Received notification from the square secretary that the group creation feature is officially launched here. #加密市场观察 To be honest, when I first joined the square, I vaguely felt that— this place would not just be an exchange in the future; it would definitely head towards social interaction. It really seems to be gradually realizing that now. In the future, we will not only be able to view market trends and share opinions, but also discuss and communicate in real-time within our own circles. This step will greatly enhance the atmosphere of the entire community. $BTC $ETH $BNB
The Binance chat room has just launched the [Private Chat] feature Communication is much smoother than before, no longer worrying about important messages being lost.
I have also opened a private chat, if you want to discuss the market, feel free to add me: 🔍 Chat ID: tabtvk3l4
I will synchronize any market updates in real time, trying to help everyone avoid unnecessary detours. #聊天室内测体验官 $BTC $ETH $SOL
🚨【Market Explosion】BTC breaks 108,000, ETH rises to 3,920!
Tonight's Federal Reserve major decision: A "hawkish rate cut" may trigger a global market explosion! At 3 AM Beijing time on Thursday, the global financial market enters a countdown as the Federal Reserve will announce the latest interest rate decision. The market generally bets on a third consecutive rate cut of 25 basis points, with the rate falling in the range of 3.5%-3.75%. But the focus is not on "cutting rates", but on ⚡ This is a rate cut with a warning: "hawkish rate cut" The Federal Reserve is seriously divided internally: #加密市场反弹 • One faction: Employment worsens → Need to continue cutting rates • One faction: Inflation remains high → Cannot loosen monetary policy further Thus, the most dangerous combination appears:
History has repeated itself countless times: Shanzhai never waits for BTC to rise before acting, but rather—strikes when you are in doubt.
ETH back in the day 1400 → 5000, was an independent main rising wave during BTC's pullback.
All the chaotic rises, random pulls, and wild swings you see now, are the script of the main forces: #比特币VS代币化黄金 continuously shaking off people, desperately shaking off people.
Why? Because retail investors are most likely to make 3 fatal mistakes at this time:
1️⃣ Cutting losses at the bottom → chasing highs after seeing the rise rankings (emotion controls you, not logic)
2️⃣ Jumping back and forth between long and short, thinking they are "grabbing volatility" (in reality, working for transaction fees)
3️⃣ Trying to avoid every pullback while wanting to capture every rise (this is gambling, not trading)
This is also why #美联储重启降息步伐 after a bull market ends, 90% of retail investors lose money.
The core of making big money is not about "how much you grab," but rather: 👉 Make fewer mistakes 👉 Stand on the path of the main rising wave 👉 Instead of chasing the market
Choosing targets comes down to one thing: #隐私叙事回归 strong, stable, explosive, long-lasting, clean main forces (the fewer exits, the stronger)
If you can catch that middle part of the main rising wave, you've already left 90% of the people behind.
A bull market is not about fighting hard, but surviving and then seizing the market. $BTC $ETH $SOL
The Federal Reserve is going to cut interest rates! Wall Street has changed its tune overnight: the probability of a rate cut this week is 90%! #美SEC和CFTC加密监管合作
Late-night big news——the popular candidate for the next chairman, Haskett, speaks out: 👉 "Continue to cut interest rates."
One sentence made market sentiment soar instantly. Wall Street's major banks tore up old reports and all changed their stance: A cut of 25bp this week is almost guaranteed.
Latest data: #美联储重启降息步伐 • Probability of a rate cut 89.6% • Probability of continued rate cuts next year 92%+
Employment data has significantly weakened, the Federal Reserve has no choice but to cut.
The key now is not whether to cut, but 👉 How many hawks oppose internally? 👉 Will tomorrow's dot plot provide a new direction?
In one sentence: #美SEC推动加密创新监管 The rate cut is at the door, and the market is preparing in advance. $BTC $ETH $BNB
【The global geopolitical landscape is changing, and China's influence is being re-recognized by the world】
Macron's 'super diplomatic show' in China has just ended, and the international political landscape has shown significant shifts: South Korea's rapid pivot, the Netherlands reassessing cooperation, rising anxiety in the United States, while Japan finds itself in a strategic dilemma. This series of changes is not coincidental, but an inevitable result after the shift in power dynamics. ① Why have countries noticeably turned 'pragmatic towards China'? The core lies in: #美SEC推动加密创新监管 China simultaneously showcases its dual advantages of 'hard power + soft power'. In terms of hard power: • The world's second-largest economy • Global leading resilience of the industrial chain • 5G, new energy, drones, J-35, nuclear technology and other breakthroughs in various fields
Time left for the crypto market to breathe is running out - Powell is about to deliver a key blow.
