MicroChainAi

Core View
Current Price: $3,265 (as of December 11, 09:47 AM)
Short-term Outlook: Prices are fluctuating in a narrow range between $3,260 and $3,300, with the 4-hour MACD showing positive momentum and clear bullish signals on the daily chart. Technical analysis indicates a tug-of-war between bulls and bears around the $3,300 mark; if this resistance is broken, there may be an upward test towards the $3,350-$3,400 range. Exchange reserves have dropped to a historical low of 8.6%, with staking inflow exceeding 40,000 ETH daily, tightening supply which is favorable for prices. However, the 1-hour chart is near the lower Bollinger Band, indicating a short-term rebound demand, with an expected daily fluctuation range of 2-3%.

Core Viewpoint
Current Price (as of December 11, 2025, 09:45): $91,400
Short-term Outlook: Neutral to bearish. Prices are oscillating and consolidating in the range of 90k-93k, pressured by the Federal Reserve's hawkish rate cuts and on-chain selling pressure; however, the RSI nearing oversold levels indicates potential rebound opportunities. On-chain data shows a net outflow of 2,528 BTC from exchanges, reflecting some funds shifting to holding; if the 90k support can be maintained, a test of the 93k resistance is possible; a drop below 90k could accelerate a pullback to 89k or even lower.
Key Support: $90,000 (psychological level and technical support), $89,000 (4-hour Bollinger Band lower range)

Core Viewpoints
Current Price: $92,265 (as of December 10, 09:30)
Short-term Outlook: Neutral with fluctuations, the 4-hour level shows slight bullish momentum, but the daily structure remains in a weak consolidation. If it breaks above $92,547, it may test the $93,000-$94,000 region, but if it falls below $91,893, it may retrace to the psychological level of $90,000
Key Support: $91,893 (short-term), $90,843 (mid-term), $88,958 (strong support)
Key Resistance: $92,547 (immediate), $93,149 (key), $94,548 (strong resistance)
Technical Analysis
Multi-Timeframe Trends

Technical Indicator Explanation
Hourly Level: Price is at $92,204, below EMA(12) but above EMA(26) and SMA(50), forming a short-term support zone. The middle band of the Bollinger Bands is at $91,877, and the current price is close to the middle band, showing characteristics of range fluctuations

Core viewpoints
Current price (as of December 10, 2025): $3,303.19
Short-term outlook: The technical indicators show a bullish trend, with bullish signals appearing in the short time frame. It is expected to test the upper resistance after consolidating in the current range, but caution is required for daily level pressure.
Key support: $3,200 (important clearing area), $3,017 (1-hour Bollinger Band lower limit), $2,948 (4-hour Bollinger Band lower limit)

Key resistance: $3,323 (4-hour Bollinger Band upper limit), $3,314 (daily Bollinger Band upper limit), $3,350-$3,400 (historical resistance range)
Technical analysis
Multi-period indicator status

Core views
Current price: $90,093 (as of December 9, 09:43)
24-hour decline of 1.28%, intraday high of $92,203, low of $89,736
Short-term outlook: Neutral to weak
The technical indicators show that the price is oscillating in a key support range, with bullish and bearish forces in a stalemate. Both the 1-hour and 4-hour levels are below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, and the daily ADX strength reaches 32.74, reflecting a continuation of the downward trend. However, the MACD daily histogram turning positive indicates accumulation of bottom momentum. On-chain data shows a net outflow of 2,773 BTC, with exchange reserves decreasing, suggesting accumulation behavior. The funding rate in the derivatives market remains positive, with the maximum pain point for options at $91,000, and it is expected that the price will fluctuate in the range of $88,500-$91,500 within the next 24-48 hours.

Core viewpoints
Current price: $3,108 (as of December 8, 23:00)
Short-term outlook: Neutral to bullish. The technical indicators show a mixed pattern, with weakening momentum on the 1-hour level but bullish signals from the 4-hour and daily MACD. This is supported by the accumulation signal of a net outflow of 118,900 ETH on the chain, along with favorable news such as BlackRock's staking ETF application. If the key support level of $3,100 holds, the probability of reaching the target range of $3,150-$3,160 is about 60%; however, if it breaks below $3,094, there is a risk of a pullback to around $3,000.
Key support: $3,094 (1-hour Bollinger Band lower bound), $3,071 (4-hour Bollinger Band middle bound), $2,985 (4-hour Bollinger Band lower bound)

