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December 18, 2025 Bitcoin Market Prediction: $BTC From the current market situation, Bitcoin touched a low of $85,500 yesterday, and a brief surge occurred this morning, rising to around $90,000, driven by over $110 million in short position liquidations and a concentrated influx of spot buying. However, the sustainability of the rise is insufficient; as of now, the price has retreated to around $88,000, mainly constrained by the strong resistance zone of $92,000-$94,000 — this area overlaps with previous highs and the pressure from the descending trend line, which has repeatedly become a “roadblock” for rebounds. Meanwhile, ongoing selling by long-term holders poses potential pressure, with nearly $300 billion of dormant Bitcoin re-entering circulation in 2025, while ETF fund outflows have weakened market absorption capacity, limiting the rebound space. The technical indicators show conflicting signals: on one hand, the daily RSI indicator shows bullish divergence, with prices making new lows but the indicator's lows rising, and the RSI previously dropped below 30 into the oversold territory, indicating a short-term correction demand; on the other hand, although the lower Bollinger Band provides support, the death cross of the moving averages above significantly suppresses prices, and the four-hour MACD shows diminishing volume, suggesting insufficient upward momentum. Key support focuses on the $85,000-$86,000 region, where previous lows, long-term trend lines, and the average ETF cost line converge, representing a “lifeline” for determining short-term trends; an effective breach would open up a downward space to $80,000-$82,400; if support holds, $89,400-$92,500, as a Fibonacci retracement level and the convergence area of active address average costs, could become a rebound point. - Short-term judgment: Today’s probability of fluctuation is high in the $85,000-$89,000 range, with a high probability of a slight dip near $85,000; if it holds, a deep drop is unlikely, but a breach would accelerate the decline to $81,000-$82,400. - Conditions for triggering a deep drop: A daily closing price below $85,000 + continuous net outflows from ETFs + significant declines in U.S. stocks could potentially lead to $80,000 or below, though the probability of extreme situations is low. - Small rebound opportunity: RSI shows bullish divergence; if support holds, a slight rebound to $89,000-$92,000 is possible, but the probability of encountering resistance and falling back is high. Suggestion: If it falls below $85,000, decisively reduce positions; using stop-loss operations is more prudent. $BTC only calls you

December 18, 2025 Bitcoin Market Prediction: $BTC

From the current market situation, Bitcoin touched a low of $85,500 yesterday, and a brief surge occurred this morning, rising to around $90,000, driven by over $110 million in short position liquidations and a concentrated influx of spot buying. However, the sustainability of the rise is insufficient; as of now, the price has retreated to around $88,000, mainly constrained by the strong resistance zone of $92,000-$94,000 — this area overlaps with previous highs and the pressure from the descending trend line, which has repeatedly become a “roadblock” for rebounds. Meanwhile, ongoing selling by long-term holders poses potential pressure, with nearly $300 billion of dormant Bitcoin re-entering circulation in 2025, while ETF fund outflows have weakened market absorption capacity, limiting the rebound space.

The technical indicators show conflicting signals: on one hand, the daily RSI indicator shows bullish divergence, with prices making new lows but the indicator's lows rising, and the RSI previously dropped below 30 into the oversold territory, indicating a short-term correction demand; on the other hand, although the lower Bollinger Band provides support, the death cross of the moving averages above significantly suppresses prices, and the four-hour MACD shows diminishing volume, suggesting insufficient upward momentum. Key support focuses on the $85,000-$86,000 region, where previous lows, long-term trend lines, and the average ETF cost line converge, representing a “lifeline” for determining short-term trends; an effective breach would open up a downward space to $80,000-$82,400; if support holds, $89,400-$92,500, as a Fibonacci retracement level and the convergence area of active address average costs, could become a rebound point.

- Short-term judgment: Today’s probability of fluctuation is high in the $85,000-$89,000 range, with a high probability of a slight dip near $85,000; if it holds, a deep drop is unlikely, but a breach would accelerate the decline to $81,000-$82,400.

- Conditions for triggering a deep drop: A daily closing price below $85,000 + continuous net outflows from ETFs + significant declines in U.S. stocks could potentially lead to $80,000 or below, though the probability of extreme situations is low.

- Small rebound opportunity: RSI shows bullish divergence; if support holds, a slight rebound to $89,000-$92,000 is possible, but the probability of encountering resistance and falling back is high.

Suggestion: If it falls below $85,000, decisively reduce positions; using stop-loss operations is more prudent.

$BTC only calls you

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