Many people think that once rate cuts are implemented, they can feel at ease, but what truly determines market direction is the speech that follows the rate cut. This rate cut seems more like an action 'forced out' by data and the environment, rather than a loosening that Powell is willingly releasing. He has previously emphasized that he is 'not inclined to cut rates', indicating that the 3:30 speech is the core variable. My judgment is: #美联储重启降息步伐 Powell is very likely to reiterate a hawkish tone in his speech, suggesting a pause in rate cuts in the future. This will directly impact market sentiment and may trigger a rapid adjustment in the short term. Why? Because after the rate cut, interest rates will return to a neutral level of 3.5%, which is close to historical norms, and there is no necessity to continue suppressing the economy. The reality is:
Will China release cryptocurrencies? My judgment is very simple: the direction will change, but the difficulty will be extremely high within ten years.
First, let's discuss the logic: The first layer of logic is the pressure of capital controls. Chinese asset prices have long been higher than overseas. Under the premise of strict capital account management, there is a natural impulse for capital outflow. Cryptocurrencies, by nature, are tools for cross-border value transfer that bypass regulation. Once released, they will directly amplify the outflow of funds. The second layer of logic is the position in the economic cycle. Currently in a typical phase of 'balance sheet recession': Enterprises are deleveraging, real estate is clearing, local debts are under pressure, and what the economy needs is 'support', not 'pressure relief'. Releasing cryptocurrencies at this stage is equivalent to adding an uncontrolled outlet to an already fragile financial system.
【Shocking Statement】Federal Reserve Governor: I want to cut rates by 50BP!
The market is confused, is this the real deal? Or is there a bigger scheme? Just now, Federal Reserve Governor Milan made a rare statement: "Current monetary policy is too tight, I tend to favor a 50 basis point cut." Directly confronting the market: "Stock market rise ≠ monetary easing, don’t be fooled by illusions." This statement carries too much weight. This means – there are stronger voices for rate cuts within the Federal Reserve! In the past few months, the market was still worried about "high rates lasting longer," Now suddenly there’s news of "a 50BP rate cut" in the air, Liquidity expectations might suddenly reverse For the crypto market:
Ethereum Key Test: OBV 12.75M Support 4250 Resistance Inflection Point On-chain Momentum: Ethereum OBV (On-Balance Volume) Testing 12.75M Channel Support, this is the dividing line between buyer dominance and distribution transition. Key Price Level: 4250 is the decisive resistance reclaim = bullish continuation rejected = attracting shorts triggering deeper retracement. Background: Since July, OBV has risen from ~10.25M to 12.5M showing buyer confidence but recently fell back to the lower edge of the channel. Su Ge reminds: #BinanceHODLerHEMI Don't passively follow orders, wait for the price to reclaim 4250 and OBV to stabilize at 12.75M before considering adding positions. If both lose support, short-term bears will have a more favorable risk control than blindly bottom-fishing. #AltcoinStrategicReserves #MarketPullback $BTC $ETH $XRP
XRP Destruction Rate Plummets → Scarcity Narrative Fails? On September 21, the daily destruction amount of XRP was only 163, hitting a near-month low. The destruction mechanism relies solely on transaction fees and lacks protocol-level destruction ~600 billion supply is hardly affected. Technical Aspect: Key support at $2.99–$2.83, breaking it may accelerate the downward trend. Su Ge's View @crypto阿苏 If the scarcity logic of XRP fails, it can only rely on demand catalysts to maintain the market. Whether it can stabilize at $2.83 in the short term is key; once it breaks down, retail investors may not hold on. #BinanceHODLerHEMI #DogecoinETFProgress #MarketPullback $BTC $ETH $XRP
Solana Price Prediction: 150% rebound within the year short-term wedge risk vs long-term ETF benefits! Solana has surged over 150% so far in 2025, outperforming most mainstream altcoins. However, the daily chart shows that SOL has formed a rising wedge technical pattern, indicating a possible short-term pullback risk. #BinanceHODLerBARD Short-term risk: Rising wedge Pattern: Two upward trend lines narrowing usually indicates a potential reversal Indicators: RSI contraction MACD death cross weakening momentum Risk: If it breaks below the trend line, it may test the $200 support Long-term benefits: ETF + upgrades + institutions The probability of ETF is over 90% → If approved, it is expected to drive inflows from U.S. institutions and retail funds Alpenglow upgrade → Enhance network throughput and PoS performance to improve on-chain usability Institutional large holdings → Several funds and institutions have held tens of billions of dollars in SOL, providing strong long-term buying support #FedRateCut25bps Key price level @crypto阿苏 Support level: $200 Resistance level: $239 (recent high) Focus: Once the ETF is approved, the price structure may be completely rewritten SOL may be spooked by technicals in the short term, but the logic behind institutions and ETFs is more solid than ever. #CryptoScamSurge If $200 can hold, the next stop may be heading straight for new highs. $BTC $ETH $SOL