Core views
Current price: $3,111 (as of December 8, 09:31)
Short-term outlook: Short-term bias is bullish. A MACD golden cross has formed on the 1-hour and 4-hour charts, with RSI in a neutral to slightly bullish range (57.87). The price remains above the EMA moving average system, indicating a bullish momentum in the short term. However, the daily level is still constrained by SMA50 ($3,354) and SMA200 ($3,542), and the medium-term downward trend has not been completely reversed. On-chain data shows continuous net outflows and whales positioning around $3,000, providing support for the upward movement.
Key support:
Recent support: $3,065 (Bollinger Band lower limit + EMA26)

Key Insights
Current Price: $91,409 (as of December 8, 9:35 AM)
Short-term Outlook: Bullish. Short-term technical indicators show a buyer's advantage, with MACD forming a golden cross on the 1-hour and 4-hour charts, and prices stabilizing above multiple moving averages; the derivatives market's open interest increased by 2.17% to $57.69B over 24 hours, with major exchanges' funding rates turning negative (longs receiving), supporting further upward movement.
Key Support: $88,124 (1-hour Bollinger Band lower boundary), $88,182 (4-hour Bollinger Band lower boundary), $87,692 (cumulative long liquidation zone $838M)
Key Resistance: $91,801 (1-hour Bollinger Band upper boundary), $92,379 (4-hour Bollinger Band upper boundary), $90,823-$93,752 (cumulative short liquidation zone $741M)

Key points
Current price: $89,300 (as of December 6, 10:00 AM)
24-hour decline: -3.27%
24-hour high: $92,650
24-hour low: $88,421
Short-term outlook: bearish consolidation, but there is a chance for an oversold rebound
The price continues to stay below key moving averages, and the technical outlook appears weak
The 1-hour and daily MACD show divergence signals, suggesting a potential rebound
RSI is approaching the oversold zone (1-hour 35.47, 4-hour 37.86), indicating possible technical recovery in the short term
On-chain data shows continued net outflow (-2,984 BTC), and the sentiment to hold coins supports the bottom
Key support:

First support: $88,874 (intense liquidation area for bulls)

Core Viewpoints
Current Price: $3,027 (as of December 6, 10:00, 24-hour drop -4.32%)
Short-term Outlook: Neutral to Bearish. The technical landscape shows intensified bullish and bearish battles, with 1-hour/4-hour levels indicating short-term downward pressure, but daily levels show a MACD divergence signal, suggesting potential rebound possibilities. On-chain net inflow of 123,000 ETH to exchanges increases selling pressure, attention is needed to see if the $2960 support can hold. If it stabilizes above $3050, it is expected to test the $3100-3179 resistance zone.
Key Support:
Recent Support: $2960-3000 (Bollinger Band lower track + large long liquidation zone)

Core viewpoint
Current price: $92,479 (as of December 5, 10:04)
24-hour change: -0.91%
24-hour range: $91,029 - $93,971
Short-term outlook: Neutral to weak
The technical aspect shows a consolidation trend, with prices fluctuating narrowly between $91,500 and $93,500.
MACD short-term (1 hour/4 hours) shows weakening signals, and the volume indicator OBV continues to decline, reflecting insufficient buying momentum.
Funding rates remain positive (Binance 0.0052%), bulls pay bears, indicating a bullish market sentiment but with risks of excessive leverage.
It is expected to continue a consolidation trend during the day, with a 60% probability of maintaining the range.

Core view
Current price: $3,163 (as of December 5, 09:40)
24-hour change: -1.72%
24-hour high: $3,249
24-hour low: $3,072
Short-term outlook: Neutral to bullish
Technical indicators show that the price is stabilizing above the key support level, with a bullish crossover on the 4-hour MACD
Positive sentiment from the Fusaka upgrade supports the short-term trend
On-chain data shows that net outflows are accelerating, with whales continuously accumulating and reducing selling pressure
There is a 55% probability of testing the $3,200-$3,250 range within 24-48 hours
Key support:

First support: $3,111 (1-hour Bollinger Band lower band)
Second support: $3,051 (4-hour middle band)

Key Insights
Current price: $93,648 (as of December 4, 10:15)
Short-term Outlook: Bullish bias, technicals show a 4-hour MACD golden cross and funding rates remain positive. Expected to test the $95,000-$96,000 area within 24-48 hours. The probability of a breakout is about 60%, mainly driven by short-squeeze pressure (over the past 24 hours, short liquidations of $69.94M exceeded long liquidations of $42.80M) and continued outflows from exchange reserves (7-day net outflow of approximately 15,000 BTC). If the 1-hour RSI is excessively extended or volume fails to cooperate, a brief pullback to around $93,000 may occur.
Key Support:

