to rational trading. This article will comprehensively teach you how to interpret K-line charts in the cryptocurrency world, covering basic components, core elements, classic patterns, and practical tips.
In cryptocurrency trading, K-line charts are the core tool for every investor—it is like a 'price diary' that uses simple graphics to record the opening price, closing price, highest price, and lowest price of cryptocurrencies over a specific time, while also hiding key signals of market capital flow and bull-bear battles. Whether you are a beginner or an advanced trader, understanding K-line charts is the first step to rational trading. This article will comprehensively teach you how to interpret K-line charts in the cryptocurrency world, covering basic components, core elements, classic patterns, and practical tips.
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