BTC's dominance has dropped to the edge of 58%, could XRP lead the rotation? BTC.D has slid from ~62.5% to ~58% and is testing a key support level. If it breaks below 58%, the next target may be 56.94%, and altcoins could see greater capital inflow. XRP has recently shown significant strength; if BTC.D continues to weaken, it may become the leading altcoin. #BinanceHODLerAVNT Market Observation BTC.D 58% = key watershed; a loss could trigger market rotation. Funds have begun to shift towards some mainstream altcoins, with trading volume and structure supporting further expansion. XRP has shown resilience on the daily/12H charts, leading ETH and BTC. Su's view #BinanceHODLerAVNT Once Bitcoin's dominance is lost at 58%, the market pattern may welcome a "small climax." The momentum for altcoin funds will strengthen, with hotspots becoming more dispersed and liquidity accelerating rotation. XRP is particularly worth paying attention to; its relative strength and trading volume may make it one of the first beneficiaries. #FedRateCutExpectations But don't forget risk management; only gradually increase positions when confirming volume expansion and trend continuation. $BTC $ETH $XRP
Standard Chartered Bank's SC Ventures will launch a $250 million crypto fund In 2026, Standard Chartered Bank's SC Ventures plans to establish a $250 million crypto investment fund focused on global digital asset opportunities and gaining support from Middle Eastern investors. Key Point #USBitcoinReserveDiscussion Fund Size: 250M (Launch in 2026) Investment Direction: Bitcoin + Selected Altcoins Institutional Signal: Corporate Treasury Accelerating Diversification At the same time, SC Ventures is also considering a $100 million African fund and risk debt instruments to further expand its digital asset layout. #FedRateCutExpectations Su Ge's View When a bank of Standard Chartered's level takes the lead in launching a crypto fund, it sends a clear signal to the market: #StrategyBTCPurchase The institutional allocation of altcoins is beginning. If more treasuries follow, the liquidity and valuation of altcoins may welcome a new round of enhancement. $BTC $ETH $BNB
Dogecoin soared 74% this year entering Livermore's 'markup phase'? From the chart, DOGE is completely following Jesse Livermore's speculation cycle: Accumulation → Markup → Distribution → Correction. #BNBBreaksATH The current breakout point is at $0.2969, and if the trading volume confirms, it is expected to continue pushing: Short-term target: $0.60-0.80 Medium-term potential: $1.50-2.00 Peak speculation phase: $3.00-3.50 (before 2026) But don’t forget Livermore's law: during the distribution phase, there will often be sharp corrections, even returning to the $0.15-0.20 range. Su believes: #BinanceHODLerZKC The breakout at $0.30 and volume confirmation is key. If Bitcoin's dominance peaks and funds flow into altcoins, DOGE may accelerate. It is recommended to adopt a staggered profit-taking + risk control approach; don’t be the 'last buyer' during the distribution phase. Currently, Dogecoin resembles the most exciting chapter in Livermore's script, full of opportunities yet hiding risks! #USLowestJobsReport $BTC $ETH $XRP
This week's three major highlights in the crypto market #MarketRebound BTC: Still holding above the 200-day moving average but facing resistance at 115000–116000. Only a breakthrough is expected to challenge 120000; otherwise, it may pull back to 112000. ETH: Key resistance at 4800; if it breaks through with volume, the momentum may soar directly to 5500–6000. XRP: Stuck below the descending trend line at $3.06; a breakthrough is needed to open up upward space of 3.5–5; otherwise, there is still a downside risk. Su Ge's view: #BNBBreaksATH The current market is entering a critical game interval, and trading volume is the key to success or failure. BTC needs volume confirmation, while ETH may be the first to break through as the 'leader,' and if XRP successfully unlocks the trend line, it will become an emotional catalyst. #ETHReclaims4700 $BTC $ETH $BNB
Let's talk about the rhythm of Ethereum: From the 8-hour chart, ETH has been oscillating in the 4200–4500 range for the past two weeks. Repeated dips to 4200 being strongly pulled back indicate that the buying pressure here is solid, establishing a short-term iron bottom. As long as 4200 holds, we can continue to look higher, with subsequent hopes of testing the 4500 resistance. Trading idea: #非农就业数据来袭 Place long orders near 4240 with stop-loss below 4200. The initial target is to watch for a breakout at 4450, which would then continue to challenge the 4500–4540 range. 4200 has already been validated by the market as a key support of a triple bottom, combined with the trend of institutional fund inflows, the probability of ETH launching an attack towards the 5000 USD mark in the future is considerable. Short-term fluctuations actually provide a good opportunity to set up long positions. If you want to follow real-time strategies and key levels, remember to pay attention to @crypto阿苏 Get Su Ge's in-depth analysis at the first time! $BTC $ETH $XRP