Core viewpoint
Current price: $3,202.81 (as of December 4th, 9:56 AM)
Short-term outlook: biased towards bullish. Driven by favorable upgrades from Fusaka, ETH has risen over 5% in the past 24 hours, and technicals show continuing bullish momentum, targeting the $3,250 area. However, the 1-hour and 4-hour RSI have entered overbought territory (81.96/73.60), indicating short-term pullback risks. On-chain data shows significant net outflow (30,628 ETH outflow on December 3rd), suggesting whales continue to accumulate, supporting bullish expectations.
Key support: $3,100-$3,115 (long position liquidation zone, cumulative $718 million), $3,000-$3,100 (maximum pain range for options)

Core viewpoint
Current price: $91,916 (as of December 3, 09:38 Beijing time)
Short-term outlook: The technical indicators are showing a bullish trend in the short term, with intense long and short competition. The 1-hour and 4-hour cycle indicators show that bullish momentum is dominant, with MACD golden cross in conjunction with RSI close to the overbought area, but the daily level remains in a neutral oscillation pattern. The market is digesting the previous deep correction from above $100,000, and the derivatives market has seen massive short liquidations ($160.4 million in shorts liquidated in 24 hours vs $14.5 million in longs), providing rebound momentum for prices. If the $90,000 level can be maintained in the short term, it is expected to challenge the resistance level of $94,000; however, caution is needed regarding the long-term moving average pressure and the risk of RSI overbought corrections at the daily level.

Core view
Current price: $3,012 (as of December 3, 09:34)
Short-term outlook: bullish bias. Multiple time frames on the technical side show buying momentum, combined with positive Fusaka upgrades and leading short liquidations, expected to test the $3,050-$3,100 resistance area within 24-48 hours, with an upward probability of about 60%. If the 1-hour RSI triggers an overbought pullback, there is a 40% chance of retracing to the $2,950 support.
Key support: $2,900-$2,950 (convergence of the lower Bollinger band and EMA support), further support at $2,850
Key resistance: $3,050-$3,100 (dense area of the upper Bollinger band and short liquidations), break above looks to $3,200-$3,220

#特朗普加密新政
Trump currently has no official new cryptocurrency policy announcement, but his public statements continue to reinforce a 'pro-crypto' stance: he has committed to signing cryptocurrency legislation, ending the 'war' on crypto, and viewing cryptocurrency as a national advantage for the United States. High-interaction Twitter discussions show that Congress is pushing for the CLARITY Act legislation, which could bring regulatory clarity, but the actual implementation of policies still needs to be observed.
Core Analysis
Trump's recent tweets (the last 20) have not directly mentioned cryptocurrency, focusing instead on elections (such as the Tennessee special election) and foreign affairs (such as airspace control in Venezuela). However, several KOLs have cited his earlier remarks, forming a 'pro-crypto narrative':

Core viewpoints
Current price: $86,790 (as of December 2, 10:27 AM)
24-hour decline: -0.44%
24-hour range: $83,989 - $87,174
Short-term outlook: Mildly bullish, target $88,000
Multi-timeframe technical indicators show that the oversold condition on the daily and hourly charts is easing, MACD histogram turning positive, indicating signs of momentum reversal
Funding rates remain positive (Binance 0.0013%, Bybit 0.0063%), bullish sentiment prevails
On-chain data supports a rebound: Net outflow of 2,962 BTC on December 1, exchange reserves decreased to 1.83M BTC, reducing selling pressure
Forecasted volatility range: $85,000-$88,500, with a 60% probability of testing upper resistance

Core Viewpoint
Current Price: $2,791 (as of December 2, 10:00)
Short-term Outlook: Neutral to Cautious. The technical indicators show oversold signals, with the 4-hour RSI touching 33.68 entering the oversold zone, indicating a possibility of a short-term rebound. However, the price continues to operate below the main moving averages, and the bearish pattern remains unchanged. If it can hold above $2,800 with increasing volume, it may test $2,850-$2,900; conversely, a drop below $2,720 will face further downward pressure.
Key Support:
Recent Support: $2,720-$2,727 (Bollinger Bands lower band)
Secondary Support: $2,700 (Liquidation Concentration Zone)
Strong Support: $2,600-$2,640