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萧景初
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黄J现价單，4322哆單入，4329出场，7点空间收入囊中
#美联储降息
#黄金
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非农前黄金先走一波回调，4290附近布局的箜單已分批止赢， 接下来紧盯4260支撑，非农大戏静待开演！#美联储降息
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#黄金 #美联储降息 今晚非农数据重磅来袭，黄金需筑牢风险防线，严守风控规则。数据公布前：震荡偏多为主 1. 预期层面：本次非农核心指标呈现“就业疲软+薪资黏性”的预期组合——11月非农就业人口预期仅5万人（偏低）、失业率预期4.4%（处于相对高位），而平均每小时工资年率/月率预期分别为3.6%、0.3%（薪资仍有黏性）。这种组合会让市场提前押注美联储宽松预期，对黄金形成支撑。 2. 技术面联动：若黄金此前未跌破关键支撑（如你此前提到的4260），市场会依托支撑位维持低多思路，向上试探4300、4320等阻力位，数据公布前大概率以区间震荡偏多的走势为主。 二、数据公布后：双向波动，看实际值与预期的偏离 1. 若数据不及预期（利多黄金） - 非农就业人口＜5万人、失业率＞4.4%：意味着美国就业市场走弱，美联储降息预期升温，黄金会快速突破4300、4320，甚至进一步上探更高阻力。 - 薪资数据低于预期（年率＜3.6%/月率＜0.3%）：通胀压力缓解，也会强化宽松预期，助推黄金上涨。 2. 若数据超预期（利空黄金） - 非农就业人口＞5万人、失业率＜4.4%：就业市场韧性超预期，美联储降息预期降温，黄金会下破4260支撑，向下测试4240、4220等支撑位。 - 薪资数据高于预期：通胀黏性担忧加剧，会进一步压制黄金走势。 3. 数据符合预期：黄金大概率维持原有震荡区间（4260-4320），波动幅度收窄，需等待后续其他基本面信号指引。
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行情震荡洗盘之下，部分头寸无奈离场。趋势未改，4260关口不失，低多思路坚定持有，目标上看4300-4320 晚间非农数据重磅来袭，多空博弈静待引爆！ #美联储降息
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#巨鲸动向 #美联储降息 昨日黄金开盘后缓慢攀升，欧盘延续涨势，最高触及4350附近，随后承压回落，美盘加速下行，凌晨最低探至4285附近，尾盘反弹至4318附近受阻，最终在4300区域震荡整理，日线收出带长上影线的小阳线。 黄金周一呈现冲高回落态势，日线录得带长上影线的小阳线。回顾上周五走势，金价同样在冲高至4350上方后大幅回落。短期内两次冲击4350-4355区间均遭遇强劲打压，凸显该区域阻力强劲，今日需重点关注该区间阻力的有效性。 指标方面，5日均线与10日均线形成金叉后持续向上延伸，均线系统维持多头排列，显示中期趋势偏多。日内下方支撑优先关注5日均线附近（当前位于4280区域），其次重点关注4255-4265区间。该区域既是前期震荡高点，也是上周五金价冲高回落后的低点，需跟踪其顶底转换后的支撑效果。若该支撑区间未被有效下破，行情仍有上行可能；若向下突破，则需警惕走势转弱风险。 整体来看，黄金上方关注4350-4365区域阻力，下方关注4255-4265区域支撑，在未突破关键区间前，以震荡思路对待，破位后再顺势跟进。 日内操作建议以低多为主，回踩4285附近可参与多单，止损设置在4275，目标上看4330-4345
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黄J现价單，4321哆單入场，4341出局，收获20点空间，每手可落袋2000美刀#巨鲸动向 #美联储降息
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